DAILY TEMPS TO RISE

Central Telegraph - - FRONT PAGE -

THE Bureau of Me­te­o­rol­ogy has re­cently re­leased a weather out­look for the up­com­ing trop­i­cal sea­son with an ‘above aver­age’ cy­clone sea­son ex­pected.

An­nu­ally, 11 cy­clones form off the coast around Aus­tralia with four usu­ally cross­ing the border, bring­ing with them de­struc­tion.

It is ex­pected the higher tem­per­a­tures in the Pa­cific Ocean this sea­son will con­trib­ute to an in­creased threat. Last year the re­gion had an ab­nor­mally low sea­son, Cy­clone Deb­bie be­ing the only cy­clone to cross the border.

Rain­fall out­look

THE build up to the mon­soon across north­ern Aus­tralia takes place from Oc­to­ber to De­cem­ber as iso­lated af­ter­noon thun­der­storm slowly be­come more fre­quent.

The out­look for this year’s Oc­to­ber to De­cem­ber build up shows equal chances of above or be­low aver­age rain­fall for most of north­ern Aus­tralia.

The rain­fall out­look is due to the re­sult of com­pet­ing in­flu­ences be­tween the Pa­cific and In­dian oceans.

A weak dry­ing in­flu­ence from the In­dian Ocean po­ten­tially can­cels out a slightly wet in­flu­ence from the Pa­cific Ocean.

Tem­per­a­tures

THE tem­per­a­ture out­look shows above-aver­age day­time and overnight tem­per­a­tures are likely.

Warmer con­di­tions are con­sis­tent with the global trend of in­creas­ing at­mo­spheric and oceanic tem­per­a­tures, also the fore­cast warmer-thanaver­age sea sur­face temps to Aus­tralia's north.

Na­tional out­look

■ Oc­to­ber to De­cem­ber out­look shows an equal chance of wet­ter or drier cond­tions across Aus­tralia;

■ Day­time tem­per­a­tures are likely to be warmer than aver­age for the north­west­ern half of Aus­tralia and the south­east for Oc­to­ber to De­cem­ber;

■ Nigh­t­ime temps dur­ing Oc­to­ber to De­cem­ber are likely to be warmer than aver­age across north­ern Aus­tralia and eastern states;

■ Cli­mate in­flu­ences from the In­dian and Pa­cific oceans will com­pete, with a weak dry­ing in­flu­ence from the In­dian Ocean can­celling out a slightly wet in­flu­ence from the Pa­cific Ocean.

CY­CLONE SEA­SON: An above aver­age cy­clone sea­son ex­pected. Higher tem­per­a­tures in the Pa­cific Ocean will con­trib­ute to an in­creased threat.

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