DAILY TEMPS TO RISE
THE Bureau of Meteorology has recently released a weather outlook for the upcoming tropical season with an ‘above average’ cyclone season expected.
Annually, 11 cyclones form off the coast around Australia with four usually crossing the border, bringing with them destruction.
It is expected the higher temperatures in the Pacific Ocean this season will contribute to an increased threat. Last year the region had an abnormally low season, Cyclone Debbie being the only cyclone to cross the border.
THE build up to the monsoon across northern Australia takes place from October to December as isolated afternoon thunderstorm slowly become more frequent.
The outlook for this year’s October to December build up shows equal chances of above or below average rainfall for most of northern Australia.
The rainfall outlook is due to the result of competing influences between the Pacific and Indian oceans.
A weak drying influence from the Indian Ocean potentially cancels out a slightly wet influence from the Pacific Ocean.
THE temperature outlook shows above-average daytime and overnight temperatures are likely.
Warmer conditions are consistent with the global trend of increasing atmospheric and oceanic temperatures, also the forecast warmer-thanaverage sea surface temps to Australia's north.
■ October to December outlook shows an equal chance of wetter or drier condtions across Australia;
■ Daytime temperatures are likely to be warmer than average for the northwestern half of Australia and the southeast for October to December;
■ Nightime temps during October to December are likely to be warmer than average across northern Australia and eastern states;
■ Climate influences from the Indian and Pacific oceans will compete, with a weak drying influence from the Indian Ocean cancelling out a slightly wet influence from the Pacific Ocean.
CYCLONE SEASON: An above average cyclone season expected. Higher temperatures in the Pacific Ocean will contribute to an increased threat.