IT’S TO­DAY

Daily Mercury - - NEWS -

Here’s how the same-sex de­ci­sion will play out to­day

9.30AM The man with the golden en­ve­lope, con­tain­ing the fi­nal tally, will be Aus­tralian Statis­ti­cian David W. Kalisch. Ahead of the pub­lic an­nounce­ment, Mr Kalisch will in­form Fi­nance Min­is­ter Mathias Cor­mann, as well as a num­ber of rep­re­sen­ta­tives from both Yes and No camps.

10AM The big an­nounce­ment. Live from the Aus­tralian Bu­reau of Statis­tics in Canberra, Mr Kalisch will re­veal the re­sult. As well as the straight Yes and No num­bers, he will also de­tail the re­sults for each age group, state and fed­eral elec­torate. If it’s a Yes, this last bit will be key for wa­ver­ing MPs, some of who could de­cide to fol­low their elec­torate rather than the national vote.

IF IT’S A YES Cue a lot of cel­e­brat­ing and a fair few wed­ding pro­pos­als. Around 5pm, the giant rain­bow flag, which flut­ters above Tay­lor Square in the heart of Sydney’s LGBTI neigh­bour­hood of Dar­linghurst, will be raised.

THURS­DAY A Yes will see pro-same-sex mar­riage ad­vo­cates desert their cam­paign bases in Mel­bourne, Sydney, Bris­bane and else­where to head en masse to Canberra to push for a law change. It’s pos­si­ble that on Thurs­day, two com­pet­ing same-sex mar­riage bills could be tabled in the Se­nate.

Talk­ing to news.com.au last month, Prime Min­is­ter Mal­colm Turn­bull said he was hope­ful mar­riage equal­ity would be le­gal “by Christ­mas”. MON­DAY, NOVEMBER 27 This is the first day ei­ther bill could be tabled in the House of Rep­re­sen­ta­tives. A same-sex mar­riage bill has to pass both the Reps and the Se­nate be­fore it can be made law by the Gov­er­nor-Gen­eral. How politi­cians choose to vote is, ul­ti­mately, up to them.

JAN­UARY 2018 If same-sex mar­riage is le­galised be­fore Christ­mas, this is the very ear­li­est mar­riages are likely to hap­pen given the stan­dard 30-day wait­ing pe­riod.

IF IT’S A NO Mr Turn­bull has said the is­sue will be then be off the ta­ble. How­ever, if La­bor wins the next fed­eral elec­tion all bets could be off. The party has com­mit­ted to tabling a bill in its first 100 days in of­fice.

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