Dustin Martin $5.50
The wild ride of a year personally for Martin and his club Richmond hasn’t affected how well the 25-year-old has played, moving into second-favourite on most markets. Martin, however, might be working against the tide once the votes start coming in: if Dangerfield is indeed the one to catch, Martin’s run of form probably started too late, and the Tigers’ shortfall in the wins column won’t give him a boost. And when it comes to Richmond, the present is not the only factor on Brownlow night – so is the weight of history. No Tiger has won since Ian Stewart in 1971, the longest streak of any club (no Port or GWS player has won one).