Rac­ing ex­pert RAY THOMAS and Sky Thor­ough­bred Cen­tral form an­a­lyst RON DUFFICY look at all 10 races on Ever­est Day at Royal Rand­wick and the three ma­jors at Caulfield to­day

There is a slight doubt about Pat Web­ster’s grand cam­paigner run­ning a strong 2000m, but only slight

NT News - - SPORT -

The big field will gen­er­ate tempo and I can en­vis­age My Tago­son re­peat­ing his past two starts here where he has won TAB High­ways with his strong fin­ish. Don’t Give A Damn is promis­ing and will take catch­ing but the wide bar­rier is a con­cern. Cas­cata Rossa and Su­per Star Bob will run well.

I re­ally like the favourite, Don’t Give A Damn. I’m not too con­cerned about the draw as he has good gate speed. He’s a promis­ing type and I re­ally think he is bet­ter than High­way grade. Su­per Star Bob is the dan­ger. He was good win­ning two starts back and got a pass mark last time. He just needs a back to fol­low and he will be in the fin­ish. My Tago­son will be charg­ing late. Mer­cu­rial Lad sets up well here third-up and, al­though he has a bit of weight, I thought that he would run well.

Race ex­pe­ri­ence is so vi­tal for these early-sea­son ju­ve­niles and is the rea­son I’m lean­ing to San­tos over Spin. They hit the line to­gether when third and fourth re­spec­tively in the Breeders’ Plate two weeks ago. The filly Cortesta im­pressed me at the tri­als and then drew off the track in the Gim­crack Stakes. I’m pre­pared to give her an­other chance. Stunts and Leg­end Of Con­dor are also chances.

I can’t be­lieve how good a price Spin and San­tos are for this race, Ray. They ran very well in the Breeders’ Plate and that looks to be a strong ju­ve­nile race where they ran time. With the bar­rier draw, I feel that Spin is an each-way spe­cial. He did enough in the Breeders’ Plate, he has that race ex­pe­ri­ence and now he has drawn the inside gate. I think San­tos will run well again as he was strong on the line last start run­ning third with Spin fourth. Leg­end Of Con­dor has only had the one trial but he led and quick­ened like a nice horse and Mu­nich, who has had two tri­als, has abil­ity.

Aon­air did re­ally well first-up to beat the “boys” over 1400m at War­wick Farm then went back in dis­tance to 1300m when she ran evenly for fourth to Beau Geste at Rose­hill. She goes to 1400m to­day against the fil­lies and will be hard to beat. Reg­i­men’s form is fault­less but she must con­cede at least 4kg to her ri­vals. Work­drinks is rac­ing well and the blink­ers go on to­day while Torvill is an each-way chance.

There is a dark horse here in the filly Chris Waller has brought up from Mel­bourne, Faith In Hand. I liked her first-up run along the Flem­ing­ton straight. It is a lit­tle un­usual for Waller to take them from 1000m to 1400m but I will trust his judg­ment and I will be on her at the dou­ble-fig­ure odds. Work­drinks will wear blink­ers to­day and is set to run well. I also feel Aon­air has a very good chance as she stuck on well in a solid race be­hind Beau Geste last start and is back to her own age and sex to­day. Me­mento should run a race af­ter her good last-start win.

I like two horses, Sun­craze and Galaxy War­rior. There is lit­tle be­tween them but Sun­craze has drawn well and gets 2.5kg off Galaxy War­rior. Pump­kin Pie has been rac­ing in much stronger grade and looks hard to beat in this, while De­light­ful Feel­ing is a chance.

I think Danny Wil­liams can take out the big coun­try dou­ble to­day with Pump­kin Pie. I liked her prepa­ra­tion com­ing into this race. Her form stands up very well, she has a good draw and they have found Hugh Bow­man. Sun­craze has had five weeks and a trial since his last-start win and the 1400m is ideal. Af­ter All That has had an in­ter­est­ing prepa­ra­tion where he ran in The Shorts and fin­ished along­side Chau­tauqua and must be re­spected. Galaxy War­rior is primed third-up.

Ok­la­homa Girl ran a blinder first-up when fin­ish­ing fast for third be­hind Wayanka and the promis­ing In­ter­locuter at Rose­hill last month. In­ter­locuter has since franked the form with a very easy win at Rand­wick last week. Ok­la­homa Girl has had an easy trial since, likes her races spaced, and is the value in a very open race. Lu­biton will find this eas­ier, Jam­in­zah will ap­pre­ci­ate get­ting out to a mile and In­vin­ci­bella was very good first-up but is short enough in bet­ting.

I think Harper’s Choice will run a big race at dou­ble-fig­ure odds. He has had a month and a trial since run­ning in the Kingston Town Stakes. I like what he did in the bar­rier trial with blink­ers and com­ing back to 1600m he can run a race. Ok­la­homa Girl pro­duced an eye-catch­ing run first-up and she has had five weeks be­tween runs and a trial since. If we get some rain, it will suit her. In­vin­ci­bella is very well tried in the mar­ket and is short enough but she did win well first-up and Man Of His Word might run a race.

Big Duke

tried very hard

Al­izee af­ter track­work on Tues­day. Pic­ture: AAP

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from Australia

© PressReader. All rights reserved.