RAY AND DUFF
THE WORLD’S RICHEST TURF RACE IS A CRACKER
R1: VICTORY VEIN PLATE (1000M)
Usually I have a firm opinion about these early season two-year-old races but not this one. I was impressed by Zoushack’s improvement from one trial to the next and he scored comfortably in heavy going in a Warwick Farm trial last Monday. He is backing up today, the winkers are going on and if he can overcome that draw I feel he will be in the finish. Disruptor has had three trials to prepare for his debut and he did run second to the Breeders’ Plate winner, Dubious, in one of those heats. Anaheed has looked good in two trials, the most recent also on Monday when she seemed to handle the heavy track well to win her heat at Warwick Farm. Valour Elite is a real improver
Disruptor has had a good grounding for his race debut with three nice trials, winning one and being placed in the other two. He looks ready to run well. Speedycom showed brilliant speed in his trial and won by a margin eased down. If he can show similar pace on the heavy track, he is going to take some catching. Anaheed also impressed in her trial win and Head On will be improved by the race experience.
R2: TAB HIGHWAY HCP (1400M)
I want to give Mediterranean a chance here. I know he hasn’t delivered on the early promise he showed the Snowden stable but he strikes a wet track, blinkers and tongue tie. I think he is ready to run well. He won his maiden on a heavy track and ran second in a Rosebud in similar conditions earlier in his career. I’m leaning his way from Majestic Pedrille. I like this mare at odds. She was dominant first-up then ran well at Muswellbrook last start. Think Like A Fox was very well fancied when she started favourite at Rosehill and just seemed to have an off day. I have to give her another chance considering there was a lot of confidence in her last start. Best of the rest I thought was Lips ’N’ Lashes who’s racing consistently.
Velaro won up to 1700m last preparation so he has the stamina for what is going to be an exacting 1400m test on the heavy track. He ran well first-up at Scone and is a promising type. Tristan De Angel was a beaten favourite at Ipswich but he is ready to peak now and is bred to handle the heavy going. Mediterranean does like heavy tracks and Think Like A Fox is certainly capable of being in the finish.
R3: THE DAILY TELE REGINALD ALLEN QUALITY (1400M)
Cristobal looks very hard to beat. She showed good improvement second-up, she is ready to go third-up with blinkers and she did win a maiden on the soft. Madam Rouge was very good first-up but surprisingly didn’t shape up when stepped up in class at her next two starts. But back to 1400m, I think she can run well. Unguarded is a likeable filly who will get better as the races Royal Randwick Race 8, No.12: Egg Tart Race 3, No.1: Cristobal Race 7, No.10: Shoals get longer. She is learning all the time. I’m So Sweet was held up last start and I liked the way she gathered momentum to win.
It is hard to tip against Cristobal. She finished fast behind Gem Song in a strong form race at Rosehill last start and is well placed back against her own age and sex today. I’m So Sweet is an improving filly who showed admirable determination to win at Rosehill last start. Unguarded impressed on the Kensington track last start and Madam Rouge is better suited here.
R4: THE STAR MILE (1600M)
I know Goodfella has had a busy schedule but he is very fit and is two from two on wet tracks. He only has to recover from that tough run in the Epsom when he drew wide and if he can do that I feel he is very well placed. Araaja is going to sprint well fresh. There is a lot of pressure up front and I can see her hitting the line nicely with her light weight. Kaonic did create a good impression with his first two runs back, then wasn’t disgraced in the Cameron Handicap. His Randwick form speaks for itself. Another good long shot is All Too Huiying.
Kaonic hasn’t been exposed to a heavy track but I still rate him the one to beat. He scored successive wins at Randwick before his close fourth in the Cameron, which is good form for this race. Stampede is an interesting runner as he is first-up at 1600m but has looked sharp in recent trials and he does enjoy wet tracks. Sense Of Occasion has plenty of weight but he is very effective in heavy conditions.
R5: THE KOSCIUSZKO (1200M)
I’m a huge Victorem fan. I know it won’t be easy to win this race first-up but his two trials have been great, his soft form is good and his Randwick form is untouchable. The Monstar is the best wet-tracker in the race and he loves to tough it out from in front. His Missile Stakes effort three starts back just about wins this race. His form is all around The Everest horses which is a good sign. After All That did run well in The Shorts first-up and he will be very strong at the finish.
I see it the same way as you, Ronnie, with Victorem on top from The Monstar. Victorem won the Country Championships Final at Randwick back in April, he’s won five of his seven starts, he has a lethal burst of acceleration and he’s won on heavy going. The Monstar enjoys rainaffected conditions and he will look the winner for a long way. Suncraze ran a blinder behind the talented Trekking last start and he will be charging home. Don’t Give A Damn has the talent to win this race.
R6: SYDNEY STAKES (1200M)
I’m not usually a fan of tipping horses coming back from 1600m to 1200m but, given the heavy track conditions today, it could be a masterstroke with Pierata. The blinkers are going back on, he will sit on a solid speed and his class will take him a long way. Tactical Advantage is having his first try
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