Hot­ter than av­er­age sum­mer pre­dicted

Port Douglas & Mossman Gazette - - FRONT PAGE -

THIS sum­mer ex­pect hot­ter than av­er­age day and nights and a later start to the mon­soonal pe­riod as neu­tral weather con­di­tions warm the re­gion and lessen the av­er­age cy­clone out­look.

The Bureau of Me­te­o­rol­ogy has re­leased its cli­mate out­look for this sum­mer and me­te­o­rol­o­gist Ali­cia Tup­pack said the pre­dicted El Nino weather event has been changed to a neu­tral sum­mer.

“We are cur­rently sit­ting in a neu­tral os­cil­la­tion pat­tern, in neu­tral con­di­tions and al­though there was a po­ten­tial to go into El Nino briefly this sea­son, the chance has re­duced and the new model data sug­gests it’s go­ing to re­main neu­tral throughout the Wet,” she said.

“The cli­mate out­look has also just been re­leased and the tem­per­a­ture out­look is re­ally in­ter­est­ing, we’re ex­pect­ing a 75 to 80 per cent chance of above av­er­age max­i­mums.

“And with a 70 to 75 per cent chance of above av­er­age min­i­mum, it’s go­ing to be a hot sum­mer both overnight and dur­ing the day from Oc­to­ber to De­cem­ber.”

The rain­fall for the wet sea­son is expected to be av­er­age and the weather bureau ex­pects the mon­soonal pe­riod to start later than usual this year.

“The pre­dic­tion is a later than av­er­age Wet, talk­ing about the mon­soon which is the true wet, the ear­li­est it has been is around Christ­mas,” Ms Tup­pack said.

“We’re ex­pect­ing it around the end of Jan­uary at this point, which is later than nor­mal.”

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