Tassie Tiger chances are near zero

Port Douglas & Mossman Gazette - - NEWS -

THERE is less than a one in one tril­lion chance a pop­u­la­tion of thy­lacines is liv­ing on Cape York, ac­cord­ing to an Amer­i­can sci­en­tist.

Re­ported in this week, Colin Carl­son from the Univer­sity of Cal­i­for­nia said math­e­mat­i­cal mod­el­ling sug­gested the chance of find­ing the mar­su­pial was close to zero.

Sci­en­tists from James Cook Univer­sity re­cently an­nounced they would be search­ing for the long thought ex­tinct Tas­ma­nian tiger fol­low­ing “cred­i­ble wit­ness” re­ports on Cape York.

But the math­e­mat­i­cal mod­el­ing’s most op­ti­mistic es­ti­mate pre­dicted thy­lacines could have clung on in the wild only un­til the late 1950s.

The prob­a­bil­ity that they were alive in 2017 is 1 in 1.6 tril­lion, the mod­el­ling sug­gested.

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