Port Douglas & Mossman Gazette - - NEWS -

Warm­ing in the trop­i­cal Pa­cific Ocean and re­cent model out­looks sug­gest an in­creased like­li­hood of El Niño de­vel­op­ing dur­ing the Aus­tralian spring. As a re­sult, the Bureau of Me­te­o­rol­ogy’s ENSO Out­look has shifted to El Niño Watch, mean­ing there is roughly a 50 per cent chance of El Niño de­vel­op­ing later in the year (twice the cli­ma­to­log­i­cal av­er­age). El Niño typ­i­cally re­sults in drier than av­er­age con­di­tions in the lead up to, and early part of, the north­ern wet sea­son (October to April) for the North­ern Ter­ri­tory and much of Queens­land.

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