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Glenn Close in Al­bert Nobbs Vi­ola Davis in The Help Rooney Mara in The Girl with the Dragon Tat­too Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady

Michelle Wil­liams in My Week

With Marilyn Unfriend the win­ner on

Face­book: Wil­liams dips out be­cause the Marilyn script didn’t al­low her a sin­gle ‘‘ im­pact scene’’ to truly wow view­ers. While no short­age of im­pact scenes for the gifted new­comer Mara, the be­lief among older vot­ers that she is yet to pay her in­dus­try dues will count her out. And too few Ir­ish cross­dressers in the Academy mem­ber­ship to get Close the sup­port re­quired.

De­serves to win, but won’t: Per­ceived wis­dom had Streep across the line be­fore her skil­ful im­pres­sion of Mar­garet Thatcher had even hit cine­mas. But Meryl is fac­ing an uphill bat­tle to pre­vail here. The two key fac­tors? She hasn’t won an Os­car for al­most 30 years,

and The Iron Lady was a very av­er­age film that made her showy work look bet­ter than it re­ally is. And the win­ner is . . . Vi­ola Davis. Through­out her ca­reer, Davis has qui­etly nailed role af­ter role with ab­so­lute au­thor­ity. It’s as if she is at her very best when you barely no­tice her. Su­perb an­chor­ing

work saved The

Help from be­com­ing the cheesy melo­drama many were fear­ing. Sure to be the most pop­u­lar win­ner of the night.

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