A Day to re­mem­ber

Leigh Paatsch is con­fi­dent Daniel Day- Lewis is set to take out his third Os­car for his highly ac­claimed por­trayal of Abe Lin­coln

Sunday Tasmanian - Tassie Living - - FRONT PAGE -

BEST PER­FOR­MANCE BY AN AC­TOR IN A LEAD­ING ROLE

Bradley Cooper for Sil­ver Lin­ings Playbook Daniel Day- Lewis for Lin­coln Den­zel Washington for Flight Hugh Jack­man for Les Mis­er­ables Joaquin Phoenix for The Master

RE­HEARSE THAT FAKE SMILE

Just the nom­i­na­tion is enough for Phoenix. Don’t for­get it was only five years ago he’d re­tired to per­pe­trate that crummy ‘‘ I wanna be a rap­per’’ hoax. First- time nom­i­nee Jack­man has no chance given he is rep­re­sent­ing a mu­si­cal. Although he was the heart and soul of Les Mis, when it comes to the big act­ing cat­e­gories, war­blers ain’t win­ners.

DE­SERVES TO WIN, BUT WON’T

Any other ( Day- Lewis- free) year, Cooper would be the clear fave for his bril­liant break­through dis­play in Sil­ver Lin­ings. At least this might fi­nally stop peo­ple im­me­di­ately think­ing of him as ‘‘ that good- look­ing dude from The

Hang­over.’’ The ul­tra- con­sis­tent Washington is equally un­lucky. His un­fail­ingly au­then­tic por­trayal of func­tional al­co­holism in Flight is far su­pe­rior to his Os­car- win­ning turn in Train­ing Day.

AND THE WIN­NER IS . . .

Daniel Day- Lewis. Yet again, DDL proved why he is the best big- ticket ac­tor in the busi­ness with Lin­coln. Play­ing one of Amer­ica’s most iconic fig­ures, Lewis slipped right in­side the im­pos­ing per­sona of Hon­est Abe, and never once came out for a sin­gle, showy, ‘‘ look at me!’’ moment. A his­to­ry­mak­ing third Best Ac­tor win for a true master of his craft awaits.

BEST PER­FOR­MANCE BY AN AC­TOR IN A SUP­PORT­ING ROLE

Alan Arkin for Argo Christoph Waltz for Django Un­chained Phillip Sey­mour Hoff­man for The Master Robert De Niro for Sil­ver Lin­ings Playbook Tommy Lee Jones for Lin­coln

HEY, IT’S A NIGHT OUT, ISN’T IT? This is the hottest Best Sup­port­ing Ac­tor line- up in the Academy’s his­tory, with ev­ery nom­i­nee a past Os­car- win­ner. Arkin and Hoff­man are ar­guably the out­siders in a very even field. Arkin went MIA for long pe­ri­ods in Argo, and hasn’t drawn much heat across the whole of the awards sea­son. Ditto Hoff­man, whose enig­matic per­for­mance is ei­ther too man­nered or too nu­anced for most vot­ers.

DE­SERVES TO WIN, BUT WON’T Waltz will go mighty close for yet an­other movie- steal­ing dis­play as the gar­ru­lous bounty hunter in Django Un­chained. But a re­cent win in this cat­e­gory in an­other Tarantino film ( In­glou­ri­ous Bas­terds) will count against him.

Sil­ver Lin­ings marked the first oc­ca­sion De Niro has been great in a movie in years. A win here just might re­mind Bob he shouldn’t be end­ing a once- glo­ri­ous ca­reer as a hack- for- hire.

AND THE WIN­NER IS . . . Tommy Lee Jones. If you got no­ticed in a movie fea­tur­ing a per­for­mance as per­fect as that of

Daniel Day- Lewis in Lin­coln, you must have been pretty darn great. That should be enough to have craggy- headed ol’ Tommy look­ing the goods in the tight­est race of the night. Past

win­ner here for The Fugi­tive in 1993.

BEST PER­FOR­MANCE BY AN AC­TRESS IN A LEAD­ING ROLE

Em­manuelle Riva for Amour Jen­nifer Lawrence for Sil­ver Lin­ings Playbook Jes­sica Chas­tain for Zero Dark Thirty Naomi Watts for The Im­pos­si­ble Qu­ven­zhane Wal­lis for Beasts of the South­ern

Wild

TELL THE SEAT- WARMER TO GO HOME EARLY A sec­ond nom­i­na­tion for Watts ( af­ter 2003’ s

21 Grams) and a sec­ond likely loss. Never mind. Her day at the podium will surely come. You just don’t win th­ese days for dis­as­ter movies. Eighty- five- year- old French veteran Riva racks up an­other birth­day on Os­car night. She sur­prised many by scor­ing at the BAFTAs, but for­eign- lan­guage nom­i­nees are al­ways up against it on US turf.

DE­SERVES TO WIN, BUT WON’T Chas­tain was the clear front- run­ner at the start of awards sea­son, but has lost sup­port with each pass­ing week. There was some­thing a bit cool and clin­i­cal about her ZD30 role that just hasn’t res­onated with vot­ers. Youngest- ever nom­i­nee Wal­lis was ex­tra­or­di­nary in Beasts. Ar­guably the strong­est per­for­mance here, but sus­pect most won’t see past her ten­der age to give her the back­ing needed. A shame.

AND THE WIN­NER IS . . .

Jen­nifer Lawrence. As a re­cent past nom­i­nee for the first fea­tured per­for­mance of her ca­reer ( 2010’ s Win­ter’s Bone), the tim­ing could not be bet­ter for a rapidly ris­ing star like Lawrence. Her work in Sil­ver Lin­ings was flaw­less, con­trol­ling the film’s sud­den mood swings with both un­re­lent­ing poise and in­ten­sity. Won’t be the last time she scores this stat­uette.

BEST PER­FOR­MANCE BY AN AC­TRESS IN A SUP­PORT­ING ROLE

Amy Adams for The Master Anne Hath­away for Les Mis­er­ables He­len Hunt for The Ses­sions Jacki Weaver for Sil­ver Lin­ings Playbook Sally Field for Lin­coln

DON’T OVER­SPEND ON THAT OUT­FIT Weaver is be­com­ing a bit of a reg­u­lar on the Hol­ly­wood tro­phy cir­cuit, ain’t she. Great( ish) in the semi- sunny Sil­ver Lin­ings, but if she’s ever go­ing to win an Os­car, it will be for darker fare. Field’s ef­fort as Abe’s manic mis­sus gets on some peo­ple’s nerves. A shame, as she got the char­ac­ter ab­so­lutely right.

DE­SERVES TO WIN, BUT WON’T Hunt’s un­wa­ver­ing com­mit­ment to a de­mand­ing role was im­pres­sive. How­ever, the sub­ject mat­ter of The Ses­sions is too racy for your typ­i­cal Os­car- vot­ing slow­poke. Adams’s ef­fort in The Master has been highly un­der­rated, com­bin­ing the sweet and the sin­is­ter to eerily un­set­tling ef­fect. Has been there­abouts this awards sea­son, but not get­ting much love.

AND THE WIN­NER IS . . . Hath­away. The hottest favourite of the night, Hath­away has won ev­ery other key- in­di­ca­tor award in this cat­e­gory. The former Os­cars co- host owned the en­tire first act of Les Mis, courtesy of a show- stop­ping, heart- melt­ing ren­di­tion of I Dreamed a Dream. Wasn’t just about the singing, though. A past nom­i­nee in this cat­e­gory ( 2008’ s Rachel Get­ting Mar­ried) who won’t be los­ing this time.

BEST MO­TION PIC­TURE OF THE YEAR

Argo Amour Beasts of the South­ern Wild Django Un­chained Les Mis­er­ables Life of Pi Lin­coln Sil­ver Lin­ings Playbook Zero Dark Thirty

HON­OUR’S YOURS, SPOILS THEIRS An­other year, an­other two- horse race. The re­cent ex­per­i­ment of ex­pand­ing the field be­yond five nom­i­nees must be deemed a fail­ure by now. This is not to den­i­grate any of the wor­thy ti­tles listed here, all of which war­ranted recog­ni­tion in what was a very strong year for main­stream cin­ema. Nev­er­the­less, there will not be an up­set in the big­gest cat­e­gory of the evening.

DE­SERVES TO WIN, BUT WON’T Ev­ery pun­dit has Lin­coln inked as the only pos­si­ble chal­lenger to a very likely vic­tor. Lofty sub­ject mat­ter and be­hind- the- scenes pedi­gree cer­tainly fits the pro­file of a Best Pic­ture win­ner. Zero Dark Thirty and Beasts of

the South­ernWild are land­mark films but fated to miss out due to lack of box- of­fice success.

AND THE WIN­NER IS . . . Argo. It’s all in the eyes of the be­hold­ers. And­when those be­hold­ers are the Academy of Mo­tion Pic­ture Arts and Sciences, you can bet your bot­tom dol­lar Argo is their clear top pick. This ex­cit­ing and en­ter­tain­ing thriller cen­tred on the Iran hostage cri­sis of 1979 is a tra­di­tional crowd- pleaser with a dis­tinctly mod­ern edge. The right re­sult? Ab­so­lutely.

CON­TENDERS: Clockwise from left: Tommy Lee Jones looks the goods; Anne Hath­away should be a clear win­ner; Bradley Cooper is the un­likely favourite; ris­ing star Jen­nifer Lawrence; and a scene from Argo star­ring Ben Af­fleck.

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