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The Sportsman Midweek - - Detailed Formguide For Canterbury - with Shayne O’Cass

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Heavy 9. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Mon­day at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rating.

RACE 1

2. CATESBY (N/R) is not only the best bred horse rac­ing at WF to­mor­row, he’s got to be up there as one of the best bred horses in the en­tire Godol­phin op­er­a­tion be­ing by Shamardal out of Man­ning­ton (ex Bint Marscay). is the dam of 5 win­ners led by Beni­cio and Rom­neya and two more daugh­ters have thrown stakeswin­ners. Catesby has tri­alled four times, the last two

been in the month of May and were ex­cel­lent. You can’t mis­take qual­ity when it’s star­ing you in face. What­ever he does to­mor­row, you know there’s more to come later on but I’m with him un­less the mar­ket says oth­er­wise. 8. STAR GALAXY (N/R) would be favourite if I was fram­ing the mar­ket. She’s a ready­made race­horse by a ter­ri­bly un­der­rated sire in Star Wit­ness out of a mare by noted wet-track in­flu­ence Not A Sin­gle Doubt. This Snow­den filly has won both tri­als (at Rand­wick) in great style – she’s in the per­fect race and venue to suit her skill- set. 5. PIRACY (N/R) has tan­gi­ble ad­van­tage of race ex­pe­ri­ence and even though those runs are 10th of 12 last 5, you have to look at the races he was in and the fact thathe has been gelded since we last saw him. Al­ways had a bit of a boom on him – he cer­tainly tri­als like a good horse.

RACE 2

7. MISS QUE (N/R) was bred by, and races in the colours of, Peter and Wendy Mo­ran. The Fast­net Rock filly is a half to Mo­ran’s Cluster In­kling and a non-Mo­ran horse in Di­a­mond Jim who won over $400K. The dam, Tar­coola Di­a­mond, is a hel­luva good pro­ducer – 4 to race, 4 to win so far. Miss Que looks like she’ll get bet­ter with some race­craft and ex­pe­ri­ence and all that jazz but the talent is surely there. 2. GORESBIRDGE (N/R) is al­most cer­tain to go up as favourite and fair enough too; when you win all three tri­als head­ing into a mid­week de­but, you are en­ti­tled to be top pick. Ger­ald Ryan has al­ways been con­sid­ered one of the best there is at a year­ling sale, he’s proven that here by pay­ing only $40K for this horse at Easter. Me­thinks he’s worth a bit more than that right now! Mas­sive player on those tri­als and I sus­pect Galileo grand­son is sweet on the slop. 1. DAPKOS (N/R) can hope­fully make it a clean sweep for only three debu­tants in the field. This horse is

Den­man out of a Di­a­tribe daugh­ter of Epona and McKell Cup win­ner Ilze. Trained by Bob Pearse for his breeder John Thomp­son, this fel­low looked pretty sharp in his Rand­wick 1045m trial win.

RACE 3

WHAT a tough race to sort out. Some­times the smaller the field, the harder race to grasp and through in the fact that they have 1900m to run on a heavy 9 at the mid­weeks and it just gets more and more con­fus­ing. Any one of six could win not re­ally sur­prise. In the end I re­luc­tantly went with 3. LIFE O’BRIEN (65) with Ker­rin McEvoy up. This son of High Cha­parral has quite rea­son­able num­bers across all the im­por­tant boxes like the track and trip and on wet ground. He’s been rac­ing in a most con­sis­tent way since he came over to join the An­thony and Ed­ward Cum­mings sta­bles. Comes through a de­cent Bm72 at WF last start; be in this for a long, long way. 2. ESTIKHRAAJ (66) is rac­ing in the best form of his ca­reer. His win at Scone was so dom­i­nant. He was beaten at his three other runs this prep but with no fur­ther a mar­gin that 1.9-lens and for a back­marker, that’s not bad at all. If he gets the breaks pace­wise clear run­ning wise, he might just charge over top Life O’Brien et al and win. 1. PARAGON (70) has won up to 3200m so he won’t mind if this hap­pens to de­velop into ‘last horse stand­ing.

RACE 4

GIVEN Chris Waller has four run­ners here and that he scratched 4. WALK THE STREETS (66) from the wet ground on Satur­day at Rand­wick, I sus­pect she might stay at home again to­mor­row so I won’t get too much into her suf­fice to say that she has a real talent – if it was dry, she’d be $1.90 and win for sure. As­sum­ing that Walk The Streets is not here, I am more than pleased to be with one of the sta­ble­mates in 3. SEVENTHCHIC (66) who is def­i­nitely build­ing to a win third-up. The filly was beaten by very nar­row mar­gin first-up at Kem­bla over 1300m then stepped back to 1250m on the heavy 8 and ran on from the tail to fin­ish an eye catch­ing 1.6-lens be­hind Satur­day class horse Pas­sage of Time. The form around Seventhchic is rock solid and her lone win so far hap­pened to be on a heavy track at this venue. 5. OUR BELISA (65) was only beaten 3.4-lens in the Inglis Guineas then went to Rand­wick next time and did a great job to run sec­ond to My True :Love who was gifted the race. Note that the third placed horse that day was Net­toyer who won by 10-lens at Rand­wick on Satur­day. No knock all on 2. LOVELETTER (66) and if you have time go and watch 12. YULONG BAOHU (54) win at Nowra. It was $41 into $26 but won like a $1.50. Go­ing to be big odds again here.

RACE 5

IF it stays on the heavy side of the scale, I reckon we’ve landed on an­other Waller scratch­ing here as top pick in 9. PEACE­FUL SEA (62). She was due to have her first run for the new man­age­ment the other day but

scratched and with no wet form to speak of be­ing so valu­able (she cost $1.75m as a year­ling), I doubt they’ll want to kick off an im­por­tant cam­paign on heavy track. As­sum­ing that she’s not here, I think the race de­vel­ops into an arm wres­tle between 2. ALPEN ROSE (72) and 1. SANGIVOESE (72) who fin­ished 3rd and 2nd re­spec­tively in the same race at Hawkes­bury on May 30. There was 1.6-lens in favour of San­giovese who turned a much, much bet­ter run than Alpen Rose but the heavy tracks brings them closer to to­gether, in fact good sense has Alpen Rose way ahead given that she us 6s 4-1-0 on heavy and placed 5 from 10 slow. This race is set up to maybe half from its present na­ture, it could be very skinny come post time.

RACE 6

I WON­DER what price pun­ters will be asked to take about 2. KENT (72) to­mor­row? I am think­ing he might get crazy short odds be­cause there’s not a lot else to back ex­cept per­haps for 4. RE­NEGED (72). I made Kent my Best Bet more by de­fault than ac­tu­ally think­ing he is a good thing, heaven for­bid – fell over the line at Hawkes­bury last start but in his de­fence, I think he wanted more than 1400m after go­ing 1400m first-up off a VRC Derby run. He gets to 1550m now and given it is so wet, it might be like a mile which will help him out. I can’t tip any­thing with any con­fi­dence to knock him off but I still couldn’t back un­der $2.80 and if he is more than $3.80, then wouldn’t him ei­ther. As I’ve al­ready men­tioned, Re­neged is a handy horse and a real threat to kent’s dom­i­nance. I like the race that Re­neged comes through and he’ll be third-up to­mor­row just like Kent – peak­ing. 8. MASTER AGAR (63) is best of the rest un­less of course th­ese ei­ther jocks just hand it to 6. EL VENETIAN (64) in which case Kent is no chance.

RACE 7

5. DY­LAN’S RO­MANCE (66) is fly­ing, ab­so­lutely fly­ing in his tri­als, cer­tainly that last one any­way where he al­lowed Prompt Re­sponse to pass him in the few strides and we all saw Prompt Re­sponse win the Dane Rip­per on Satur­day in Bris­bane. Granted ev­ery­thing says ‘no’ about this horse win­ning – 5s 0-0-0 heavy, 3s 0-0-0 first-up, but against that he is 6s 3w on soft and it may dry out a but and I am sure that re those firstup fail­ures in the past, that he was never, ever go­ing as well as seems to be at present. Drawn 1 and go­ing get every chance in the world with Deanne Panya up (she rode him in the last trial). 3. NO IN­TER­EST (70) is a from the al­ways in-form Jason Coyle camp, This mare was re­warded for some real con­sis­tency this prep with that Sal­sonic-like win at WF last start! Per­haps she is a tad ques­tion­able on a re­ally wet track but she sure was im­pres­sive last time. 7. MANA (65) has only won 3 from 22 but he’s placed 9 times. His best num­bers are at the track, at the dis­tance and n heavy ground. Ready to peak now after two ex­cel­lent runs.

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