NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Heavy 9. All horses considered starters unless notified by Monday at 1 PM. (N/R) denotes no rating.
2. CATESBY (N/R) is not only the best bred horse racing at WF tomorrow, he’s got to be up there as one of the best bred horses in the entire Godolphin operation being by Shamardal out of Mannington (ex Bint Marscay). is the dam of 5 winners led by Benicio and Romneya and two more daughters have thrown stakeswinners. Catesby has trialled four times, the last two
been in the month of May and were excellent. You can’t mistake quality when it’s staring you in face. Whatever he does tomorrow, you know there’s more to come later on but I’m with him unless the market says otherwise. 8. STAR GALAXY (N/R) would be favourite if I was framing the market. She’s a readymade racehorse by a terribly underrated sire in Star Witness out of a mare by noted wet-track influence Not A Single Doubt. This Snowden filly has won both trials (at Randwick) in great style – she’s in the perfect race and venue to suit her skill- set. 5. PIRACY (N/R) has tangible advantage of race experience and even though those runs are 10th of 12 last 5, you have to look at the races he was in and the fact thathe has been gelded since we last saw him. Always had a bit of a boom on him – he certainly trials like a good horse.
7. MISS QUE (N/R) was bred by, and races in the colours of, Peter and Wendy Moran. The Fastnet Rock filly is a half to Moran’s Cluster Inkling and a non-Moran horse in Diamond Jim who won over $400K. The dam, Tarcoola Diamond, is a helluva good producer – 4 to race, 4 to win so far. Miss Que looks like she’ll get better with some racecraft and experience and all that jazz but the talent is surely there. 2. GORESBIRDGE (N/R) is almost certain to go up as favourite and fair enough too; when you win all three trials heading into a midweek debut, you are entitled to be top pick. Gerald Ryan has always been considered one of the best there is at a yearling sale, he’s proven that here by paying only $40K for this horse at Easter. Methinks he’s worth a bit more than that right now! Massive player on those trials and I suspect Galileo grandson is sweet on the slop. 1. DAPKOS (N/R) can hopefully make it a clean sweep for only three debutants in the field. This horse is
Denman out of a Diatribe daughter of Epona and McKell Cup winner Ilze. Trained by Bob Pearse for his breeder John Thompson, this fellow looked pretty sharp in his Randwick 1045m trial win.
WHAT a tough race to sort out. Sometimes the smaller the field, the harder race to grasp and through in the fact that they have 1900m to run on a heavy 9 at the midweeks and it just gets more and more confusing. Any one of six could win not really surprise. In the end I reluctantly went with 3. LIFE O’BRIEN (65) with Kerrin McEvoy up. This son of High Chaparral has quite reasonable numbers across all the important boxes like the track and trip and on wet ground. He’s been racing in a most consistent way since he came over to join the Anthony and Edward Cummings stables. Comes through a decent Bm72 at WF last start; be in this for a long, long way. 2. ESTIKHRAAJ (66) is racing in the best form of his career. His win at Scone was so dominant. He was beaten at his three other runs this prep but with no further a margin that 1.9-lens and for a backmarker, that’s not bad at all. If he gets the breaks pacewise clear running wise, he might just charge over top Life O’Brien et al and win. 1. PARAGON (70) has won up to 3200m so he won’t mind if this happens to develop into ‘last horse standing.
GIVEN Chris Waller has four runners here and that he scratched 4. WALK THE STREETS (66) from the wet ground on Saturday at Randwick, I suspect she might stay at home again tomorrow so I won’t get too much into her suffice to say that she has a real talent – if it was dry, she’d be $1.90 and win for sure. Assuming that Walk The Streets is not here, I am more than pleased to be with one of the stablemates in 3. SEVENTHCHIC (66) who is definitely building to a win third-up. The filly was beaten by very narrow margin first-up at Kembla over 1300m then stepped back to 1250m on the heavy 8 and ran on from the tail to finish an eye catching 1.6-lens behind Saturday class horse Passage of Time. The form around Seventhchic is rock solid and her lone win so far happened to be on a heavy track at this venue. 5. OUR BELISA (65) was only beaten 3.4-lens in the Inglis Guineas then went to Randwick next time and did a great job to run second to My True :Love who was gifted the race. Note that the third placed horse that day was Nettoyer who won by 10-lens at Randwick on Saturday. No knock all on 2. LOVELETTER (66) and if you have time go and watch 12. YULONG BAOHU (54) win at Nowra. It was $41 into $26 but won like a $1.50. Going to be big odds again here.
IF it stays on the heavy side of the scale, I reckon we’ve landed on another Waller scratching here as top pick in 9. PEACEFUL SEA (62). She was due to have her first run for the new management the other day but
scratched and with no wet form to speak of being so valuable (she cost $1.75m as a yearling), I doubt they’ll want to kick off an important campaign on heavy track. Assuming that she’s not here, I think the race develops into an arm wrestle between 2. ALPEN ROSE (72) and 1. SANGIVOESE (72) who finished 3rd and 2nd respectively in the same race at Hawkesbury on May 30. There was 1.6-lens in favour of Sangiovese who turned a much, much better run than Alpen Rose but the heavy tracks brings them closer to together, in fact good sense has Alpen Rose way ahead given that she us 6s 4-1-0 on heavy and placed 5 from 10 slow. This race is set up to maybe half from its present nature, it could be very skinny come post time.
I WONDER what price punters will be asked to take about 2. KENT (72) tomorrow? I am thinking he might get crazy short odds because there’s not a lot else to back except perhaps for 4. RENEGED (72). I made Kent my Best Bet more by default than actually thinking he is a good thing, heaven forbid – fell over the line at Hawkesbury last start but in his defence, I think he wanted more than 1400m after going 1400m first-up off a VRC Derby run. He gets to 1550m now and given it is so wet, it might be like a mile which will help him out. I can’t tip anything with any confidence to knock him off but I still couldn’t back under $2.80 and if he is more than $3.80, then wouldn’t him either. As I’ve already mentioned, Reneged is a handy horse and a real threat to kent’s dominance. I like the race that Reneged comes through and he’ll be third-up tomorrow just like Kent – peaking. 8. MASTER AGAR (63) is best of the rest unless of course these either jocks just hand it to 6. EL VENETIAN (64) in which case Kent is no chance.
5. DYLAN’S ROMANCE (66) is flying, absolutely flying in his trials, certainly that last one anyway where he allowed Prompt Response to pass him in the few strides and we all saw Prompt Response win the Dane Ripper on Saturday in Brisbane. Granted everything says ‘no’ about this horse winning – 5s 0-0-0 heavy, 3s 0-0-0 first-up, but against that he is 6s 3w on soft and it may dry out a but and I am sure that re those firstup failures in the past, that he was never, ever going as well as seems to be at present. Drawn 1 and going get every chance in the world with Deanne Panya up (she rode him in the last trial). 3. NO INTEREST (70) is a from the always in-form Jason Coyle camp, This mare was rewarded for some real consistency this prep with that Salsonic-like win at WF last start! Perhaps she is a tad questionable on a really wet track but she sure was impressive last time. 7. MANA (65) has only won 3 from 22 but he’s placed 9 times. His best numbers are at the track, at the distance and n heavy ground. Ready to peak now after two excellent runs.