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The Sportsman Midweek - - Detailed Formguide For Canterbury - with Shayne O’Cass

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 3. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Mon­day at 1 P.M. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.


THE Pariah con­nec­tion may well strike again here via the Choisir colt 1. FAEGER (N/R) who has some re­mark­ably deep form. The Peter and Paul Snow­den chest­nut raced 5 times (placed 3 of them) in races won by Villa Car­lotta, Al­man­zora, Sanc­tioned, Bea­con and Song­like. Faeger’s last run was at the t/d where he was mow­ing down win­ner Song­like to get within 1.1-lens off a re­ally good filly. He can race handy; his time win has come it seems. Although, I would have pre­ferred some­thing other than bar­rier 8 of 8. 3. HANG QUIGONG (N/R) is a po­tent threat how­ever. The Team Hawkes trained Pierro colt should have nearly beaten Pier­ata (good horse) at HQ on de­but on An­zac Day then was tipped out after this 5-lens 6th of 10 to Godol­phin pair Mala­hat and Ke­men­tari here on May 10. Very nice trial win­ner in re­cent times beat­ing the Waller colt 6. BEZZINA (N/R) who I expect to be rat­tling home here, maybe not over the top, but cer­tainly in to the plac­ings. 2. HIGH DIVE (N/R) was good at his open­ing cam­paign and his third in a re­cent trial was nice work. Hails from fam­ily that de­liv­ers win­ners.


DOUBT there is a bet­ter bred horse rac­ing at Can­ter­bury to­mor­row than 3. MARISHKA (N/R), after all, full re­la­tions to Golden Slip­per win­ners don’t come along every day of the week. Marishka’s Slip­per sib­ling is Over­reach and like her, is owned and bred by a true ‘Gen­tle­man of the turf’ in Ge­orge Al­tomonte. This filly is also sis­ter to Outreach who Group 3 placed and a three- quar­ter to a cou­ple of other handy types in Lon­greach and Skylimit. Tri­als aren’t ev­ery­thing but gee whiz, four smash­ing ef­forts, two in sum­mer, two re­cently — they have been as good as you’d see from a horse about to make its de­but. Another blue blood filly lin­ing-up here is 6. WILD ABOUT HER (N/R), a Big Brown out of AJC Oaks win­ner Once Were Wild. This clas­si­cally bred filly was ab­so­lutely fly­ing home over the last 150m on de­but to fin­ish 1.6-lens be­hind the sta­ble­mate Gold Stan­dard who is Group 3 placed since. Wild About Her was beaten a lip in a 900m Rose­hill trial on Aug. 18. Pedi­gree says she wants 1400m now but a fast run 1100m, you never know, she might fin­ish over them this time. Keep an eye on 1. FIFTH AV­ENUE ((N/R), she’s an un­der­rated filly who could get into the plac­ings at odds.


1. FOUR CARAT (72) has the Waller ground­ing to back up his stamina that saw him fea­ture some­what in last year’s 3200m Sandown Cup when fourth to Qewy. His cam­paign this time in has seen him run over 1500m, 2000m and then those two 2400m’s. He was a fair way off Au­vray and Sayed last start at Rand­wick but he (Four Carat) was cer­tainly go­ing faster at the line than a lot of oth­ers, Sayed in­cluded I reckon. 2. NAPOLEON (66) has only won 3 from 29 but he has placed 12 times and best of all, his last win came as re­cently as Aug. 12 when he out­stayed his ri­vals in a 2900m race at New­cas­tle. If it comes to a war of at­tri­tion, Napoleon could be the last to sur­ren­der. There are few horses here that fin­ished be­hind Napoleon last start that will prob­a­bly fin­ish be­hind him again so I went for 5. ZAVEENA (61) as the one most likely to place out­side of Four Carat and Napoleon. Zaveena has car­ried 58, 57.5 and 56.5 in her three tuns this prepa­ra­tion, she’s in with 53 to­mor­row when you’re run­ning 2700m, the less bag­gage to carry the bet­ter.


6. DYLAN’S RO­MANCE (63) hit his best stride this cam­paign when a nose 2nd in a 1900m Bm75 here on Aug. 16. He was $31 into $21 that day, I as­sume be­cause it was a real on-pac­ers/ fence sort of track and many speed map­pers may have had him lead­ing fence. Any­way, he was 4th, one- one as it turned out — a pearler of a ride by Deanne Panya that just missed. The horse races well at the t/d, he is 3s 1-10. Facts, fig­ures and form says 1. ESTIKHRAAJ (69) wins but 3 out of 27 is not ex­actly the stat you want when you are tak­ing ex­pected short­ish odds. He is a costly horse to fol­low, I re­mem­ber him be­ing beaten at $1.70 in a 4-horse race t/d last prep. Against that, he does run his best races at this track and dis­tance and Bow­man seems to coax the out of him pretty much every time he’s legged aboard. 2. TAIKOMOCHI (68) is go­ing for three straight but what has he beaten lately? Not much.


GO back and watch 7. BRACES (66) runs at Can­ter­bury and Kem­bla. He should have fin­ished closer at Can­ter­bury and maybe I’m talk­ing through the kick but he should have darn nearly won at Kem­bla. It wasn’t a flash ride to be hon­est. It’s taken Braces an eter­nity this prep to strike any form what­so­ever but he’s get­ting back to what we know he is ca­pa­ble of do­ing on his day. The Greg Hick­man trained geld­ing has raced 5 times at this venue and fin­ished second 3 times so he does like it here. 8. FANTASIZE (70) has raced well through­out her cur­rent prepa­ra­tion and some­times up against much su­pe­rior horse than what she takes on to­mor­row. She is a fit and hon­est mare that has drawn well so I see her rac­ing in the first few after that, it’s all up to her. 2. FORTENSKY (70) is a chance but he was a big­ger be­fore drew 11. I am sure 6. TAHSIN (67) is bet­ter than last run, much bet­ter in fact. Expect some sharp im­prove­ment.


GOOD race! I have al­ways been a bit of a 9. CANNON RUN (65) fan. I am pretty sure tipped him to win his de­but at Hawkes­bury be­cause he’d been tri­alling well. I know for a fact I tipped him first-up last prep where he was beaten a nose at Kem­bla; so he’s all but 2 from 2 fresh — after all, what’s a nose when you come from far back like he did that day. I have liked his two tri­als and Josh Parr who rode him in both, sticks for race- day. Go­ing to be big odds — so long as he doesn’t drift alarm­ingly, I think might shock a few of these. As soon as they crossed the line in that Jul. 29 race at Rose­hill I wrote down ‘next time’ along­side 5. ROCKAFELLA (67). The Fast­net Rock son was do­ing good things late in a race where most of the ac­tion was way up ahead of him. Nice horse. The class in the race is def­i­nitely the Godol­phin run­ner 11. MALA­HAT (70) who de­served to win here first-up. That was a mas­sive ef­fort on his part to get as close as he did from the wide gate and be­ing last at the 400m. Look at his form; 3rd to Pariah, 3rd to In­vader, beats Ke­men­tari, etc. Bow­man gate 1 — on pa­per, that’s a bless­ing, but not al­ways.


RON Quin­ton trained filly 14. DE­VOLV­ING (67) has bar­rier 14 of 15 but I hope the master trainer still runs her. I think she is good enough to go back a bit any­way and hope­fully find some cover run over the top of them — but it is a very strong field make no bones about it. De­volv­ing is only lightly-raced with 3s 1-1-1. She 1s 0-0-1 at the t/d which happened to be her first-up 3rd to 8. REG­I­MEN (69) which time she (De­volv­ing) was re­ally eat­ing into the mar­gin. I see ob­vi­ous im­prove­ment in the Quin­ton filly who has al­ways looked bound for Satur­day rac­ing. Mas­sive in­ter­est in how the mar­ket will as­sess 15. HIGH LOW BET (66). The Waller trained 3YO is by High Cha­parral out of Wa­ger’s daugh­ter We Betcha. High Low Bet beat a nice look­ing lot horses in her An­zac Day de­but at HQ when $11 to $14. I thought the tri­als have been ex­cel­lent on her part, I sus­pect they go fast here and High Low Bet is warm­ing up late, how late and how warm she gets is a lit­tle query but she can gal­lop! The speed, much of it any­way, rests with 1. MIS­SILE CODA (72) who has drawn 4. She drew 10 of 10 last start but led on her ear, they never saw her com­ing or go­ing for that mat­ter — she won by 4-lens and didn’t look too puffed out to me after the ef­fort!

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