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The Sportsman Midweek - - Canterbury A Detailed Formguide - WITH SHAYNE O’CASS

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Mon­day at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

RACE 1

FIVE RUN­NERS, four last start win­ners. One of those is 1. CHAR­LIE CHAP (69) who was a good thing at home at Hawkes­bury first-up off his trial and that’s ex­actly how it turned out; the only sur­prise was that he paid $3. To­mor­row is a step-up of course but two things; he should have won the Claren­don at the Hawkes­bury stand­alone and two, once ran a huge race at Rose­hill on a Satur­day where he nearly won against math­e­mat­i­cal im­pos­si­bly. 3, MARISHKA (67) was $3.10 into $1.95 when she won here on de­but two weeks back. It was only a neck mar­gin but there so much qual­ity in the win. She is bred to be Group horse and is in the right camp get there. 2. BEA­CON (65) a lovely big, strong Lonhro who won like good horse on de­but at Wy­ong then was beaten by the bar­rier here next time. Tri­alled since, went well, nice horse.

RACE 2

KERRIN McEvoy has been rid­ing in ca­reer best form for a while now. That ride on Ravi last Satur­day in the Sher­aco was sen­sa­tional! McEvoy dons the fa­mil­iar Godol­phin colours here to part­ner 3. ISTRIA (67) first-up. The daugh­ter of Re­set is bet­ter off at 1400m and maybe a mile as well but I thought she’s been tri­alling like a horse that is jump­ing out it’s skin. So long as she doesn’t get too far back (and I can’t see why she would), I sus­pect she comes sail­ing late. If 2. COCOEXCEL (68) ran on race day like she tri­als, she’d have a slot in The Ever­est. Alas, she has been a very costly mare to fol­low. She’s got Blake Shinn up from a good draw in a small field and once again she’s off

lovely trial into this. 4. O’REILLY CYRUS (67) is 4s 2w at the trip and 3s 1w fresh. She’s had two tri­als, both of them good. Cer­tainly has abil­ity to win at the mid­weeks; she was sec­ond fav to win Karaka Millions when she was trained in NZ (ran 7th btn 2.9lens).

RACE 3

ALL eyes will be on 5. WOMAN (N/R) here and for good rea­son. She is a daugh­ter of Frankel and the first foal of More Joy­ous who won 8 G1’s but best remembered per­haps for her un­wit­ting role in the All Aged Stakes at her last ever start. Lest we for­get that sad saga

racing! Woman has tri­alled like she’s go­ing to be in G1’s sooner rather than later so ob­vi­ously I have her on top. She is a beau­ti­ful looker, chest­nut with a fair bit of white splashed her. The dan­ger is/was 4. WILD ABOUT HER (N/R) but surely it won’t run. John Sin­gle­ton owns them both — makes no sense at all to have one of them lose and Woman looks wound-up big time for this race. 1. FIFTH AF­FAIR (N/R) made up a fair bit of ground in the straight to fin­ish 2.7-lens 4th of 8 to Marishka who may well frank the form with a win in the opener to­day. Ei­ther way, Fifth Af­fair has al­ways shown a bit of tal­ent and will be strong late. RACE 4

APART from Woman, I reckon the best horse that will come through this meet­ing a mid to long term view is 7. PAR­ROT (N/R). This 3YO colt is a Chris Waller-trained debu­tant. He was bought by a very, very smart man — Guy Mul­caster — for $110,000 at the Magic Millions. There are some signs in Paret’s pedi­gree that he’ll be a miler, maybe 2000m+, and that’s the way he has tri­alled. There is just some­thing about him though that sets him apart; he moves like a good horse and finds the line with pur­pose. Un­less the mar­ket says oth­er­wise, I want to be on him. It’s a crack­ing good field though be­gin­ning with but not lim­ited Paret’s sta­ble­mate 5. STAR OF THE SEAS (N/R) who is a three-quar­ter to Spi­eth. He ran a very en­cour­ag­ing sec­ond on de­but to Sprint­ing To Win at Beau­mont and for the record, Sprint­ing To Win won at Kem­bla on Satur­day. I guess it is im­por­tant to point out that Bowman rides Star Of The Seas while Schofield on Paret. Not sure who had the choice or what­ever but happy to have Schofield on, he’s benne rid­ing re­ally well of late. Ev­ery other horse can win, true, but I am putting all the eggs into the Paret bas­ket and see how mar­ket plays.

RACE 5

I’M not a weights and mea­sures man most times but when I see horses ca­pa­ble of win­ning that get in with weights that are well be­low their tal­ent then I do get a bit ex­cited. En­ter 7. LADY JIVAGO (73) who will shoul­der 53kgs in this. Al­low me to out that into some per­spec­tive. Lady Jivago is a 73 rater, so too are Clas­sic Records and Old Man Sam and they both have 58kgs. The top­pie, Nic­tock, rates 75 has 59kgs and the out­side draw — that’s a big, big, big worry for him! In Times Of War is the top rater, 76, but she’s git 57.5kgs and frankly — she just run too many sec­ond to back at the price I sus­pect she might be here. So, I’ll stick with the good, hon­est Lady Jivago who isn’t a noted first-up per­former but ran fan­tas­tic race be­hind Tango Rain and co at Rose­hill on Aug. 26. May I say, Lady Jivago is 4s 2-0-1 when sec­ond-up which ac­counts for 50 per cent of her ca­reer wins. One more thing, she has won on heavy but three of her four wins are good tracks. She’s just go­ing to need luck from gate two. I can find a hole in ev­ery other horse in the race so I am one out on the Lady with 3. OLD MAN SAM (73) and 4. IN TIMES OF WAR

(76) be­hind her.

RACE 6

HERE is the sec­ond ‘ weight’ horse on the card that go me pumped full of bravado. His name is 13. EX­PLO­SIVE SCENE (61) and he from the as­tute Marc Quinn camp. Marc is son of the late, great Pat Quinn and just as good a bloke as his Dad was. He is also very as­tute like he doesn’t come to town for ham rolls. Ex­plo­sive Scene has 51.5kgs and you just don’t see too many horses these days car­ry­ing weights like that. Ex­plo­sive Scene last raced on Jun. 18 win­ning the Wau­chope Cup at his home track at Port. I went and watched his trial win Kempsey

fair enough, it was like me hit­ting up against Fed­erer, he never go­ing to lose — but hey, I thought he looked ter­rific; happy horse! 2. SMART AMELIA (76) makes her de­but for Waller to­mor­row hav­ing been with James Cum­mings for he 11 starts. Smart Amelia ran three con­sec­u­tive thirds last prep in two G3’s then a Listed race at Scone so she has class on these and then some! She big­ger fish to fry no doubt but has the as I say. 6. PIRACY (71) was fan­cied to win last year’s Breed­ers Plate; he didn’t of course — but he has re­ally hit his straps this cam­paign with a 2nd and two wins.

RACE 7

I AM think­ing 11. MAHALANGUR (63) run in, and wins, the Spring Stakes at New­cas­tle on Fri­day so enough said. He could win the Caulfield Guineas too, he is a very smart colt. If he is not here, I am happy to be with 5. WINE BUSH (68) from the Waller camp. I had $5 on him first-up at WF at $31 and thought he ran a su­per race fin­ish­ing off from the back to be within 4.7-lens of the winner. I also noted how much horse had in re­serve go­ing past post — plenty to work with there me­thinks. 6. SAMBRO (71) is the Waller sta­ble­mate, he’ll have Bowman on but again, who rides what and how is not al­ways clear cut. It’s not like ever Waller winner is Bowman on. Any­way, in so far as Sambro is con­cerned, he was $9 to $14 to win the G3 Mind Dy­nasty first-up. He ran seven of nine, too far be­hind Mahalangur (if he runs) to turn the ta­bles. I have al­ways liked 9. THINK LIKE A BIRD (64), the So You Think mare won very im­pres­sively in the Bm60 at Beau­mont. She is for a good prepa­ra­tion it seems.

RACE 8

ANY­ONE who fol­lows racing down around Can­berra and the south coast will be well aware of 3. AL­MOST COURT (70) from Bar­bara Joseph and Paul Jones yard. Rea­son be­ing is that this Kiwi-bred sta­ble ac­qui­si­tion has won three from three in Aus­tralia. On top of that, all wins have been very dom­i­nant in­deed. You can see how he’s had to come to town — he’s just too good for them any­where else. I for one, will be fas­ci­nated see how he mea­sures up to the chal­lenge. One lit­tle note for breed­ing buffs among us; Al­most Court is by Alam­osa who won four G1’s out of a mare named Cin­der Bella who won two G1’s. 5. MAN­HAT­TAN SON (69) is one of mine so I feel I know him well enough to sug­gest that he’ll run a bold race to­mor­row. I think be rid­den back with cover and peel out four and five wide into the straight and have a real crack. 9. SOVEREIGAIRE (64) was beau­ti­fully rid­den by Schofield last start at the Farm. The horse ran fifth beaten 1.3-len. I was watch­ing him clos­ing, I tipped him on top and had $5 at $61. The 1900m suits now.

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