Slow Burn’s a hot pick

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Mon­day at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

The Sportsman Midweek - - Canterbury Preview - WITH SHAYNE O’CASS

RACE 1

SEVEN run­ners, three of them from the Waller camp. No each­way bet­ting. If you have any re­spect for money, you’ll be keep­ing your hands in your pocket. They are hardly what you’d call a ‘mag­nif­i­cent seven’. Four of them have had only one run and that group is where I have sourced my top three from be­cause I think they are the 3YO’s open to most im­prove­ment. I ended up with a

Waller quinella – 5. SMIL­ING MANOLITO (N/R) ahead of 3. KAONIC which is Schofield v Bow­man, a High Cha­parral a Sav­abeel. In­ter­est­ing that

(Syd­ney’s form jockey IMO) rode Kaonic at the Farm on de­but but is on Smil­ing Manolito this time – maybe he had to make way for Bow­man, not sure, but if I was Schofield, I’d be pretty happy with my chances of knock­ing off Kaonic. 6. UNION DUES (N/R) will be bet­ter for her 3.3-lens 3rd of 6 to the ex­cit­ing Woman here over 1250m on Sep 13. This race will come down to tac­tics as much as abil­ity, look at the jocks – Bow­man, Schofield, Ang­land, The Gun and Ker­rin McEvoy. Wow.

RACE 2

AN EVEN less invit­ing race to be in is this one, just six run­ners. I set­tled on 5. INTUERI (65) pri­mar­ily due to the gear change of blink­ers first time, winkers off. If you look at his sec­ond-up run here over 1200m back on Aug 30, The Gun was tak­ing a rails home on the ch­est­nut and whilst he mak­ing ground, he (the horse) seemed a bit re­luc­tant to re­ally stretch the neck and go, go, go. I would imag­ine that’s part of the rea­son blink­ers are on. It’s a big gear change and a win­ning one I think. Bar­rier 6 of 6 is

dilly of pickle though, I have no idea where he is go­ing to land from there with a few oth­ers that will want to lead in­side of him. Not that Intueri was go­ing to lead but can he get one-one now? Hope so. I am all out on him; he just needs a good ride/run. 6. MATE STORY (65) will lead or at very least make some use of his in­side al­ley and light weight. The Jean Dubois geld­ing led and pulled out plenty when re­quired to win a 1500m C1 at Kem­bla first-up. He won on de­but then came to town next time and ran a ter­ri­bly cred­itable 1-lens 4th to Pelorus Jack – Ad­kins rode that day too. 2. CALYPSO BAY (68) best of the rest.

RACE 3

MARK Newn­ham is a trial watcher’s pal a bit like Joe Pride and Ja­son Coyle in that if when his horses trial well, they will re­pro­duce on race day. Newn­ham’s race­day win­ners aren’t hard to spot at the tri­als ei­ther – it’s not like he goes out and there and tries neck them. Any­way, that’s how I see it all of which brings me to 7. STAR SENSATION (63) who is 4s 1-2-0. Her only un­placed run was a 9.-lens 6 of 8 be­hind Frolic and She Will Reign in the Reis­ling. Star Sensation is tri­alling like a win­ner, she comes via two very strong heats and was nearly the star of the both (no pun in­tended). I am a teeny bit wor­ried about strong 1200m first-up but it’s Can­ter­bury not Royal As­cot and I hope she gets as lit­tle pres­sure up front

is pos­si­ble. It’s a good race this one, some of these oth­ers go pretty darn well. I (and oth­ers) were declar­ing 4. RE­NEWAL (62) on de­but at Newcastle on Sep 15. In my ex­pe­ri­ence, you don’t see horses trial like Re­newal was then come out and lose. He’s a nice horse bet­ter than the provin­cials, prob­a­bly bet­ter than the mid­weeks too. I could be wrong but maybe, just maybe, he wants a tad fur­ther? 5. ZA ZI BA (66) beat de­cent C1 line-up at Kem­bla last start. 6. BULL MAR­KET (61) has tri­alled up well and can fig­ure.

RACE 4

THIS is an­other race that is a mas­sive trap. I tried my hard­est to tip against 4. HIS­TORY REPEATS (62) be­cause I can see her one, be­ing un­der the odds, and two, los­ing. She was gifted that 1800m at Hawkes­bury at the $1.26. No pres­sure, no chal­lengers. I con­cede that it’s a trip that brought out her best and you’d there­fore think that 1900m around Can­ter­bury with no real weight and Ker­rin McEvoy up that she’s a good thing. I don’t agree but I got left with her on top only be­cause the one that I con­sid­ered putting on top, 3. TOKEN OF LOVE (67), left a me a tiny bit cold af­ter watch­ing that last run here, I thought maybe she should have won from there? What­ever the case, gate 1 is a god­send for a mare who will press for­ward and is 3s 0-2-1 at the t/d, last three runs! Any of oth­ers could win if cir­cum­stances present. If I was forced to have a bet here, I’d do a $5 duet – Token Of Love and 1. MANDALONG KISS (73) be­cause I re­ally, re­ally, re­ally can’t get be­yond tepid in my sup­port for His­tory Repeats.

RACE 5

TULLOCH Lodge has an­other of the pop­u­lar horses in this race, namely 4. STONEBROOK (66) whom I am much keener on than His­tory Repeats a sit hap­pens. This pow­er­fully built son of Hinch­in­brook won at Hawkes­bury in Apr then was spelled. He tri­alled re­ally well be­fore win­ning at Kem­bla on Sep 23 in a 1200m C1. Please don’t think that it was a dud race given it only had three horses in­volved. The run­ner-up, Gri­moire, is a good horse, Al­lied Power’s no slouch ei­ther. I love the way Stonebrook ran through line that day. This is the log­i­cal next step for him and as far as I see it, apart from 3. MARSUPIAL (71) the rest are in­fe­rior to him (Stonebrook). Bow­man dons Godol­phin blue here ride Marsupial. The well named son of Koala Bear is third-up now and back to the mid­weeks af­ter a 3.2-lens 5th of 8 in the Her­itage be­hind his un­beaten sta­ble­mate Viri­dine et al. Bear in mind too that Marsupial was 4th to Trapeze Artist in the Black Opal. Clearly he has a mas­sive class edge over all of these on pa­per and he may yet well be the su­pe­rior horse over­all, but I just saw some­thing in Stonebrook at Kem­bla and his tri­als be­fore that, that makes me want to fol­low him a while longer. Of the rest, 1. OUR ROYAL EGYP­TIAN (67).

RACE 6

SPEAK­ING of Egyp­tian’s I am mildly keen on 2. EGYP­TIAN RULER (73) to­mor­row. The mas­ter trainer Ken Langtry has found a su­per winnable and suit­able race for this horse bear­ing in mind that he is 1s 1w at the t/d. A mark of how well Ruler is within him­self that he was quite well backed to win the Port Cup Pre­lude on Sep 24. ran 3rd with 61kgs his back and okay, he wad given a great ride by Bul­lock, but he was very strong through the line. One more thing to con­sider – three runs back, he is 2nd in Ta­ree Cup. 11.

BRACES (64) will win a race some­time, he de­serves too. He is an un­lucky horse and not al­ways as a re­sult of hi pat­tern. Trainer Greg Hick­man has given the one time Grafton Guineas a lovely ground­ing to run the 1900m (it’s what he wants/needs) and keep in mind that Braces is 4s 0-3-0 at the Can­ter­bury 1900m. If there was a huge blowout, I reckon it would be 10. CYRUS ROCKS (65). Re­mem­ber he had like 85-weeks off the scene be­fore the start of this prep for new han­dler Mark Newn­ham. He’s run three 5ths in a row, he is 3s 1-1-0 at the t/d – past life yes, but he seems to go­ing along okay.

RACE 7

5. WHITE MOSS (75) is a mare that I have al­ways had big opin­ion of. She is stakes class and soon. My col­league Matt Jones spoke to Ja­son Coyle so you’d best read what he has to say in the story be­low. As for me, I watched her trial at the Farm the other day and whilst I to­tally an­tic­i­pated to run well, she ran be­yond my own ex­pec­ta­tions. Tell you one thing, she’s well named – she’s gone as white as Subzero! One thing I am wor­ried about though is her bar­rier; 9 of 12 is a big, big, big worry. Well, the sash for the most in­ter­est­ing horse run­ning all day goes to 6. KHAN (75). It’s a big wel­come back to the 2016 Breed­ers’ Plate win­ner who kinda lost it straight af­ter­wards and was spelled af­ter fail­ing in the Sil­ver Slip­per and Black Opal. He’s tri­alled twice for this and ticked a few boxes. The mar­ket will tell the story, the whole story, with how Khan is ex­pected to go. I thought 3. DISSOLUTE (72) was a moral first-up. He ran okay, some peo­ple made a few ex­cuses for him but geez, I didn’t see much wrong with the ride; maybe he isn’t quite horse that I thought he was off his trial go­ing into the run. Mas­sive watch and re­spect for the sta­ble­mate 11. BEA­CON (70).

RACE 8

MY good thing this time is 5. SLOW BURN (68) but 100’s to run is it not? Tim Clark booked for the sta­ble­mate 11. ZONK (64) and he can’t ride both of them so one is out. I am tip­ping which ever runs; I’d say with the draw it’s Zonk here, Slow Burn stays home. Bit hard to give you a proper race pre­view when the top two are in doubt. For record I am Slow Burn to beat Zonk (see trial col for more) then 9. ACQUME (70) and 6. ISTRIA (67).

Khan. Pic Grant Guy

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