Dixie to change her luck

The Sportsman Midweek - - Warwick Farm -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Mon­day at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing. RACE 1 TWO very nice 3YO’s go head to head on de­but here namely 4. ISUARIAN (N/R) and 1. ELEAZAR (N/R). I am sure that one of them will win, favour Isuarian ( just) which means I found the win­ner of a 2-horse race hence why it be­comes my best bet. That’s my logic any­way. Isuarian is a Godol­phin colt by Ex­ceed And Ex­cel out of a Mum­mify’s half-sis­ter Byzan­tine whose two foals to race so far are Ot­toman (also by EXE) and the stakes-placed Nem­rud. Two tri­als at the Farm, both wins, both su­per im­pres­sive. Bow­man, rac­ing home, gate 4. As for the Team Hawkes geld­ing, Eleazar, he won a trial (his first) at Rose­hill last Mon­day week. He ran 53.3s and se­ri­ously, he could have gone a fair bit quicker. That’s the sign of good horse. Out­side of those two, 3. HIGHLY IN­FLU­EN­TIAL (N/R) is a Gooree 3YO from the Mark Newn­ham camp that has tri­alled well enough to win most maid­ens, mid­week or pro­vin­cial, but he’s bumped into a cou­ple of smart ones to­mor­row.


HERE is an­other re­ally good 3YO race, this time for the fil­lies. I have it the same as first race on the card in that I firmly be­lieve there are two chances and if you go right way, you win. En­ter one of my own per­sonal boom fil­lies in 9. BAL­LET BABY (N/R) who is by Winx’s sire, Street Cry out of a half sis­ter to Takeover Tar­get. I de­clared Bal­let Baby un­beat­able whens he de­buted at Can­ter­bury back on Jul 5. She ran 6th of 8 so she was beat­able as it turns out. She re­sumes here off a great trial – I have faith in her, lot of faith ac­tu­ally – think she might be a stakes filly. 1. SAVATIANO (N/R) is the other win­ning chance. This Godol­phin filly was very good at her first cam­paign, she ran su­per in the Wid­den and the Sweet Em­brace in be­tween that, she split In­vader Mala­hat at Rand­wick. Co­in­ci­den­tally, Savatiano fin­ished 2.2-lens 4th to Bal­let Baby in that Sep 22 trial, both fil­lies were out­stand­ing. One of them will, noth­ing surer but for third I have the well bred Snow­den filly 2.

BOOROOJ (N/R) who ran a great race in the Wid­den on de­but so could per­form fresh up to­mor­row.


I NEVER bet in 2200m WF mid­week­ers, they are dan­ger­ous in the ex­treme. This one is no dif­fer­ent. I can’t be­lieve I am tip­ping 2. WINE BUSH (67) af­ter last start. Not that he was hope­less by any means but has now lost 15 out of 16 and make no mis­take, he was en­ti­tled to win that last start – it was put on for him but nope, plods into third be­hind 4. KNOW

HOW (64) and 5. READY FOR SUC­CESS (64). Why, how, can Wine Bush turn the ta­bles? Call me the eter­nal op­ti­mist but maybe he wants the 2200m more than some of oth­ers do. Pass on the whole race ac­tu­ally.


6. TUTU (64) tri­alled re­ally well back in July and Au­gust, send­ing out the sig­nal that she was in for a big cam­paign. She ran quite well first-up, bet­ter again next time and af­ter that – third run in, she went boom. Granted she was given a great ride by Col­lett and the op­po­si­tion were a lit­tle sus­pect but she won 5-lens. I love a con­fi­dence boost­ing win for horses like her, lightly-raced ones I mean, and now John Thomp­son brings her town in fab­u­lous or­der. This is the third time in a row she’s drawn bar­rier 4 – nice! I love the way 4. O’REILLY CYRUS (67) hit the line here last start when 3rd to Reg­i­men in a 1200m Bm73. She is 1100m, 1200m and now

1400m. She should get a nice run there from gate 1 for Corey Brown. Peak­ing for this. 2. CAM­BAGE (73) was beaten 37-lens by Bon­neval in the ATC Oaks then spelled. The best sys­tem in rac­ing (first-up out of a clas­sic) added a $13 win­ner to the tally when she re­sumed mas­sive win­ner at home at Hawkes­bury. Came to the Rose­hill af­ter that and went su­per when 1.1-lens 3rd of 7 in a 1500m Bm76. Blink­ers on again for this. Can fig­ure in a typ­i­cally open F&M’s race.


PESONALLY, and for a long time, I have al­ways re­garded Gwenda Mark­well An­thony Cum­mings as the best two first-up train­ers around place. The other thing about both Mark­well and Cum­mings is that a lot of the time, the first-up win­ners they train are big odds. (Mark­well doesn’t have a run­ner int his but she is per­ti­nent to the topic). I am not sure what con­sti­tutes big odds vis-a-vie An­thony and Ed­ward Cum­mings trained 2. LOOKIN’ AT YOU (71) but he ain’t gunna be favourite put it that way. This well bred 5YO geld­ing has won from 1350m to 2200m. He stays on re­ally well. He was spelled for a short-ish while af­ter his 3rd of 16 to In­ter­locuter at the Scone car­ni­val which wrapped up a ter­rific prep for the son of Nat­u­ral Is My Name. He ran last 9 in a Sep 25 heat over 735m heat; he went re­ally well IMO. Godol­phin gal­loper 3. DRACHENFELS (70) has al­ways had some­thing and it could be his time to start de­liv­er­ing; not that he has been dis­ap­point­ing by any mea­sure. He won first-up at New­cas­tle the other day then went back to tri­als and breezed home in com­pelling or­der. 1. HIGH MIST (71) is a player but for me, it’s all about Lookin’ At Lucky here – pretty keen to bet him at the odds.


HOW in­ter­est­ing that the Daily Dou­ble leg to­mor­row are both 1100m sprints and very, very good ones at that. Good, that is, in terms of hav­ing a bet – you could make a case for few each leg and be happy with the odds on of­fer. I like 8. IN­VIN­CI­BLE QUEST (67) in this, he was awe­some at Wy­ong first-up. He’s been a bit of a hand­ful at times – hence the record of 5 starts for this 5YO but he has won three and placed 3rd at an­other. The only re­main­ing run, took no part – bucked, etc, etc. The Quest is a fly­ing ma­chine (he once ran 49.37s to win at Cess­nock 900m) but he doesn’t have to lead. We’ll just leave that to Corey Brown who rode him so well at Wy­ong. Any one of the 11 run­ners could win this race so the com­bi­na­tions are plenty. I have 2. TO EX­CESS (70) run­ning first or sec­ond; Tracey Bart­ley has the Du­porth son fly­ing and that was some run here on Oct 2. He just about should have won. 10. BEA­CON (70) is go­ing to have fans and lots of them and rightly so but I am sens­ing he might go around at un­ders. Any price a win­ner sup­pose but I’ll take In­vin­ci­ble Quest each-way rather than Bea­con win.


THIS race could look very dif­fer­ent come post time than it does at present with a dual ac­cep­tor and 4 Waller ac­cpetors. That be­ing the case, it is all guess­work so let’s keep short and sweet; 10. TU­MUL­TUOUS (68) on top af­ter a ter­rific first-up run at the mid­weeker at Rose­hill to beat 8. CHARM­ING LAD (68) off a well de­served and rather em­phatic win at Kem­bla on Sep 30. Of the rest, 9. GAU­GUIN (68) who won a Rand­wick 1200m heat in good style on Sep 25. The John Sar­gent trained gal­loper is third-up now at the right trip but he’s drawn out which means he’ll have to be used up early...... Maybe. Not a race that in­spires; too many Waller run­ners.


NOW we’re talk­ing! This is a great way to end the day, a Get Out Stakes – loads of chance, loads of quinella, ex­tacta, tri­fecta com­bi­na­tions of you’re game. It’s not a 2-horse race, no way at all, but I am putting all the eggs in the col­lec­tive bas­ket of 4. DIXIE CHICK (67) and 11. ZONK (64). If I had to plan a bet­ting strat­egy here so as to not to lose of course and make the most money pos­si­ble I would be $5 won on both mares, $5 ex­acta Dixie Chick to beat Zonka nd $5 quinella just in case Zonk beats Chick. That’s a $20 out­lay if you’re game. Dixie Chick would have to be one of the un­luck­i­est mares race in Syd­ney town in re­cent times. Sure, a lot of it is tempo re­lated but she’s been given a few less than sat­is­fac­tory rides at times. She does trial well I’ll say that, but even so, these last two have been rip­pers even by her looft stan­dards. Gate 13? I say a big plus for her ac­tu­ally. Zonk is the up and comer and she’s tri­alled su­per too. She is 2s 1-1-0 fresh, 1s 01-0 t/d 0-2-0 at the Farm. Too broke to back any oth­ers,

3. ZIN ZAN ELSIE (70) and 7. SHARP­NESS (66) next in line.

Trainer David Pfi­ef­fer with Dixie Chick.

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