Ca­landa has the speed

The Sportsman Midweek - - Flemington Preview -

RACE 1

Have to trust what I saw and plump for 2. QAFILA. She was pretty strong in de­feat­ing Sa­cred Sword at Caulfield on de­but. Slow to be­gin that day but loved the way she moved into the race on turn and then pro­duced

best clos­ing the sec­tion­als of the race to win on line. Can only be bet­ter for the run and still meets all these at level weights. 11. ROOBEENA looks to have abil­ity. Has shown tal­ent in jumpouts to date and a well­bred type in an as­tute sta­ble. 1. SETSUNA has be in­cluded on the strength of a tidy win at Moonee Val­ley on Cox Plate day and liked the way 5. FAR­THING WOOD won a trial re­cently. Also nicely bred.

RACE 2

Giv­ing 5. TAHANEE one more chance here. Has been right in all these mares of late and reckon this big track could fi­nally see the best her. Dragged the field up to the lead­ers last start and then held her ground in run home be­hind Lu­biton record time at Moonee Val­ley. Drawn to get the soft run. Ready to win. 10. STORMSAREBREWING is a ma­jor threat. Luck­less be­hind Steel Frost at Cau­field on re­sum­ing and then made late ground be­hind Quilate last time. She’s a win­ner over 1600m here and right at her top now. Liked the way 8. MILES OF KR­IS­HAN hit the line in that same Steel Frost race. She was only beaten a length by the very good Amelie’s Star at Morphettville in May, which is good enough to win this. Keep an eye on 13. LIN­GUIST. This much harder than her last start at Bal­larat but she won with a leg in the air and could sur­prise.

RACE 3

4. DOL­LAR FOR DOL­LAR has been in great touch in Ade­laide and de­serves a crack at this. Eas­ily downed Rein­car­nate

Bog­goms (a dan­ger again here) and then never in doubt at Morphettville last start winning with plenty hand at the end. Un­beaten at three tries the trip and has some sound form at this track in the win­ter be­hind horses like Jam­in­zah and Al­ward. Will get per­fect run on speed from the bar­rier take hold­ing out. 3. LAND OF PLENTY drops sig­nif­i­cantly in grade and is the ob­vi­ous threat. Great ef­fort be­hind Red­kirk War­rior down straight three runs back and then had ex­cuses in G1 grade at his next two. Weight scale here favours him and only start this track and trip he fin­ished third to Hey Doc. Big dan­ger. 9. MIL­WAU­KEE sat on speed and was sim­ply too good for the hot­pot Di­vine Qual­ity at Sale last start. Meets that horse bet­ter at the weights here and ex­tra 200m will suit. 12. DI­VINE QUAL­ITY rates a chance again as this big track will help her and prob­a­bly look­ing for 1400m now.

2. BOG­GOMS (ran on well last start) and 6. NEW UNI­VERSE (scratched from Rosehill Satur­day for this) are other chances.

RACE 4

Sets up well for 3. GRANDDUKEOFTUSCANY. Drawn per­fectly to eas­ily get front if he wants too, as he did when chas­ing home Amelie’s Star in the Bart Cum­mings here a month ago. Also sec­ond over 2600m here back in July. Kept fresh, will make his own luck in front and bound to take catch­ing. Will­ing give 9. THE WILLYBE a chance here. Has dom­i­nated stay­ing con­tests at his last two at Morphettville and earned the right to tackle this grade. 2. FA­NATIC wasn’t bad in the Gee­long Cup when it was hard to make a lot of ground. This is eas­ier for her and she has G1 form in stay­ing tests in New Zealand to credit. 6. SIN TO WIN was good winning at Caulfield last start and is hold­ing his form well.

RACE 5

Will­ing to stick with 8. NA­TURE STRIP at odds. Loved the way he charged home late to beat all but Sam’s Im­age at Moonee Val­ley when it looked like he wasn’t com­pletely com­fort­able with the track. Could be look­ing for 1200m now but there is so much early speed here and the straight track will re­ally help him, as will the draw which al­lows him to set­tle where he likes and chime in at right time. Think he’s pretty smart. 6. SAM’S IM­AGE is also pretty good. Led and just col­lared by Ep­ti­mum, who then won in good grade at Moonee Val­ley and was com­pet­i­tive in G1 grade on Satur­day. Held on to win at the Val­ley last start and has acted down the straight here be­fore. 1. PROP­ERTY has the big weight but he’s also the class fac­tor and was very good against top shelf sprint­ers at Caulfield when re­sum­ing. 9. PARET was way­ward in the straight be­hind Beau Geste at Rosehill and then given a let-up since. He’s got a heap of tal­ent.

RACE 6

3. COUNTERPLAY gets his chance here. Bombed the start at Caulfield last time but then moved through the field to be within strik­ing dis­tance on the turn and ran on well fin­ish third to Our Crown Wit­ness. Like him here at Flem­ing­ton, will be able slot in mid­field from this draw and only needs luck to threaten these. 2. OUR CROWN WIT­NESS looks the dan­ger again. Had to be used up early to cross and sit out­side leader last start then fought on too well. Bet­ter drawn this time. 7. LUQYAA had to make ground out wide, which was against the pat­tern, and not dis­graced be­hind In­vin­ci­ble Star. Kept fresh since and this big track will as­sist her hopes. 6. WAR­RANTY won well at Rand­wick last start and is en­dowed with a lot of nat­u­ral tal­ent. 12. BOOROOJ (soft win­ner in weaker grade last start) is a roughie with a hope.

RACE 7

I see no rea­son why 2. AL­MANDIN can’t win his sec­ond straight win. Su­pe­rior stayer who was sim­ply dom­i­nant winning at Flem­ing­ton two runs back car­ry­ing 61kg on his and then prob­a­bly a vic­tim of cir­cum­stances when fourth to Amelie’s Star here. Given break since, not wor­ried about his draw as he will be able to set­tle in mid­field and stay out of trou­ble and has start in­ter­na­tional rider Frankie Dettori to steer. I’m fright­ened of 3. HU­MI­DOR even though that must be some doubt as to him run­ning a strong 3200m. His Caulfield Cup run was su­per and then his ef­fort to get as close as he did to Winx in the Cox Plate was first rate. I’ve al­ways liked strong wfa form go­ing into Cup and this bloke as it. Just needs to con­serve en­ergy in the run un­leash in the straight. 8. BONDI BEACH is roughies with a big show. All re­ports from the Wil­liams yard sug­gest he has thrived re­cently and been kept fresh since a dour ef­fort be­hind Al­mandin here. His pat­tern of rac­ing in Europe sug­gests he can per­form at this level of a big break and his best form is cer­tainly good enough to fea­ture. 23. AMELIE’S STAR has also has sound claims. She eas­ily ac­counted for Al­mandin in the Bart Cum­mings and then rid­den up­side down in the Caulfield Cup. Drawn to set­tle in mid­field and is a very strong stayer. Don’t dis­count 1. HART­NELL who has class and 6. RED CAR­DI­NAL is the best of the in­ter­na­tion­als judg­ing by his boom Bel­mont Cup win two runs back

RACE 8

Keen to stick with 12. PURE PRIDE. Dom­i­nant per­for­mance to come from well back, get the split half way down the straight and charge clear to beat Wyn­d­spelle here and then not much luck when she missed the start, got caught in the sec­ond half of the field when the lead­ers quick­ened but then pro­duced the best fi­nal 200m sec­tional of race when fifth in the Sey­mour Cup. Con­vinced this is her track and she’ll be steam­ing home. Loved the win of 19. ODEON at Caulfield last start when he sat on speed and then pulled clear in the run home. This sets up well for him al­though tougher grade, he must be con­sid­ered. 11. LU­BITON was just su­perb winning in record time at the Val­ley last start. She’ll be on speed again and hard to run down. 10. LIFE LESS OR­DI­NARY has been given a freshen up since his fail­ure in the G1 The Metropoli­tan at Rand­wick. Pre­vi­ous form in good com­pany was solid and this looks a nice race for his re­turn. 1. TALLY (goes well here but big

weight), 3. KIDMENEVER (bet­ter for first Aussie run) and 13. NOZOMI (also goes well here) are other hopes in a very tough race.

RACE 9

6. CA­LANDA looked all at sea at Caulfield when re­sum­ing when he was a con­spic­u­ous last just be­fore the turn but then rat­tled home late be­hind Rich Charm, beaten less than three lengths in eighth spot. Clocked 22.42s for the last 400m and a slick 10.65s 200m when he got his mind on the job. Tricky draw with pat­tern of rac­ing but only needs to see clear air in the fi­nal stages be hard to stop. 3. FAATINAH ran sec­ond this race last year and fought on well be­hind Snitty Kitty at Caulfield last time. Big threat again. 10. CRYS­TAL DREAMER likes the straight course and has won four of seven at this dis­tance. Will be in fir­ing line. 12. SO YOU TOO boxed on gamely in that Rich Charm race and has claims again.

RACE 10

11. SWAMP­LAND had lit­tle luck chas­ing home Ore­gon’s Day at Caulfield and Sword Of Light Flem­ing­ton be­fore again fac­ing dif­fi­cul­ties at the top of the straight but run­ning on late be­hind Global Glam­our at Caulfield. Last 200m sec­tional was amongst the best of the race. Has won two and placed three from eight tries at this track and trip. Big threat. 3. COOL PAS­SION was just nabbed by Global Glam­our at Caulfield and his hold­ing her form well. Big threat. 5. WHITE MOSS was dom­i­nant winning at Rand­wick last start and has earned a crack at this grade. 1. FUHRYK (is she just a Caulfield horse?) and 13. PEDRENA (maybe a tad un­der­rated) are other chances.

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