Kepitis in for a big day
WINX’s part owner Debbie Kepitis can win the first two races at Hawkesbury tomorrow with 3. BOCHY (59) in the opener and Sasuba in the next. More on it in a minute. Kepitis bred Bochy and gave him to Kris Lees to train. The son of Myboycharlie has a good little record 6s 2-0-0-2, the wins coming at the start this campaign at Kempsey (1250m) and Muswellbrook (1450m). The horse has been flying home his last two in big fields. Few things to consider now – up to 1800m (tick), big track (tick) small field (tick), Blake Shinn (tick). I honestly expected to see 1. AONAIR (66) in the Wakeful this year, that was what had though after her Sep 6 first-up win a 1400m midweeker at WF. Big questions mark on that form in hindsight. Can’t say Aonair has been dazzling in her three runs since, granted one of them was 4.2-lens off Torvill in the Reginald Allen but she did only beat home by the same token. Can win, might win, but I’ll take Bochy. 6. TINKEMROSA (62) is fresh horse on the scene with just the 3 runs under belt ‘651’. The last start win was emphatic but Jeff Penza gave her a gem of a ride, every chance, every single possible chance in the world.
5. SASUBA (N/R) is the other Kepitis horse we alluded to, this one trained by Winx’s trainer Chris Waller. Sasuba is a Stratum filly out of a stakes-placed mare named Bubble Below whose Sebring son Lucky Bubbles won Chairman’s Sprint G1 in HK. This is a great family. Sasuba had one run and was spelled then opened the second preparation with a very encouraging diminishing 2.2-lens 3rd in a 1300m maiden here on Oct 26. The runner-up that day, Seine Net, won her maiden next start (here again) by 5.3-lens. Plenty to like about Sasuba as a filly; she is handy. 4. MOONMO (N/R) ran a really nice race on debut back on Jun 22 coming from last and down the outskirts to clock in 1.3-lens 4th of 8. She was seen making up many lengths again when 3rd of 7 her 900m trial at Canterbury on Nov 3. The 1300m on this big track is just ideal for her. I thought 8. TIKI BAR (N/R) was a good thing, nay a moral, when she resumes at Canterbury on Oct 27. She pretty solid at $2.25, long story short ran 0.5-lens 2nd. Had her chance. I am not sacking her per se but personally have been a bit of a Sansuba fan from her trial days. 9. TRUST IN A STAR (N/R) trialled really well at WF last Monday morning.
THERE are two horses racing at Hawkesbury tomorrow that I have made huge calls about in the past and they failed very soon after. One is the Clarry Conners trained 9. STARRING (N/R) who I could see in the Magic Millions 3YO Guineas January and the other is Godolphin colt Marble (two races from now, read on) who I was declaring in the G1 Coolmore Stud Stakes before he got rolled at WF in a midweeker. Racing is all about keeping the faith and I have so much faith in both horses that made them Best Bet 1 and Best Bet 2 respectively. In respect to Starring’s 9 of 9 at Gosford on debut, the race was run flat out from the start and that meant that Starring (who was always going to go back, settle, let down late) was forced chase the whole way. He’s been freshened-up, back to trial (see trial col at the of today’s paper for full review). I still maintain he is a very, very good colt. We’ll see soon enough. I really don’t think this is a terribly strong field so much so that I cannot find a danger to Starring. I can find runner-up, but no danger. Therefore, 7. SPARKLY STAR (N/R) for second and 1.
DREAM I CAN bronze.
GOSFORD Tuesday acceptor 10. ELEAZAR (63) is the least experienced horse in the field with lowest benchmark rating but he’s most likely the most promising horse of the lot. He maybe got a little tired late first-up at WF when fancied – he’d only had one trial remember. Whatever the case, he came to Hawkesbury 15-days later and won his 1000m maiden by almost 3-lens. He ran 57.7s, last 600m in 33.85s with 56.5kgs. Up to a Bm76 but he drops a lot in weight – only 1000m I know, but better to have nothing on the back than the grandstand. He is a very well bred horse with the Hawkes’ to guide him. Gate 4 is a dream. If he makes this step-up, he might be pretty good one day. 2. WANNA GET A WHAT (72) has the fine record of 10s 5-2-0. Not many horses win half their starts, certainly once you get up into the double figures. That shows talent but also some precision placement by his trainer Gratz Vella who makes the trip up from Canberra. Or should I say a return trip given he came here on Apr 29 with Wanna Get A What who beat Ruthless Agent in a TAB Highway. Absolutely bolted the Thunderbolt at Queanbeyan first-up; is 2 for 2 second-up and flying! 7. TIMING (71) is a Joe Pride trained mare resuming here. She is 4s 0-0-0 first-up which may turn lot of people off and fair enough I guess, but I liked her trial she likes Hawkesbury. 8. THE WASP (67) was $4.80 into $3.40 at Canterbury last start but the only ones who get stung were the punters. Ah, but where there is smoke there is usually fire.
D-DAY of giant proportions approaching for 4. MARBLE (62) here. I was adamant that he was top 3 of the entire Darley 2014 crop (colts division) going into WF the other day but was rocked when he got beaten out of a place at $2. He was wide on a very fast pace and pulled up with poor post race recovery. They (horses) are not machines, he had some in running and minor health issues but I concede yes, he was disappointing. I am sticking rock solid – everything have seen from him before that was stakes class, big stakes class. Questions will be answered tomorrow about Marble – is he a pretty boy morning glory or is the real deal? I say the latter. 7. LISDOONVARNA (60) has been a mini revelation since she arrived in Australia from NZ. She had the one run over in NZ (3rd at Ruakaka) then joined the Turner/Poletti stable at WF. Since then daughter of Super Easy has won both starts, both at Nowra, both with comfortable margins. We haven’t got to the bottom of this filly yet – it will be interesting to see how she goes in this deeper company. 1. THE HIPSTER (63) is a chance, he’s in on Tuesday at Gosford so who knows where he goes.
IT wasn’t quite Shannon in the 1946 Epsom equivalent but gee whiz 4. GRIMOIRE (66) was something licked last start at Kembla (when I had about 15 X’s alongside his name). He’s not the bets beginner in the business and at Kembla he must have missed it by 6! So here he is last with heaps to do he managed to run 5th of 7 beaten 2.8-lens in a 1:09 race and 33.8s last 600m. I don;t have his sectionals but they would be quick. Been back to trial by order of the stewards, jumped cleanly and ran a ripper third. 9. LADDER (65) is an intriguing horse. She is a 4YO mare by Commands bred and raced by Darley for her two career runs back in Jan (1st Beaumont) and fen (2nd Beaumont). sold Ladder for $70,000 at the Inglis August Sale to clients of Jean Dubois and she has her first run for new connections tomorrow. Ladder trialled at WF on Nov 6 and beat Testashadow who wasn’t tested but don’t undersell Ladder’s effort, it was a very good one. We know she goes well, hey’s she’s a Commands! 2. INVINCIBLE GEORGE (68) is certainly a player; I direct you to the Matt Jones story on the horse in today’s edition. Of the others, Grimoire’s stablemate 3. CHARMING LAD (66) is always a chance in anything he runs in.
AUSTRALIAN Bloodstock are some of the best in the business in identifying mostly European horses that will win downunder. 2. WALLANGARRA (63) is a great example. The son of Teofilo is ‘311’ in Australia. two wins have been super impressive too. He has gone C1, C2 and now into a Bm65. These are the best horses he raced against so far naturally enough but it seems that he hasn’t peaked yet so I think he can manage the opposition, perhaps not as scornfully though as he has in his last two. Waller has five entered but no one knows how many or who runs on the day. Of his 5 or 4 3 whatever, I am with 4. BAYSA (66) as the best of them. 7. D’BEAK (61) is racing so well that he cannot be left out of discussions. This race comes to down to what price you are prepared take about Wallangarra and until we know the make-up of the field, it’s hard to have an opinion on what’s a take and what is a pass.
Debbie Kepitis can win the first two races.