Elis­sim is a Smart bet

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

The Sportsman Midweek - - Randwick Kensington Preview -

RACE 1

4. WATCH­ING (N/R) is a sis­ter to Kanga’s Eye who should have won the Gim­crack in 2017 for An­thony and Ed­ward Cum­mings who also train this one. Watch­ing is a colt with 4 runs and 2 plac­ings to his name. He got back and flashed home at New­cas­tle over 900m on Aug. 16 and must have run some se­ri­ously fast clos­ing sec­tion­als. Ran last of 10 in that Aug. 28 heat at Rand­wick by de­sign. Glyn Schofield sticks from the trial. Chris Waller may have 3 in this, or maybe not. His flashy debu­tant 3. TOUGH LARRY (N/R) wears the Winx colours. The tri­als have all been good, he has been rid­den out in a few of them but bet­ter to be rid­den out and close up then

run­ning last. Bar­rier 3 in the small field, blink­ers, he should be right there in the run, if not ac­tu­ally lead. ALTAIR (N/R) has been dis­ap­point­ing for mine, that is to say, I thought he was bet­ter than mid­week class and he’s still a maiden.

RACE 2

MY top three picks are all ac­cep­tors at New­cas­tle to­day. For the record and what­ever it may be worth, I feel that both 13. NAKEETA JANE (N/R) and 1. EXCELTIC will win their re­spec­tive races if they go to New­cas­tle. The other one, 8. RHEINGAU (N/R) is in the same race as Exceltic at New­cas­tle — I like the horse but doubt he could beat there or here for that mat­ter. I am 75/25 cer­tain about Nakeeta Jane run­ning and I hope she does. I have been wait­ing for her for a while. Her tri­als have been out­stand­ing and I can tell you, when Mark Newn­ham’s trial well they run well, when they re­ally well — they win. One lit­tle aside about this filly’s pedi­gree that I find fas­ci­nat­ing is that she is by So You Think with Jet Ski Lady as her 3rd dam. won the English Oaks at 50/1 but 10-lens for Sheikh Mak­toum. In re­gard to Exceltic, this is a big drop on class from his cred­itable G3 Ming Dy­nasty run when beaten 3.7-lens. Rheingau has tri­alled well. 10. CARIF (N/R) and 11. KOLDING are ‘watches’ here with the ben­e­fit of first starts be­hind them.

RACE 3

MARK Newn­ham again here for me with the Gooree filly 3. GEN­TLE PERSUASION (63) who was out of this world im­pres­sive win­ning on de­but at Wy­ong beat­ing 4. I’M SO SWEET (63) as it hap­pens. She ran straight past said filly late to win go­ing away and away. Gen­tle Persuasion raced hand­ier next time when a neck 3rd at Can­ter­bury in 1200m Bm70 be­hind Nuke and Bub­bles’n’trou­bles, both of them very re­spectable horses. Gen­tle Persuasion has 9 9 here, I imagine the team would snag back and just hope for a fast pace last crack down the mid­dle? Noth­ing wrong with I’m So Sweet who showed her pro­gres­sive na­ture with a win last start at Gos­ford. third-up now and peak­ing. That said, I have 5. SHE’S FURLINE (63) as the main threat to gen­tle Persuasion. The win at Kem­bla was huge and you could find merit in the 5 of 7 in the Nuke/ Bub­bles’n’trou­bles/Gen­tle Persuasion race from Aug. 15. Zero knock on 6. BANDOL (62) who was just too good, too fast, too well rid­den, well pre­pared on de­but at Hawkes­bury.

RACE 4

2. GO BENNY (65) is ready and able to win now. This a per­fect race for him at the per­fect stage of his prepa­ra­tion. The Nathan Tin­kler bred geld­ing has been with Kris Lees for his four starts this time in, plac­ings at 3 of them in­clud­ing that honourable 2.5-lens 2nd to Dubai­in­style at Wy­ong which is not re­ally a track con­fig­u­ra­tion suit Go Benny. Fit as a fid­dle and in good spir­its. The Chris Waller trio of 1. COR­MAC (67). 4. PRESCIENCE (64) and 6. NIGHT BREAKER (60) are ma­jor play­ers for the mere fact of where the are trained let alone that they fit and in form. I have won lost on all of them ate one oc­ca­sion or an­other but as far as the rat­ings and form would tell us, Cor­mac is the one most likely of Waller three. Never easy to rank horses from this sta­ble let alone when it comes to stay­ing races; same ap­plies to­mor­row given that their form is in­ter­twined. me? I’ll play it safe and bet around them for no other rea­son than when I saw Go Benny go across the line at Wy­ong, I said to my­self ‘next time him’.

RACE 5

I AM a big 3. ALMANZORA (75) fan and was gut­ted with what hap­pened to her first-up. That’s why it so pleas­ing to see her win at Rand­wick next time with James McDon­ald giv­ing ev­ery chance to show her wares. No one is rid­ing bet­ter than him at the mo­ment. Glad to have on to­mor­row. As for Alam­zora, her form speaks it­self — 2 wins from 5 starts, a 4th in the Wood­lands and 5th to Shoals at G2 level. There’s stakes races for her this cam­paign, let’s just get through to­mor­row first. 7. LIT­TLE RED SHOES (71) has been fly­ing since she joined the Ja­son Coyle camp. So much so that the 7YO chest­nut is aim­ing for 4 straight wins for Coyle on Wed­nes­day. Coyle one of the best plac­ers of horses in busi­ness and he knows what to start this mare in — 1000m races, so you can bet Lon­don a brick, he saw one com­ing from long way off. 4. PENDELOQUE (75) is a lightly raced and well per­formed mare with a win­ning draw (if good enough). Colt Prosser’s tough old stager 5. PRINCE MAYTED (69) just never seems to run a bad race and was 3rd to Almanzora last time.

RACE 6

I WAS very keen on 11. SEEBLUME (64) in the High­way last Satur­day but she was scratched and fair enough too I guess with the rail out 10m. Seeblume started life with James Cum­mings then went to Kris Lees and is now with Joseph Ible in Can­berra. She has a huge fin­ish on her, goes okay first-up, and the 1300m is just ideal. I can see her storm­ing home over the top here to­mor­row. Fin­gers crossed. 4. TINY

TAJ (71) is a su­perbly bred mare from the Godol­phin camp be­ing by Se­poy out of Rinky Dink. Tiny Taj has rock solid record of 4s 3w. She won a C1 and C2 at Hawkes­bury in con­sec­u­tive starts to open this cam­paign and ar­rives for the right style of mid­weeker. Hon­est, ta­lented and has been well placed by the camp who have brought her to mid­weeks third-up and clearly in form. 2. SAVAAN (72) and 1. VI­ENNA RO­MANCE (73) are Satur­day class mares both of their re­spec­tive camps have elected for ap­pren­tices to take some weight of their al­lot­ments which brings them both in very well. If they all run this looks a pretty fast race which will play into Seeblume’s favour more than any other horse.

RACE 7

THE sys­tem did it again for (we) fol­low­ers. First-up out of an Oaks was 6. IMPULSIVE (72) — and off a great trial — when she won eas­ily at New­cas­tle fresh on Aug. 25 and what was the most re­mark­able thing that she drifted from $6.50 to $11 wit the TAB Fixed Odds. Hats off to lee Magor­rian, he con­tributed enor­mously to the win. This valu­able daugh­ter of So You Think and Pro­cras­ti­nate has won sec­ond-up. Loads chances in the race, it’s prob­a­bly the most open of the day and thus best bet­ting race? Any­way, I have been watch­ing 9. TEARS IN HEAVEN (69) closely this time in be­cause she is a mare that I have al­ways liked. I know the camp feels the same way. Luck is all that she has been miss­ing this cam­paign, that can hap­pen though with her pat­tern. I ac­tu­ally think the 15 bar­rier is a plus so she can get on their out­side and have one clear crack at them late. 7. LASZLO (67) has hit bis best stride now, that was em­phatic stuff at Hawkes­bury last start. 14. PALMATEER (64) was an eye catcher in the All Too Soon race at Rose­hill on Aug. 25 and is at­trac­tively weighted to­mor­row.

RACE 8

ALL the in­ter­est on the day sure re­sides with the Hayes/Hayes/ Dabernig colt 12. SMART ELIS­SIM (70) who has tempted the cham­pion jockey Craig Wil­liams for a mid­week ride on Kens­ing­ton track. No won­der would fol­low him up here, the colt has a future in bet­ter races dur­ing the car­ni­val ei­ther up here or in Mel­bourne. Won his first two like a good horse then was most un­lucky in the Up and Com­ing last start. Takes on older horses but qual­ity might see him through suc­cess­fully. 11. GEM SONG (71) is an­other in the same boast given that he is a 3YO. this son of Your Song a Kris Lees/Gooree colt un­beaten in his two runs so far, one at WF, the other at Rose­hill. Can I point out that Gem Song was beaten a length in a Beau­mont trial on Aug. 20 by horse named Sneaky Fella who a few of us here in the of­fice are at­tach­ing good thing sta­tus to in the last at New­cas­tle to­day. 1. ORI­EN­TAL RUN­NER (76) was beaten 5.4lens by a mare from the Waller sta­ble, name? Winx.

Almanzora.

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