Money ready to go Big

The Sportsman Special Issue - - Randwick preview - WITH SHAYNE O’CASS

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4 (rain fore­cast how­ever). All horses are con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Satur­day at 9am. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

RACE 1

DAVID Payne knows the fam­ily of 8. ALL TOO SOON (N/R) like his own. He trained the filly’s dam, Gal­lant Tess to win over $800,000 and then trained her son Rock Hero who won the Dul­cify. He’s at stud now. Now he has this All Too Hard ex­actly where he wants, that is, at 1800m third-up on a big track. She is ready to peak now af­ter two 3rds in bet­ter com­pany than any of her ri­vals can boast and the way she fin­ished off last time here over 1400m sug­gests only on thing — a win. 1. DEVIL’S LAIR (N/R) is a strik­ing Pierro, a real fa­ther’s son if you like, and while most would re­mem­ber him as a Cham­pion 2YO which he was, Pierro is ac­tu­ally bred to be sir­ing mil­ers and even clas­sic horses. Waller has this horse ready and want­ing the 1800m bear­ing in mind that his half brother, Wines Bush’s, only win was in an 1800m Listed race at the Flem­ing­ton car­ni­val. Note that Wine Bush runs in race four on Tues­day on this card. Best of the rest is 9. HIGH­WAY (N/R) who ran her best race so last start at Can­ter­bury when dropped out and ran on.

RACE 2

THIS race will look noth­ing like it does now come post time Tues­day with a hand­ful of horses ac­cepted for both here and at Kem­bla, nearly all of them from the Waller yard. What­ever he starts with in ei­ther race, rest as­sured, he will win with. Let’s just hope that 6. SE­AWAY (N/R) runs here and not at Kem­bla. He is a $210,000 Karaka (NZ) sale year­ling by Ocean Park. The only one of his mum’s foals to run so far is a Listed win­ner in Sin­ga­pore with about $820,000 in the bank. Se­away was given a ridicu­lously easy trial away at WF on Oct. 24 but you could see that he had some­thing to of­fer. Mar­ket moves an­tic­i­pated. As men­tioned, no one knows who will run where this far out so we’ll leave it at this — Se­away to beat 10. EPI­DEMIC (N/R), a Godol­phin sis­ter to G1 win­ner Im­pend­ing that has al­ways shown tal­ent and was so, so, so un­lucky first-up (she should have won bar­ing a tor­rid run in tran­sit). Then it’s down to Waller’s 8. TUNERO (N/R) and 1. ALMIGHTY CROWN (N/R) but they too are pos­si­bil­i­ties for Kem­bla.

RACE 3

MORE dreaded dual ac­cep­tors here — some of th­ese might go to Kem­bla as well, which ones, no­body knows. 5. SO YOU WIN (N/R) is a Waller trained geld­ing by the 10-times G1 win­ner and Mel­bourne Cup run­ner-up So You Think out of a half sis­ter to ex­tra­or­di­nary 4 times G1 win­ning mare Habibti. It’s such a pity he is a geld­ing be­cause he has a stal­lions pedi­gree. This fel­low was kept very safe at around the $12 mark when he de­buted at Kem­bla in a 1300m maiden on Oct. 19 and fin­ished strongly to get within a di­min­ish­ing 2.6lens of the win­ner. Up to 1400m and on the big Rand­wick track, look for him to be get­ting home hard again in the Winx colours. 4. PLAGIARIST (N/R) may not run here but if he does, he goes in as the dan­ger. He is bred to win a Derby or even a Mel­bourne Cup but he has shown sur­pris­ing ‘zip’ in his tri­als so he may go for­ward from the gate, if he’s here that is! Waller also has 11. PALMATEER (N/R) en­tered. She’s well named be­ing out of Lit­tle Surfer Girl and is thus named in hon­our of WA surfer Fe­lic­ity Palmateer. Ran okay in a mid­weeker at the Farm on Oct. 25 with­out be­ing sen­sa­tional. 1. HIGHER GROUND (N/R) and 9. IM­PUL­SIVE (N/R) are both chances from the Camp Waller but they have to get off the float first. Field of 14 but could num­ber much less than that come post time.

RACE 4

THIS is a trap race. A few of th­ese horses have been rac­ing against each other in re­cent times and I guess that be­ing the case we have to salute 3. READY FOR SUC­CESS (69) given he has been the most con­sis­tent with ‘221’ at his last three. He is a very fit com­mod­ity right now and han­dled the first time to 2400m eas­ily last start at WF smash­ing the peren­ni­ally dis­ap­point­ing 4. WINE BUSH (67) by 2.3-lens. Why not again? What to do with Wine Bush? How this horse is 1 from 18 is just amaz­ing. He is so costly to fol­low but you know with horses like that, that they come and win and when you’re not on them. Me? I have had enough him — bad rides and all — he just doesn’t seem to be able to kick a goal when it counts. You watch him win and ruin my Cup Day! Out­side of those, the Can­berra mare 8. ROSARUBY (670 is on the quick back-up af­ter a com­mend­able 4th in the Quean­beyan Cup with 61kgs and goes around with 52kgs this time. Pretty hon­est mare ac­tu­ally, she is well worth a look at the odds. Any­thing goes here.

RACE 5

WALLER again here. 9. AQUATIC (64) has only won the 1 race in 16 but the day that he won about 80/1, he looked like Winx! That win was at this t/d on Anzac Day last year. He hasn’t lived up to his rea­son­able amount of tal­ent and prom­ise to date but that doesn’t mean he won’t win races and Waller has found a beauty for him down there on 53kgs. I saw him trial and im­me­di­ately marked down him as a first-up win­ner de­spite the fact that he is 3s 0-0-0 fresh. 6. SAVVAN (71) is an ex James Cum­mings trained mare that is now housed in High Street with John O’Shea. One would imag­ine that O’Shea was most pleased with her first-up run here on Oct. 7 where she came from 15th on the turn to fin­ish 1.5-lens from the win­ner Chalk in a bunched fin­ish to the 1200m Bm80. O’Shea knows more about the Sav­abeels than any­one this side of the Tas­man so he was an ob­vi­ous choice to fur­ther her ca­reer when James went over to Godol­phin. Savvan is 2s 1-1-0 sec­ond-up. Nice. 5. PRINCESS POSH (75) is well in with 55kgs af­ter the claim. At her best, she’d be al­most the one to beat. Look out for a bold first-up bid from 3. THE GAVEL (73) who has won from only 1900m to 2200m but he has a de­cent fin­ish on him and this is not a big field.

RACE 6

FIL­LIES and mares races are typ­i­cally wide af­fairs open to any com­bi­na­tion, and with a ca­pac­ity field (still only 12), luck in run­ning may well play a big part. That said, I found a good bet here in the shape of 6. KAWAIKINI (66) from the Ja­son Coyle camp. Few train­ers place their horses bet­ter than Coyle and that’s part the rea­son why this daugh­ter of All Amer­i­can boasts a record of 10s 3-2-2. One of those 2nds was to New Uni­verse who is a pretty fair horse. Coyle took the mare down to Nowra first-up for a kill and Kathy O’Hara came back from a 2nd in the Caulfield Cup 24 hours to ride her. That’s a good sign. Josh Adams takes over for Tues­day and we’ve go no is­sues there — he’s a rip­per jockey. 7. LOVELETTER (66) was $21 into $17 at stages of bet­ting be­fore her 6th of 9 at the WF mid­weeks (in the Zonk race; see be­low) the other day. It was quite a solid run ac­tu­ally in terms of ‘next time’. This is the next time and she is back home and up to a suit­able trip. 13. ASSERTIN MIS­CHIEF (65) is in at Goul­burn on Sun­day (this was writ­ten Fri­day night) so I sus­pect she has run and won there. if not, she’s 3rd pick ahead of 4. ZONK (70) who would have been higher but for a wide draw. It (a wide draw) beat her at odds-on at WF, it may beat her again on Tues­day.

RACE 7

2. BIG MONEY (100) might run at Flem­ing­ton on Cup Day so I won’t waste any­time on him ex­pect to say he won me over that he is back in busi­ness off two scorch­ing tri­als, the last one at home at Scone was amaz­ing — just amaz­ing. If he is not here I am happy to play the Joe Pride trained 9. TAC­TI­CAL AD­VAN­TAGE (85) whom I loved first-up (he lost) here as re­cently as Oct. 28 but bear in mind he had 60.5kgs and while I didn’t think the weight would play a neg­a­tive role, it def­i­nitely did. So it is with de­light that I see Joe Pride has booked Rachel King which means that the Gooree geld­ing car­ries 53kgs mi­nus 1.5kgs which rep­re­sents a mas­sive 9kgs drop on his first-up run. Has won on good to heavy and slow in be­tween. is 2s 1w sec­ond-up. Drawn 3. Ticks a lot of them boxes! 5. PALAZZO PUBBLICO (97) is the one that is go­ing to be rat­tling home at the end; she al­ways does. The Gerry Har­vey owned mare is 6s 2-0-1 fresh and has won at Rand­wick. Four of her 7 wins are at 1100m and I bet most if them were her charg­ing home over the top off a hot speed which she is as­sured of on Tues­day. Big caveat though, she needs it dry and rain is pre­dicted but on Fri­day night as I wrote this, we have no idea what the track con­di­tion will be in 5 days out. That goes for ev­ery race, ev­ery horse ac­tu­ally.

RACE 8

SPEAK­ING of the pos­si­bil­ity of a wet track on Tues­day, I fear that my top pick 9. MOQUEEN (71) may be dealt out of the game be­cause from what we have seen from here, she doesn’t like it wet. Not sur­pris­ingly per­haps given her sire, Un­cle Mo, is an Amer­i­can dirt horse of some re­pute. Moqueen was trained for the first 14 starts of her ca­reer by An­thony Cum­mings who still part owns the mare. She had her first run for new trainer Chris Waller at the WF mid­week and ran around at $13 af­ter touch­ing $16. She ran quite well, noth­ing to write home about, but some­thing for Waller to work with no doubt — if it’s dry that is. If it is wet or if she is scratched, I am with 3. LOOKIN’ AT YOU (71) who some­what iron­i­cally is trained by An­thony Cum­mings (and son Ed­ward) who part owns him. I liked this horse first-up and he was $21 to $41 so I went off a run or two early it seems. He raced in a very fast run 1400m which didn’t suit him hence why he tried late. Fit­ter, at home, up to the mile — ex­pect a much bet­ter out­come on Tues­day. 6. OUR BELISA (74) was backed as if un­beaten at WF last start and snuck across the line un­der a great Blake Shinn ride. ‘Mares in form’ is a great sys­tem and John Thomp­son has her go­ing su­per.

RACE 9

JAMES Cum­mings may well have won a Mel­bourne Cup by the time the last race is run at Rand­wick on Tues­day, if so, only 11 to go to equal his grand­fa­ther Bart! Hey, don’t laugh — it’s doable at his age and train­ing for a Sheikh! Any­way, good luck to him with Hart­nell and ditto here with 4. ISTRIA (72). This daugh­ter of Re­set has a fine lit­tle record of 9s 3-1-2 and comes off a boom­ing 2.2-lens win at New­cas­tle in a de­cent Bm68 over the 1400m. She is fourth up now and re­ally at her peak this cam­paign, just as you’d ex­pect from a mare bred her way. She can race handy enough from gate 1 and we know from what we saw at New­cas­tle that she can put them to bed pretty quickly when needed. That said, there were no horses in that field with the tal­ent of 2. SO SPIR­ITED (70) who apart from be­ing in great shape and form has one big thing go­ing for him — Joe Pride in the last! If you are a first time punter or reader of Sports­man, I should ex­plain — Pride wins more last races than any trainer ever, any­where! It is re­mark­able. True. Of the rest — 5. PIANISSIMO (68) and a big roughie, 10. THE GRAND­SON (65).

Big Money.

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