Money ready to go Big
NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Good 4 (rain forecast however). All horses are considered starters unless notified by Saturday at 9am. (N/R) denotes no rating.
DAVID Payne knows the family of 8. ALL TOO SOON (N/R) like his own. He trained the filly’s dam, Gallant Tess to win over $800,000 and then trained her son Rock Hero who won the Dulcify. He’s at stud now. Now he has this All Too Hard exactly where he wants, that is, at 1800m third-up on a big track. She is ready to peak now after two 3rds in better company than any of her rivals can boast and the way she finished off last time here over 1400m suggests only on thing — a win. 1. DEVIL’S LAIR (N/R) is a striking Pierro, a real father’s son if you like, and while most would remember him as a Champion 2YO which he was, Pierro is actually bred to be siring milers and even classic horses. Waller has this horse ready and wanting the 1800m bearing in mind that his half brother, Wines Bush’s, only win was in an 1800m Listed race at the Flemington carnival. Note that Wine Bush runs in race four on Tuesday on this card. Best of the rest is 9. HIGHWAY (N/R) who ran her best race so last start at Canterbury when dropped out and ran on.
THIS race will look nothing like it does now come post time Tuesday with a handful of horses accepted for both here and at Kembla, nearly all of them from the Waller yard. Whatever he starts with in either race, rest assured, he will win with. Let’s just hope that 6. SEAWAY (N/R) runs here and not at Kembla. He is a $210,000 Karaka (NZ) sale yearling by Ocean Park. The only one of his mum’s foals to run so far is a Listed winner in Singapore with about $820,000 in the bank. Seaway was given a ridiculously easy trial away at WF on Oct. 24 but you could see that he had something to offer. Market moves anticipated. As mentioned, no one knows who will run where this far out so we’ll leave it at this — Seaway to beat 10. EPIDEMIC (N/R), a Godolphin sister to G1 winner Impending that has always shown talent and was so, so, so unlucky first-up (she should have won baring a torrid run in transit). Then it’s down to Waller’s 8. TUNERO (N/R) and 1. ALMIGHTY CROWN (N/R) but they too are possibilities for Kembla.
MORE dreaded dual acceptors here — some of these might go to Kembla as well, which ones, nobody knows. 5. SO YOU WIN (N/R) is a Waller trained gelding by the 10-times G1 winner and Melbourne Cup runner-up So You Think out of a half sister to extraordinary 4 times G1 winning mare Habibti. It’s such a pity he is a gelding because he has a stallions pedigree. This fellow was kept very safe at around the $12 mark when he debuted at Kembla in a 1300m maiden on Oct. 19 and finished strongly to get within a diminishing 2.6lens of the winner. Up to 1400m and on the big Randwick track, look for him to be getting home hard again in the Winx colours. 4. PLAGIARIST (N/R) may not run here but if he does, he goes in as the danger. He is bred to win a Derby or even a Melbourne Cup but he has shown surprising ‘zip’ in his trials so he may go forward from the gate, if he’s here that is! Waller also has 11. PALMATEER (N/R) entered. She’s well named being out of Little Surfer Girl and is thus named in honour of WA surfer Felicity Palmateer. Ran okay in a midweeker at the Farm on Oct. 25 without being sensational. 1. HIGHER GROUND (N/R) and 9. IMPULSIVE (N/R) are both chances from the Camp Waller but they have to get off the float first. Field of 14 but could number much less than that come post time.
THIS is a trap race. A few of these horses have been racing against each other in recent times and I guess that being the case we have to salute 3. READY FOR SUCCESS (69) given he has been the most consistent with ‘221’ at his last three. He is a very fit commodity right now and handled the first time to 2400m easily last start at WF smashing the perennially disappointing 4. WINE BUSH (67) by 2.3-lens. Why not again? What to do with Wine Bush? How this horse is 1 from 18 is just amazing. He is so costly to follow but you know with horses like that, that they come and win and when you’re not on them. Me? I have had enough him — bad rides and all — he just doesn’t seem to be able to kick a goal when it counts. You watch him win and ruin my Cup Day! Outside of those, the Canberra mare 8. ROSARUBY (670 is on the quick back-up after a commendable 4th in the Queanbeyan Cup with 61kgs and goes around with 52kgs this time. Pretty honest mare actually, she is well worth a look at the odds. Anything goes here.
WALLER again here. 9. AQUATIC (64) has only won the 1 race in 16 but the day that he won about 80/1, he looked like Winx! That win was at this t/d on Anzac Day last year. He hasn’t lived up to his reasonable amount of talent and promise to date but that doesn’t mean he won’t win races and Waller has found a beauty for him down there on 53kgs. I saw him trial and immediately marked down him as a first-up winner despite the fact that he is 3s 0-0-0 fresh. 6. SAVVAN (71) is an ex James Cummings trained mare that is now housed in High Street with John O’Shea. One would imagine that O’Shea was most pleased with her first-up run here on Oct. 7 where she came from 15th on the turn to finish 1.5-lens from the winner Chalk in a bunched finish to the 1200m Bm80. O’Shea knows more about the Savabeels than anyone this side of the Tasman so he was an obvious choice to further her career when James went over to Godolphin. Savvan is 2s 1-1-0 second-up. Nice. 5. PRINCESS POSH (75) is well in with 55kgs after the claim. At her best, she’d be almost the one to beat. Look out for a bold first-up bid from 3. THE GAVEL (73) who has won from only 1900m to 2200m but he has a decent finish on him and this is not a big field.
FILLIES and mares races are typically wide affairs open to any combination, and with a capacity field (still only 12), luck in running may well play a big part. That said, I found a good bet here in the shape of 6. KAWAIKINI (66) from the Jason Coyle camp. Few trainers place their horses better than Coyle and that’s part the reason why this daughter of All American boasts a record of 10s 3-2-2. One of those 2nds was to New Universe who is a pretty fair horse. Coyle took the mare down to Nowra first-up for a kill and Kathy O’Hara came back from a 2nd in the Caulfield Cup 24 hours to ride her. That’s a good sign. Josh Adams takes over for Tuesday and we’ve go no issues there — he’s a ripper jockey. 7. LOVELETTER (66) was $21 into $17 at stages of betting before her 6th of 9 at the WF midweeks (in the Zonk race; see below) the other day. It was quite a solid run actually in terms of ‘next time’. This is the next time and she is back home and up to a suitable trip. 13. ASSERTIN MISCHIEF (65) is in at Goulburn on Sunday (this was written Friday night) so I suspect she has run and won there. if not, she’s 3rd pick ahead of 4. ZONK (70) who would have been higher but for a wide draw. It (a wide draw) beat her at odds-on at WF, it may beat her again on Tuesday.
2. BIG MONEY (100) might run at Flemington on Cup Day so I won’t waste anytime on him expect to say he won me over that he is back in business off two scorching trials, the last one at home at Scone was amazing — just amazing. If he is not here I am happy to play the Joe Pride trained 9. TACTICAL ADVANTAGE (85) whom I loved first-up (he lost) here as recently as Oct. 28 but bear in mind he had 60.5kgs and while I didn’t think the weight would play a negative role, it definitely did. So it is with delight that I see Joe Pride has booked Rachel King which means that the Gooree gelding carries 53kgs minus 1.5kgs which represents a massive 9kgs drop on his first-up run. Has won on good to heavy and slow in between. is 2s 1w second-up. Drawn 3. Ticks a lot of them boxes! 5. PALAZZO PUBBLICO (97) is the one that is going to be rattling home at the end; she always does. The Gerry Harvey owned mare is 6s 2-0-1 fresh and has won at Randwick. Four of her 7 wins are at 1100m and I bet most if them were her charging home over the top off a hot speed which she is assured of on Tuesday. Big caveat though, she needs it dry and rain is predicted but on Friday night as I wrote this, we have no idea what the track condition will be in 5 days out. That goes for every race, every horse actually.
SPEAKING of the possibility of a wet track on Tuesday, I fear that my top pick 9. MOQUEEN (71) may be dealt out of the game because from what we have seen from here, she doesn’t like it wet. Not surprisingly perhaps given her sire, Uncle Mo, is an American dirt horse of some repute. Moqueen was trained for the first 14 starts of her career by Anthony Cummings who still part owns the mare. She had her first run for new trainer Chris Waller at the WF midweek and ran around at $13 after touching $16. She ran quite well, nothing to write home about, but something for Waller to work with no doubt — if it’s dry that is. If it is wet or if she is scratched, I am with 3. LOOKIN’ AT YOU (71) who somewhat ironically is trained by Anthony Cummings (and son Edward) who part owns him. I liked this horse first-up and he was $21 to $41 so I went off a run or two early it seems. He raced in a very fast run 1400m which didn’t suit him hence why he tried late. Fitter, at home, up to the mile — expect a much better outcome on Tuesday. 6. OUR BELISA (74) was backed as if unbeaten at WF last start and snuck across the line under a great Blake Shinn ride. ‘Mares in form’ is a great system and John Thompson has her going super.
JAMES Cummings may well have won a Melbourne Cup by the time the last race is run at Randwick on Tuesday, if so, only 11 to go to equal his grandfather Bart! Hey, don’t laugh — it’s doable at his age and training for a Sheikh! Anyway, good luck to him with Hartnell and ditto here with 4. ISTRIA (72). This daughter of Reset has a fine little record of 9s 3-1-2 and comes off a booming 2.2-lens win at Newcastle in a decent Bm68 over the 1400m. She is fourth up now and really at her peak this campaign, just as you’d expect from a mare bred her way. She can race handy enough from gate 1 and we know from what we saw at Newcastle that she can put them to bed pretty quickly when needed. That said, there were no horses in that field with the talent of 2. SO SPIRITED (70) who apart from being in great shape and form has one big thing going for him — Joe Pride in the last! If you are a first time punter or reader of Sportsman, I should explain — Pride wins more last races than any trainer ever, anywhere! It is remarkable. True. Of the rest — 5. PIANISSIMO (68) and a big roughie, 10. THE GRANDSON (65).