Cheri ripe for Tatt’s Cup
NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Good 4. All horses are considered starters unless notified by Friday at 1 PM. (N/R) denotes no rating. HNY denotes Happy New Year!
WHO better to win the first race on 2018 than Chris Waller who has a tight grip on proceedings here with
6. SAVACOOL (65) and 7. VELOCITA (65) who, as you can, have exactly the same benchmark rating at this stage of their careers. I went with Savacool given that he was 2nd to stablemate Seaway last time and I know that Waller has some opinion of that horse. Savacool is fourth run into the preparation so is fit and he has the in-running advantage over Velocita who has been getting back in her races and it is just so hard to keep giving away starts and having to run them down late. When you race like that, tempo and luck become more crucial than usual. On top of that, she is coming back 100m which while not a deal breaker on its own, most traditionalists like to see a horse going up in trip, more so when said horse happens to be a Savabeel, the champion NZ provider of classic horses. 4. SINJAREE (63) is a Team Hawkes colt who is up from the Melbourne stables having raced quite well down there to open his career. The way he raced at MV on Dec. 15 is suggestive that 1800m on a big track is what he is after. 1.
BULL MARKET (67) is more than a month between runs and rising from 1400m to 1800m but one, he’s with the Snowdens, and two, he is out of a Zabeel mare so fitness and trip is no concern.
4. BASTIA (70) and 2. HUNTER JACK (75) are both scheduled to run in different races on Saturday at Randwick so three races are going to change their make-up depending on where they go. That makes it impossible and quite a pointless exercise to try and get this one worked out thus I’ll say no more. Bastia (the most likely of the two to run) to beat Hunter Jack then 1. NOTHING BOX (77).
A VERY interesting race coming up now, a big field, probably capacity, with a few first starters together with some very lightly-raced 3YO’s that have a future beyond this. Chief among those is 10. PRESS
REVIEW (N/R), a Street Cry half to two of Waller’s former G1 winners in Press Statement and Pressday. Waller has taken his time with her, her gave a million trials and never showed her up to any degree in either of them but she was ‘the eye catcher’ in pretty much every one of them. I was all over her on debut at Canterbury the other night where she was $12 to $20 which was indicative that she would need the run. That was the way it worked out but she closed off dutifully to finish 3.1-lens from the winner that evening. It was a ripper run from a ‘next time’ perspective. She is going to love swapping 1200m around Canterbury to 1400m here at Randwick second run in. Whether she is number 3 G1 winner for her mum, time will tell, but I am sure she has stakes quality. 13.
VOODOO LADY (N/R) is a grey daughter of Pins from the Lee Curtis camp. She has made ground, and fast, at her two runs either side of a spell both times running around Wyong (1100m and 1350m). She too is going to absolutely devour her opportunity to run at Randwick and I expect her to be motoring once she tops the rise. She comes through a couple of good looking provincial maidens and should not be underestimated. 14. OMBUDSMAN (N/R) is a Waller runner by Reliable Man whom he trained. Remember this is the stallion who won a French Derby and QE 2 here and everyone I talk to over in NZ just keeps talking him up, saying that in 12 months time, he will be a really sought after stallion. I agree whole heartedly and I am pretty sure Waller is a big fan of the horse. Ombudsman has always looked a handy type in his trials and his run first-up was quite akin to his stablemate Press Review who was behind him in the run but beat him by 0.8-lens at the finish post. He too is going to love 1400m on the big track.
MY first roughie (winner/hopefully) of 2018 is 9. MAGIC DALLAS (62) and don’t forget this is a Tattersalls meeting and there’s always a few longshots get up. The Jason Coyle trained chestnut has a strike rate of 6 from 54 but he is 7s 2-2-0 fresh and all of his wins are on good and even with some rain about, hopefully we won’t slide too far up the water table. I thought his two trials have been super, that last one in particular where he ran the very, very talented My Maher to a diminishing 1.8-lens in a WF 801m heat on Dec. 5. He seems to like his exertions spaces so the 26-days break since the trial to the race (on Monday) is doubtlessly pre-planned by a very astute trainer who knows every hair on this chestnut. Magic Dallas may rate 62 these days but there was a time when he was racing in much better company than this on Saturdays and in minor features around the State and when they put pace on, he nearly always run a grandiose sectional. I am worried about barrier 1 though, I would have preferred 12 myself — I don’t mind him being last on the turn, but last/fence, is a totally different story. 3. TIME OUT OF
MIND (67) is a Kris Lees 4YO with a record of 8s 2-1-1. The son of Dream Ahead came from last in the mid-stages to finish 1.1-lens 2nd to the speed ball Bonita in an 1100m Scone Bm65 where they ran home the last 600m in 33.17s so goodness only knows what this horse has clocked for his closing splits. He will appreciate the extra 100m and Glyn Schofield has won on him. 6 PIRAPALA (67) is a Hayes/Hayes/ Dabernig Sepoy mare who used to race up here when Gerald Ryan had her for the China Horse Club. Her 4 runs in Victoria include a Tatura Maiden win and a last start win at the Valley. She drew well and raced handy that day, she’s drawn 3 and I suspect will take advantage again.
THE ONE horse more than any in this race that is working up to a win is 10. BOLLY (60). The Les Bridge trained mare is third-up on Monday at home over the mile after two runs back over 1000m and 1400m with a trial in between. Bolly was finishing hard both times after dropping back early in both of those races suggesting that the 1600m will suit her. The horse that finished 2nd in the Hawkesbury 1400m Bm67 last start is also here namely 6. LETTER TO JULIETTE
(63) who is going to strip inordinately fitter for the outing. She had trialled well leading into the race so things seem to going very well for the Garry White trained mare. That said, I have 8. MADDISON
AVENUE (63) ahead of her because she has drawn 3 and is going to go to the front or very close to it. Winona Costin rides her extremely well and the pair were only denied the win very late in proceedings when they partnered up at Wyong over the mile. I must say, I do have major concerns about her running a Randwick Mile given that she was run down at Wyong but she raced outside the lead that day and it may be a different story if she can hold the fence and not get too much pressure in front. At the end of the day though, Bolly is the one that we know will be finishing off the fastest and she does seem to be peaking for this assignment. Looks to me like Les Bridge has found this race for her from a while ago and got here in career best shape.
1. JAUNTY (71) is a huge player and I am expecting a much better result for 2. FOURNETTE (69) here from her last start 8th which actually wasn’t all that bad from a mare that may not ‘go’ second-up. I should also mention that the horse that beat both Bolly and Letter To Juliette at Hawkesbury is here namely 5. ALLEZ BIEN (63) who did it racing three wide no cover.
THIS is the feature Tattersall’s Club Cup which dates back to 1886 and its most famous winner would perhaps have to be Poitrel who won this race in 1918 and the Melbourne Cup two years after. Last year’s winner is here — Destiny’s Kiss, one of his 10 Cup wins, an amazing horse! I have him second this year behind 4. PRINCE CHERI (92) who has found a new lease on life as a 9YO under the care and guidance of John O’Shea. The Frenchbred gelding has gone ‘343’ in his last three runs and loomed big time in the Christmas Cup but was just outpointed late by 3. VASSAL
(95) and 2. BROADSIDE (103) but whats 2-lens over a mile and a half ? Not much. Bear in mind too that he was 5 weeks between runs and I am certainly not saying he wasn’t fit but he’s 15-days away from his last 2400m run into this on Monday. He had 53.5kgs in the Christmas Cup and stays on that weight whereas Vassal goes up 2kgs, Broadside the same 59kgs, but that still represents 5.5kgs more than the Prince will carry in a few days time. Given what we have seen these regular combatants, it is going to be a very absorbing race, really tactical again and will come down to who shows up best on the day, etc, etc, the usual stuff. I am with Prince Cheri (again) but I do fear the aforementioned 1. DESTINY’S KISS (107) purely on the fact that he is such a grand competitor. I remember him winning last year’s Tatts Club Cup where you would have fair dinkum made origami out of your ticket on the bend, it was like he was in quicksand, but somehow he got there — wow. He is 4 from 33 on good, 13 wins/9 placings from 42 on rain affected tracks but he won this race on a Good 4. Regarding the weight, he has won with 60kgs but never with 61kgs. The only time he has carried 61 before was his 3rd in the Winter Cup. If he pulls this one — it’ll be the performance of 2018! He he.
DEANNE Panya, 53.5kgs, gate 4, 1000m, blinding speed and a smashing trial all adds up to a win for 10.
GOLDFINCH (70) so much so that I made the Written Tycoon filly the best bet and by a big margin. Goldfinch is 4s 2-0-1 so far and there are excuses for the two times she didn’t win. The debut was she was ridden a bit quieter than maybe was best for her, so said trainer Steve Englebrecht after she won by 4-lens at Gosford one day and the other time (her last start on Aug. 3), she took a chunk out of her heel at the start so it was a huge effort really to do what she did — lead, feel the heel late but still only get beaten 2-lens. She’s back and that trial the other day where she was jogtrotting alongside the very nippy Secret Lady was the right stuff. I just hope something else here doesn’t make life too difficult for Goldfinch but I also remember Deanne saying once that this filly was faster out of the gates than She Will Reign whom she rode to win on debut at Kembla and remember, she was about 5-lens in front after they went a furlong! 8. FLORID (68) is a Godolpihin gelding who finished 2nd in the race that Goldfinch faltered in at Hawkesbury at the end of her short sharp prep. Florid was no match whatsoever for Sasso Corbaro first-up but neither were any of the others. Big stat vis-a-vie Florid is that he is 2s 2w second-up and they are both wins of the career so far.
3. I CAN ROCK (68) is going to appreciate the near track record pace that I suspect we will see here but with that said, I fear that the horse may be run off his legs and will need to do a Chautauqua to win.
HOW well are Triple Crown Syndications going? This paper comes out on Saturday morning so they may have won two races at Randwick today with Brave Song and Dothraki and I can also tell you that they have a 2YO on debut at Canterbury come Friday night called Misteed who is something else. Get on him when markets go up, he’s a doozy. I mention all that because I think the Triple Crown crew and their trusty trainers, the Snowdens, will win the first Get Out Stakes of 2018 with 3. SMARTEDGE (71). The son of Smart Missile did a big job to win a Bm67 at Kembla on Dec. 16. Granted he is city class but he had 59kgs first-up and was 8th at the turn in a field of 10 but once he got balanced up and started to extend, there was only going to ever be one result. That’s class and talent. Now he comes home for a 1400m and the way he races, he has always looked like a horse that would be ideally suited at this trip. He will come in to an acceptable barrier after scratchings and with the longish run into the sweeping bend, hopefully the great Blake Shinn can do his bit and get the horse into striking distance one off somewhere with cover, etc, etc and then bang — turn it on up the rise and hopefully sweep to victory again a la Kembla. Speaking of Kembla, one doubts if there are many more consistent horses down in the Illawarra than Paul Murray’s 2. CHIEF IN COMMAND
(70) who has a record of 6 wins and 8 placings from 22 starts. Whereas Smartedge is fairly lightly-raced but on the way up, the Chief is a hard head, a seasoned 6YO who is battle fit. His draw (12) or one outside Smartedge potentially hurts him more than it does the Snowden colt however but if Randwick happened to lay ‘on-pace’ it levels it up again. 8. MAGICAZ (68) is a good, honest mare from the David Pfieffer camp who is nearly always competitive. Of the others, a big nod to 9. ECHO JET (67) — watch the markets — and 11. TRAVANCORE
(63) who has drawn the outside barrier but that’s okay for him, he is best ridden cool and saved for one run. That was what he did at Kembla last start only Smartedge was one position behind him and ended up beating him by a length and nose.
Vassal (outside) beats Broadside and Prince Cheri.