Bris­bane Pre­view

The Sportsman Weekend - - Detailed For Mguide For Doomben - with Greg Splet­ter

Race 1

Tough lit­tle stay­ing race to open the card and I’m stick­ing with EMER­ALD CITY who af­ter two im­prov­ing runs should be ready to pro­duce some­thing like his best. Not at home fresh on the set track at Ea­gle Farm be­fore a bet­ter ef­fort in the Toowoomba Cup over 2000m. He won four in a row when he hit his straps last cam­paign and against a very av­er­age line -up here he looks rea­son­able value at $3.80. Such is the weak­ness of the field that MR LEBROCK can get wal­loped his last three and still be sin­gle fig­ure odds. He wasn’t suited by the soft track firstup, was left at start sec­ond-up and did go bet­ter here last start fin­ish­ing close -up be­hind Rul­ing Force. He has a bit of tal­ent over these stay­ing trips when he’s right and he is a big show to pick up a cheque for the first time this prep. My men­tal notes have COMACINA as both non-win­ner and a mid­weeker, though his last four cer­tainly have him flagged for re­assess­ment. He won a class five four runs back against an av­er­age lot but he backed it up with

good ef­fort be­hind Morendi in open class. Last time out Made a lot of ground in a Bm85 and drops lit­tle in weight here back up to open grade, but I can’t pos­si­bly come into him at $2.60. He has just spent too long in the wilder­ness at this level.

Race 2

COOROI CHASE does look the stand­out here as the only last- start metro win­ner in race. She scored an in­cred­i­ble trial win at Deagon be - fore mak­ing her de­but and it was a tidy win here over this trip scor­ing by over a length. It was a heavy-8 and the breed do ap­pre­ci­ate the sting out of ground, but as­sum­ing she can bring it to a dry sur­face to­mor­row she will go close. Well drawn and the $3.80 feels about right. SISTA ACT has a plac­ing be­hind Houtzen to her credit, though it was a dis­tant one. Dis­ap­pointed two runs back in the Cal­away Gal but on her best form she is right up to this. Drawn awk­wardly but the $9.00 quote is fair com­pen­sa­tion. GIRL IN A MIL­LION is an odd duck who belted her op­po­si­tion at her home track on de­but then was sent out an odds - favourite, went like the clap­pers and fell in a heap to beat one home. Should last longer rid­den with a touch more pa­tience and is one for your mul­ti­ples as a pos­si­ble sharp im­prover.

Race 3

The last at Rand­wick to­mor­row was SIREN’S FURY’s to lose so the fact that they have opted head north for black type is en­cour­ag­ing. Scored a big win at Al­bury two runs back com­ing from last over 1400m and was sub­se­quently sent out with some sup - port in the Listed South Pa­cific. Put in an­other barn­storm­ing run to fin­ish just a half length from the win­ner and at set weight she will give this a mighty shake. One of sev­eral Syd­ney raider on the pro­gram with strong claims and very happy to take the $4.60. CANDIKA is a classy filly who has been work­ing her­self back into form in weaker com­pany but is well up to these. A lit­tle dis­ap­point­ing when a close third to Deep Im­age here last time but she will run the trip out. Not en­ti­tled be $2.65 with top pick en­gaged is a big dan­ger. I thought OUR BEE­BEE might be a big car­ni­val sur­prise but she didn’t do much back on a dry track last time af­ter cre­at­ing a big im­pres­sion with a hat-trick on soft tracks. Looks a bit short at $4.20 for filly that went so poorly last time, but if she re­pro­duces her soft track form here will just about win.

Race 4

The favourite will be very hard to beat here but he is not in­vul­ner­a­ble and at the big odds I’m jump­ing onto CON­FRONTING to cause a mi­nor up­set. He’s been a model of con­sis - tency in weaker grade, but last start he drew right off the track and still bat­tled on to fin­ish just a length a bit be­hind two of best class six­ers go­ing round up here in Taillevent and Privlaka. He was also up to 57.5kg that day and drop­ping back a fur­long to the 1000m dash so he car­ried plenty of neg­a­tives go­ing into the run. Back out his pet trip to­mor­row, drop­ping back down to the min­i­mum and jump - ing from a good gate, he is great value at $12.00. LAND OF­FICE def­i­nitely looms as the main threat fol­low­ing a close -up third to Qu­a­tronic at this level. There aren’t that many chances in this but the $2.60 is nowhere close to draw­ing me in on this bloke. SAY YOU LOVE ME is knock­out hope down the bot­tom re­sum­ing here from an in­form sta­ble. Ran some good races last cam­paign in­clud­ing a close -up run be­hind Bet­ter Land in strong class three and if the pace goes on she will be run­ning home strongly.

Race 5

Very hard open sprint here and I’m on IR­ISH CON­STAB­U­LARY here with­out a great deal of con­fi­dence. Scored an in­cred­i­ble win in the Coun­try Cup on Mil­lions day at Gold Coast back in Jan­uary be­fore a solid ef­fort in weaker com­pany in Bm85 at the Sun­shine Coast. He goes well fresh, has drawn the paint and with J Lloyd steer­ing he has to be a hope. Ris­ing nine but still go­ing well the $4.60 is prob­a­bly on the money. DI­VINE CENTURI ran a shocker at her first try on wet ground in the Gold­mar­ket last start and it may pay to pen the run com­pletely. Go­ing in­stead on her pre­vi­ous run when sec­ond

fly­ing Pinch River she has to be a chance in this. She’s been fresh­ened up and hav­ing never missed a place at Doomben she looks de­cent value at $10. SWEET SERENDIP­ITY will lead here and is half a chance of get­ting some soft sec­tion­als midrace. Stuck on well at her last two in Syd­ney but I’m not so sure about the qual­ity she was rac­ing against. Not worst and with the hint of a soft lead she looks right at $5.00.

Race 6

The form around GUARD OF HON­OUR is aw­fully strong and af­ter many months out of the win­ners’ cir­cle this is his race. Strong bat­tling run be - hind Man From Un­cle in the Eskimo Prince back in Fe­bru­ary then although out­classed the Oak­leigh Place he wasn’t dis­graced, fin­ish­ing five lengths from Shei­del and Faatinah. Scored a nice trial win at home last week and he’s a good bet $4.80. The $34 about THUN­DER RAIDER caught my eye as good overs as she re­sumes here from a break. Won three in a row at the end of her last cam­paign high grade 3yo com­pany and with cou­ple of tri­als un­der belt she could run a cheeky race fresh. Drawn the in­side and worth a saver at the big price no matter who you’re on. ALL OVER BO - SANOVA has opened up $3.60 favourite fol­low­ing four un­beaten runs to date. She won them all by con­vinc­ing mar­gins, but while she beat a cou­ple of good 3yo’s at her lat­est run, her pre­vi­ous vic­to­ries were against sig­nif­i­cantly in­fe­rior op­po­si­tion to what she faces here. I can’t leave her out and gets a spot in the quad­die for sure, but there are bet­ter op­tions.

Race 7

An­other Sydneysider with form enough that she re­ally should beat them to­mor­row. Found the Cool­more Clas­sic a bit stiff when beaten six lengths on the soft-6 but got through the heavy-9 okay last run fin­ish­ing just a length from As­sign and Astronomos in the Neville Sel­wood. He last out­ing on a dry track re­sulted in a Group One win Vin­ery Stud for the fil­lies, and at her pre­vi­ous dry track run she fin­ished sec­ond to Ghisoni in Sur­round Stakes. Get on at the $4.80. SIR MO­MENTS ran a big race here last week­end flash­ing home be­hind Siegfried over 1350m and he gets a kilo off into this stronger event. Cer­tainly has claims to­mor­row but I’m not sure he is classy enough to give Sin­gle Gaze 2.5kg and beat her at the mile. TOO GOOD TO REFUSE couldn’t get there on the heavy track last start and the re­turn to a dry sur­face here should help his fin­ish­ing sprint. He gets a good weight pull off the two top hope but he will need ev­ery ounce of it to beat them. Crack­ing field with sev­eral other mi­nor chances en­gaged.

Race 8

If we can put a line through BOUND FOR LOVE’s last run when beaten 67 lengths by Neuschwanstein then the $12 on of­fer is the best overs you will see all day. Jeff Lloyd got off and said she didn’t han­dle go­ing, that’s good enough for me. Her only other run this prep was a tidy win at Ea­gle Farm un­der 60kg and she ran some big races around this level when last in work . Needs a smidgin of luck from the wide draw but if she is back on song she will give this shake. KUZNETSOVA went past them as though they were nailed to the fence last start at Toowoomba, pro­duc­ing a big fin­ish to score eas­ily. She was out­classed a lit­tle by Candika the run prior but this is well within her scope and with Mr Lloyd on top from an ideal draw she a real dan­ger. DON’T TELL MAMA chased her home at Toowoomba af­ter scor­ing a nice win here in a strong 0MW. Not with­out a hope and worth throw­ing in at the $10. These three are prob­a­bly all you need to have the last leg cov­ered.

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