NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Good 4. All horses considered starters unless notified by Thursday at 1 PM. (N/R) denotes no rating.
GET in early, beat the rush. That’s my plan here with ‘Best Bet’ 6. LEO -
GANG (N/R) to hopefully build a bank for what is a deadset punter’s dream (or nightmare!) card tomorrow. So much value, so many chances. Yippie. Leogang is a Lonhro gelding out of Magic Night winner Downhill Racer. He trialled so well ahead of this that I had to tag him as the best in the race and even the best on day. Lovely type – all Lonhro! Speaking of lovely types and Lonhro - esque horses. 5. IPSO FACTO (N/R) is by Lonhro’s champion son Pierro and a helluva good looker himself. He’s also got race experience and it’s very good experience. In 3 starts he finished 3rd on separate occasions to Teaspoon and Serena Bay. Trialling huge – in fact he beat a debut winner then was a close nose second to a debut winner in his two preparatory heats. It’s one or the other for me – best of the rest, 2. MADAME MOUS -
TACHE (N/R) who won the Victory Vein and is trialling rather well.
HIGHWAY time and 2. ATLANTIC
SENTINEL (58) arrives at Rosehill fourth-up into the current campaign and off a solid and closing 4th beaten 1.8-lens in Randwick Highway on April 15. The son of Rock of Gibraltar has run a few Highways before that, the best of which was that very close 2nd to Quatronic in a 1200m Rosehill one. Fair to say, if he runs up to that – he wins this time. 10. O’LORDY (52) landed some decent bets when she won first-up at Goulburn last Friday in a 1300m maiden. Bar one run before the spell, the daughter of O’Lonhro has been pretty good as a matter of fact throughout her shortish career. She’s from the Danny Williams camp and he’s one of handful of trainer’s that are designated ‘ Highwaymen’, is to say he knows what it takes to win one, or two, or three. 8.
LUNAR DUCHESS (57) is from the Brett Cavanough stables and was beaten narrowly one day at HQ in a deep Highway won by Fifteen Sunflowers. Ready to peak on Saturday.
I HAVE long been a fan of the Bryce Heys trained 8. TRAVANCORE (65). This 3YO was f ar from disgraced when 2.2-lens 7th of 11 in the Listed South Pacific at Randwick during The Championships so no wonder he was $1.60 at Canberra 13 days later in a C1. The guide says he only won by 0.6-lens but fair dinkum, was so unlucky even in victory. Had not been held up and almost stopped in his tracks, he would have swept past them and won by 1.5-lens or 2-lens or more. Barrier 9 is ideal – Mitchell Bell will only have one instruction from Bryce, get to the outside and let rip.
2. BLACK ON GOLD (74) was very unlucky too last start only sadly for him, he was locked out of the race and came in 6th. It was a total utter forgive; let’s go on his dominant win first-up when he given the 10/10 ride by Jeff Penza. The 1800m looks ideal now. 3. OKLAHOMA GIRL (76) was scratched from the Gold Coast to run here and she’s a major player.
7. TOP OF THE RANGE (67) has raced three times, won the only two this prep down south and we all know Mike Moroney knows how to travel ‘em. I suspect this one’s on the way up to Brisbane for the carnival.
BEEN waiting for this Waller NZ re - cruit 8. NEW UNIVERSE (67) to step out in Australia after seeing him trial at Rosehill back on Feb 27. He ran 7th of 8 the 900m heat but I thought it was a really good effort, a somewhat typical Waller trial. I can’t say why he’s been off the scene since then, I am throwing out there that maybe he is so good that they wanted to get him going in time for Brisbane? Hard to say but he’s a nice horse on what he did back home. Bad draw (14) but Tommy Berry won Golden Slipper from 16. This is a terribly deep race to make his Aussie debut in with a host of other chances. Chief among them is one of the best lookers going around right now in 12. PASSAGE OF
TIME (65). He is a very, very power- ful built chestnut with heaps of white splashed on his muscular frame. He was $9 into $7 when he made an authoritative winning start to his career at Kembla then was 0.8-lens (closing) 2nd to White Moss (WF easy winner Wednesday) next time at Wyong. The Joe P ride trained 9. KITTEAU (66) hasn’t done a thing wrong in his 3 starts, I reckon with a bit of luck he might be unbeaten going into this. No knock at all on 1. ZUMBELINA (80) and/or 2. I THOUGHT SO (75).
NOT surprised that 9. CANNYES -
CENT (78) runs here instead of a later race where he drew 14 of 16. He has 1 of 11 which may sound all right but I am not so sure, I think they might have liked to be a bit wider so he can come the middle and let down over the top of them. It is now going to take maybe ride of the day from Tim Clark to get him home. The son of Canny Lad was the eye catcher in the Bm81 at Randwick on Apr 15. He was attacking the line with extreme gusto under his 58kgs to be beaten 2.6-lens in an on pace dominated race. Good ride gets him close. I know people are talking up Calanda as something licked i n the Hawkesbury Guineas last weekend but my vote for ‘tragedy beaten’ of day, nay the year so far, was 3. BETTER NOT BLUE (85). No fault the jockey but it was a nightmare to watch, you could see it unfolding before the turn and it only got worse from there. He should have won by a half a length. is 5s 0-2-1 at the t/d and one of those placings was a 0.2-lens 2nd to Ninth Legion in Civic Stakes. The two Jason ‘Sydney’s form trainer’ Coyle horses are a must for the exotics and even richer each-way punters. I have 10. TAKEWING (72) just ahead of his better performed stablemate 2. BERRY DELICIOUS
(90) only because I remember him (Takewing that is) being Bernborough like one day first-up at Kembla.
I WAS quite keen on the regally-bred and priceless mare 5. VIA NAPOLI (75) first-up off what I thought was a smashing 8th of 9 in her second trial. It (the trial) obviously wasn’t missed by the bookmakers because they went up at $4.60. Alas, she drifted to $8 and ran 6th of 8. Now, in hindsight maybe it was the wet track (heavy 8) because she did seem to race patches that day but I was encouraged by her last bit. Hopefully it didn’t flatten the mare hey, I have complete faith in the trainer C.J. Waller and the team. Stablemate 15. OUR BEATNIK (67) must surely have been $1.01 in run when he resumed at Wyong. I haven’t seen one going better transit and not win by a length. Okay, he was beaten but much fitter nip - pier horse that day. That was 1350m, this is 1500m with a run under the belt. 17. EL SID (66) is one of ‘mine’. I loved him first-up and he went okay, less so next time but wasn’t terrible either and we are starting to learn – he ain’t no second-up horse!
3. ALLERGIC (101) is a very consistent middle distance/stayer from the Godolphin yard who had little freshen up since his distanced 12-lens 3rd to subsequent Sydney Cup No. 2 placegetter Big Duke in the Manion Cup on Mar 18. It’s not like he was out in a paddock getting fat in the interim, far from it, he trialled like a bomb at WF in a 1200m heat on Apr 21. He is 3s 1-0-2 at the t/d and he looks to be ready to rock roll. 2.
SONS OF JOHN (102) is not just a re - ally good miler. He in fact 3s 0-2-1 at the 2000m and a last start ‘silver’ in JRA Plate at Group 3 level be - hind a horse that took the race by the scruff of the neck and made to pretty hard for anything to get past her with the 53kgs on his enormous frame. That mare is none other than 4. TOP
OF MY LIST (104) who goes right the way up to 57.5kgs this time around and while I think she’ll carry it okay, it’s only 0.5kgs off the SAJC Derby placed Allergic and I think that might be telling. 11. HAPPY HANNAH (93) is right in this expect a better effort/outcome for 9. BIG BLUE (93). RACE 8
I AM no Mark Read when it comes to assembling speed maps but I can’t be wrong here surely that we get a good/ fast tempo. That’s if they all run as I see them at acceptance time days and days out from post time. So working on that assumption I went looking for a lightly-weighted backmarker that is fit and racing well. Hello 14. KNIT ‘N’
PURL (74). I tell you what, I’d have the house on her mum, Zingaling, in this with 61kgs! The daughter has a bit less than that of course – 10kgs
in fact with the claim for Lees’ go -to apprentice Rachel King. The only thing that worries me is barrier 3. She will need heaps and heaps of luck now. 5. FRILL SEEKING (82) would have been my top pick in most races but I am somewhat concerned now about what sort of pressure is go - ing to be up front in this race (if they all run!). She trialled super the other day and she’s pretty well with the 3kgs off for Nick Heywood. 2. PAINTE
(83) is a good, tough, honest and reliable sprinter from the P ride yard who should hopefully get a run in the first half of the field, just off lead 4 or 5 I assume? If that’s the case he’ll be in the frame once again.
BJORN Baker has trialled 3 hors - es that I for one have labelled good things off their trials in recent weeks. One was Music Magnate (won 2 Group
last weekend in Brisbane), another is Egyptian Symbol (my best in Adelaide today i n the Sangster) and three is 4. BONNY O’REILLY (75). Admittedly, those two first ones are top liners every day of the week and twice on Sunday but I do think Bonny O’Reilly is set for her best campaign yet. I am sure there is a race at Scone and a few in Brisbane for her the way she shapes up going i nto new prep. 1. BUTTERBOOM (82) has the’ Joe P ride in the last’ in her favour. She is also a good first-up performer and 21s 4-6-4 overall so she is one of those customers that is rarely if ever far away. 12. BEL SELENE (69) should, by rights, get run over late by some of these better horses and she ill might but I do like Deanne Panya on any horse, best of all a speedy one like this that has drawn 5 and has 51.5kgs on her back – and good trial.