Bris­bane Pre­view

The Sportsman Weekend - - Detailed For Mguide For Gold Coast - with Greg Splet­ter

Race 1

There’s no doubt the car­ni­val has ar­rived up north and this is a crack­ing Hollindale Stakes meet­ing, though the first is a dead­set race in two. PROMPT RETURN re­sumes here off a short break and with an out­stand­ing fresh record I’m lean­ing to­wards him over the mare. Grad­u­ated into open class with flying colours last cam­paign

back to back vic­to­ries in town beat­ing some very smart types over the short trips. He did seem to train off at the end of his long cam­paign, and push out to 1200m prob­a­bly didn’t help things, but over the sub -60 sec­ond jour­neys he is very strong and from gate four will get ev­ery chance in run­ning. Un­beaten at the trip with J Lloyd on top I think he en­ti­tled to be out­right, so good value at $3.30. HID­DEN PEARL is in the right race here as she re­ally does go like a bat out of hell. She only had two runs last prep, rolling along in front all the way in the Falvelon Qual­ity be­fore hav­ing ex­cuses on Magic Mil­lions day. There’s plenty of speed here, even if it’s a bit weak, and she has a ton of weight for a mare up against the boys to­mor­row. She will earn ev­ery penny of the $48,000 prize­money if she can hold my bloke out. Throw a dart for the mi­nors, maybe NIC­CONI LEGGERA who is a handy three -year- old who ran out of luck at the draw, but with some good for­tune early on will be hit­ting the line.

Race 2

SONY LE­GEND typ­i­cally goes very well on wet ground but he stum­bled quite a bit on the Ea­gle Farm track last week­end and I’m happy to give him an­other chance here on a firmer track in against a much eas­ier line -up. He was also sur­pris­ingly close to the speed last week which isn’t his best m.o., he prefers to take a rest back in the field and fly home as he did be­hind Too Good To Refuse cou­ple of runs be­fore the spell. This is a very winnable race for him and at the $7.50 I’ll stay with him. LONDEHERO does need a solid tempo on up front to un­leash his big fin­ish and has been weighted up to his best in this re­stricted af­fair, but he ul­tra- con­sis­tent and de­serves an­other win. Beaten less than a length in the Weet­wood last time has been given a freshen-up for this. IR­ISH CON­STAB­U­LARY had to set­tle for a mi­nor plac­ing in the as­cot Qual­ity last start as favourite but it stands him in good stead drop­ping back to the Bm90. Up in weight that man J Lloyd re­tains the ride and there’s no doubt he’ll fin­ish some­where in the plac­ings.

Race 3

TAK­ING AIM is still a maiden but surely it can’t be long be­fore he breaks through. Beat all but an in-form Me­nari in Syd­ney, beat all in-form Ducimus in the Talin­dert at Flem­ing­ton be­fore an hon­est ef­fort in the Blue Di­a­mond even if he was a lit­tle out­classed. This is not a strong two - year- old race and from the per­fect draw with Hugh Bow­man on top this could be his day. The $4.60 marks her as nom­i­nal favourite but there’s a bit of value in the quote. CHAMP ELECT won her first two im­pres­sively and did make ground in the Magic Mil­lions after draw­ing a shocker cov­er­ing ex­tra ground. No luck with this draw either but she has the runs on the board and will make her pres­ence felt. DIS­SO­LU­TION didn’t do a great deal at his only run in the Kin­der­garten at Rand­wick but with sta­ble change, jockey change and a firmer sur­face to - mor­row he could be an im­prover. He cost a squil­lion as year­ling and will need to lift his game but has been given freshen-up and the spidy sense is telling me he will go bet­ter.

Race 4

I know why we’re get­ting $4.80 about CANDIKA here but we shouldn’t be and at that quote is the bet of the day up here. She has won three of her last four starts in­clud­ing a run­away three length vic­tory in the P rincess Stakes at Doomben a fort­night ago and gives ev­ery in­di­ca­tion she will rel­ish the ex­tra jour­ney here. Drawn awk­wardly but she is a ver­sa­tile filly and Damien Browne has plenty of op­tions here to rack up even more black type for her. The pres­ence of DAWN WALL is one of the rea­sons we’re get­ting such amaz­ing value about the top one but I think she is over­rated and will strug­gle here to live up to wrap. Won three in a row ear­lier this prep in­clud­ing a black­type pickup at Kem­bla but she beat noth­ing across the hat-trick , and the only time she has faced qual­ity op - po­si­tion was beaten eas­ily in Vin­ery. Per­haps the heavy-9 didn’t suit her, though she did win at Kem­bla on the soft-6, but I think she is favourite on hype and with a shock­ing draw to boot she is real risk. BEN­FICA PRINCESS stepped up to the mile sec­ond-up and showed some zip be - fore bat­tling on be­hind Candika. She, too, scored a hat-trick last prep beat­ing noth­ing and will likely ap­pre­ci­ate a drier sur­face to­mor­row, and looks bet­ter value to me at $21 than the fave.

Race 5

There was a time when I didn’t think RELIGIFY would be able to pick his feet up be­yond 1200m, but it seems he was just wait­ing to pushed out to the longer jour­ney come of age. Since be­ing sent out over the 1400 and 1600m jour­neys he has knocked up win­ning races and first-up here over 1400m will be hard to run down. Scored back to back wins over a mile ear­lier this year win­ning by big mar­gins and with all 10 of his suc­cesses com­ing on good tracks, if he presents well in the yard they won’t get near him. There’s value in the $3.50 but wait un­til you get a re­port on how he looks fit­ness -wise be­fore you jump on. SIEGFRIED con­tin­ues to pay his way and Jeff Lloyd has now chalked up four wins on him this prep in­clud­ing a tidy three­quar­ter lengths win in town last time over 1350m. It’s hard to knock him and I don’t know why he is $7.00, that does look very gen­er­ous. I’d have much closer to the top pick in the mar­ket. JOPA con­tin­ues to race well, even if the wins have dried up for him this prep, pick­ing up a cheque at all but one of his six out­ings to date and that was still a close -up sev­enth on a heavy-8. Down on the limit here

worth in­clu­sion in your multiples at the dou­ble fig­ure odds.

Race 6

Go­ing with an­other south­ern raider here in NANCY who per­formed very well at Group Three level against the girls over the autumn car­ni­val and will find this eas­ier. Bet­ter on top of the ground and at her last dry track run she was beaten a lip in the Tris - cay Stakes un­der 57kg. Hugh Bow­man jumps her out from the per­fect gate here and looks a fair price at the $4.00. DI­VINE CENTURI looks as though she doesn’t like shifty ground and will go bet­ter back onto a good track here at big odds. Three runs ago she beat all but the flying Pinch River and al­ready has a stakes win to her credit, tak­ing out Mick Dittman up here this time last year. EL­E­GANT COM­PO­SURE looks a touch short for mine at $6.00 but is un­beaten fresh and knows where the line is. First-up last prep she beat P ri­vate Sec­re­tary at Listed level and with only 54kg will give a great sight.

Race 7

IT’S SOME­WHAT hasn’t tasted de - feat this prep and I can’t see any­thing here that will stop him bring­ing up his hat-trick in a crack­ing Hollindale Stakes. Hit the line strongly to win the Ajax first-up, then mixed it up run­ning them along up front in noth­ing less than the Don­caster and de­fied all ef­forts to run him down. I would have thought he’d be closer to $2.30 or so here so the $3.50 will do very nicely. SENSE OF OC­CA­SION was beaten four lengths by the top pick in the Don­caster and meets up sev­eral ki­los worse at the weights for the flog­ging, though he did per­form very well in the Queen El­iz­a­beth last time beat­ing all but Winx and Hart­nell. He’s un­der­rated for sure will likely place again to­mor­row. MCREERY is an­other who has to meet It’s some­what worse at the weights for get­ting beaten a long way but he, too, ran an im­proved race last start run­ning on nicely be­hind Ti­vaci in the All Aged. Hard to believe he is within $1.50 of the favourite and at his cur­rent quote is poor value.

Race 8

I’m a big fan of RIVER RACER and on the back an enor­mous run firstup in Mick Dittman I am jumping

with con­fi­dence. She has a big fin­ish on her and al­though she only won one race to date run some crack­ing sec­onds be­hind very good horses. She could be a real force this prep against the fil­lies and I’m very happy with $9.00. If there’s go­ing to be an up­set here it could be the only be­low her THUN­DER RAIDER. She set the pace first-up be­fore knock­ing up in straight but with three shock­ing per­for­mances on wet tracks from three at­tempts it’s fair to say she should be a marked im­prover on top of the ground to­mor­row. Notched up a hat-trick against her own age when last in work and from the inside draw and soft lead could give them some - thing to catch. Worth a saver and in­clu­sion in your quaddie at the $61. AT­TEN­TION has touch of class about him, but he doesn’t con­vert all that of­ten and takes a run to find his feet. Won the Sires Pro­duce up here last win­ter will go well, but even J Lloyd may not be able to boot him home fresh from bar­rier 14.

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