Ade­laide Pre­view

The Sportsman Weekend - - Detailed Formguide For Morphettville - with Shayne O’Cass

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Thurs­day at 1 P. M.

RACE 1

SO You Think geld­ing 18. SO YOU

TOO (70) can hope­fully make a bank for what is a pretty hard day as you’d ex­pect for Good­wood day. I think he’s the best bet on the pro­gram and by a some way. Why? Look at his last two; 3rd in the Redelva to the NT equiv­a­lent of Winx — Desert Lashes — then a 0.7-lens 3rd in the Group 3 Eu­clase. He’s back to a Bm75 and has 55.5kgs! Se­ri­ously, on pa­per, he’s a good thing — but well all know only too well that racing is an in­ex­act science. 16.

STREET­CAR IL­LU­SION (70) has been run­ning well with­out win­ning this time in. That said, you prob­a­bly wouldn’t re­ally ex­pect him to be beat­ing horses likes Bog­goms, I Am Gypsy and Bay Road. This son of Stra­tum was a nose 2nd in a Bm70 last start here to Rock Sta­tus who i s bet­ter than you av­er­age ri­val. Drawn out in 16 (mi­nus scrs, etc) so that’s a lit­tle damp­ener per­haps. 2. BAT­TLE

BREW­ING (76) is one of five Leon Macdon­ald/An­drew Gluyas trained run­ners here, So You Too be­ing the best of them IMO, Bat­tle Brew­ing next one line. This half to Go Indy Go and Es­say Raider is 4s 1-1-1 fresh

8s 3-1-2 at the t/d which are great num­bers to medal.

RACE 2

THIS is a hot race and so in­ter­est­ing. It took me al­most as long as the Good­wood to sift through, I mist say I chopped and changed sev­eral times and even now I am not overly con­vinced I have them in the right or­der or that have win­ner in my top four. came back to horse I tipped and bet on in the Queen Ade­laide namely 8. IT’S A MYTH (64). This Phillip Stokes trained Se­poy was sen­sa­tional first-up prior to that nose 2nd in the Queen Ade­laide where she came down out­side (as ex­pected)

to just miss. Two 1050m runs into a 1200m, it was the de­cid­ing fac­tor for me. 7. BOOKER (68) races in the Barry Grif­fiths colours worn by so many great horses, two of my per­sonal favourites were Man­ner­ism and Az­zuro. Booker is an Eller­ton/Zahra trained filly who was $7 into $5.50 on de­but in an 1100m race at Flem­ing­ton May 6. She raced handy be­fore pulling away to beat Freeze who can gal­lop. Drawn 4 here so you would imag­ine she is su­per handy there just camped off the pace again and whilst this is a step -up, nat­u­ral im­prove­ment ex­pected. 6. PURE SCOT (72) 3s 2-1-0. He was a big win­ner on de­but at Bendigo last De­cem­ber. He was third re­sum­ing there Apr. 1 then came out and won the VOBIS Sires at Caulfield on Apr. 22 when $8 into $6. Hard to leave out 1. IN­DIAN THUN­DER (72), 2. TAB­BING (69) and 10. MINTHA (60) — what a race! RACE 3

I RE­MEM­BER say­ing to a mate of mine af­ter 1. HIGH CHURCH (99) won the War­rnam­bool Cup on May 4 that apart from Winx, I can’t off hand re­call a horse that was go­ing to win a big race so far out and won it with more ridicu­lous ease. That was arro - gant. This is a bet­ter field IMO, I don’t think he’ll win by 6-lens this time but he is im­pos­si­ble to tip against. Poor

5. WAG­ING WAR (81) was scratched at the gates just ahead of last week­end’s SAJC Derby when he a gen­uine chance to win the clas­sic. He’d won a Mur­ray Bridge Bm64 on Apr. 19 then 10- days later just re­fused to budge when tak­ing out the Group 3 Chair­man’s. He’s by Rebel Raider so he’ll stay the 2500m no worries, gate 12 means he’ll have to be on his bike early to get over lead if that’s the plan. 9. SU­PER HAZE (73) is a High Cha­parral im­port from the Tony McEvoy sta­ble who is fourth-up now. His three runs have been at 1600m (twice) and then 2000m — he’s itch­ing for this trip now.

RACE 4

FIL­LIES Clas­sic time. This is a Group 3 race that used to be Group 1 up un­til 2004. What price Egg Tart or Kenedna if they were here? Short, very short. Bear in mind then that 3.

ANA ROYALE (73) was third to pair in the Group 1 Oaks on may 6. That was Ana Royale’s first run at the venue. She’ll be on trial at the 2500m but she came from 12th 400m to get within 0.6-lens of beat­ing Egg Tart over 2010m last time so pat­tern says ‘yes’. On breed­ing — she’s by the Caulfield Guineas win­ner Anache - eva who is out of a Zabeel mare which helps. Sav­abeel miss 2. SAVVY

DREAMS (78) was 3rd to Bon­neval in the NZ Oaks. The filly has raced twice in Ade­laide in re­cent weeks; she was okay in Au­raria and a dis­tant 5th in last week­end’s Derby. Two 2500m runs i n 7- days but never doubt a Kiwi and never doubt a Sav­abeel. 13.

ROCK GISELLE (61) is Lee/An­tho - ny Freed­man — Craig Willi­ams com­bi­na­tion. She is bred, more than any­thing else prob­a­bly, to run the 2500m be­ing out of Dizelle who won AJC Oaks whilst her 3rd Dam Pala­tious won a Perth Cup over 3200m. RACE 5 6. MODEL DRAGON (77) gets to 2019m for the first time to­mor­row and I think that’s a good thing, the best thing her in fact. Why? Well, look at the pedi­gree for a start. She’s by Pen­dragon (Gloam­ing win­ner) out of a Mon­t­jeu mare then Grosvenor (Sir Tris­tram) so it’s stamina all day long. She is fifth run into the prep and ready to win again. 13. EXOCET (74) was given an 11 out of 10 ride by Tommy Berry the Wagga Guineas last start on May 5. The Smart Mis - sile filly in the J B Munz silks steps it up in dis­tance this week­end but pat­tern and pedi­gree says no worries; she is out of a Zabeel mare don’t for­get.

4. HAVE AN­OTHER GLASS (82) is 10s 6-1-2 and win­ner of 4 of her last 5 starts with a spell in be­tween. She won first-up at Oak­bank then was 0.5- lens 2nd to Amelie’s Star in the Group 2 Queen of the South af­ter that and two weeks ago from to­mor­row. Fly­ing, fly­ing, fly­ing.

RACE 6

DAR­REN Weir must be laugh­ing all the way to the bank with 1. BURN

ING FRONT (108). Weir keeps find­ing these races where the con­di­tions of each of those races just play into the hands Burn­ing Front whose earn­ings ticked past $1m last start at Caulfield. The RA Lee is a SWP race so Burn­ing Front gets with 57.5kgs and that’s just not fair to the oth­ers!

3. ROYAL RUM­BLE (98) is a wor­thy ad­ver­sary f or the Weir mil­lion­aire how­ever given one all im­por­tant stat and that is 4s 3-0-1 at the t/d. Burn­ing Front has won 6 of his last 7 (wow) but credit to Royal Rum­ble who has won his last 3. You know he never lets the side down, one just won­ders if 2kgs is enough of an ad­van­tage to beat Burn­ing Front. 2. HOOKED (107) was given ev­ery chance to suc­ceed (and took it) when he won that Group 3 at Caulfield on Apr. 15. He was kept tick­ing over with a thump­ing 8-lens win in a 1190m trial at Cran­bourne on May 8. gets that nice run again from gate 3 and Luke Nolen who rode him last start.

RACE 7

GOOD­WOOD time. 15. KAEPER

NICK (101) is a lit­tle bit like Chau­tauqua. He’s trained by Team Hawkes, Dwayne Dunn rides him (a lot), he gives away i mpos­si­ble starts and has a mas­sive fin­ish! Alas, one of the best sprinter in the world the other is Kaeper­nick . Here’s deal with this horse folks; he’ll be back at tail and fin­ish­ing like a steam train and will win by a nose or run 8th beaten 1.5-lens. That’s Kaeper­nick . There are prob­a­bly two ‘ob­vi­ous’ horses in this year’s Good­wood and they are

5. SE­CRET AGENDA (110) de - fend­ing cham­pion 1. BLACK HEART BART (115). We know the Mick Price horses ‘travel’ but that’s some ef­fort on the part of Se­cret Agenda to win a Group 2 in Syd­ney then a month later win a Group 1 in Ade­laide given that she’s based on Mel­bourne. I went and looked again at the Sans­gter win, what power! Bar­rier 5, Oliver, what do they say about mares in form? Black Heart Bart lines -up for his 40th start to­mor­row. He has won 16 of them and placed at an­other 14. It was pointed out to me dur­ing the week that Dar­ren Weir has trained ‘BHB’ for 12 starts and the horse has fin­ished first or sec­ond at 11 of them and has won 5 Group 1’s in that time. Just in­cred­i­ble. I will def­i­nitely be in­clud­ing 20, MISSROCK (100), there aren’t that many 3YO fil­lies around that have a triple fig­ure bench­mark rat­ing and she was su­per in the Sang­ster last start.

RACE 8

The team Snow­den-trained Syd­ney mare 4. RAVI (93) who i ntro - duced her­self to Ade­laide race­go­ers with a com­mend­able 3.6-lens 9th of 20 (from 19th at the 400m) in the Sang­ster. She maybe could have had a crack at the Good­wood but clearly the P roud Miss is the eas­ier op­tion. Note that i s ‘ eas­ier’ not ‘ easy’ be - cause there are two very high class ri­vals for Ravi to over­come — they be­ing 1. MISS GUN­POW­DER (90) and 3. SAMARA DANCER (78). As for Miss Gun­pow­der, she is up for sale if you have enough to spend at the up - com­ing Magic Mil­lions Na­tional Sale on the Gold Coast. Go­ing to make plenty, trust me. She beat Boomwaa at Caulfield first-up but was only 12 of 20 in the Sang­ster. I think from bar­rier 1 and down in class/grade, she can bounce back to her best. As for the filly Samara Dancer she loomed up big time first run back. I thought she was just go­ing to straight past them at about the 250m but the win­ner (Mul­der) kept go­ing and beat her by 1.1-lens at line. It was a huge run just the same! Do we read any­thing into sec­ond-up record of 2s 0-0-0? I read more into bar­rier 16 19 — ouch.

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