NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Good 4. All horses considered starters unless notified by Thursday at 1 P. M.
SO You Think gelding 18. SO YOU
TOO (70) can hopefully make a bank for what is a pretty hard day as you’d expect for Goodwood day. I think he’s the best bet on the program and by a some way. Why? Look at his last two; 3rd in the Redelva to the NT equivalent of Winx — Desert Lashes — then a 0.7-lens 3rd in the Group 3 Euclase. He’s back to a Bm75 and has 55.5kgs! Seriously, on paper, he’s a good thing — but well all know only too well that racing is an inexact science. 16.
STREETCAR ILLUSION (70) has been running well without winning this time in. That said, you probably wouldn’t really expect him to be beating horses likes Boggoms, I Am Gypsy and Bay Road. This son of Stratum was a nose 2nd in a Bm70 last start here to Rock Status who i s better than you average rival. Drawn out in 16 (minus scrs, etc) so that’s a little dampener perhaps. 2. BATTLE
BREWING (76) is one of five Leon Macdonald/Andrew Gluyas trained runners here, So You Too being the best of them IMO, Battle Brewing next one line. This half to Go Indy Go and Essay Raider is 4s 1-1-1 fresh
8s 3-1-2 at the t/d which are great numbers to medal.
THIS is a hot race and so interesting. It took me almost as long as the Goodwood to sift through, I mist say I chopped and changed several times and even now I am not overly convinced I have them in the right order or that have winner in my top four. came back to horse I tipped and bet on in the Queen Adelaide namely 8. IT’S A MYTH (64). This Phillip Stokes trained Sepoy was sensational first-up prior to that nose 2nd in the Queen Adelaide where she came down outside (as expected)
to just miss. Two 1050m runs into a 1200m, it was the deciding factor for me. 7. BOOKER (68) races in the Barry Griffiths colours worn by so many great horses, two of my personal favourites were Mannerism and Azzuro. Booker is an Ellerton/Zahra trained filly who was $7 into $5.50 on debut in an 1100m race at Flemington May 6. She raced handy before pulling away to beat Freeze who can gallop. Drawn 4 here so you would imagine she is super handy there just camped off the pace again and whilst this is a step -up, natural improvement expected. 6. PURE SCOT (72) 3s 2-1-0. He was a big winner on debut at Bendigo last December. He was third resuming there Apr. 1 then came out and won the VOBIS Sires at Caulfield on Apr. 22 when $8 into $6. Hard to leave out 1. INDIAN THUNDER (72), 2. TABBING (69) and 10. MINTHA (60) — what a race! RACE 3
I REMEMBER saying to a mate of mine after 1. HIGH CHURCH (99) won the Warrnambool Cup on May 4 that apart from Winx, I can’t off hand recall a horse that was going to win a big race so far out and won it with more ridiculous ease. That was arro - gant. This is a better field IMO, I don’t think he’ll win by 6-lens this time but he is impossible to tip against. Poor
5. WAGING WAR (81) was scratched at the gates just ahead of last weekend’s SAJC Derby when he a genuine chance to win the classic. He’d won a Murray Bridge Bm64 on Apr. 19 then 10- days later just refused to budge when taking out the Group 3 Chairman’s. He’s by Rebel Raider so he’ll stay the 2500m no worries, gate 12 means he’ll have to be on his bike early to get over lead if that’s the plan. 9. SUPER HAZE (73) is a High Chaparral import from the Tony McEvoy stable who is fourth-up now. His three runs have been at 1600m (twice) and then 2000m — he’s itching for this trip now.
FILLIES Classic time. This is a Group 3 race that used to be Group 1 up until 2004. What price Egg Tart or Kenedna if they were here? Short, very short. Bear in mind then that 3.
ANA ROYALE (73) was third to pair in the Group 1 Oaks on may 6. That was Ana Royale’s first run at the venue. She’ll be on trial at the 2500m but she came from 12th 400m to get within 0.6-lens of beating Egg Tart over 2010m last time so pattern says ‘yes’. On breeding — she’s by the Caulfield Guineas winner Anache - eva who is out of a Zabeel mare which helps. Savabeel miss 2. SAVVY
DREAMS (78) was 3rd to Bonneval in the NZ Oaks. The filly has raced twice in Adelaide in recent weeks; she was okay in Auraria and a distant 5th in last weekend’s Derby. Two 2500m runs i n 7- days but never doubt a Kiwi and never doubt a Savabeel. 13.
ROCK GISELLE (61) is Lee/Antho - ny Freedman — Craig Williams combination. She is bred, more than anything else probably, to run the 2500m being out of Dizelle who won AJC Oaks whilst her 3rd Dam Palatious won a Perth Cup over 3200m. RACE 5 6. MODEL DRAGON (77) gets to 2019m for the first time tomorrow and I think that’s a good thing, the best thing her in fact. Why? Well, look at the pedigree for a start. She’s by Pendragon (Gloaming winner) out of a Montjeu mare then Grosvenor (Sir Tristram) so it’s stamina all day long. She is fifth run into the prep and ready to win again. 13. EXOCET (74) was given an 11 out of 10 ride by Tommy Berry the Wagga Guineas last start on May 5. The Smart Mis - sile filly in the J B Munz silks steps it up in distance this weekend but pattern and pedigree says no worries; she is out of a Zabeel mare don’t forget.
4. HAVE ANOTHER GLASS (82) is 10s 6-1-2 and winner of 4 of her last 5 starts with a spell in between. She won first-up at Oakbank then was 0.5- lens 2nd to Amelie’s Star in the Group 2 Queen of the South after that and two weeks ago from tomorrow. Flying, flying, flying.
DARREN Weir must be laughing all the way to the bank with 1. BURN
ING FRONT (108). Weir keeps finding these races where the conditions of each of those races just play into the hands Burning Front whose earnings ticked past $1m last start at Caulfield. The RA Lee is a SWP race so Burning Front gets with 57.5kgs and that’s just not fair to the others!
3. ROYAL RUMBLE (98) is a worthy adversary f or the Weir millionaire however given one all important stat and that is 4s 3-0-1 at the t/d. Burning Front has won 6 of his last 7 (wow) but credit to Royal Rumble who has won his last 3. You know he never lets the side down, one just wonders if 2kgs is enough of an advantage to beat Burning Front. 2. HOOKED (107) was given every chance to succeed (and took it) when he won that Group 3 at Caulfield on Apr. 15. He was kept ticking over with a thumping 8-lens win in a 1190m trial at Cranbourne on May 8. gets that nice run again from gate 3 and Luke Nolen who rode him last start.
GOODWOOD time. 15. KAEPER
NICK (101) is a little bit like Chautauqua. He’s trained by Team Hawkes, Dwayne Dunn rides him (a lot), he gives away i mpossible starts and has a massive finish! Alas, one of the best sprinter in the world the other is Kaepernick . Here’s deal with this horse folks; he’ll be back at tail and finishing like a steam train and will win by a nose or run 8th beaten 1.5-lens. That’s Kaepernick . There are probably two ‘obvious’ horses in this year’s Goodwood and they are
5. SECRET AGENDA (110) de - fending champion 1. BLACK HEART BART (115). We know the Mick Price horses ‘travel’ but that’s some effort on the part of Secret Agenda to win a Group 2 in Sydney then a month later win a Group 1 in Adelaide given that she’s based on Melbourne. I went and looked again at the Sansgter win, what power! Barrier 5, Oliver, what do they say about mares in form? Black Heart Bart lines -up for his 40th start tomorrow. He has won 16 of them and placed at another 14. It was pointed out to me during the week that Darren Weir has trained ‘BHB’ for 12 starts and the horse has finished first or second at 11 of them and has won 5 Group 1’s in that time. Just incredible. I will definitely be including 20, MISSROCK (100), there aren’t that many 3YO fillies around that have a triple figure benchmark rating and she was super in the Sangster last start.
The team Snowden-trained Sydney mare 4. RAVI (93) who i ntro - duced herself to Adelaide racegoers with a commendable 3.6-lens 9th of 20 (from 19th at the 400m) in the Sangster. She maybe could have had a crack at the Goodwood but clearly the P roud Miss is the easier option. Note that i s ‘ easier’ not ‘ easy’ be - cause there are two very high class rivals for Ravi to overcome — they being 1. MISS GUNPOWDER (90) and 3. SAMARA DANCER (78). As for Miss Gunpowder, she is up for sale if you have enough to spend at the up - coming Magic Millions National Sale on the Gold Coast. Going to make plenty, trust me. She beat Boomwaa at Caulfield first-up but was only 12 of 20 in the Sangster. I think from barrier 1 and down in class/grade, she can bounce back to her best. As for the filly Samara Dancer she loomed up big time first run back. I thought she was just going to straight past them at about the 250m but the winner (Mulder) kept going and beat her by 1.1-lens at line. It was a huge run just the same! Do we read anything into second-up record of 2s 0-0-0? I read more into barrier 16 19 — ouch.