Have A Heart
A detailed preview of Saturday’s feature Group 1 with Greg Spletter and Ray Hickson
HE was beaten in Adelaide last week but Darren Weir’s hardy galloper Black Heart Bart can bounce back with a Group 1 win at Eagle Farm tomorrow.
In rare miss, ‘Bart’ could only finish seventh in the Goodwood but he rarely puts two unplaced efforts together and is the horse to beat in the $700,000 Darley Kingsford Smith Cup (1300m).
A win by Black Heart Bart would break the deadlock between leading Group 1 trainers Darren Weir and Chris Waller who have both won eight majors in 2016-17 to date.
Waller is represented by Doomben 10,000 runner-up Counterattack.
1. BLACK HEART BART
GS: Bart’s backing up here following an even run in the Goodwood last weekend and while it was a bit disappointing I couldn’t imagine him putting two bad runs together. Nor could imagine Darren Weir backing him up if he wasn’t going well. Looked as though would belt them when held up at the top of the straight in Adelaide and just seemed to run out of puff when run came. This field is quite uninspiring outside Bart and while I am typically keen to take him on at the shorter quotes, against these I’ll back him in. Currently $3.40 but we’ll get better than that. Hardly a stellar debut for the country’s newest Group 1. It looks more like heat than a final.
RH: Last week I was happy to talk up Bart’s virtues in the Goodwood but I have a very different view of him going into this race. Maybe it’s to my detriment but I reckon he’s the lay of the day. This is why. We’re racing on an Eagle Farm track that’s barely budged from a heavy rating despite summer-like conditions for almost a week. It’s a ‘handle it or don’t surface’ and Bart’s record in the wet isn’t flattering. His three soft track starts were all 5s, which I don’t rate as soft, and he was beaten, and he was lapped on a heavy at Ascot albeit at 1800m. Class will carry him a long way but I’m far less keen than you.
2. UNDER THE LOUVRE
GS: I have been a fan of him but now that he has moved up to the top level does find it awfully hard to win. He wasn’t sighted first-up in a standard open sprint down the straight at Flemington. I know he carried 62kg but he only beat three home and was priced as though would struggle. He was going a mile better when he beat Bart in the Straddie last year and I’m passing here at the $16.
RH: This is clearly one throw at the stumps before he goes to stud. I know we see some funny form reversals at times but I couldn’t make a case for him to turn the tables on Bart from the Straddie last year being 3.5kg worse off. Happy to suggest he can’t win.
GS: Another dud effort in the 10,000 a fortnight ago under favourable conditions, why should tomorrow be any different? Granted this is easier, but he has been out of a place at eight of his nine starts since running a cracker in the BTC Cup up here last year. I’m nowhere near him even at the $26.
RH: It’s amazing how he’s changed from one of the most consistent three-year-olds of his year into being pretty much uncompetitive at Group company, aside from the occasional handy effort at Moonee Valley. I can’t see him finishing in front of those who beat him home the 10,000.
4. MUSIC MAGNATE
GS: Jeff Lloyd said he didn’t handle the going in the 10,000 and he really did look uncomfortable in running, and that’s leaving aside his overracing for most of the trip. He normally travels just fine in going and was able to beat a handy field in the Victory here the run prior, but I can’t get excited. It’s very hard to win a Group 1 off a last placing.
RH: Perhaps the fact he handled the going at Eagle Farm, granted he had a soft lead, but not at Doomben might suggest we forgive him a little bit. At least he should get through it. He also had a bit of
torrid run in the 10,000 but, then again, he has no favours with a wide gate. Don’t think he’ll repeat his last placing, don’t think he’ll do a Glastonbury either.
GS: Well, he outperformed my expectations in the 10,000 so good on him for that. Finished stronger than anything else and only a half length from Redzel on the line, mirroring his result in Hall Mark Stakes in Sydney last month. He doesn’t win many, but if there is actually fire among all this smoke then he has to be a genuine hope. Fair odds at $7.50, but with a nine-run losing sequence next to his name I have better alternatives for saver.
RH: Hmm, he’s yet another of the seemingly endless list horses headed to stud this year and a Group 1 win wouldn’t hurt his profile for that gig. Even if it does follow nine defeats. He also surprised me last start but he did manage to put two solid efforts together. You’ll go broke backing him but, as I commented in the 10,000, he’s a quaddie killer if you leave out.
6. CLEARLY INNOCENT
GS. What a win that was at Scone. I’m not sure demolition in the Luskin Star equates to victory at Group 1 level but he has certainly found his mojo and is coming into this race in peak form. I’m taking a stab that he’s not up to these, and at just $6.50 I can work around him on the score of value, but he was very impressive.
RH: If Redzel can win a Group 1 at WFA then Clearly Innocent is certainly capable. That’s not meant to be a knock on Redzel, the Snowdens have really found key this this year, but I always thought Clearly Innocent was capable at level. Perhaps he’ll be better off in the Straddie but given he’s won a Randwick soft 6 I wouldn’t be too worried about Eagle Farm. If he gets to the right part of the track will be in finish.
7. START WONDERING
GS: He battled on okay in the 10,000 first-up off a break but I doubt he’ll get any closer to them tomorrow. He has drawn poorly and I can see him having a horrid run in transit. Despite the weaker opposition and a longer trip I’m leaving him out.
RH: There were worse runs than his in the 10,000 but at the same time he will need to find a few lengths. He has go forward from the gate with Jungle Edge drawn outside him and that’s his only chance to be in the finish for mine.
8. JUNGLE EDGE
GS: He has been getting the right conditions underfoot and is, surprisingly, well up to these given we will be racing on a soft track. It’s a great deal tougher than the Group 3 field he belted the other day, but he does have a couple of outstanding results to his credit this time in. A third in the All Aged behind Tivaci after setting speed, and a narrow defeat behind Russian Revolution and Redzel in the Galaxy? He likes to lead and nobody in this field will be wanting to press the issue, I can see him landing front on settling without spending too much. From there he can give it a shake and at $12 is definitely saver material.
RH: I still can’t believe they took the blinkers off him for the Wangoom. You know what you’re going to get with Jungle Edge, he’s
look to lead and he laps up the wet conditions. Given his run in the All Aged, which was stronger than this, you’d be mad to leave him out of the main hopes.
9. IN HIS STRIDE
GS: Unplaced over this course and distance on a soft-7 last time in a lowly class six with just 56kg. He’d be half chance in the Bm95 earlier in the day no weight on his back and instead he is meeting Black Heart Bart at level weights. I’m at a loss.
RH: Puzzling placement, I can’t find anything to suggest he’s even a remote chance of winning. If you want look for positives, he’s fairly consistent so he could finish midfield but that’s with the rosiest coloured glasses on.
GS: On the plus side he goes very well here, he likes the conditions, and he put in a very tidy run behind Music Magnate in Victory Stakes here first-up, but I do have a big question mark over him measuring up to this level. On his day he’s rough place hope.
RH: For one reason or another had no luck at all for quite some time. If there’s an upset this is the one I’d be looking at because we know he’s capable this level. If you’re competitive in a Melbourne spring you can be competitive in Brisbane’s winter. He was only two lengths from Sense Of Occasion in the Villiers and given he’s run well at the ‘new’ Eagle Farm I can’t dismiss him.
GS: If they give him another season of racing this bloke will pick up a Group 1, and he is a genuine threat tomorrow. He hit the line very nicely in the 10,000 last time after giving them a big start, and he had won two of his previous three outings in good company. Extra trip suits, nice gate, I thought perhaps he might be a point or so longer than $6.50 but it’s not tragic value. Whatever his result tomorrow, they’ll have hours of fun naming his progeny.
RH: I agree he’s a genuine threat, in fact think the one to beat. He’s had such great preparation, taking slow steps up, and I loved the way he hit the line in the 10,000. I don’t think whatever going Eagle Farm throws up will bother him given the way he ate up the mud on Golden Slipper day and soft 7 at Randwick. While I wouldn’t have had him pegged as a Group 1 winner earlier this prep he can win this, and more if he’s sticking around next season.
12. TYCOON TARA
GS: Two runs into her previous campaign, we would have been all over her in this, but two starts back this preparation disappointing. Beaten easily firstup in the Sapphire then dropped back to an open sprint and still missed a place. Her form when last in work was outstanding well up to this, and she was untouched
her easy trial win last week so maybe she’s ready to turn the corner. Of all those up around $20 mark she looks the best of them. Perhaps a spot in quaddie.
RH: I had her on top in that race at Caulfield and she was only fair to be very kind. Would you back Rich Charm, as handy as he is, in this race? I doubt she’s come up time in and given in the broodmare sale coming up this is a throw at the stumps from the boundary.
13. EGYPTIAN SYMBOL (SCR)
GS: It’s a big leap of faith to suggest Impending could beat these, but he does have ability and plenty of upside. His results have been perhaps a little disappointing this time in, though he did place in the Arrowfield last start and should have finished closer. Not enough value in the $16 to get me interested, but put him up at $26 and I might be swayed.
RH: Impending is one of the more talented three-year-olds in the Godolphin camp but he’s underachieving. I think Derryn has taken a step up since he beat Impending by couple at Randwick and we’re yet to see if this colt has (or even can). As you’ve said, it’s quite a leap of faith. Comes here off couple nice trials but from barrier one come race seven it’s going to take a pearler from the Doyler get him home. Place chance.
Derryn Pic Grant Guy