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The Sportsman Weekend - - Detailed Formguide For Flemington - with Ray Hickson

NOTE: Num­bers in brack­ets are the of­fi­cial hand­i­cap rat­ings for each horse. Ex­pect­ing a track good to soft. RACE 1

2. WAIT FOR NO ONE (72) has never been one of my horses but I have liked the way he’s tri­alled lead­ing into his re­turn. He’s had two tri­als and, in­ter­est­ingly, in the lat­est he set­tled last and cruised into a close sec­ond. He gave a sight Blue Di­a­mond and I reckon he’d had enough by his last run. I’m ex­pect­ing him to run well. 1. AZA

ZEL (73) fin­ished be­hind Wait For No One in a BD Pre­lude be­fore his break. Given de­cent test to win jump out at Flem­ing­ton last Fri­day. Ran well

his only at­tempt down the straight and has to be con­sid­ered. 3. CAO CAO

(71) had a bit of a rap on him late last year but didn’t mea­sure up to the bet­ter races in the au­tumn. He did beat the two above horses on de­but in Maribyrnong Trial and his cou­ple of jump outs lead­ing in have been okay.

4. IN­DIAN THUN­DER (70) hasn’t re - ally been tested out class wise de­spite al­ready be­ing a stakes win­ner. It’s a pretty soft Listed race the Queen Ade­laide and he got there nar­rowly. Can’t find a jump out for him but blink­ers on says they are se­ri­ous.

RACE 2

2. DULVERTON (83) has found her best form with im­pres­sive wins at last cou­ple and she ap­pears to get an­other race run to suit with a few po­ten­tial lead­ers en­gaged. All five wins have come at a mile but you’d be sur­prised if an ex­tra 100m is an is­sue. Bot­tom line, this is no harder and if she holds form she takes beat­ing. 7. WHYOUASK (68) has been rac­ing well this time in and the step up in trip shouldn’t be an is­sue for her, she did have a cou­ple of goes at 2000m as a spring three -year- old. I thought ran on pretty well be­hind Swamp­land last start and is a def­i­nite chance. 1. HELL OR HIGH­WA­TER

(84) looked to have her chance be­hind Dulverton a cou­ple of weeks back and I couldn’t see the ta­bles turn­ing on pa­per. But if she hap­pens to get a soft run she’s ca­pa­ble of be­ing there again.

5. FLORIDA PEARL (71) is an up and comer yet to miss a place in 10 starts and she fought on pretty well when chal­lenged by Andrea Man­tegna firstup at Gee­long. Gets in the limit and no sur­prise to see her mea­sure up.

RACE 3 I see no rea­son why 3. CROWN WIT

NESS (66) won’t be hard to beat af­ter her ex­cel­lent de­but at Sandown. She rode the speed three and four deep and sprinted away when asked. Sure she’s up to Satur­day com­pany now but with 53kg she gets her chance to prove some of the proven fil­lies. 1. MA

DEENATY (77) is one of the proven fil­lies and she re­sumes af­ter fin­ish­ing down the track in the Golden Slip­per. With claim 57kg isn’t too bad for her and she won a jump out down the straight nar­rowly and is the log­i­cal mea­sur­ing stick . 2. CHATEAU GRIFFO

(66) is even harder to line up de­spite hav­ing a Group 3 plac­ing against her name from her only start. No knock at all on the per­for­mance but she was 100/1 so it’s not un­fair to sug­gest it could have been a fluke. If it wasn’t you have to re­spect third Lime­stone and Tulip. 10. LIV­ING DOLL (59) fin­ished around mid­field in both her starts in the au­tumn but I’m throw­ing in be­cause she’s tri­alled nicely, win­ning

jump out over Wait For No One, and she might have im­proved with a bit of time. One for the mul­ti­ples. RACE 4

Found this a very tricky race to as - sess. 4. SEC­OND BUL­LET (96) on top, he’s proven at mid­dle dis­tance fresh with his easy first-up 1800m win last time in and he’s very much a Flem­ing­ton horse. My only con­cern is where he gets to the run from gate 10 but I’d like land he can land around mid­field at least look­ing at the make up of the field. If that’s case he’ll go close.

7. MAGIC CONSOL (89) was un­lucky run­ner in the event won by Paco - dali here two weeks ago. He bailed away be­hind leader and was go­ing back­wards when the runs were com­ing as he looked for a gap. The race was over rails run ap­peared. Shap­ing up well prior to that and while there are neg­a­tives he’s right in this. 2.

KILLARNEY KID (101) had two hur­dle tri­als prior to his third plac­ing the same event. He was af­forded his chance but he did get a bit fur­ther back than I’d like with horse like him. If he takes ad­van­tage of gate two he’s a threat. 5.

ALOFT (95) is more than ca­pa­ble of win­ning if this isn’t a bar­rier trial as he’s acted well when fresh in both Aus­tralian cam­paigns. The mar­ket will tell you all about him and sta­ble­mate 1. BONDI

BEACH (106) whose two Flem­ing­ton starts have been in the last two Mel­bourne Cups where he’s been a shadow of the horse he’s looked in Europe. RACE 5 I see no rea­son why 1. BEATNIKS

(92) can’t take some beat­ing here af­ter a very nice first-up ef­fort at Caulfield. That race was dom­i­nated by the two up on the speed and she was very strong in last 100m wind­ing up into third. She won’t get so far off them down the straight and gets a lit­tle weight re­lief af­ter the claim. Pos­si­bly look­ing for a bit fur­ther but Matt Dale knows what he’s do­ing and a straight 1200m is more like 1300m. Good chance. 9.

HAY BALE (74) proved his close sec­ond in the Creswick was no fluke as he ran down promis­ing Tahi last start. I’d say he’s drawn the right gate for a horse like him and with just 51kg he has to be hard to beat. 7. NIKITAS

(79) comes back from three starts at 1400m and while he’s been a bit ma­ligned over his short ca­reer he’s con­sis - tent since join­ing the Weir yard and it’s best to keep him in mix. 6. LORD

VON COSTA (80) didn’t have the best of luck here last time be­hind Abil­ity, he wouldn’t have won but per­haps he should fin­ished a bit closer. Less depth in this event and he’s ca­pa­ble of im­prove­ment. RACE 6 Happy to go with 7. YOGI (75) who was prob­a­bly beaten by the switch from the Hill­side to the Lake­side and get­ting way too far out back . Ob - vi­ously untested at 2500m but with his rac­ing style he can re­lax and hit the line and any sting out of the track would be an ad­van­tage. Wouldn’t take silly odds but the one to beat. 8. CHEQUERED

FLAG (74) was re­ally sharp­ened up by his hur­dle de­but and he sat on the pace be­fore rac­ing away at Sandown in mid­week com­pany. He might be af­forded a sim­i­lar sort of run here and is well worth in­clud­ing. 13. KAWABATA

(73) was dy­namic win­ning two starts back but a bit flat last time when favourite in mid­week BM64 with a big weight. That was only third-up so I’m bit for­giv­ing and with a de­cent weight drop he’s an each-way hope. 2. BULL

ISH STOCK (80) was never re­ally in the hunt in the Banjo fi­nal last month but on his pre­vi­ous form he’s en­ti­tled to an­other chance. Drawn nicely and is one to throw in the quaddie at least.

RACE 7 13. RE­BEL­LIOUS LORD (67) is likely to be well found af­ter his flash­ing light third be­hind Port­man at just his third start. Should have fin­ished a lot closer af­ter be­ing held up, partly

own do­ing, at a vi­tal stage. Bit of a tricky gate but he looks promis­ing and is a very good chance. 4. ANDREA

MAN­TEGNA (71) is an­other on the way up, this one’s an im­port who did a pretty good job to run down Florida Pearl at Gee­long at his first run for a year. Can only be bet­ter for it and if he’s not look­ing for fur­ther al­ready

a threat. 17. BUT IT’S TRUE (65) is bit left-field but he’s al­ways shown tal­ent but has been go­ing fairly this time in. The big change if he’s now with the Weir camp and he can coax

best out of him then could sur­prise here. 14. WAYANKA (67) got way too far his ground at Caulfield three weeks ago be­hind Nikitas but he hit the line pretty well into fourth. Has gen­er­ally raced a lot closer so with a much kinder gate ex­pect him to be not too far away, mid­field at worse, and he is one of the main chances. RACE 8

11. SHOW A STAR (85) ap­pears in a race he can win and he’s cer­tainly per­formed in his two Flem­ing­ton starts to date. He beat Port­man back in March and ran a handy third at 1800m May. should be right on the speed, if not lead­ing here, and that’s way he races best. Last time he did a good job com­ing from be­hind the pace and fin­ish­ing along the fence. Back to mile on the limit he has strong claims. 13. COS­MIC LIGHTS

(75) comes through Win­ter Cham­pi­onship where he was sound and a luck­less third at Caulfield be­fore that. I did tip him in a race that was called off last week but this is a dif­fer­ent ball game. If he gets the breaks can be in the fin­ish. 2. AMO­VA­TIO (103) just failed to win Win­ter Cham­pi­onship and has been back to the jump outs where he was hard pressed in an 800m trial down the straight last Fri­day. Has a rac­ing style that re­quires luck but if he gets it he’s a threat. 4.

RHYTHM TO SPARE (95) is lit­tle hard to catch and he was also in that bunched fin­ish of the Win­ter Cham­pi­onship last month. Had his chance there but won seven races at a mile so can’t be over­looked. RACE 9 Huge watch here on 17. SIN TO WIN

(71) if he makes the field. Ex-Kiwi geld­ing – and raced as a geld­ing in NZ so the gear change is in­cor­rect (seems to be an au­to­matic thing with im­ported horses) – lightly raced and hav­ing watched a cou­ple of his re­plays looks to be handy. I could only find one jump out since join­ing Lind­say Park and he wasn’t asked for any­thing so we’re a bit in the dark about how he’s go­ing. There are some nice horses en­gaged here but no stars and if he has up­side he should go close. 13. RE­VOLV­ING

DOOR (79) looked a good thing on pa­per last week at Caulfield but didn’t get the chance with the meet­ing called off. Not drawn as well here so may have to work a bit to get across but he was a cer­tainty beaten last start and is a big threat. 12. PORT­MAN (79) had the run of the race and got the job done as ex­pected sec­ond-up and he’s likely to be af­forded a sim­i­larly nice pas­sage here. How Re­bel­lious Lord fares in race seven will point to his chances and he must go in. 6. RICH LUCK (81) might be a lit­tle un­der rated be­cause he’s built great record with five wins from seven starts. Had to like the way he picked them up when re­sum­ing at Gee­long and he’s un­beaten sec­ond-up at 1400m both times. RACE 10 Stay­ing with 1. ALL OUT OF LOVE

(72) who I tipped in the cor­re­spond­ing race last week . As men­tioned, I thought his run had merit at Caulfield last start in a race marred by in­ter­fer­ence and he went to the line fairly well held to­gether. Placed Ki­wia be­fore that with a soft run on pa­per he looks a good chance. 10. SEAT­TLE

PARK (61) came through the same race and he hit the line strongly with an unim­peded run down out­side to be beaten two lengths. If he lines up here he’s an each-way hope. 3. SPAN

ISH REEF (70) had one go at the 2000m last prep and fin­ished sec­ond but it’s fair to say she’s de­vel­oped into a bet­ter horse this time in. Showed tough­ness stave off Ruby Sea here month ago and is in the mix. 5. TAN

TAT TRUST­ING (63) is a bit of new blood into this race hav­ing broke his maiden at his sec­ond start in a mid­week maiden. Looked the goods do­ing it though and the ex­tra trip shouldn’t be a worry. If he can hand in a good spot again could eas­ily mea­sure up.

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