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The Sportsman Weekend - - Detailed Formguide For Rosehill - with Shayne O’Cass

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Thurs­day at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

RACE 1

WHAT an in­ter­est­ing TAB High­way this week! Five of the 11 are last start win­ners and we break new ground here with a horse on de­but in a High­way which has never hap­pened yet. That horse (a very im­pres­sive trial win­ner) is An­other Sin from the Brett Ca­vanough yard was $14 into $7 with some es­tab­lish­ments by Wed­nes­day af­ter­noon. Brett Ca­vanough is as smart as any trainer in the busi­ness so I re­spect his judg­ment but I just couldn’t sack 11. CAR­TEL (54), 8. SU­PER TONIC

(58), 5. MARCO MAN (57) and 1. LIFE­SAVER (60) to find a spot for the un­raced horse. Just on my top pick firstly, Car­tel, tri­alled re­ally well be­fore his de­but at home Goul­burn which is why he was $2.70 into $1.95. He was last at the 800, sec­ond to last at the turn but fin­ished fast win nar­rowly

mem­o­rably. He ran 57.65s and last 600m for the race was 34.77s he ob­vi­ously went faster than that. Su­per Tonic and Life­saver are both 2s 2 each so hard to leave out and I loved the race -fit Marco Man’s trial win at Wagga on Aug. 1.

RACE 2

8. MAN­HAT­TAN SON (70) was at the top of his game when he won Hawkes­bury two starts back (great ride too). He was less im­pres­sive next time out when 12 of 13 at WF but he was 1800m back to the mile whereas this he is 1600m 2000m which I am sure will suit him bet­ter. The guide says 3s 0-0-0 but keep in mind he was less than 5th off win­ning a Tul­loch Stakes. Good odds, he can pay out each-way or place es­pe­cially. Waller sta­ble­mates 4. MULTIFACETS (75) and 1. VAUCLUSE BAY (77) are next in line. Multifacets has run 5th at his last three out­ings and it’s worth not­ing the mar­gins are get­ting smaller each time. The Waikato Stud bred geld­ing is 4s 1-1-1 at the t/d, he has drawn 3 so I sus­pect he can park a bit hand­ier if de­sired. My only rea­sons for not tip­ping the some­what ‘ob­vi­ous’ in Vaucluse Bay is that he goes up from 53kgs to 59.5kgs and that’s a big lift. On top of that, he just got that many favours last time won it made the 4-lens mar­gin quite mis­lead­ing.

3. MAG­I­CAL STANCE (75) cov­ered ground in the Vaucluse Bay race and will be closer than the 6-1ens be­tween them from that day.

RACE 3

THERE was big money with the TAB on the Fixed Odds be­fore Win­ter Chal­lenge on 1. CLAS­SIC UNI­FORM (98). I can’t re­mem­ber the exact num­bers but it was some­thing like $17 into $7? On the day the horse was $5.50 to $6. What mat­ters most is that Clas­sic Uni­form ran a nose 2nd to Shi­raz; it was a very tough on-pace ef­fort from the Gary Moore trained geld­ing. He drew 1 that day, he has 1 again to - mor­row so I strongly sus­pect that he leads for as far as can over the 2000m. Clas­sic Uni­form has run 4th in a Can­berra Cup and Neville Sell­wood over the 2000m. Fourth-up, he is fit as hands can make him, he’s in form but he’s got some weight to carry even with the claim f or An­drew Ad­kins. Call me loyal stupid but I am giv­ing 2. CENTRE PIVOT (95) one more chance. The Peter Robl trained 7YO is ‘970’ this prep. I can make a case for the ‘97’, less so the ‘0’ from last start in Win­ter Chal­lenge. Centre Pivot is 2s 1-0-1 and was 4th to Stra­tum Star I the 2200m Magic Mil­lions Tro­phy on Jan 14. 3. LOY­ALTY MAN (92) has been fly­ing this prep, those three runs in Mel­bourne were all very good then he came up here and re­ally stretched Sound Propo­si­tion who would go around $2 if he was here.

RACE 4

I WAS dy­ing to make 3. DENMAGIC (94) a triple ex spe­cial in the Mis­sile last week but she nomed and didn’t ac­cept. Sad re­ally, be­cause she would have got the run that the win­ner In­vin­ci­ble Gem got and won. Now you would think this be­ing a Bm94 I make Denmagic the bet of the cen­tury but not so. Rea­son be - ing, I ac­tu­ally think this is a harder race be­cause de­spite the ab­sence of Le Ro­main, his Kris Lees sta­ble­mate

2. ZESTFUL (97) scares me sense - less and not only be­cause she is 3 for 3 first-up but on top of that she is fly­ing! That said, I can say the same about Denmagic. As one her big­gest sup - porters, con­fi­dently as­sert that she has never ever been go­ing bet­ter through her tri­als. It’s a su­per quinella/ ex­acta op­tion and one that I per­son­ally in­tend to do! of the rest, look out for a bold re­turn from 8. DEN­PURR (84) who has tri­alled right up for a win­ning re­turn and she gets the firm sur­face.

RACE 5

HERE is an­other one straight out of the tri­als. The great man Kenny Cal­lan­der part owns 3. HOGMANAY (80) and I bet he’d be tip­ping it off the tri­als! They have been awe­some and even though Waller is not nec­es­sar­ily a firstup trainer and Hogmanay will be bet­ter into this cam­paign, you have to - lieve what you see and this horse is in a very happy place right now. The huge dan­ger is of course the uber hand­some

4. PEA­COCK (75) who has like­wise tri­alled well. He is a Gothic Stakes win­ner and has been gelded since the last prep but I am just tiny bit con­cerned that he is beat­able given his 4s 0-1-0 fresh record. Even so, he does l ook pretty wound-up for a big, big run. 1.

ROAR­ING TO WIN (81) is a handy horse with the best first-up record of my three main picks (5s 2-0-2) and has tri­alled well enough to win. That said, I have been wait­ing rather im­pa­tiently for Hogmanay to front up on race day.

RACE 6

GO­ING into to­mor­row I reckon the most un­der­rated new sea­son 3YO that is go­ing to make some noise is 6. I AM EX­CITED (69) and I reckon this the time back him be­cause it is a case of if he wins, you’ll never get

price again and if he doesn’t you won’t want to back him in the Golden Rose or any other ma­jor race. He was awe­some at Scone at stand-alone com­ing from a mile back to run third to De­bonairly who was rock­ing. Then at his next/last start I Am Ex­cited over­came dif­fi­culty to score like a good horse. His tri­als have been huge and I can see him rat­tling off a mas­sive sen­sa­tional and win­ning to­mor­row. 3.

TREKKING (74) is a star. His Golden Slip­per cam­paign was in­ter­rupted by wet weather mostly which is a pity be - cause he was THE Godol­phin Slip­per chance of the crop. He now might be their Golden Rose horse and off his tri­als, you’d wanna have a saver on him. 1. DI­A­MOND TATHAGATA (82) has She Will Reign form and has re - ally looked good in his tri­als. The only thing against him, the main thing any­way, is that he has 60.5kgs to bur­den him, a full and amaz­ing — 7.5kgs more I Am Ex­cited I just don’t think he can beat him with that sort of weight dif­fer­en­tial.

RACE 7

MY per­sonal sys­tem in punt­ing is to back a horse first-up out of a Derby or Oaks or Mel­bourne Cup. Mind you, it’s bit dif­fer­ent here given that 8.

ETYMOLOGY (89) raced in the 2016 Queens­land Derby fin­ish­ing 7th to Ea­gle Way. He had run 2nd SAJC Derby be­fore that. The con­sen­sus is that he is there­fore a stayer and while I am not say­ing he is an Oak­leigh Plater, you see so many 3YO’s go around in clas­sics sim­ply be­cause they only get one crack at it. I don’t know what hap - pened to him to keep him on the outer for so long but if you saw his tri­als, you’d see why I have top firstup 1400m on the big track with no real weight. Oh and he’s been gelded since we last saw him. 3. SARRASIN (98) is a fas­ci­nat­ing horse. He had the one run for the Freed­man brothers and that was his 3rd in the Vil­liers he

spelled and since switched over to Waller. His tri­als have been ex­cel­lent and you’d think he’s on a Ep­som path. he could get there first! Wow, what about 4. TOM MEL­BOURNE (96)! He too has come to Waller and won that last trial by 3.3-lens with his head on his chest. he goes well fresh had a mil­lion gear changes. He is go­ing to run race.

RACE 8

SURELY 11. MARIQUITA (66) will have an ounce of luck one day and win a race. The Ger­ald Ryan trained mare has been the eye catcher in all three runs this prepa­ra­tion but maybe that is more a case of the fact that she does noth­ing early and ev­ery­thing late. Be pre­pared for her to do the same to - mor­row, she is quite one di­men­sional in that re­gard but with claim for James Innes Jnr who knows her quite well, she will at last give us some­thing to cheer for late. 6. FAITH’S EN­CORE

(72) was a dual ac­cep­tor but once again we knew very early which race she go­ing for — ku­dos (again) to the Snow­dens not keep­ing us in all in some un­nec­es­sary sus­pense! This daugh­ter of Den­man has beaten her­self at her first two runs since bleed­ing in the Fire­ball by miss­ing the start, she seems to have it en­sconced in her makeup as a bad habit but she can­cels it out by fin­ish­ing so fast. 2.

SUSPENDERS (76) was very un­lucky when 7th at the Farm a few Satur­day’s be­fore her last start win here beat­ing a very brave 8. SLUMBER PARTY (71). 1. HETTY HEIGHTS (80) was only 0.6-lens away last start in a bunched fin­ish; she is very fit, the right race but has plenty of weight.

RACE 9

TIM Martin has trained four metro win­ners out of is last seven run­ners go­ing into the race (at time of pub­li­ca­tion) and he can make it a fifth win­ner this week­end hope­fully with

13. MAPMAKER (77) who was trained for his first 22 starts by Tim’s brother Craig at Tam­worth. Mapmaker had

23rd start at Can­ter­bury on Jul. 26 off a nice/quiet trial and ran 11th of 15 but he was un­der 4-lens from the win­ner and do­ing his best work late. That race 1250m on a small track, this time it is 1500m big track which is of course is his new home. The worry that Mapmaker is 4s 0-00 when sec­ond-up but against that, he has 52kgs on his back and it’s been a long, long time since he ran a poor race. 5. FRANCESCO (74) is on the back up af­ter a clos­ing third to Tim Martin’s King Darci in a deep Bm81 at Rand­wick last Satur­day. The Greg and Donna Ko­livos owned gal­loper is fourth-up now at his first prep for the new trainer Mark Newn­ham who has him go­ing great guns with­out win­ning buy with­out much luck on oc­ca­sions. You can’t knock win­ning f orm and right now 4. SPE­CIAL MIS­SILE (76) is do­ing just that. He is aim­ing for four in a row and has been pre­sented with ev­ery chance to do it with gate and The Gun.

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