Bris­bane Pre­view

The Sportsman Weekend - - Detailed Formguide For Doomben - with Greg Splet­ter

Race 1 Not a whole lot of con­fi­dence here for the first part the pro­gram but I’m giv­ing MISHANI EL LOBO an­other chance af­ter a below par run here last start. Raced up on the speed but was left stand­ing by P ri­ori­tise and Oink in the straight. He pre­vi­ous ef­fort be­hind Pub­lish­ing Power was very strong and he ac­tu­ally beat Oink home that day. That’s good form for an R70 jump­ing out on the limit weight thanks to the claim he can bounce back at $4.40. We won’t get the $61 that was on of­fer about VOLTAIRE LUMIERE last start be­fore he scratched as this is a much eas­ier event, but he can still give some cheek at $19. Hit his straps when the race was over first-up and he will strip fit­ter to­mor­row. He does want some tempo in the race to fin­ish off and that is a query here, but he won’t be giv­ing away as much start will hit­ting the line strongly. IMPREGNABLE won three in a row in the coun­try be­fore miss­ing place a class three here last start. Worst value of the day for mine at even money but he’s not with­out a hope.

Race 2 An­other race dec­i­mated by Wide - gate Syn­drome and while Mishani El Lobo will be a solid chance if he takes this op­tion, from a punt­ing per­spec­tive he’s poor value at $2.90. TRUE PAS­SION was big improver se­cond-up at the Gold Coast in this grade, hit­ting line nicely over 900m un­der an an­chor­ing weight. He has drawn ideally and is much bet­ter value at $11 than the favourite. MISHANI EL LOBO will be hard to beat for sure, for all rea­son out­lines in race one, but he still has bounce back from that or­di­nary run last start. I’d much pre­fer him in the first. JETSONIC comes into a more man­age­able gate af­ter the scratch­ing and is unbeaten first-up. He has solid cre­den­tials around this grade, though he will need luck early on from 14.

Race 3 RAN­CHO MON­TOYA has to bring his soft track form to a firmer sur­face to­mor­row and while he is the one to beat, I’m not thrilled with $2.60 on of­fer. Easy de­but win­ner at Ip­swich beat­ing noth­ing, but he did run well in bet­ter com­pany here last start. Drawn per­fectly and is the one to beat. FRNCISCA is gun­ning for her hat-trick to­mor­row af­ter strong vic­to­ries at the provin­cials. This is a step up but she has been hit­ting the line strongly and is a gen­uine se­cond-pick at $4.40. UMBERTO’s de­feat by Hingis Rose two runs back was bet­ter than his maiden win at the Gold Coast last start and has an each way hope at $8.00, but it feels like a trap race to me.

Race 4 There’s a de­cent speed here from the favourite, Al­l­lknight Saint and Punta Norte and that will set things up nicely for OUT­RAGED who put in a cracker here first-up. Came from last on the turn and mowed them down only to fall a half length shy of Ox­ford Poet on the line. Bet­ter suited this trip and on top of the ground will be flash­ing home late. Best value in the race with

two favourites be­ing so short. SHEISWHATSHEIS gave a kick last start and re­turned to win­ning form with a gutsy suc­cess over Pin­dan Pearl. She has cer­tainly turned the cor­ner this cal­en­dar year, re - mem­ber­ing how to win one, and has strong claims again, though she is no value at $2.75 and won’t get a lot of peace in front this time. PIN­DAN PEARL hasn’t tasted vic­tory for very long time but her re­cent form sug­gests she is clos­ing in. Chased hard be­hind Sheiswhatsheis here last time and is pro­duc­ing de - cent re­sults on good tracks these days. Very short but a hope.

Race 5 FRESPANOL got held up when re­sum­ing here last month and did well to close the gap be­hind Sunny Vic­tory. He will strip fit­ter for that hitout, ap­pre­ci­ate the step up to 1350m to­mor­row and this is his race. The $6.00 is a great price and the Fradd/Gol­lan combo will give this a might shake. CHAR­LIE BOY’s two runs up here for Team Gol­lan have been en­cour­ag­ing, but he hasn’t won a race I can’t re - mem­ber how long de­spite putting in some big runs. I sup­pose he will win one of these even­tu­ally but my pa­tience ran out about a year ago. STEEL ZIP is a 10-year- old vet­eran who also hasn’t found the line in quite a while but he wasn’t far from the ac­tion here last start when a length and half from Ox­ford Poet. This is his pet dis­tance and tracks, and with Jeff Lloyd go­ing on he has an each way hope, though not missed at $4.80.

Race 6 The C Waller mid­dle - dis­tance in­va­sion has be­gun, and while the sta­ble have three gen­uine hopes en­gaged I’m look­ing for STAN­LEY to tip them all out. Scored back to back wins in July in­clud­ing a nar­row vic­tory over Lov­ing Home, be­fore run­ning out of puff when run­nerup to Devil Hawk. He meets that run­ner 5.5kg bet­ter at the weights here which is sig­nif­i­cant enough to make the dif­fer­ence for me. About right at $4.20 and will go will. DEVIL HAWK is right up in the weights but his win over Stanely was pretty good. It took him four shock­ers off a 67-week spell to find his feet but he could pos­si­bly line up a picket fence here, so he’s a must for all your busi­ness. LOV­ING HOME was very dis­ap­point­ing as the hot favourite last start fin­ish­ing four lengths be­hind his sta­ble­mate. Not missed by the hand­i­cap­per but at $6.50 at least you have a chance this week.

Race 7 I’ve dancer around NAT­U­RAL BLACK with great suc­cess this prepa­ra­tion but to­mor­row is the day to jump on at the $4.00. Hit the line strongly two runs back to beat all but the tal­ented Miss Dubois, then again hit the line here last start when just a half length be - hind sub­se­quent win­ner Meet And Greet. This is not drop back in grade, it’s a weak class three at that and from the per­fect draw this is his race. LADY LARK is no slouch but will need luck and some R Fradd magic to find a spot from gate 15. Strong run be­hind Arre - star last start over this course and dis­tance and she does get a nice weight pull off my top pick at the set weights. In­clude in your quaddie as an in­sur­ance run­ner. GYPSY MISS has drawn bet­ter and did fin­ish off nicely last time in a weaker race here, but she was beaten con­vinc­ingly by Nat­u­ral Black the run prior. Place hope.

Race 8 I can’t see any­thing here that will trou­ble TREVINDER for the lead and with some soft sec­tion­als midrace will be very, very hard to run down. Stuck on well in open class a fort­night ago be­hind Stella Om­bra and Tum­bler af­ter lead­ing them up. Drops back to an av­er­age class six to­mor­row, is only up 2kg at the set weights and has drawn per­fectly to lob in front on the fence. The $13 is a ridicu­lous quote, and at that price you could an­chor him up for the place in all-ups and you will need a wheel­bar­row to get it all home. ORADONNA also has form be­hind Stella Om­bra though was sev­eral weeks ago and on a soft track. Her form is very good for race like this and she jumps out with only 52.5kg, but will drift well back and be giv­ing my bloke a big start on the bend. DENARIUS will be back there with her near­ing the turn but at the $18 avail­able I’ll throw­ing him in quaddie. He has hit the line well at both runs this cam­paign in­clud­ing a nice ef­fort at Rand­wick be­hind Mana. Drawn hope­lessly but he will be back out of trou­ble off the fence with cover. His big­gest con­cern is the lack speed which does play back into the lap of Trevinder.

Race 9 Even field to fin­ish off and I thought the $18 about CON­STAN­TINE was prob­a­bly the best value in the race. He won four in a row at provin­cials ear­lier on moving up through the grades be­fore find­ing the Group Three depth of the Sun­shine Coast Guineas a bit rich for him at the be­gin­ning last month. Showed good im­prove­ment at his last run Grafton un­der the stead­ier of 61kg and can give a bold show­ing back to 1350m here on fresh legs. Great value to fin­ish the day on. AHNDRAS may need a run to hit her straps but she is handy when right. Brought up hat-trick in city grade when last in work kick­ing off with a 1350m win here un­der 59kg. She’s had cou­ple of tri­als and is in the mix at $8.00, but is worth watch­ing for fu­ture ref­er­ence. FAB - VIER has fin­ished in the first two at all five starts for Toby Ed­monds and just missed out on her hat-trick last time with a nar­row de­feat here by Rosie Posie. She will need some great rid­ing from Jeff Lloyd early on from the awk­ward draw but with luck can fig­ure in the fin­ish.

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