Race 1 Not a whole lot of confidence here for the first part the program but I’m giving MISHANI EL LOBO another chance after a below par run here last start. Raced up on the speed but was left standing by P rioritise and Oink in the straight. He previous effort behind Publishing Power was very strong and he actually beat Oink home that day. That’s good form for an R70 jumping out on the limit weight thanks to the claim he can bounce back at $4.40. We won’t get the $61 that was on offer about VOLTAIRE LUMIERE last start before he scratched as this is a much easier event, but he can still give some cheek at $19. Hit his straps when the race was over first-up and he will strip fitter tomorrow. He does want some tempo in the race to finish off and that is a query here, but he won’t be giving away as much start will hitting the line strongly. IMPREGNABLE won three in a row in the country before missing place a class three here last start. Worst value of the day for mine at even money but he’s not without a hope.
Race 2 Another race decimated by Wide - gate Syndrome and while Mishani El Lobo will be a solid chance if he takes this option, from a punting perspective he’s poor value at $2.90. TRUE PASSION was big improver second-up at the Gold Coast in this grade, hitting line nicely over 900m under an anchoring weight. He has drawn ideally and is much better value at $11 than the favourite. MISHANI EL LOBO will be hard to beat for sure, for all reason outlines in race one, but he still has bounce back from that ordinary run last start. I’d much prefer him in the first. JETSONIC comes into a more manageable gate after the scratching and is unbeaten first-up. He has solid credentials around this grade, though he will need luck early on from 14.
Race 3 RANCHO MONTOYA has to bring his soft track form to a firmer surface tomorrow and while he is the one to beat, I’m not thrilled with $2.60 on offer. Easy debut winner at Ipswich beating nothing, but he did run well in better company here last start. Drawn perfectly and is the one to beat. FRNCISCA is gunning for her hat-trick tomorrow after strong victories at the provincials. This is a step up but she has been hitting the line strongly and is a genuine second-pick at $4.40. UMBERTO’s defeat by Hingis Rose two runs back was better than his maiden win at the Gold Coast last start and has an each way hope at $8.00, but it feels like a trap race to me.
Race 4 There’s a decent speed here from the favourite, Alllknight Saint and Punta Norte and that will set things up nicely for OUTRAGED who put in a cracker here first-up. Came from last on the turn and mowed them down only to fall a half length shy of Oxford Poet on the line. Better suited this trip and on top of the ground will be flashing home late. Best value in the race with
two favourites being so short. SHEISWHATSHEIS gave a kick last start and returned to winning form with a gutsy success over Pindan Pearl. She has certainly turned the corner this calendar year, re - membering how to win one, and has strong claims again, though she is no value at $2.75 and won’t get a lot of peace in front this time. PINDAN PEARL hasn’t tasted victory for very long time but her recent form suggests she is closing in. Chased hard behind Sheiswhatsheis here last time and is producing de - cent results on good tracks these days. Very short but a hope.
Race 5 FRESPANOL got held up when resuming here last month and did well to close the gap behind Sunny Victory. He will strip fitter for that hitout, appreciate the step up to 1350m tomorrow and this is his race. The $6.00 is a great price and the Fradd/Gollan combo will give this a might shake. CHARLIE BOY’s two runs up here for Team Gollan have been encouraging, but he hasn’t won a race I can’t re - member how long despite putting in some big runs. I suppose he will win one of these eventually but my patience ran out about a year ago. STEEL ZIP is a 10-year- old veteran who also hasn’t found the line in quite a while but he wasn’t far from the action here last start when a length and half from Oxford Poet. This is his pet distance and tracks, and with Jeff Lloyd going on he has an each way hope, though not missed at $4.80.
Race 6 The C Waller middle - distance invasion has begun, and while the stable have three genuine hopes engaged I’m looking for STANLEY to tip them all out. Scored back to back wins in July including a narrow victory over Loving Home, before running out of puff when runnerup to Devil Hawk. He meets that runner 5.5kg better at the weights here which is significant enough to make the difference for me. About right at $4.20 and will go will. DEVIL HAWK is right up in the weights but his win over Stanely was pretty good. It took him four shockers off a 67-week spell to find his feet but he could possibly line up a picket fence here, so he’s a must for all your business. LOVING HOME was very disappointing as the hot favourite last start finishing four lengths behind his stablemate. Not missed by the handicapper but at $6.50 at least you have a chance this week.
Race 7 I’ve dancer around NATURAL BLACK with great success this preparation but tomorrow is the day to jump on at the $4.00. Hit the line strongly two runs back to beat all but the talented Miss Dubois, then again hit the line here last start when just a half length be - hind subsequent winner Meet And Greet. This is not drop back in grade, it’s a weak class three at that and from the perfect draw this is his race. LADY LARK is no slouch but will need luck and some R Fradd magic to find a spot from gate 15. Strong run behind Arre - star last start over this course and distance and she does get a nice weight pull off my top pick at the set weights. Include in your quaddie as an insurance runner. GYPSY MISS has drawn better and did finish off nicely last time in a weaker race here, but she was beaten convincingly by Natural Black the run prior. Place hope.
Race 8 I can’t see anything here that will trouble TREVINDER for the lead and with some soft sectionals midrace will be very, very hard to run down. Stuck on well in open class a fortnight ago behind Stella Ombra and Tumbler after leading them up. Drops back to an average class six tomorrow, is only up 2kg at the set weights and has drawn perfectly to lob in front on the fence. The $13 is a ridiculous quote, and at that price you could anchor him up for the place in all-ups and you will need a wheelbarrow to get it all home. ORADONNA also has form behind Stella Ombra though was several weeks ago and on a soft track. Her form is very good for race like this and she jumps out with only 52.5kg, but will drift well back and be giving my bloke a big start on the bend. DENARIUS will be back there with her nearing the turn but at the $18 available I’ll throwing him in quaddie. He has hit the line well at both runs this campaign including a nice effort at Randwick behind Mana. Drawn hopelessly but he will be back out of trouble off the fence with cover. His biggest concern is the lack speed which does play back into the lap of Trevinder.
Race 9 Even field to finish off and I thought the $18 about CONSTANTINE was probably the best value in the race. He won four in a row at provincials earlier on moving up through the grades before finding the Group Three depth of the Sunshine Coast Guineas a bit rich for him at the beginning last month. Showed good improvement at his last run Grafton under the steadier of 61kg and can give a bold showing back to 1350m here on fresh legs. Great value to finish the day on. AHNDRAS may need a run to hit her straps but she is handy when right. Brought up hat-trick in city grade when last in work kicking off with a 1350m win here under 59kg. She’s had couple of trials and is in the mix at $8.00, but is worth watching for future reference. FAB - VIER has finished in the first two at all five starts for Toby Edmonds and just missed out on her hat-trick last time with a narrow defeat here by Rosie Posie. She will need some great riding from Jeff Lloyd early on from the awkward draw but with luck can figure in the finish.