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The Sportsman Weekend - - Detailed Formguide For Rosehill - with Shayne O’Cass

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 3. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Thurs­day at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

RACE 1

MATTHEW Dunn went within a nose of claim­ing an 11th TAB High­way when 3. LIFESAVER (63) was nar­rowly beaten past the post and in the stew­ard’s room by plunge horse An­other Sin in an 1100m re - newal here two weeks back. We know the win­ner is highly re­garded given that he steps straight into to­day’s San Domenico. As for Lifesaver, he’d won his only two runs be­fore com­ing to Sydney. Should get a lovely and prom­i­nent run from the al­ley. 7.

MOSSMAN GORGE (61) is trained by Matthew Dale who has won his con­nec­tions nine High­ways. Moss - man Gorge was 3rd to Gun­ni­son in the Light­ning Ridge there at home in Can­berra, then ran last and was spelled af­ter his Black Opal tilt. Re - sumed with an all the way dom­i­nant win in a Kem­bla 1000m C1 on Aug. 10; can you be­lieve he started $5? True. 1. NIC’S VENDETTA (71) has raced in eight High­ways win­ning one and plac­ing three times. Found the 1500m be­yond him l ast start; fresh­ened back in trip.

RACE 2

TO­MOR­ROW i s the fifth time I have had 8. MARIQUITA (66) on top and maybe the last time too. Not that for a mo­ment has she been run­ning badly, far from it, but so much has to go her way — well two things, tempo and clear run­ning. In­ter­est­ing look at the beaten mar­gins and see how they are di­min­ish­ing in size; 3.3-lens, 2.8-lens, 1.5-lens last time 0.6-lens. At the same time her dis­tances are i ncreas­ing (all bar one); 1200m, 1350m, 1200m 1400m and 1500m to­mor­row. Down in class, up in dis­tance equals tick , tick , boom! 6. ELOUERA (68) shares Mariquita’s rac­ing pat­tern. The Nowra mare ran a huge race at $101 when 0.7-lens third to Phi­los­o­phy and 1. AWOKE (74) here on Jul. 29 but plenty of pun­ters (me in­cluded) let her get un­der the guard when she backed it up with a win over some handy types at $31 two weeks later here/1400m. We’re not go­ing to get 100’s or 30s or any­thing like that but it’s not like she’ll be 6/4 ei­ther. Out­side of the two back­mark­ers, I am in­ter­ested to see how the Godol­phin mare 2. CHATUCHAK (74) goes at the 1500m. She’s a good hon­est mare, drawn 2 and is peak­ing.

RACE 3

WOW, what a fan­tas­tic race this is. Have you ever seen a bet­ter Bm78?! Kris Lees has taken over a good num­ber of the Gooree horses now that James Cum­mings has gone to Godol­phin. One of those is 4.

SKY­LIGHT GLOW (80) who was a pretty high class filly from her 3YO days. As well as run­ning third on this day last year in the Ming Dy­nasty, Sky­light Glow was also 0.3lens run­ner-up to Fox­play i n the Tea Rose and a dis­tant third in Flight. Sky­light Glows re­turns here off two smash­ing tri­als (man they were good!) but you’d have to be a bit wor­ried by the 11/11 bar­rier. Bow­man rides at least. 11. MARSUPIAL (68) is a 3YO tak­ing on the older horses but well up to task . As a mat­ter of fact, this son of Street Cry and Koala (hence the name) was 0.2lens be­hind Spi­eth in a deep 800m heat at Rand­wick on Aug. 14 and that was straight af­ter he won a WF so James Cum­mings has the colt in great order. Ev­ery other horse is a chance, truly, and while I am 3. TANGO RAIN (77) then 10. LADY JIVAGO (73) in tip order, would se­ri­ously ad­vise in­clud­ing 5. PUMP­KIN PIE (79) and long­shot 9. FLY FOR­WARD (70) in the ex­otics.

RACE 4

2. VAU­CLUSE BAY (77) was $1.85 into $1.75 here on Aug. 12 and beaten 21-lens; he was found to be suf­fer­ing the ef­fects of car­diac ar­rhyth­mia and or­dered to trial which he did at Rand­wick on Mon­day morn­ing he went around no prob­lems. We have to ig­nore the last run and go on the fact that he won his pre­vi­ous two, both here at home, one of them against Ar­beit­sam. In

sec­ond win of the se­quence, Vau­cluse Bay had 4-lens to spare over 11. MORE THAN FABULOUS (68) who is a game com­peti­tor in any­thing and every­thing he con­tests. The down­side is that is 3 from 40 now 0 from 23 on good tracks even though he placed 10 times on good. Form sug­gests he will need it wet and that’s not guar­an­teed. 3.

NOT A GYPSY (75) is third up now off a good run, great ride, last start t/d two weeks back in the race where Vau­cluse Bay had those is­sues. Tough lit­tle race to get one’s head around.

RACE 5

IF 4. CEN­TRE PIVOT (94) is go­ing to win an­other de­cent race in NSW, I reckon this will be it. I have been fol­low­ing the horse’s progress this whole cam­paign and ac­tu­ally tipped him in Civic first-up at $41. To cut a long story short, he is ‘9704’ in his four runs this cam­paign but I am adamant that he’s go­ing bet­ter than that and when I spoke to his trainer Peter Robl by phone on Wed­nes­day morn­ing, I was so glad (and not at all sur­prised) that he con­firmed my be - liefs. For more, see page 2. 2. CLAS

SIC UNI­FORM (98) de­serves to win this race af­ter those back back sec­onds i n the Win­ter Chal­lenge and Pre­mier’s Cup Pre­lude beaten a nose in one and about 5-lens in the other. He is a red-hot on-pacer so bar­rier 2 big as­sist and he is as fit as hands can make him with four ex­cel­lent runs into this. Has to be close now surely. 3. SINGING (95) is the i ntrigu­ing run­ner. The Kris Lees trained French equine is 6s 2-2-0 first-up. One of those first-up runs was in last year’s P remier’s Cup when run­ner-up to his out­stand­ing sta­ble­mate Sense Of Oc­ca­sion.

RACE 6

I WASN’T Robin­son Cru­soe but I de­clared 9. MA­HA­LAN­GUR (63) at New­cas­tle; he was $2.60 into $1.75 and I think the TAB bet $4 or some - thing Fixed? True. On breed­ing, on trainer (s) and on the tri­als, he was a $1.10 shot won ac­cord­ingly. He was my Caulfield Guineas horse go­ing into the race so of course he is best bet in the Ming Dy­nasty.

10. THY KING­DOM COME (63) is a 3YO that we will hear more about this prepa­ra­tion. He’s an oil paint­ing, so much like his dad Lope de Vega. He’s got clas­sic 1600m/2400m writ­ten all over him. He’s got a bit of class as well. The John Thomp­son trained colt has raced three times; Breed­ers’ Plate, Canon­bury then Pago Pago. For­get all that — he’s a 3YO spring and au­tumn. For what it’s worth, I am bet­ting Ma­ha­lan­gur (win), Thy King­dom Come (ex­acta/ quinella) and had no firm opin­ion on ‘ bronze’ but I do have a healthy re­spect for the two Team Snow­den horses 2. ASSIMILATE (71) and 3. HYPNOTIST (71).

RACE 7

SOUNDS like I am Robin Cru­soe this time with my San Dom pick 4.

CHAUF­FEUR (80), no one around me in the of­fice here is buy­ing my the­ory that he has done enough to win, he will be ready and he will run over the top of them. I know the gen­eral con­sen­sus is that wants more ground and he be­ing aimed at Golden Rose, etc, but it’s not like he is go­ing to be 15-lens off the lead and needs 400m get go­ing. If he is within say 4-lens at the turn and in clear run­ning, I am trust­ing his barn­storm­ing fin­ish (and The Gun) to do the rest. I reckon the $12 is great value my­self. The tip around for 1.

PARIAH (84) is mas­sive and I can see why, he’s a su­per colt but $2.80 him up against $16 the sta­ble­mate

2. TAK­ING AIM (82) is out of sync IMO. The depth of form re Pariah is be­yond that Tak­ing Aim, true, but he (Tak­ing Aim) is just your good old fash­ioned tough and gen­uine Choisir colt. I love the way he goes about his busi­ness. I was all but ready to have

5. CON­DOR HE­ROES (75) on top un­til he drew 9 of 10. He has mas - sive gate speed I know but it’s still wide. That said, it could all change dra­mat­i­cally if they scratch a few on race morn­ing and the speed drops out and he comes in 3 horses.

RACE 8

HERE’S lit­tle bit of use­less but fas - cinat­ing trivia about my top pick 13. KNOW HOW (62) and that is that the com­bined age of his sire and dam­sire is, wait for it — 70! His dad, Desert King is alive and well aged 23 but his dam- sire is the de­ceased im­mor­tal Bletch­ingly who would be aged 47 now. To put into some per­spec­tive what a rare horse Know How i s, Bletch­ingly daugh­ters de - liv­ered 2158 named foals, only 22 of that num­ber are still rac­ing — Know How be­ing one. Re his chances win­ning; he just­needs those breaks to go with him f or a change, he should have won 8 10 races not 4. The Tim Martin trained 12. MAP

MAKER (66) was given a 10/10 ride by Deanne Panya last start which en­abled the horse to fin­ish run­nerup to i n-form Smart Mis­sile. Panya hands up Corey Brown to - mor­row who will likely give the horse the same sort of run from bar­rier 5. Have to re­spect the afore­men­tioned

2. SPE­CIAL MIS­SILE (82) who is aim­ing for 5 straight to­mor­row, you don’t see too many horses do that any­where let alone in Sydney.

RACE 9

SPEAK­ING of un­lucky, 3. SIR BACCHUS (89) hasn’t al­ways en­joyed the best has he. The Waller trained grey prob­a­bly isn’t all that well served draw­ing close to the rails and com­bine that with him some - times get­ting a lit­tle too far back , it’s hard to win un­der those cir­cum­stances. Sir Bacchus has 4 al­ley to - mor­row — I am bank­ing on Bow­man to get the job done. I am ac­tu­ally quite keen to tell the truth bear­ing in mind that Sir Bacchus is 6s 3-1-0 at Rose­hill and 9s 5w over the trip.

2. SUPREME EF­FORT (90) al­ways tri­als well be­fore he races but even for him, those last two at Gos­ford and New­cat­sle were ter­rific and su­per en­cour­ag­ing to go to the races with. The Kim Waugh trained son of Shaft is 6s 2-2-0 fresh, he loves this trip and tries ev­ery time steps out on to the track . 6. MOGADOR (83) is al­ways there­abouts, make that usu­ally but just can’t crack it for a third win. Not he’s not good enough to win races — he was mas­sive in the Ramornie, but just isn’t con­vert­ing.

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