Bris­bane Pre­view

The Sportsman Weekend - - Ipswich - WITH GREG SPLETTER

Race 1

The first half of the prog ram to­mor­row is straight up and down, and with fair to rea­son­able value about the favourites there’s no rea­son to go past them. SNITZKRAF T is a mile bet­ter than th­ese, and al­ready stake­splaced, bat­tling on in the Dal­rello back in April on a soft-7. Both jock­eys last pre p re por ted his dis­like for the shifty g round, and best m is on fir mer foot­ing as ev­i­denced by two im­pres­sive vic­to­ries in his first cam­paign. Drawn the inside and I’ll be sur prised if the $1.65 is still about come race­time. There’s a good g ap to the sec­ond pick CO­RAL BAY who has beat Snitzkraft to bring up hat-trick af­ter two good re­sults at the Sun­shine Coast. He hits the line okay, but he beat noth­ing and at $4.60 is nowhere near the value re­quired to drag me away from the top pick. NOBLE HUSSLER has won just the one race, at Toowoomba in April, but he beat fair field be­fore find­ing the car ni­val stakes g rade far too tough. Looks like a dry sur­face is his go as well but ag ain, at $11, is not com­pa­ra­ble to the favourite on the score of value.

Race 2

The fil­lies’ edi­tion cer tainly has more de pth to it than the boys but I’m very keen on MISS EXFACTOR to re­sume with a win. She ran into Houtzen at her de­but and al­though beaten four lengths de­spite get­ting 9kg off her, she still beat the rest of a pretty de­cent field. Atoned a for tnight later with a strong all the way vic­tory in Satur­day g rade at Gold Coast on a soft-7. Trial win­ner Deagon ear­lier this month and as long as the wet tracks didn’t flat­ter her last cam­paign she should belt th­ese. Looks right at the $1.80. RED HOT MISS does re present some value at $17 but she is very un­re­li­able. Stuck on okay be­hind the tal­ented Why­peeo in town last time, and her only other dry track run was a sen­sa­tional vic­tory on de­but back in February. Not a whole lot of speed here which doesn’t help but if a cou­ple of them go hard out in front she will be run­ning on late. COLOSIMO was dis­ap­point­ing in two Syd­ney runs at the gin­ning of this pre p but did im­prove at the Gold Coast last time be­hind Why­peeo. Prob­a­bly en­ti­tled to be closer to top than $12 and is one for your mul­ti­ples.

Race 3

SOME­DAY scored his first win i n nearly four years last star t, hit­ting the line im­pres­sively to beat a stronger field than he faces to­mor row. He has had four runs back now from very long lay­off and it’s very hard to go round him based on his lat­est ef­fort up ag ainst some very usual sus­pects. Not missed at the $1.95 but if he pro­duces a sim­i­lar run to Doomben will win again. LONDEHERO might have had more sup­por t than his $5.00 quote if there was any speed en­gaged here, but with only F lam­boyer go­ing for­ward it’s hard to see this bloke run­ning home over the top of a sit-and-sprint type like Some­day. He is handy sprinter and gets a nice weight drop from his firstup run but the best he is likely to yield is mi­nor plac­ing be­hind the top pick. FLAMBOYER leads this on his ear but he has to make up seven lengths that Some­day put on him at their most re­cent clash. Bet­ter suited with the edge off the track, and hasn’t won at this trip in 14 at­tempts, but if any­thing is go­ing to beat fave it might be bloke who gets it just a lit­tle too easy in front.

Race 4

There aren’t many vet­eran, stay­ing mares run­ning around and I’m a big fan of MY DIAMANTINE who has been in ca­reer best for m over the last few months. Run­ner-up to Sup­ply And De­mand the Caloun­dra Cup win­ter, and was far from disg raced in the Queens­land Cup over the two mile. The short break Au­gust did the trick as she came out and beat a de­cent open class field over the mile last star t with some fresh­ness in her le gs. Up 3kg but this is weaker than her last as­sign­ment and the ex­tra dis­tance is per­fect. Good value at $2.75, I’d ex­pect that to trim down closer to the jump. Lucky I gave OUT­RAGED one more chance to get it right last star t and Ric McMa­hon did ev­ery­thing right on him nab Vas­sal in the shad­ows of the post. He re­tains ride here and he has a gen­uine hope, but up 3.5kg giv­ing half to the top pick I think My Diamantine might have his mea­sure. AN­TON EN AVANT picks up at least one of th­ese every cam­paign and he hasn’t been all that far away his last cou­ple. This is around his best trip, and Jeff Lloyd jumps on which should give him a lift. On a rain af­fected track I’d al­most tip him at good odds but on top of the g round he will strug­gle to match it with the top two.

Race 5

Pos­si­bly the weak­est of t hese Satur­day class threes I’ve seen up here with al­most no class three for m in the ca­reers of any run­ner, hence a horse com­ing off a good ef­fort in class two at Gos­ford gets the nod YARRAPOWER. He hasn’t done much wrong this pre p in eas­ier g rade, fin­ish­ing in the top two at four of his five star ts and

fifth was an un­lucky run at War­wick Far m Bm67 level. He should get a good run from the draw and $3.90 is as as any. DREAM OF AS­COT won three in a row last pre p on the wet tracks be­fore run­ning into some black-type youngsters at the star t of the car ni­val. She knows where line is, she’ll be right up on speed and looks well in with 54kg af­ter the claim. She has to wor th a saver at $13. ICE FROST has come up aw­fully short at $2.50 on the back of com­for ta­ble win here first-up over this trip, but there is an enor mous amount of speed en­gaged here and she will be do­ing well to hold them all out. Six the 11 run­ners have led over 1000m in re­cent times and while it was a fair win last star t, he’s not en­ti­tled to be so shor t.

Race 6

I’m a big fan of OUR BEEBEE, and al­though she will need a bit of luck from the inside g ate she has touch of class about her. Took to rac­ing in very im­pres­sive fash­ion win­ning four her first five star ts, and the only de­feat was at stakes level be­hind boom young­ster Win­ning Ru­per t. She trained off at the 3end of last pre p but is cer tainly

bench­mark here in a lowly Bm85 and at $4.80 I can’t go past her on value. FI­NAL ZERO beat a small but tal­ented field of girls at her most re­cent run in town, tur ning the ta­bles on Of The Day who beat her pre­vi­ous two. She’s not in the same class as Our Beebee but does have race fit­ness on her side as well as a weight pull and a more suit­able draw. Dan­ger, but not en­ti­tled to be shorter than her. The $18 on of­fer about DREAM FIN­NISH looks gen­er­ous as a two-time win­ner first-up, and when re­sum­ing last pre p she chased home F lam­boyer in open g rade. Cer tainly prefers the longer trips but on fresh le gs she can run a race at the big odds.

Race

I’ve steered around RED HAN­DLE for a very long time but her two runs back this pre p are more than enough to get me en­thused up against only a mod­er­ate R70 field. She was close-up be­hind Bon­sho first-up over 1050m be­fore run­ning on nicely be­hind the in-for m Im­pre gnable last time hits trip in a far su­pe­rior qual­ity R70 field. Drawn to get a g reat run and is a g reat each way bet at $5.50. IG­NITE THE LIGHT has taken on a cou­ple of handy line­ups his last two, fin­ish­ing a cou­ple of lengths be­hind the top pick last star t, and lead­ing them up the run prior be­fore tir­ing sub­se­quent win­ners Havasay and Ma­nias. He’ll jump out and work hard early to come across

lead them if he gets a breather midrace could take run­ning down. SHEEZALADY goes well here, and led all the way over this trip a month ago un­der a sim­i­lar im­post. Drawn hope­lessly but with luck early on can fig­ure.

Race 8

Very sur­prised at the $11 on of­fer here about ANZIO who won two in a row in Au­gust in­clud­ing vic­tory over a good class three field at the mile. Far from dis­graced when shoot­ing for the hat-trick last star t jump­ing from out­side gate un­der 59kg and fin­ish­ing close-up be­hind Ran­cho Mon­toya and Ah­n­dras. Ei­ther of those would give th­ese a cold, and with a 4kg drop in weight and a great bar­rier the dou­ble fig­ure odds are wildly off-base. SPRING TY­COON is de­served $3.60 favourite here af­ter run­ning down a de­ter mined My Girl Hay ley last start in town. Showed up against stakes-qual­ity 3 yos when last in work and from the favourable draw will be right in fin­ish. KARAKABEEL scored a good win in eas­ier R 70 grade at Doom ben last start and should have no prob­lems with the ex­tra trip to­mor­row. His con­sis­tent class three form is against fair com­pany and while he’ll need luck from the wide draw, he’s not with­out a hope with the two runs un­der his belt.

Race 9

Av­er­age 0MW to fin­ish off the quad­die and I’ll stick with the Karakabeel form­line in BOUR­BON ROAD who was run­ner-up to him last star t car ry­ing 59kg. The place get­ters in that race are all 0MW qual­ity and with a 4.5kg drop in weight and a g reat g ate he has lots to like. Maybe point over the mark at $5.50. BERGERAC has won three of four star ts this pre p in­clud­ing a big win at the Sun­shine Coast last time when drop­ping back from the mile to 1200m. Dif­fer­ent horse this cam­paign and has to be in­cluded in for m he is in. ALL THAT IS has been hit­ting the line in four runs over the win­ter and an­other with the Karakabeel for m, fin­ish­ing third to him in that R70. Never won on a dry track 19 star ts which is a wor ry, but all his re­cent en­cour­ag­ing for m is top of the g round and he can throw some value into your exotics at the $14.

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