Not a whole lot to go on in the first juvenile race of the season with just
couple of trial wins over small fields in average times. BRINKMANSHIP has a bit going for him, though, and without much confidence we’ll settle on him in the first. His only trial was eyecatching in so far as he flew the start and was a mile in front on settling. Untouched
the run to line, beating the second horse comfortably and streeting the others. He didn’t run flash time but he had plenty in the tank on line. First crop of Spirit Of Booms and he’s a halfbrother to talented lass Tiyatrolani. No idea if $2.60 re presents value but there don’t appear to be many chances. RAINS APLENTY has come up odds-on on the back of a trial win at Toowoomba last month and his mother was a Thousand Guineas winner in her time, though she hasn’t set the world on fire in the breeding bar n. Ran fair time for
850m and Luke Dittman is sticking with him having ridden both this pair to their trial wins. BURNING SUCCESS and BOLTER weren’t far from each other at the trial on the Sunshine Coast, though I’d expect them to finish a fair way behind
two favourites in betting.
The fillies’ division looks stronger and FISH ‘n’ SNITZ will take some beating following an impressive trial. Mustered speed and led them easily at what looked to be more track g allop pace than trial speed. Given a shake-up maybe a hundred out to clean out the pipes but was untouched otherwise. Time wasn’t outstanding but she did it very well and from the good draw should be thereabouts. MIRACLES APLENTY has won two trials at Toowoomba, the first beating the odds-on fave in colts division so his performance might add some confidence to this filly. Drawn out a bit so she will need to show zip early but at $8.00 looks reasonable value. MISS ESTER beat a small trial field about four weeks ago but the time was okay. Drawn next to Miracles Aplenty and will also need some luck or good gate speed find a position.
Very keen here on EXCEEDINGLY at the $6.50 following two runs back from a very long spell. Incredible training perfor mance to have him salute at his first run since Feb 2014 with a win the Sunshine Coast, then did well under 59kg to battle on behind Madame Lily over this trip. This is a good deal easier and he’s drawn much better gate to go forward and take running down. HI HARRY also won first-up, though off a far more modest break, here at the Gold Coast where he was far too strong for a fair class three field. Drawn next to the top pick and he should be very competitive from there. He mixed it with some of the better 3yo’s of his crop last year over slightly longer trips and he looks set for a lucrative campaign. FREDDIE FOX TROT has come up way too shor t at $2.65 as he lines for his hat-trick. Broke through at
second star to post his maiden win at Lismore, then finished off well here last time to beat an average class one field comfor tably. Drawn poorly and is well up in g rade. Not the worst but awful value.
I’m very disappointed with the price about DREAMS APLENTY but he should probably win. Set a strong pace first-up over 1350m before being mowed down by the enigmatic Someday, then again led them a mer ry chase from awkward draw before running out of puff on the line. He’s back a furlong in distance here and should be just about at his peak third run in, but this isn’t a bad field I don’t think he’s entitled to be twos-on. He should get some cheap sectionals midrace with nothing likely to take him on in ear nest, but he owes his fans plenty after going down as favourite at his first two runs back. DREAM FINNISH can pull out a strong run fresh and did just that when resuming at Ipswich last star t. Beat a decent Bm85 field and drops 3kg ste pping up to open g rade tomor row. The extra trip suits, he will be taking many lengths off the favourite in the straight. TORGERS- EN is an interesting runner from the Chris Waller yard who put in an encouraging effor t first-up a very strong class three plate in town. Drops 5kg for this and will strip fitter for the hitout. Wor th noting that he was runner-up in the Bill Ritchie last year and was only a couple of length behind Hauraki in Epsom so he is well up to this. FRESPANOL has also been racing well this time in the favourite won’t have everything his own way. Tread warily.
This is a very open staying event, far more than the market would suggest, and ANTON EN AVANT is getting very close to a win. He’s had seven runs back and put in the best of them last star t coming off a four week freshenup ag ainst similar field to this. Stuck on gamely and was less than a length from Loving Home on the line. Saves his best for this circuit and with J Lloyd retaining mount the $8.00 looks decent value. VASSAL can’t be far off a win after racking up his third consecutive placing in Loving Home’s race last time. Nar rowly beaten, though he was only a half length in fron of the top pick on the line and is up to 58kg tomor row. Under the mark at $3.20 but is cer tainly a genuine threat. MONTEUX took breather after beating Mr Epic impressively back in August and improved shar ply back up to 1800m last star t, placing behind Cauthen’s Power at the Sunny Coast. Should be up near speed and at $11 can give backers a sight.
It’s not really a day for good things but SNITZKRAF T really should win ag ain after do gged perfor mance first-up over this trip. He didn’t beat a g reat deal, but he was giving away
ton of weight and got the job done without giving backers too much of a fright. Fitter for run and he is g reat value at the $3.40, I’d have thought he was more of a $2.50 pop. COLOSIMO appreciated the speed on at Ipswich last time and motored home to score an impressive win over the fillies. The early tempo may have flattered her over the last furlong or so but she did show up as an early 2yo, and after a couple of unsuccessful outings in Sydney she has run herself back into for m. Fair value at the $6.50. CORAL BAY couldn’t snare hat-trick last time after good wins at the Sunshine Coast, but he did take some g round of Snitzkraft in the run home. Gets a nice weight tur naround and at $10 is some hope.
Both divisions of the R70 are minefields and I’m going to give RED HANDLE one more chance. Drew a good g ate last time and had every hope before just battling away down the straight at Ipswich ag ainst a pretty average line-up. Super run
star t prior when she beat all but Impre gnable at Doomben. Making g round was hard to do at Ipswich and she might better here with the rail true and some cut out of
g round. About right at $4.60. REVALDOR hasn’t been placed at his last four, though he has been showing steady improvement and was only a length and a half from Urban Knight last time after covering extra g round. No luck with the draw ag ain here but is nearing a win. VOLTAIRE LUMIERE is awfully hard to catch and I prefer to gamble on him earlier in his campaign fresh le gs. Still, run behind Bourbon Road last start was a cracker, and at the $9.00 we should probably find a spot for him in our quaddie.
All the action in this division is down bottom of the weights, and DERR MOUNTAIN looks the best of them. Had her first run for Toby Edmonds here a couple of weeks ago and she did good job car rying 59kg to victory over the 1400m. Drops 3.5kg into this moderate assignment and same course and distance with J Lloyds in the saddle will take a power of beating. Looks as though she’ll bree ze through this class and looks value at $4.40. ANTIGONE beat a very average class three field easily last star t after two close-up effor ts over the shor ter trips. Back in trip which won’t help but is one of the main dangers. ALL THAT IS is probably entitled to be a bit shor ter than $12 after some good recent results. Not disg raced in a stronger -0MW last time, and put an eyecatcher the run prior hitting the line strongly behind Karakabeel in a much tougher R70 in town.
So many souther n raiders star t shor t up here and disappoint, but SHOCK ALERT looks a good thing to my eye ag ainst fair and even Bm80 roster. Beat small field at Kembla last time but did it easily, and was placed in stronger Bm73 g rade at Canterbury the run prior. He’s won two of his three runs this time in, should get trip comfor tably and I’d be sur prised if they don’t shave something off the $2.70 prior to the jump. SPRING TYCOON is a handy type around this g rade who disappointed at Ipswich last time when he couldn’t make round behind Moonlight Dancer. Better than that, and if he gets some luck from the nasty g ate will be competitive at business end. CAPETOWN HUSSEY snuck under my guard two runs back over the mile before a handy enough effort in a Bm85 last time. The extra trip suits, and if they go hard and the run-on is in play she will be one catching the eye late.
I never thought I would tip BULLPIT ag ain, ever, yet here he is bobbing up in the nor th with strong credentials for this. It’s been a good while since he tasted success but he has run some g reat races this year behind the likes of Crystal Dreamer and Ther mal Cur rent. Very fast and he’s drawn to jump and run tomorrow. Handles the sting out of the g round and should be rated well by Jeff Lloyd. Decent each way value at $5.50. GATLINBURG is going for four on the trot after notching his hat-trick last time in town. This is definitely tough but the speed will be on and he will be rounding them up in the straight. SIR DONALD goes very well fresh and is unbeaten at track. Yet to show up at this level but he likes it wet with only 52.5kg from the perfect draw will be close enough if good enough to the top pick on straightening.