It’s Her Time to shine

The Sportsman Weekend - - Randwick Preview -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Thursday at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

RACE

WE’VE got a $200K High­way An­niver­sary and $100K Con­so­la­tion, this is the Con­so­la­tion. They are both very hard races, I think one is harder than the An­niver­sary my­self. I like two of the Scone horses to fight it out namely 3. MY TAGOSON (70) and 11. LAST TRY WINS (67) who went one/two in an Aug 19 High­way here over the mile. To­mor­row’s’s race is 1400m which prob­a­bly favours My Tagoson a bit more than Last Try Wins who comes from a fair way back. Nei­ther horse has drawn ter­ri­bly well for their re­spec­tive pat­terns. A wide bar­rier (17 mi­nus scrs) turned me from hot to tepid on the ex­cit­ing 12. DON’T GIVE A DAMN (66). Still, it’s 1400m at Rand­wick but he’ll need to be well rid­den and on his met­tle early. 5. ZAMEX (69) is one of four Matt Dunn horses in the race and goes best sec­ond-up. One more – 16. GITAN (65) is a player if he gets a run. Plenty of other chances don’t worry!

RACE 2

I HAVE a very strong feel­ing that the best horse to come out this race from a fu­ture view­point will be 3. AC­QUIRE (N/R) but I am un­sure that he is the best 1000m horse on the day. I have to tip him though, I ab­so­lutely rate as top shelf – if I could bet in the Sire’s or the Cham­pagne, I’d back him to win both. A lit­tle back­ground; he is a stun­ning looker, very strik­ing, beau­ti­fully bal­anced and ath­letic mover, by Se­bring. His dam, Miss Marielle, won a Hill Stakes and Craven Plate and has thrown two foals to race – G1 Peeping the Scone Guineas win­ner, France. Loved Ac­quire’s tri­als, noth­ing has been hit­ting the line bet­ter in any 2YO tri­als I have been watch­ing lately. Big dan­ger, big quinella horse too is 9. STUNTS (N/R) from the Godol­phin camp. This colt is by Lonhro and the first foal of Aer­o­bat­ics. Was pretty much kept un­der triple wraps in that Rose­hill trial but looked pretty good do­ing it. 2. SPIN (N/R) and 1. SAN­TOS (N/R) ran 4th

3rd re­spec­tively in the Breed­ers’ Plate and we know how vi­tal race ex­pe­ri­ence can be with 2YO’s.

RACE 3

THIRD time this prep I am with 5. YU­LONG XINGSHENG (66). The Kris Lees-trained filly re­turned some stun­ning sec­tion­als in what was es­sen­tially a sit and sprint gift to Bea­con at Can­ter­bury first-up. Yu­long Xingsheng was back last (again) in an­other un­suit­ably run 1200m race at Rose­hill this time. The 59kgs didn’t do much to help her let down like we know she can. Granted she is up in grade to­mor­row but it’s a cru­cial fac­tor that is down to 54.5kgs. The Rand­wick 1400m is just per­fect, gate 3 is a pos­i­tive and Ker­rin McEvoy, like me, fronts up a third straight time! Very keen on her to­mor­row. 1. REG­I­MEN (75) is the ob­vi­ous. Her form is ap­proach­ing fault­less and she’s tri­alled re­ally since then WF win on Sep 20. The way I see it is that Yu­long Xingsheng is a bet­ter filly and she goes from 59kgs to 54.5kgs whereas Reg­i­men is 57.5kgs to 59kgs. Of the rest, 2. ME­MENTO (67) was dom­i­nant at WF last start and that would be the con­fi­dence boost she was look­ing for.

RACE 4

THIS RACE looks an aw­ful lot like a Coun­try Cham­pi­onships Fi­nal – what a smash­ing field, ca­pac­ity run­ner, not a huge tail by any means and thus va­ri­ety of dif­fer­ent pos­si­bil­i­ties. It’s a true punter’s plea­sure to bet in a race where they are all try­ing their hard­est be­cause ev­ery­one is ba­si­cally set for the race. One horse who al­ways tried no mat­ter 2. GALAXY WAR­RIOR (79) came from a clear last to run 4th at the Rose­hill mid­weeker then went to Dubbo for a very, very deep Open Hand­i­cap and won against his pat­tern and a ter­ri­ble bias. He’ll go back to his old usual way to­mor­row get back and un­load down the mid­dle hope­fully win. Hard­est to beat is 11. SUNCRAZE (74), a horse with an iden­ti­cal pat­tern, and one who re­minded me early on as a new Clearly In­no­cent. Okay, he won;t ever be in the Ever­est, but this is set up for him to rush home hard. Speak­ing of the Ever­est, 6. AFTER ALL THAT (75) was 3.4-lens be­hind Redzel in The Shorts which means he is back from a G2 to a coun­try Bm80. He tri­alled well since, took ground off the heat win­ner Suncraze that day.

RACE 5

YOU don’t see too many horses go ‘01’ but usu­ally be­cause the ‘0’ was a pretty or­di­nary run. Not so the James Cum­mings trained 9. PYGMY (86) who was be­hind a wall of horses all the way up the stretch when 4.4-lens be­hind Zan­bagh and co in the G3 Tib­bie at New­cas­tle on Sep 15. She’s had the month be­tween runs and I note that she is 3s 1-0-1 sec­ond-up and is def­i­nitely going to ap­pre­ci­ate the mile more than the 1400m. In fact she will be even bet­ter at 2000m so I sus­pect that race known as the Ma­tri­arch down south could be a tar­get. Has to im­prove big time though to­day I con­cede. The dan­gers is def­i­nitely the Godol­phin sta­ble­mate 6. SOUCHEZ (86) who was back and a touch wide but got plenty of clear air (no com­plaints) when clos­ing 1.6-lens to Sir Plush who ran 1:21.9s win that 1400m race here last week­end. Souchez has a real touch of class and I can never forget his win down there at Cup time in Mel­bourne in the 1400m Listed race last spring. 8. OK­LA­HOMA GIRL (86) was su­per first-up out of the QTC Oaks when fin­ish­ing 3rd from last in a 1400m race at Rose­hill. Tri­alled since and went well – she’s off to Mel­bourne after this, most likely for the Ma­tri­arch as well.

RACE 6

GREAT to have the St Leger back in Syd­ney. The race pre­dates the Mel­bourne Cup by 20 years and was run at Home­bush from 1841 to 1861 when it moved to the new Rand­wick. I didn’t know that 11 horses have won the St Leger / Mel­bourne Cup dou­ble which is the same amount as Caulfield Cup/ Mel­bourne Cup. In­cred­i­bly, Gurner’s Lane won all three races in 1982. 3. BIG DUKE (106) won the Launce­s­ton Cup on Feb 22 then came to Syd­ney for the au­tumn and won the Man­ion and Chair­man’s in con­sec­u­tive starts prior to his third in the Syd­ney Cup. He re­turned to on a Metrop mis­sion and ran his (big) lit­tle heart out when a half length sec­ond to Foundry in the 2400m G1. We know he’ll stay two miles so the step a mere 2600m is no is­sue at all. The Gun has rid­den twice for sec­ond in the Ho­bart Cup and the Metrop, here’s hop­ing he can go one bet­ter on Saturday. 3. CHOCANTE (103) was third in the Metrop, some 1.3-lens be­hind Big Duke. That’s not a big mar­gin to make up over 2600m. Fourth home in the Metrop was 4. WHO SHOT THE­BAR­MAN (108) who is darn close to be­ing a two-time Syd­ney Cup win­ner. One stat that I saw last week about him is he is 15s 0 wins at Rand­wick, now it’s up to 16 – amaz­ing be­cause as I said, he nearly won two Syd­ney Cups at Rac­ing HQ.

RACE 7

I HAVE been say­ing all week at Sports­man Rac­ing HQ that the Ever­est win­ner isn’t in field, it’s ac­tu­ally in this race namely 12. IN HER TIME (111). If you’re going to go around and make big calls like that, you’d want her be win­ning this or Mon­day morn­ing will be a tough one! I think she will, in fact, I am sure so I have made her my Best Bet on Ever­est day. She’s got even bet­ter than she was last prep and that’s say­ing some­thing. She should have had a slot – I can three oth­ers at least that shouldn’t. My old mate 3. IM­PEND­ING (107) is back in sad­dle for the first time since win­ning Strad­broke. Ku­dos to Godol­phin for not re­tir­ing the horse to stud, he’ll be a great stal­lion I know, but there’s still plenty daz­zle us on the track be­fore next spring. Tri­als have been huge but the wide bar­rier has me con­cerned. 1. TAKE­DOWN (110) would have run a good race in the Ever­est, he’s very hon­est and tough and going as well as ever. He is ex­ceed­ingly

catered for at the WFA, he is quite sim­ply bet­ter than a lot of these.

RACE 8

THIS is it, Ever­est time. We’ve had a very long build-up into the race – bit like a Mel­bourne Cup I sup­pose and if you are like me, I’ve chopped changed on a fairly reg­u­lar ba­sis but am now to­tally com­fort­able with my last call which is 1. CHAU­TAUQUA (122) to run down 3. REDZEL (114) very late in the piece with

5. CLEARLY IN­NO­CENT (11) and 8. BRAVE SMASH (102) to fight out bronze. My roughie is

11. HOUTZEN (97). Ev­ery­thing de­pends on tempo, ev­ery­thing! If it’s light­ning fast and they stop faster than usual be­cause it, the three times T J Smith win­ner Chau­tauqua goes BOOM and runs over the top. If they go fast but not break-neck, Chau­tauqua wins JUST ahead of Rezdel who I had on top for so long in the countdown but I have this nig­gle in my mind about him over last 50m the way this may be run. If for some rea­son – that we don’t all con­sider they go at a good pace only, I think it’s then I am less con­fi­dent about the big grey and more likely to see Redzel Houtzen fight out

fin­ish. I have no idea of what the pace will be, who lobs where when, but did the form the best way I know – start with horse in the race and go from there. There are prob­a­bly as many rea­sons why Chau­tauqua can’t win as they rea­sons why he can – the rail po­si­tion, his age, splits he may have to run, but I am with him and I reckon a lot of Aus­tralia is too, we love our champions.

RACE 9

I RECKON 1. HAPPY CLAPPER (116) was a bet­ter thing in the Ep­som than he is to­mor­row but I still think wins. Rea­son is, he’s sim­ply never gone bet­ter and it’s not like has had a suc­ces­sion of what you could hard runs. If Winx of bro­ken his heart then how he carry 57kgs and win a Rand­wick Mile next start? I am sure runs 2000m but fact is he a mile bet­ter that why I not out­right declar­ing him on Saturday. But the thing about is that he is going to get the per­fect run (again) un­der his great mate Blake Shinn for whole ten fur­longs and he (Happy Clapper) has turned his pat­tern from a hand­i­cap­per into a WFA horse in that he no longer has to make these heroic barn­storm­ing fin­ishes – all does now, is track handy and relax then fin­ish off. His main threat 4. STAR EX­HIBIT (105) from the Weir camp. This son of Hay List’s sire, Statue Of Lib­erty, was $4.40 when he lost the rider in the Fee­han then came from way, way back (not him nor­mally) to clock in 3.1-lens from the ATC Derby win­ner Jon Snow in JRA Cup also at Val­ley. he has won over the trip and was also run­ner-up in G1 Doomben Cup ten. 7. MACK­IN­TOSH (103) raced a bit fiercely in the Hill Stakes, Waller has put

ear muffs on for this week­end and we know from Winx’s ex­pe­ri­ence that they have a calm­ing af­fect.

RACE 10

BLAKE Shinn’s mount 1. AC­CEPTED (84) is just about the most in­ter­est­ing run­ner this Ever­est day. He’s got 63kgs but Gary Moore didn’t bother claim­ing, not would I, Shinn is the best jockey in the world, cer­tainly in Aus­tralia any­way, so why claim. Moore ob­vi­ously knew his horse would get some cargo, he is after all an 84 rater in a Bm80. Ac­cepted is hav­ing his first start in Aus­tralia since ar­riv­ing from a mostly un­der­whelm­ing ca­reer in Hong Kong but go back to his early days and he was a good horse in Eng­land and Ire­land. That was a while ago I ad­mit. I thought his trial was good with­out be­ing un­be­liev­able but def­i­nitely enough to en­tice Shinn to stick with him for race­day. It is amaz­ing how these old HK horses run at their first Aussie start and Gary Moore knows more about HK than any one else down here. The market will no doubt tell me if I am bark­ing up the wrong tree. He is my only bet in race per­son­ally so I’ll list many dan­gers in or­der 4. PICK ME UP (78), 3. LATIN BOY (79) and if she gets the run, 16. MAGICAZ. Pretty ken to play the one follow any money.

In Her Time

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