It’s Her Time to shine
NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Good 4. All horses considered starters unless notified by Thursday at 1 PM. (N/R) denotes no rating.
WE’VE got a $200K Highway Anniversary and $100K Consolation, this is the Consolation. They are both very hard races, I think one is harder than the Anniversary myself. I like two of the Scone horses to fight it out namely 3. MY TAGOSON (70) and 11. LAST TRY WINS (67) who went one/two in an Aug 19 Highway here over the mile. Tomorrow’s’s race is 1400m which probably favours My Tagoson a bit more than Last Try Wins who comes from a fair way back. Neither horse has drawn terribly well for their respective patterns. A wide barrier (17 minus scrs) turned me from hot to tepid on the exciting 12. DON’T GIVE A DAMN (66). Still, it’s 1400m at Randwick but he’ll need to be well ridden and on his mettle early. 5. ZAMEX (69) is one of four Matt Dunn horses in the race and goes best second-up. One more – 16. GITAN (65) is a player if he gets a run. Plenty of other chances don’t worry!
I HAVE a very strong feeling that the best horse to come out this race from a future viewpoint will be 3. ACQUIRE (N/R) but I am unsure that he is the best 1000m horse on the day. I have to tip him though, I absolutely rate as top shelf – if I could bet in the Sire’s or the Champagne, I’d back him to win both. A little background; he is a stunning looker, very striking, beautifully balanced and athletic mover, by Sebring. His dam, Miss Marielle, won a Hill Stakes and Craven Plate and has thrown two foals to race – G1 Peeping the Scone Guineas winner, France. Loved Acquire’s trials, nothing has been hitting the line better in any 2YO trials I have been watching lately. Big danger, big quinella horse too is 9. STUNTS (N/R) from the Godolphin camp. This colt is by Lonhro and the first foal of Aerobatics. Was pretty much kept under triple wraps in that Rosehill trial but looked pretty good doing it. 2. SPIN (N/R) and 1. SANTOS (N/R) ran 4th
3rd respectively in the Breeders’ Plate and we know how vital race experience can be with 2YO’s.
THIRD time this prep I am with 5. YULONG XINGSHENG (66). The Kris Lees-trained filly returned some stunning sectionals in what was essentially a sit and sprint gift to Beacon at Canterbury first-up. Yulong Xingsheng was back last (again) in another unsuitably run 1200m race at Rosehill this time. The 59kgs didn’t do much to help her let down like we know she can. Granted she is up in grade tomorrow but it’s a crucial factor that is down to 54.5kgs. The Randwick 1400m is just perfect, gate 3 is a positive and Kerrin McEvoy, like me, fronts up a third straight time! Very keen on her tomorrow. 1. REGIMEN (75) is the obvious. Her form is approaching faultless and she’s trialled really since then WF win on Sep 20. The way I see it is that Yulong Xingsheng is a better filly and she goes from 59kgs to 54.5kgs whereas Regimen is 57.5kgs to 59kgs. Of the rest, 2. MEMENTO (67) was dominant at WF last start and that would be the confidence boost she was looking for.
THIS RACE looks an awful lot like a Country Championships Final – what a smashing field, capacity runner, not a huge tail by any means and thus variety of different possibilities. It’s a true punter’s pleasure to bet in a race where they are all trying their hardest because everyone is basically set for the race. One horse who always tried no matter 2. GALAXY WARRIOR (79) came from a clear last to run 4th at the Rosehill midweeker then went to Dubbo for a very, very deep Open Handicap and won against his pattern and a terrible bias. He’ll go back to his old usual way tomorrow get back and unload down the middle hopefully win. Hardest to beat is 11. SUNCRAZE (74), a horse with an identical pattern, and one who reminded me early on as a new Clearly Innocent. Okay, he won;t ever be in the Everest, but this is set up for him to rush home hard. Speaking of the Everest, 6. AFTER ALL THAT (75) was 3.4-lens behind Redzel in The Shorts which means he is back from a G2 to a country Bm80. He trialled well since, took ground off the heat winner Suncraze that day.
YOU don’t see too many horses go ‘01’ but usually because the ‘0’ was a pretty ordinary run. Not so the James Cummings trained 9. PYGMY (86) who was behind a wall of horses all the way up the stretch when 4.4-lens behind Zanbagh and co in the G3 Tibbie at Newcastle on Sep 15. She’s had the month between runs and I note that she is 3s 1-0-1 second-up and is definitely going to appreciate the mile more than the 1400m. In fact she will be even better at 2000m so I suspect that race known as the Matriarch down south could be a target. Has to improve big time though today I concede. The dangers is definitely the Godolphin stablemate 6. SOUCHEZ (86) who was back and a touch wide but got plenty of clear air (no complaints) when closing 1.6-lens to Sir Plush who ran 1:21.9s win that 1400m race here last weekend. Souchez has a real touch of class and I can never forget his win down there at Cup time in Melbourne in the 1400m Listed race last spring. 8. OKLAHOMA GIRL (86) was super first-up out of the QTC Oaks when finishing 3rd from last in a 1400m race at Rosehill. Trialled since and went well – she’s off to Melbourne after this, most likely for the Matriarch as well.
GREAT to have the St Leger back in Sydney. The race predates the Melbourne Cup by 20 years and was run at Homebush from 1841 to 1861 when it moved to the new Randwick. I didn’t know that 11 horses have won the St Leger / Melbourne Cup double which is the same amount as Caulfield Cup/ Melbourne Cup. Incredibly, Gurner’s Lane won all three races in 1982. 3. BIG DUKE (106) won the Launceston Cup on Feb 22 then came to Sydney for the autumn and won the Manion and Chairman’s in consecutive starts prior to his third in the Sydney Cup. He returned to on a Metrop mission and ran his (big) little heart out when a half length second to Foundry in the 2400m G1. We know he’ll stay two miles so the step a mere 2600m is no issue at all. The Gun has ridden twice for second in the Hobart Cup and the Metrop, here’s hoping he can go one better on Saturday. 3. CHOCANTE (103) was third in the Metrop, some 1.3-lens behind Big Duke. That’s not a big margin to make up over 2600m. Fourth home in the Metrop was 4. WHO SHOT THEBARMAN (108) who is darn close to being a two-time Sydney Cup winner. One stat that I saw last week about him is he is 15s 0 wins at Randwick, now it’s up to 16 – amazing because as I said, he nearly won two Sydney Cups at Racing HQ.
I HAVE been saying all week at Sportsman Racing HQ that the Everest winner isn’t in field, it’s actually in this race namely 12. IN HER TIME (111). If you’re going to go around and make big calls like that, you’d want her be winning this or Monday morning will be a tough one! I think she will, in fact, I am sure so I have made her my Best Bet on Everest day. She’s got even better than she was last prep and that’s saying something. She should have had a slot – I can three others at least that shouldn’t. My old mate 3. IMPENDING (107) is back in saddle for the first time since winning Stradbroke. Kudos to Godolphin for not retiring the horse to stud, he’ll be a great stallion I know, but there’s still plenty dazzle us on the track before next spring. Trials have been huge but the wide barrier has me concerned. 1. TAKEDOWN (110) would have run a good race in the Everest, he’s very honest and tough and going as well as ever. He is exceedingly
catered for at the WFA, he is quite simply better than a lot of these.
THIS is it, Everest time. We’ve had a very long build-up into the race – bit like a Melbourne Cup I suppose and if you are like me, I’ve chopped changed on a fairly regular basis but am now totally comfortable with my last call which is 1. CHAUTAUQUA (122) to run down 3. REDZEL (114) very late in the piece with
5. CLEARLY INNOCENT (11) and 8. BRAVE SMASH (102) to fight out bronze. My roughie is
11. HOUTZEN (97). Everything depends on tempo, everything! If it’s lightning fast and they stop faster than usual because it, the three times T J Smith winner Chautauqua goes BOOM and runs over the top. If they go fast but not break-neck, Chautauqua wins JUST ahead of Rezdel who I had on top for so long in the countdown but I have this niggle in my mind about him over last 50m the way this may be run. If for some reason – that we don’t all consider they go at a good pace only, I think it’s then I am less confident about the big grey and more likely to see Redzel Houtzen fight out
finish. I have no idea of what the pace will be, who lobs where when, but did the form the best way I know – start with horse in the race and go from there. There are probably as many reasons why Chautauqua can’t win as they reasons why he can – the rail position, his age, splits he may have to run, but I am with him and I reckon a lot of Australia is too, we love our champions.
I RECKON 1. HAPPY CLAPPER (116) was a better thing in the Epsom than he is tomorrow but I still think wins. Reason is, he’s simply never gone better and it’s not like has had a succession of what you could hard runs. If Winx of broken his heart then how he carry 57kgs and win a Randwick Mile next start? I am sure runs 2000m but fact is he a mile better that why I not outright declaring him on Saturday. But the thing about is that he is going to get the perfect run (again) under his great mate Blake Shinn for whole ten furlongs and he (Happy Clapper) has turned his pattern from a handicapper into a WFA horse in that he no longer has to make these heroic barnstorming finishes – all does now, is track handy and relax then finish off. His main threat 4. STAR EXHIBIT (105) from the Weir camp. This son of Hay List’s sire, Statue Of Liberty, was $4.40 when he lost the rider in the Feehan then came from way, way back (not him normally) to clock in 3.1-lens from the ATC Derby winner Jon Snow in JRA Cup also at Valley. he has won over the trip and was also runner-up in G1 Doomben Cup ten. 7. MACKINTOSH (103) raced a bit fiercely in the Hill Stakes, Waller has put
ear muffs on for this weekend and we know from Winx’s experience that they have a calming affect.
BLAKE Shinn’s mount 1. ACCEPTED (84) is just about the most interesting runner this Everest day. He’s got 63kgs but Gary Moore didn’t bother claiming, not would I, Shinn is the best jockey in the world, certainly in Australia anyway, so why claim. Moore obviously knew his horse would get some cargo, he is after all an 84 rater in a Bm80. Accepted is having his first start in Australia since arriving from a mostly underwhelming career in Hong Kong but go back to his early days and he was a good horse in England and Ireland. That was a while ago I admit. I thought his trial was good without being unbelievable but definitely enough to entice Shinn to stick with him for raceday. It is amazing how these old HK horses run at their first Aussie start and Gary Moore knows more about HK than any one else down here. The market will no doubt tell me if I am barking up the wrong tree. He is my only bet in race personally so I’ll list many dangers in order 4. PICK ME UP (78), 3. LATIN BOY (79) and if she gets the run, 16. MAGICAZ. Pretty ken to play the one follow any money.
In Her Time