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The Sportsman Weekend - - Doomben A Detailed Formguide - WITH GREG SPLETTER

Race 1 This is a very strong meet­ing for the off-sea­son and with plenty of rain about there’s are a few gems who should im­prove sharply at good odds. No point in steer­ing around the favourite in the first, HOPES ETER­NAL, who brained them on de­but and if he han­dles con­di­tions should make it two for two. Beaten for early speed at Toowoomba and to my eye he didn’t get any sort of a breather for the en­tire event. Rid­den along to make ground and was still spot­ting lead­ers four lengths at the 400 and yet he won by five eased up. He was in a com­pletely dif­fer­ent class to his ri­vals and the early ju­ve­nile race at Toowoomba of­ten throws up a handy one. On top of the ground I’d have him $1.40, and 40c bonus up to $1.80 rep­re­sents query on the soft. MISS ESTER was re­strained out back on de­but but did hit the line nicely down the out­side when it was all over. She won’t be long out of the win­ners’ cir­cle but hard to see her beat­ing the fave if he turns up. Not much else to go on, SOAR­ING HEART is a nicely bred trial win­ner and the breed do get through the going. Race 2 Not a whole lot be­tween the top two and at the $6.00 I’m lean­ing to­wards MAR­SEILLE EN FLEUR to chalk up her first win of the new sea­son. Dis­ap­pointed first-up as an odd­son favourite where she pulled up lame, then put in a much im­proved run against the older horses at the Sun­shine Coast, get­ting within two lengths of No An­namossity on line. Last run prior to the break she was stakes-placed here over 1350m in soft going, and reg­is­tered her first suc­cess here on a heavy-10. Fit­ter and will give this shake. MISHANI BUL­LITT has win over the top pick at the Sun­shine Coast back in May, but he strug­gled to put it all to­gether in fair 3yo grade at his last few. Close-up in a small but com­pet­i­tive field last start over this trip and he does han­dle the con­di­tions, but at the $2.50 has given me cause to seek value else­where. ZOFONIC DANCER is un­beaten and lin­ing up for his hat­trick here against a much stronger line-up than he has faced to date. Not with­out a hope, though there is a query around the soft track and he’s not en­ti­tled to be shorter than the top pick. Race 3 I’m quite a fan of No An­namossity but he is very short to­mor­row and at the value I’m jump­ing on SI­CARIO. He’s been a con­sis­tent miler this time in, and got the job done last in eas­ier grade cir­cling them early and giv­ing them some­thing to catch. He wasn’t far away from some very handy young­ster prior to his break over Au­gust, and with no speed en­gaged here he is likely take up the run­ning again get some very cheap sec­tion­als in run­ning. He’ll han­dle the going with­out a hitch and at $11 will give us great sight out in front. NO AN­NAMOSSITY is the test­ing ma­te­rial after re­turn­ing to some­thing like his real form last start at Sunny Coast over 1400m. You can put a pen through his pre­vi­ous run over 1350m here where he looked out of sorts and never com­fort­able in run­ning. Get through the ground and is def­i­nitely the one to beat, though he hasn’t been at $2.65 and will be giv­ing my bloke a big start. MANNDAWI showed up two runs back in a handy class three event over 2040m but found the open grade a bit tough for him last time. Bet­ter suited back to this level and looks knock­out hope. Race 4 GIRL IN A MIL­LION did plenty of work in a strong R70 last time at the Sun­shine Coast and from a good gate here can bounce back with win. Ran them along at a very solid clip al­low­ing Just Orm to fin­ish over the top in a crack­ing 57.4secs for the trip. She de­mol­ished them at her only try on wet ground back on de­but and looks a point over the mark to me at $4.20. LIVE FAST cer­tainly likes it wet and had he been slightly longer in bet­ting I might have gam­bled on him in­stead. He’s per­form­ing con­sis­tently well in stronger grade than this, and was only a length from Dream Fin­nish at Ip­swich last time at the end of 1200m. The drop back in dis­tance isn’t ideal, but if some­thing pushes my top pick along up front he will be fin­ish­ing hard. Not missed at $10 but you can play around with these two in the mul­ti­ples and find some value. VALFIERNO is shoot­ing for a hat-trick after win­ning both starts back from a break. Lat­est got through the heavy here to beat a mod­er­ate mid­week field un­der 58kg. Has to lift to beat these and is drawn hope­lessly and is thus a bit close to Girl In A Mil­lion in bet­ting at $5.50. Race 5 JETSONIC drops back from a very strong Bm75 into a much eas­ier race to­mor­row and he is mile over the mark at $9.50. Got left hope­lessly at the start at the sunny Coast two weeks ago and by time he got into stride he was four lengths be­hind the sec­ond last horse. Still spot­ted them 10 lengths on straight­en­ing be­fore rock­et­ing home to beat all but Courtza King the line. Phe­nom­e­nal run and he strikes a much weaker field here. Has a good record on wet tracks is great each way bet, let’s just hope he be­haves at the jump. I’m quite fa­mil­iar with NILETTE and while she has pro­duced a cou­ple of nice re­sults back from break, she is prob­a­bly the lay of the day at $2.60 against this line-up. Placed in an okay Bm75 for girls last time and while she did draw poorly she only plugged away on the line. She should han­dle the wet okay but is at pro­hib­i­tive odds. LOOSE GOOSE didn’t re­pro­duce her amaz­ing trial form on race­day last start and couldn’t even find the lead after pow­er­ing along in prac­tice the week prior. I don’t think it’s enough to give up on her en­tirely, es­pe­cially at $21, and she’s worth a small saver against the chance she im­proves sharply to­mor­row. Race 6 Value aplenty in the quad­die to­mor­row and I’m kick­ing it off with CLASS RUBY who could give some cheek at $26. Sec­ond-up. Not a bad ef­fort first-up from a 79 week spell last time at the Sun­shine Coast, stick­ing on well end of a mile at class three level. She ran some good races in Vic­to­ria prior to the switch, has never missed a place at trip and has sec­ond-up. Not bad for one at cricket score odds. END­LESS DAYS also rep­re­sent some value here at $12 after plac­ing in a good qual­ity Bm80 at the Gold Coast last start. Prefers it wet and drawn to ad­van­tage. MISS ARA­BELLA has come up $18 which is also a bit harsh con­sid­er­ing her lack of space at the Sun­shine Coast last time. Won three al­ready this prep and bred to run this trip right out. Race 7 Stick­ing with the value here in a very com­pet­i­tive open event and ONE INCH PUNCH has been crying out for a wet track. He’s bat­tle away at all three start back this cam­paign with­out threat­en­ing, but he im­proves a ton when the track is soft hav­ing won four of eight on wet tracks and placed at an­other two. Cur­rently $17 and when the rain comes down I ex­pect he will shorten dra­mat­i­cally. MAN OF HIS WORD also likes it wet and while needed the run from off a break at the Sun­shine Coast last time, he should be primed for a big run to­mor­row. Goes well at the trip and if it weren’t for the 5kg he’s giv­ing my bloke I’d be on him. En­ti­tled to be favourite and is def­i­nitely worth a saver at $5.50. MYS­TIC OPAL also need wet tack to pro­duce her best and did great at her first cou­ple of starts back all things con­sid­ered. A lit­tle dis­ap­point­ing last time out of town but she gets ev­ery­thing to suit to­mor­row and should im­prove. I’m sur­prised LORDAG is favourite, jagged a win over Dreams Aplenty two runs back and he still hasn’t won a race this time in. Go around him. Race 8 Tough race to mea­sure but I’m stick­ing with WITH A PROM­ISE to­mor­row de­spite a slightly dis­ap­point­ing ef­fort last time. She does ex­cel on wet ground as ev­i­denced by her two stun­ning vic­to­ries last prep in­clud­ing one over the older horse in the Silk Stock­ing. At $14 she will run a bold race for us each way. BECK­HAM caught the eye first-up with a clos­ing run over 1200m and he, too, doesn’t mind sting out of the ground. Con­sis­tent type around this level and this is his trip. HOPFGARTERN re­sumes here and if he pro­duces a sim­i­lar run to his Vic­tory Stakes plac­ing be­hind Mu­sic Mag­nate in April he will belt them. He’s now a 7yo, though, and might need run be­fore hit­ting his straps. Race 9 Very happy to be on TIME TO TORQUE at $17 here in the last fol­low­ing an en­cour­ag­ing fresh run at the Sun­shine Coast a fort­night ago, run­ning on strongly be­hind Courtza King in a Bm75. He loves it wet, goes very well off run and has drawn to get all the favours in run­ning. ZAHSPEED also put a nice run first-up when nosed out by He­laroc­ity at the end of 1200m. Strips fit­ter to­mor­row and gets some weight re­lief com­ing into this slightly tougher as­sign­ment. CARZOFF is the query run­ner who has come up favourite at $3.60 and to be fair he could just be too classy for them. Placed at his first two runs in Aus­tralia last prep in sim­i­lar grade and did per­form okay the con­di­tions. Re­sum­ing and might need the run, but has to be in­cluded in your quad­die.

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