THE EARLY CROW

The Sportsman Weekend - - Caulfield Preview -

THE BANKER

Syd­ney filly Al­izee (Race 6) will be the short­est-priced favourite on the day and for good rea­son. She sim­ply dom­i­nated in win­ning the G1 Flight Stakes at Rand­wick last start over the 1600m trip. She hit the front at 200m mark like she had just joined in and gapped the best NSW fil­lies going around. This again looks a per­fect race for her and, even with the very smart Shoals and Booker en­gaged, it’s very hard to see her los­ing.

THE LAY

Even though she ranks as a gen­uine chance, reckon book­ies will take a risk with Jorda (Race 2). She’s favourite in overnight mar­kets, pri­mar­ily on the strength of her third to Pariah at Rose­hill two runs back. Thought she was in­clined to do a lit­tle bet­ter be­hind Fox Swift at Flem­ing­ton last start and kept fresh since. Drawn the rails, so may also need luck in get­ting clear. Pr­re­pared to bet around her.

AT THE TRI­ALS

Qalifa (Race 1) is a nicely bred filly by speed sire Not A Sin­gle Doubt and looked good win­ning a trial at Wodonga last month. Missed the kick slightly but then railed through on bend and wasn’t asked for too much of an ef­fort when win­ning com­fort­ably. Sec­ond placeget­ter No­mothaj then came out and won well on de­but last week. From the strong Hayes/Hayes/Dabernig team and will ave plenty of ad­mir­ers.

BEAT­ING THE CLOCK

Duke Of Brunswick (Race 5) con­tin­ues to im­press at track­work and pro­duced an­other strong gal­lop at Caulfield on Tues­day. Looks su­per fit for his as­sign­ment to­mor­row where he re­turns to his favourite track and dis­tance. Right at his top now and, de­spite a slightly awk­ward draw, is ready to win.

SEC­TIONAL STARS

A lot has been said about the last-start de­feat of Royal Sym­phony (Race 8) last start but a look at the sec­tional splits show what mar­vel­lous ef­fort he turned in to fin­ish as close as he did. He clocked the fastest last 1000m, 800m, 600m and 400m of the race and the sec­ond best last 200m. All con­sid­er­ing he was too far back in a sit-and-sprint af­fair, still able to make up many lengths. He’ll go very close to win­ning to­mor­row.

THE STATS SPEAK

Shei­del (Race 10) has a won­der­ful affin­ity with Caulfield and also with 1100m. At the track she has had five starts for three wins and a sec­ond, while she has notched five wins and a sec­ond from eight at­tempts at he dis­tance. Don’t forget she notched a su­per win in the Oak­leigh Plate over this course and dis­tance last year. She’ll rel­ish a re­turn to Caulfield to­mor­row.

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