Punters in for a sight with a bumper Coolmore field
WE’VE seen open Carnival days before, but tomorrow’s Derby Day is a doozy. High-class fields where $7 or $8 the top line is well in play, so exotic “players” will be out force.
It’s not quite the global-rating 2016 edition, but Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes down the Flemington straight for three-yearolds is again the highlight — and they’ll be stretched from one side to the other.
Form-lines galore, and a stack of chances, but I’m sticking with the Caulfield Guineas “Mile back to 1200m” plan for the filly Catchy ($8.50 betting.club) and to a lesser extent progressive colt Kementari ($12.00) — both suited by the straight course, and both over the odds.
The other one I’m covering is exciting Tulip ($14.00) whose run in the Group 1 Everest at Randwick was enormous.
My COOLMORE STUD Tips: 1. CATCHY; 2. Tulip; 3. Kementari
THE feature Group 1 Victoria Derby (2500m) is a moderate renewal, but still intriguing lining up form and who dares run out the trip on a firm track.
Sully ($8.00 early) will go a long way back from the wide gate, but the gelding is bred to stay, and twice behind high class Ace High ($5.00 into $4.60) he’s found the line strong. Sully peaks tomorrow.
Two runners both out of Listed Geelong Classic I’m very wary of — Astoria ($15 into $10 early) who from the inside gate and at levels weights looks way over the odds; while rising Ocean’s Fourteen ($15.00) — who only broke his Maiden two runs back will run the trip and is a serious chance at big odds.
I’m not convinced Ace High runs a strong 2500m, but he gets a cosy run on-speed from the good gate and will be right there at the furlong.
My DERBY Tips:
1. TULLY and ASTORIA; 3. Ocean’s Fourteen; 4. Ace High; 5. Weather With You
I OFTEN talk about preparational peaks, and high class mare Egg Tart ($6.50) should hit one tomorrow in the Group 1 Kennedy Mile.
She was always short a run second-up at Caulfield in the Group 1 Toorak (1600m) after SCR in Sydney, and her effort behind Tosen Stardom was better than it looked.
One of the better weighted runners all day on 52kgs, Egg Tart improves at Flemington, and whatever swallows the “Tart,” wins the race.
Of course, there’s more dangers than a cracker night in an elevator, including topweight Tosen Stardom ($6.00), but I would cover $21 shots Mccreery and Dibayani — both very well in at the weights and peaking for this run.
My KENNEDY MILE Tips:
1. EGG TART; 2. Mccreery; 3. Tosen Stardom; 4. Dibayani
THE fourth of the Group 1’s — Myer Classic (1600m) for the Fillies & Mares at WFA — is next best thing to an arcade shooting gallery, chances from top to bottom, and only a length or two could cover the first 10.
But in a race where luck and tempo will be massive, both fouryear-old Global Glamour ($6.00) and five-year-old Silent Sedition ($9.50) “map” beautifully and will be hard to roll.
But the biggest improvement might come from longshot French Emotion ($31.00) on the quick back-up who was okay in a leader-biased Group 3 Tesio at Moonee Valley last week, and will grow a leg getting to Flemington.
My MYER CLASSIC Tips:
1. FRENCH EMOTION; 2. Silent Sedition; 3. Global Glamour