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The Sportsman Weekend - - Flemington Preview -

RACE 1:

4. EN­CRYP­TION de­buted with a solid ef­fort be­hind Qal­ifa at Caulfield three weeks ago. Sat just off the pace from the rails draw and was blocked for a run a cou­ple of times in straight on be­fore hit­ting the line hard in the sec­ond best last 200m of

race. Bound to be a whole lot fit­ter. Son of Group 1 Thou­sand Guineas win­ner Guelph. 1. BIONICS skipped away on en­ter­ing the straight be­fore be­ing nabbed on line by Set­suna, who franked that form with an­other im­pres­sive win on Cup Day. Looks a nice type who will be on pace and hard to run down again. 2. GRAND CHAL­LENGE (ben­e­fit of a re­cent trial), 6. KING (strong Syd­ney trial win) and 10. BELZELLA (im­pres­sive in the jumpouts) look to be con­tenders as well.

RACE 2:

Surely this is the right race for 3. TAR­QUIN. Liked the way he hit the line in Moe Cup last start, sus­tain­ing a long run from

600m mark to fin­ish a gal­lant third. Had sec­ond best last 200m split of the race. Has only missed a place once in five tries at this trip. Granted he’s up in weight but down grade and has Bow­man on board. Liked the way 11. MEET AND GREET held his ground be­hind Vi­o­late at Caulfield two runs back and then out­classed in a hot Bendigo Cup last time. Nicely suited on the limit and will make his own luck on the pace. 5. HAVE PLENTY has been very con­sis­tent in Adelaide and only just beaten last time when pro­duc­ing best 200m split of the race. Has a win over Balf’s Choice, who was con­tender here on Cup Day. Will be prom­i­nent. 1. KOURKAM was third in that same Adelaide race last start and has per­formed here in the past.

RACE 3:

He may be a 10-years-old but 4. JACQUINOT BAY can win this. Re­cent ef­forts in strong grade have been first rate, in­clud­ing a close third to Cool Chap at Caulfield and then beaten only 3.4 lens be­hind Tosen Star­dom in the Group 1 Toorak at Caulfield last month. Given a month off since then, drops sharply in grade, is a win­ner over this course and dis­tance and, in a race de­void of lot of speed, should be able to take up the run­ning and prove very hard to run down. Great chance. 1. FAST­NET TEM­PEST should have gone close to win­ning the Sale Cup last time but he wanted to lay in badly in the straight when sec­ond to Moss ‘N’ Dale. Also shoots up weights but down in grade and reckon this big Flem­ing­ton track is tai­lor-made for him. 3. RAW IM­PULSE had the run of the race when third in Sale Cup. He bat­tled on strongly in a re­turn to some­thing like his best form. Has drawn to get the soft run again. Could sur­prise. 5. MAS­TER RE­SET was three-wide through­out when fail­ing at Moonee Val­ley last start. Pre­vi­ous run here be­hind Pure Pride was good.

RACE 4:

Like the chances of 2. LORD ASPEN. Loved the way he at­tacked line when get­ting up in the last stride to win at Mor­phettville two weeks ago. Tracked wide through­out, was the widest run­ner on the turn and still proved too strong, all with 60kg on his back. Had best sec­tion­als of any horse in the race and the only one to break 12s for the last 200m. Twice run over this course and dis­tance, the lat­est beat­ing Rough Jus­tice in win­ning this race last year. Drawn to get a soft run this time and will give it big shake. 6. DUKE OF BRUNSWICK finds the eas­i­est as­sign­ment he’s had for a while. Just got too far back and couldn’t make ground at Caulfield last start but his pre­vi­ous form very con­sis­tent, in­clud­ing a fourth to Sic­coni at Caulfield. He has been placed over this course and dis­tance and given a month off since his last run. Can win. Ex­pect a bet­ter per­for­mance from 5. MO­HER. Hasn’t re­ally shown up in two runs from a spell but his pat­tern has been to find form later in this cam­paign. Reckon this track will suit him and should get a nice a run in mid­field. 11. MUBAKKIR fought on pretty well to be beaten only 2.7 lens be­hind Fast ‘n Rock­ing at Caulfield last start. Last time he was over this track and trip fin­ished a brave sec­ond to Hellova Street. Ca­pa­ble of run­ning well again.

RACE 5:

6. GAL­LIC CHIEF­TAIN gets his chance here. Tracked the lead­ers into the straight, got run along fence and charged late to just miss grab­bing Vengeur Masque in the Gee­long Cup. Meets that horse 1.5kg bet­ter this time, is rock hard fit and will be steam­ing home again. 1. QEWY is the ob­vi­ous dan­ger. Over­seas stayer who fought on like a caged lion to beat Ki­wia in driv­ing fin­ish in the Bendigo Cup at his first run back in Aus­tralia. Very tough stayer who will make own luck on pace and, de­spite his big weight, will be hart to beat. Liked the run of 8. VI­O­LATE in the Gee­long Cup. He had track very wide on the turn and still kept com­ing to fin­ish a close a third. Think he’s a bit un­der­rated and sure be prom­i­nent again.

10. WHEAL LEISURE clocked the fastest last 200m of the race when a clos­ing fifth in Gee­long Cup. She beat Hard­ham be­fore that and Lord Fan­dango three starts back. That horse then ran a great race in the Caulfield Cup. Rates among main threats again. 3. KI­WIA (good in the Bendigo Cup) and 4. VENGEUR MASQUE (brave in the Lexus last Satur­day) are gen­uine chances again.

RACE 6:

Fairly keen on 5. PAY­ROLL. Lot to like about the way she steamed home from last be­fore the bend to fin­ished third to Now Or Later over 1400m here last month. Fin­ished in front of Eck­stein and Mis­s­rock and they were nar­rowly beaten at Flem­ing­ton last Satur­day Given a freshen up since but did win re­cent Cran­bourne trial hard held by a big space. Will han­dle the trip as she was only beaten a length by Stra­tum Star over 2200m at the Gold Coast in Jan­uary. Big threat here. 1. HEAV­ENS ABOVE is al­ready a Group 1 win­ner and caught the eye run­ning on late be­hind Shoals in the Myer Clas­sic last Satur­day. She’ll set­tle back be given one last crack at them in the straight. Sure to go close. 6. FALIKA is go­ing very well and sim­ply too good for her ri­vals at Moonee Val­ley last start. This slightly harder but drawn to get a soft run and will make pres­ence felt. 7. TAHANEE was im­pres­sive win­ning here on Cup Day. If she backs up, she can fig­ure again.

RACE 7:

I can’t tip against 2. REDZEL. Proved just how good he is with a con­vinc­ing win in the Ever­est last start, beat­ing a lot of his ri­vals here on their mer­its. Has fol­lowed a sim­i­lar pat­tern lead­ing into this with a month off and that’s how he best races. He’s acted down the straight be­fore, beat­ing Ter­rav­ista and Hell­bent over 1000m here on Oaks day last year when came from the out­side of the field of 10. Will po­si­tion him­self on speed again and take a lot of run­ning down. 1. CHAU­TAUQUA is at his top now has great record down the straight here. Given a freshen up since chas­ing home Redzel in Ever­est. Was scratched at the bar­rier in the Moir Stakes Val­ley a fort­night ago, which could be

bless­ing in dis­guise. Will storm­ing home. 7. RED­KIRK WAR­RIOR re­serves his best for the straight course. Win­ner of

New­mar­ket here and su­perb win­ning the Bob­bie Lewis here in Septem­ber. Will go close. 3. VEGA MAGIC wasn’t quite him­self be­hind Hey Doc in the Manikato Stakes but his pre­vi­ous run

Redzel was great. This big track will help him.

RACE 8:

I’m stick­ing with 4. TOSEN STAR­DOM. Had the big weight and got too far back on a track where it suited on-pac­ers when eighth in the Kennedy Mile last Satur­day. His sec­tion­als in the race were still ok and cer­tainly com­pa­ra­ble with his ri­vals. Looks bet­ter suited at weight-for­age here and has won over this trip in Japan. Can’t for­get his bril­liant win in the Toorak two runs back. He’ll go well. Ob­vi­ously 7. FOLKSWOOD was great in record-break­ing Cox Plate last start be­hind Winx. It a mas­sive step up for him and he han­dled him­self re­ally well., Reckon he’s even bet­ter placed at this big track and is the one they have to beat. 10. GINGER­NUTS is in great form in Group 1 grade

New Zealand and showed his class in Syd­ney the au­tumn. Reckon this is best dis­tance and chances fur­ther en­hanced in there is any rain around. Don’t write off 13. THE TAJ MA­HAL. He was su­per run­ning sec­ond over this trip in Group 1 grade in the US be­fore a fight­ing fifth

Ir­ish Cham­pion Stakes. Just don’t think he han­dled Caulfield last time and this big track will see him im­prove.

RACE 9:

Go­ing to give 3. TREKKING one more chance. Had a tough run last start when third to Ep­ti­mum at the Val­ley. He was caught wide early, had make sus­tained run to join the leader at the 600m mark and fought on okay in straight. Like step up to 1400m at vthis big track. Just need a cosier run in tran­sit

make his pres­ence felt. 4. ANDAZ pro­duced nice clos­ing sec­tion­als be­hind Mer­chant Navy in the Cool­more Stud Stakes last Satur­day and is an­other who looks like the 1400m will suit. Took a smart one in Good­fella to beat him be­fore that. 1. SiRCCONI is Sires Pro­duce win­ner over this course and dis­tance who will lead and take run­ning down. 9. ICON OF DUBAI (fresh­ened up)

12. SURJIN (best clos­ing 200m last start) have claims.

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