Pop­u­lar re­sult if he can win

The Sportsman Weekend - - Rosehill Preview -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a SOFT 5. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Thurs­day 1 PM. (N/R) denotes no rat­ing.

RACE

GOOD race. We saw a re­ally nice 2YO win at Rosehill last Satur­day in Neu­tral­ity, this is a deeper field than that so if any­thing was to pump them, it’s pretty good. I am putting all the eggs in the Godol­phin bas­ket go­ing for 2. RHEINGAU (N/R) to beat sta­ble­mate 1. DY­NA­MITED (N/R). That was the or­der in their Oct. 24 at WF when Rheingau (1st) was 3.3-lens ahead of a clos­ing Dy­na­mited (3rd). Sure, it was more a jumpout than fair dinkum drag race of a trial but I liked what I saw from this An­i­mal King­dom half to Drachen­fals (who won on Tues­day at Rand­wick). Gate 1, he can take a real close sit be­hind the speed and Schofield can go look­ing for an out at the 350m. I still have a very high re­gard for the $800,000 year­ling filly 7. SAN­GITA (N/R) de­spite the fact that she lost on de­but at shorts. Few things; she may have not han­dled the heavy 8 and it was early evening trav­el­ling/rac­ing away from home. 8. SE­CRET LADY (N/R) is fast, very fast, and will take some run­ning down with 53kgs on her back.

RACE 2

GODOL­PHIN again. I think James Cum­mings is go­ing to have a mas­sive day by the way. 5. POP­U­LAR (66) was all but un­beat­able off her tri­als when she re­sumed at WF in a mid­week maiden on Oct. 25. She got a smash­ing ride by The Gun that day, he switched back to the fence, drove her through a de­cent sized gap and made it as pleas­ant and ed­uca­tive ex­pe­ri­ence as pos­si­ble. She is 1300m to 1500m which is su­per, this is a filly that will get 2000m one day be­ing out of a Rain­bow Quest half to 4-times G1 win­ner and 2010 Mel­bourne Cup com­bat­ant Cam­pa­nol­o­gist. Speak­ing of fil­lies with a fu­ture over more ground, 2. UN­FOR­GOT­TEN (72) is Fast­net Rock out of a Galileo mare, a nick that has so far pro­duced five G1 win­ners — wow. This Waller trained filly could one day be num­ber six, you never know. Will she back up 7-days af­ter a win­ning here (so im­pres­sively?) The sta­ble don’t mind scratch­ing a horse! If she’s here, she will win or run sec­ond. 3. DES­TINY’S OWN (66) is rac­ing so con­sis­tently that it would be hard to see him miss­ing a place but in say­ing that, I can only find him ‘third’ spot. He is fit and in-form, but, he’s lacks the sheer class on the two fil­lies IMO.

RACE 3

I WAS a huge sup­porter of 4. LAST WISH (76) when he ran at Rand­wick on Oct. 28. The John Thomp­son trained 7YO was $12 to $19 thanks to some solid back­ing for the win­ner, 3. KARAVALI (81), whom Last Wish fin­ished 6.-3 lens third be­hind her. I now con­cede that maybe I was a run early. Thomp­son, the mas­ter con­di­tioner, has gone 1500m, 1600m, 2000m with son of Guil­lo­tine and a Zabeel mare so now we get to 2400m, bear­ing in mind that this horse has won twice at trip and once at 2500m. Is 1 for 1 at the t/d, 3kgs off Blaike McDougall who has rid­den city win­ners the last two week­ends run­ning. Ob­vi­ously we, Last Wish I mean, has to find a half a dozen lengths turn the ta­bles on Karavali and my rea­son­ing is in part, the ex­tra 400m suits us more we have a de­cent weight turn­around on the Novo­cas­trian mare. 5. GREAT GLEN (75) is get­ting closer with each pass­ing day. The son of Rekin­dling’s sire. High Cha­parral, out of a mare by Makybe Diva’s sire Desert King, is fourth-up and ready to peak now. He was fifth, 6.5-lens off Karavali, 0.2-lens be­hind Last Wish in that in­struc­tive race at HQ on Cox Plate day.

RACE 4

A VERY in­ter­est­ing race in­deed not least for the pres­ence of an un­beaten horse in Bon Amis (more on him a mo­ment). I have been 3. BLOW­ING KISSES (70) man from way back be­fore she had raced. I loved her pedi­gree (Red­oute’s Choice ex dual G1 win­ner Eskimo Queen) and I used to love watch­ing her trial such a sweet mover is she. I can spend lot longer go­ing into why Blow­ing Kisses not a stakeswin­ner and not in Mel­bourne at this year’s car­ni­val but trust me when I say, there are rea­sons — bad tracks, bit of bad luck here and there, things like that. Ran a mas­sive race first-up at the Farm off two lovely tri­als. She is 4s 2-2-0 but 2s 0-0-0 sec­ond-up which wor­ries me a lot but I am sure she’s fly­ing. Now to 6. BON AMIS (65). The Ja­son Deamer trained 4YO geld­ing is 3s 3w at Cess­nock, Muswell­brook then (first-up) at New­cas­tle. That win was Winx like, I am not jok­ing, I have never, ever seen a horse go­ing to win so surely on the turn that Winxy and/or Black Caviar days. This is the big acid test for the son of

sturdy Bon Hoffa. I wouldn’t be at all sur­prised if he won by 2-lens head on his chest but I promised my­self that I’d fol­low Blow­ing Kisses un­til she re­alises her full po­ten­tial. 4. MAGICAZ (70) ran as well as Blow­ing Kisses when a nose be­hind in that WF race back on Oct. 25. She does seem to grow a leg at

venue, less so else­where. PS: Happy Birth­day Blow­ing Kisses; she was foaled on Nov. 11 in 2013.

RACE 5

FUR­THER back than Walla Walla. That was the long and the short of 7. MISS DUBOIS (73) at her last start when she was run legs early in a strung out field, she be­ing the most strung out. But to her undy­ing credit man­aged get within a fast di­min­ish­ing 3-lens 5th of 9 to 4. I AM SE­RI­OUS (77) at the end. It was a huge run. I know (thanks to Marmelo) that horses who get back and run on are some­times flat­ter I agree, but one has to trust one’s eye and bank on her go­ing to 1800m this time. Oh and speak­ing of the Mel­bourne Cup, Miss Dubois is by Rekin­dling’s sire High Cha­parral. 8. CA­LYPSO BAY (67)

— an­other High Cha­parral as it hap­pens has been cry­ing out for the longer trip. He was poorly rid­den at Can­ter­bury over 1550m two runs back then raced like a stayer next time when kept at 1550m same track be­hind a leader/win­ner Stone­brook. Ex­pect big im­prove­ment from him to­mor­row. The afore­men­tioned I Am se­ri­ous runs here in­stead of the shorter race later in the day and that seems sen­si­ble given

a lot of good judges think she is look­ing for more ground af­ter that win at Rand­wick here on Oct. 28. She should run it but she is a Choisir not a High Cha­parral so I’ll go against her on pedi­gree and price.

RACE 6

I DON’T re­mem­ber a High­way ever be­ing this late in the day? Will make the quaddie in­ter­est­ing be­cause High­ways are nearly al­ways such open af­fairs. Hmmm, not so this time IMO with two chances only! Big call yes but I see it be­tween the aptly named 13. HIGH­WAY SIXTYSIX (58) and the Paul Mes­sara trained 9. ROSEITA (62).

I wish that High­way Sixtysix hadn’t of drawn 14 of 14 be­cause that is a prob­lem po­ten­tially. You need all the breaks to win most races, High­ways more so, and now, it’s go­ing be a harder as­sign­ment for An­drew Ad­kins than it may have been oth­er­wise. That said, he is our reign­ing Cham­pion Ap­pren­tice and he takes 1.5kgs off her back mean­ing a very promis­ing last start win­ner will carry 51.5kgs which is feath­er­weight in these mod­ern times. She has al­ways looked a tal­ent and the boom­ing maiden win at home last start will have given her that price­less boost in con­fi­dence early in her ca­reer. Now to Roseita. She was un­beat­able first-up at Muswell­brook and Claire Nut­man rode her like Winx. She didn’t mind be­ing a bit wide and tak­ing off wide early in the piece be­cause she knew she had pan­els on them. They won. Roseita has run in two pre­vi­ous High­ways fin­ish­ing fifth and third re­spec­tively and is at the peak of her pow­ers now. 11. ARRONDISSMENT (60) has a huge fin­ish on her and will be run­ning hard.

RACE 7

A TYP­I­CALLY open and in­ter­est­ing F & M’s race. I liked. JUST DREAM­ING (83) a lot last start when she led and con­trolled the race nicely but was run down by I Am Se­ri­ous who is scratched to run in the longer race ear­lier on card. Just Dream­ing likes the Rosehill 1500m hence the 3s 2-1-0. She also has Rachel King on again, mi­nus the 1.5kgs, and King is one good rater in the sad­dle so she suits this mare per­fectly. On top of all that, and as if it wasn’t enough, the Kris Lees trained mare has drawn 2 is at the peak of her pow­ers now thirdup. Makes ap­peal. 6. DAGNY (78) was third in that same race when I Am Se­ri­ous got the bet­ter of Just Dream­ing. Dagny was no­tice­ably hit­ting the line too that day sug­gest­ing that she is close to a win. She is yet to win 1500m in two at­tempts and de­spite her last run, that’s my reck­on­ing for go­ing with the Lees mare who she will no doubt have to run down if she is go­ing beat her. 1. ZENALICIOUS (87) is the high­est rated mare in race and by some sig­nif­i­cant mar­gin too. The Les Bridge trained mare was a clos­ing third to Ron Quin­ton’s mares Dixie Blos­soms and Day­see Doom in the G3 Angst then was bogged down her 60kgs next time out when poor here but maybe it was soft ground too. A soft 7 to be pre­cise. She’s been back the tri­als and went well on Oct. 31 so with a drier track and an eas­ier race, she can cer­tainly fig­ure.

RACE 8

5. VIG­I­LANCE (79) was my Best Bet when she re­sumed at Rand­wick on Cox Plate day. I knew go­ing into the race that she was un­beaten and had tri­alled like a bomb but what I didn’t know or ex­pect was that she opened up at $6 and blew out to $16. I re­mem­ber read­ing Ron Duf­ficy say­ing that she looked above her­self in con­di­tion or some­thing of the sort so I am pre­pared to over­look what was in any case a mas­sive ef­fort. She was sec­ond last fence on the bend but was do­ing great things once clear to fin­ish 2.2-lens be­hind the win­ner and be­lieve me, she was shav­ing that mar­gin like a Wilkin­son sword. She is a win­ner sec­ond-up and is 4s 3-0-0 plus one heroic fifth at the trip. Les Bridge la­belled Slow Burn a hand­i­cap­ping cer­tainty af­ter she won the other day and I won­der what liv­ing leg­end thinks of sta­ble­mate 9. ZONK (70) this week­end when she goes around here with just 51kgs or 8.5kgs less than what car­ried when 0.2-lens sec­ond at the Farm in a 1200m mid­weeker last start. Zonk is third-up now and whilst we are look­ing at a Satur­day metro race don’t for­get that this mare has form around White Moss from the mid­weeks and White Moss is now a stakeswin­ner. Ma­jor player.

6. OVER­STEP (78) a Chris Waller trained lo­cal back home af­ter a first-up 3.9-lens 8th of 10 be­hind Cool Pas­sion in the G3 North­wood Plume at Caulfield where she was 10th turn. Tri­alled only once go­ing into a G3 and ran okay, she is 2s 0-1-1 sec­ond-up.

RACE 9

IT is not of­ten that sib­lings win on the same day, let along at the same meet­ing but I am tip­ping it to hap­pen to­mor­row with Blow­ing Kisses and her three-quar­ter­brother 3. DREAM­FORCE (74) to both salute for the same own­ers and trainer (John Thomp­son). Dream­force has rock solid record of 10s 3-1-3 and even bet­ter is 4s 2-1-1 when rac­ing fresh. His two tri­als have been out­stand­ing, you couldn’t ask more from a horse and given all the wins are at 1400m, the 1300m is close to per­fect if not per­fect it­self. As well as that, Blaike McDougall — the jockey who has rid­den city win­ners ate the past two Satur­day meet­ings — takes a full 3kgs off the geld­ing’s back. 1. KING DARCI (80) was a dual ac­cep­tor and will race here in­stead of the other race. The Tim Mar­tin trained son of Darci Brahma is third-up now off that neck third to Im­prove­ment and Col­lat­eral when he didn’t budge a cent in the mar­ket at the $4.80 quote. His back home on Satur­day where his record is 4s 0-1-1 but he is 4s 1-1-1 at the trip. 6. RE­DOU­BLE (71) had a bad day when 22-lens last Rand­wick on Oct. 28. He was first-up for new trainer Bjorn Baker and cer­tainly ex­pected to do well backed in from $4.40 into $3.60. Where there is smoke there is usu­ally fire and the horse was or­dered back to trial and rid­den out a tad win heat beat­ing his high class sta­ble­mate Egyp­tian Sym­bol and Dothraki on Nov. 3 at Can­ter­bury.

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