Popular result if he can win
NOTE: RACES are assessed for a SOFT 5. All horses considered starters unless notified by Thursday 1 PM. (N/R) denotes no rating.
GOOD race. We saw a really nice 2YO win at Rosehill last Saturday in Neutrality, this is a deeper field than that so if anything was to pump them, it’s pretty good. I am putting all the eggs in the Godolphin basket going for 2. RHEINGAU (N/R) to beat stablemate 1. DYNAMITED (N/R). That was the order in their Oct. 24 at WF when Rheingau (1st) was 3.3-lens ahead of a closing Dynamited (3rd). Sure, it was more a jumpout than fair dinkum drag race of a trial but I liked what I saw from this Animal Kingdom half to Drachenfals (who won on Tuesday at Randwick). Gate 1, he can take a real close sit behind the speed and Schofield can go looking for an out at the 350m. I still have a very high regard for the $800,000 yearling filly 7. SANGITA (N/R) despite the fact that she lost on debut at shorts. Few things; she may have not handled the heavy 8 and it was early evening travelling/racing away from home. 8. SECRET LADY (N/R) is fast, very fast, and will take some running down with 53kgs on her back.
GODOLPHIN again. I think James Cummings is going to have a massive day by the way. 5. POPULAR (66) was all but unbeatable off her trials when she resumed at WF in a midweek maiden on Oct. 25. She got a smashing ride by The Gun that day, he switched back to the fence, drove her through a decent sized gap and made it as pleasant and educative experience as possible. She is 1300m to 1500m which is super, this is a filly that will get 2000m one day being out of a Rainbow Quest half to 4-times G1 winner and 2010 Melbourne Cup combatant Campanologist. Speaking of fillies with a future over more ground, 2. UNFORGOTTEN (72) is Fastnet Rock out of a Galileo mare, a nick that has so far produced five G1 winners — wow. This Waller trained filly could one day be number six, you never know. Will she back up 7-days after a winning here (so impressively?) The stable don’t mind scratching a horse! If she’s here, she will win or run second. 3. DESTINY’S OWN (66) is racing so consistently that it would be hard to see him missing a place but in saying that, I can only find him ‘third’ spot. He is fit and in-form, but, he’s lacks the sheer class on the two fillies IMO.
I WAS a huge supporter of 4. LAST WISH (76) when he ran at Randwick on Oct. 28. The John Thompson trained 7YO was $12 to $19 thanks to some solid backing for the winner, 3. KARAVALI (81), whom Last Wish finished 6.-3 lens third behind her. I now concede that maybe I was a run early. Thompson, the master conditioner, has gone 1500m, 1600m, 2000m with son of Guillotine and a Zabeel mare so now we get to 2400m, bearing in mind that this horse has won twice at trip and once at 2500m. Is 1 for 1 at the t/d, 3kgs off Blaike McDougall who has ridden city winners the last two weekends running. Obviously we, Last Wish I mean, has to find a half a dozen lengths turn the tables on Karavali and my reasoning is in part, the extra 400m suits us more we have a decent weight turnaround on the Novocastrian mare. 5. GREAT GLEN (75) is getting closer with each passing day. The son of Rekindling’s sire. High Chaparral, out of a mare by Makybe Diva’s sire Desert King, is fourth-up and ready to peak now. He was fifth, 6.5-lens off Karavali, 0.2-lens behind Last Wish in that instructive race at HQ on Cox Plate day.
A VERY interesting race indeed not least for the presence of an unbeaten horse in Bon Amis (more on him a moment). I have been 3. BLOWING KISSES (70) man from way back before she had raced. I loved her pedigree (Redoute’s Choice ex dual G1 winner Eskimo Queen) and I used to love watching her trial such a sweet mover is she. I can spend lot longer going into why Blowing Kisses not a stakeswinner and not in Melbourne at this year’s carnival but trust me when I say, there are reasons — bad tracks, bit of bad luck here and there, things like that. Ran a massive race first-up at the Farm off two lovely trials. She is 4s 2-2-0 but 2s 0-0-0 second-up which worries me a lot but I am sure she’s flying. Now to 6. BON AMIS (65). The Jason Deamer trained 4YO gelding is 3s 3w at Cessnock, Muswellbrook then (first-up) at Newcastle. That win was Winx like, I am not joking, I have never, ever seen a horse going to win so surely on the turn that Winxy and/or Black Caviar days. This is the big acid test for the son of
sturdy Bon Hoffa. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he won by 2-lens head on his chest but I promised myself that I’d follow Blowing Kisses until she realises her full potential. 4. MAGICAZ (70) ran as well as Blowing Kisses when a nose behind in that WF race back on Oct. 25. She does seem to grow a leg at
venue, less so elsewhere. PS: Happy Birthday Blowing Kisses; she was foaled on Nov. 11 in 2013.
FURTHER back than Walla Walla. That was the long and the short of 7. MISS DUBOIS (73) at her last start when she was run legs early in a strung out field, she being the most strung out. But to her undying credit managed get within a fast diminishing 3-lens 5th of 9 to 4. I AM SERIOUS (77) at the end. It was a huge run. I know (thanks to Marmelo) that horses who get back and run on are sometimes flatter I agree, but one has to trust one’s eye and bank on her going to 1800m this time. Oh and speaking of the Melbourne Cup, Miss Dubois is by Rekindling’s sire High Chaparral. 8. CALYPSO BAY (67)
— another High Chaparral as it happens has been crying out for the longer trip. He was poorly ridden at Canterbury over 1550m two runs back then raced like a stayer next time when kept at 1550m same track behind a leader/winner Stonebrook. Expect big improvement from him tomorrow. The aforementioned I Am serious runs here instead of the shorter race later in the day and that seems sensible given
a lot of good judges think she is looking for more ground after that win at Randwick here on Oct. 28. She should run it but she is a Choisir not a High Chaparral so I’ll go against her on pedigree and price.
I DON’T remember a Highway ever being this late in the day? Will make the quaddie interesting because Highways are nearly always such open affairs. Hmmm, not so this time IMO with two chances only! Big call yes but I see it between the aptly named 13. HIGHWAY SIXTYSIX (58) and the Paul Messara trained 9. ROSEITA (62).
I wish that Highway Sixtysix hadn’t of drawn 14 of 14 because that is a problem potentially. You need all the breaks to win most races, Highways more so, and now, it’s going be a harder assignment for Andrew Adkins than it may have been otherwise. That said, he is our reigning Champion Apprentice and he takes 1.5kgs off her back meaning a very promising last start winner will carry 51.5kgs which is featherweight in these modern times. She has always looked a talent and the booming maiden win at home last start will have given her that priceless boost in confidence early in her career. Now to Roseita. She was unbeatable first-up at Muswellbrook and Claire Nutman rode her like Winx. She didn’t mind being a bit wide and taking off wide early in the piece because she knew she had panels on them. They won. Roseita has run in two previous Highways finishing fifth and third respectively and is at the peak of her powers now. 11. ARRONDISSMENT (60) has a huge finish on her and will be running hard.
A TYPICALLY open and interesting F & M’s race. I liked. JUST DREAMING (83) a lot last start when she led and controlled the race nicely but was run down by I Am Serious who is scratched to run in the longer race earlier on card. Just Dreaming likes the Rosehill 1500m hence the 3s 2-1-0. She also has Rachel King on again, minus the 1.5kgs, and King is one good rater in the saddle so she suits this mare perfectly. On top of all that, and as if it wasn’t enough, the Kris Lees trained mare has drawn 2 is at the peak of her powers now thirdup. Makes appeal. 6. DAGNY (78) was third in that same race when I Am Serious got the better of Just Dreaming. Dagny was noticeably hitting the line too that day suggesting that she is close to a win. She is yet to win 1500m in two attempts and despite her last run, that’s my reckoning for going with the Lees mare who she will no doubt have to run down if she is going beat her. 1. ZENALICIOUS (87) is the highest rated mare in race and by some significant margin too. The Les Bridge trained mare was a closing third to Ron Quinton’s mares Dixie Blossoms and Daysee Doom in the G3 Angst then was bogged down her 60kgs next time out when poor here but maybe it was soft ground too. A soft 7 to be precise. She’s been back the trials and went well on Oct. 31 so with a drier track and an easier race, she can certainly figure.
5. VIGILANCE (79) was my Best Bet when she resumed at Randwick on Cox Plate day. I knew going into the race that she was unbeaten and had trialled like a bomb but what I didn’t know or expect was that she opened up at $6 and blew out to $16. I remember reading Ron Dufficy saying that she looked above herself in condition or something of the sort so I am prepared to overlook what was in any case a massive effort. She was second last fence on the bend but was doing great things once clear to finish 2.2-lens behind the winner and believe me, she was shaving that margin like a Wilkinson sword. She is a winner second-up and is 4s 3-0-0 plus one heroic fifth at the trip. Les Bridge labelled Slow Burn a handicapping certainty after she won the other day and I wonder what living legend thinks of stablemate 9. ZONK (70) this weekend when she goes around here with just 51kgs or 8.5kgs less than what carried when 0.2-lens second at the Farm in a 1200m midweeker last start. Zonk is third-up now and whilst we are looking at a Saturday metro race don’t forget that this mare has form around White Moss from the midweeks and White Moss is now a stakeswinner. Major player.
6. OVERSTEP (78) a Chris Waller trained local back home after a first-up 3.9-lens 8th of 10 behind Cool Passion in the G3 Northwood Plume at Caulfield where she was 10th turn. Trialled only once going into a G3 and ran okay, she is 2s 0-1-1 second-up.
IT is not often that siblings win on the same day, let along at the same meeting but I am tipping it to happen tomorrow with Blowing Kisses and her three-quarterbrother 3. DREAMFORCE (74) to both salute for the same owners and trainer (John Thompson). Dreamforce has rock solid record of 10s 3-1-3 and even better is 4s 2-1-1 when racing fresh. His two trials have been outstanding, you couldn’t ask more from a horse and given all the wins are at 1400m, the 1300m is close to perfect if not perfect itself. As well as that, Blaike McDougall — the jockey who has ridden city winners ate the past two Saturday meetings — takes a full 3kgs off the gelding’s back. 1. KING DARCI (80) was a dual acceptor and will race here instead of the other race. The Tim Martin trained son of Darci Brahma is third-up now off that neck third to Improvement and Collateral when he didn’t budge a cent in the market at the $4.80 quote. His back home on Saturday where his record is 4s 0-1-1 but he is 4s 1-1-1 at the trip. 6. REDOUBLE (71) had a bad day when 22-lens last Randwick on Oct. 28. He was first-up for new trainer Bjorn Baker and certainly expected to do well backed in from $4.40 into $3.60. Where there is smoke there is usually fire and the horse was ordered back to trial and ridden out a tad win heat beating his high class stablemate Egyptian Symbol and Dothraki on Nov. 3 at Canterbury.