Coyle’s bringing the Fury
NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Good 4. All horses considered starters unless notified by Thursday at 1 PM. (N/R) denotes no rating.
JAMES Cummings holds the key to the opener with two lovely 2YO’s, one filly, the other a colt. Let’s start filly — 7.
COLOMBINA (N/R) who is by Lonhro out of the Gold Coast Silk Stocking winner Mascareri, a Commands sister to the late Guy Walter’s beloved 4-times G1 winning mare Appearance. Colombina finished 3rd in her only trial to a stablemate and another horse but was the one of the trio that doing best work late. That trial was 807m, so she has another 300m tacked on tomorrow which will no doubt assist. She has drawn 1 too so she can potentially race moderately handy, maybe one, two pairs back — to be honest, I am not sure of her gate speed, Avdulla and Cummings/Beadman will work out where they want her. The Godolphin colt, 1.
RHEINGAU (N/R), has the race experience and we know how important that is at this time of year. Rheingau was my top pick when he was 3rd to stablemate Dynamited who I must say, trialled very, very similarly to Rheingau — in that they were both the strongest late when placed in their trials behind a (respective) stablemate. Drawn 4, gets good run again. 8. MISS INVINCIBLE (N/R) may not run here, she might go to Newcastle on Sunday for the Max Lees Classic. If is not here, 3. FLYING
PIERRO (N/R) for third — he’s a lovely Pierro colt out of the former handy mare We Betcha (a daughter of Wager). 5. TOULOUSE (N/R) trialled just as well in the same heat.
GODOLPHIN and The Gun again I hope. They have Impending’s sister 6. EPIDEMIC (66) on show here for the first time since her Cup Day win at Randwick where she beat handy Waller colt Seaway by 2-lens. Great ride that day but that was the real Epidemic, the one that Godolphin brains trust has always has had a significant opinion of. I love confidence boosting win in horses and hers was certainly that. This looks a very nice race for the daughter of Mnemosyne.
2. JUNGLIZED (72) is a somewhat underrated seems based on the fact that he 9s 4-2-1 but went out at $7 when won a strong midweeker at Canterbury on Nov. 22. He led throughout that day and has gate 3 so one would suspect he goes to the front again we can see that he is a hard horse get passed. Well, has been over 1100m so far — perhaps the 1200m might test him? 4. EQUAL BALANCE
(69) may not run here but is a chance if he does. 1. CURDLED
(75) has a massive weight he carried 2kgs more than Bon Amis and ran him down to 1.9lens first-up.
THIS is one race left well alone — anything can happen in these staying races Sydney especially when Chris Waller has multiple runners. I have been with 5. GREAT GLEN
(76) at almost every run this campaign and feel that he is getting closer. He has won up to 2300m that was a great effort (no pun intended) when he led until late when finishing a neck 3rd to stablemate 1. VASSAL (87) over 2400m here on Nov. 11. Great Glen was $7 into $6, Vassal was $6.50 out to $10 back into $9.50 so the market is no help to us at all — ever. I have Vassal for fourth this time, ahead of him are 3. IMPERIAL
AVIATOR (82) who almost defied his $21 SP when he ran 0.3-lens 2nd to Lord Kingsley here on Nov. 18. Third run in Australia today, second this prep, Waterhouse/Bott bone and muscle. 6. LAST WISH
(75) is wearing thin, I say that not out of disrespect, quite the contrary — I have been with him all preparation but he just hasn’t been able to get there for one reason or another. Maybe Blake Shinn can make it happen — he usually does.
HIGHWAY time and a good one from a punting point of view with capacity field some quite nice horses. I am pretty keen on 16. RUGENBAU (54) if it runs of course, It may not so I’ll leave it that, it will maybe go around at Canberra today. I hope it runs here though. 12.
STAR ASPIRATION (56) is another one drawn poorly but we get Glyn Schofield and I have said it for weeks now, he is riding better than ever. His mount here has an enviable degree of consistency and was a brave first-up 2nd in an 1100m Highway here back on Nov. 18. Like I say, the draw is the big negative — how much will be left for last 100m when they come charging? 13. BEL DIABLO
(55) has drawn 21 minus whatever scratchings so that is a big negative. Big, bold 1.6lens 4th in the Star Aspiration Highway last start and that was after a reasonable 3rd to Serene Miss (unbeaten/races tonight at Canterbury) and Still Undaunted (hopefully win at Scone on Thursday after printing). Sadly, this race may look nothing like it does at the moment so you’re guess is as good as mine — Rugenbrau for me, if it comes.
POOR old 9. SIREN’S FURY
(70) just can’t seem to get a break this campaign. She needs a tempo that is fast enough to swamp them late but nothing so fast she run off her legs — also needs a good, sustained straight line to the finish post and that is not always assured when she’s trying to run through the herd. Barrier 2 is not good this time — she might have to go back to dead last again and there are some pretty handy old hard heads that she is going to have to reel in then pass. Still, we know on her day that things pan out for she is good enough to be winning Saturday class races especially with 53kgs on her back. 4. CELLARMAN
(75) has gone to a new level at his last two runs, both of them wins at Canterbury. My word he’s been giving two world class rides by the world class Blake Shinn. Shinn hands over to The Gun tomorrow and instead will ride 2. REDOUBLE (80) who has been a revelation since joining the Bjorn Baker camp. Add his name to another horse that has gone through the roof after being gelded! Back to back Saturday wins, the last one full of grit and determination — you have to admire a horse that has so much toughness.
10. CHALK (69) is massive player; he was scratched from a later race to run here. Keep in mind, Chalk beat Redouble when he (Redouble) was firstup.
3. GREEN SWEET (96) is such an interesting horse, such a global horse. He is trained by a Frenchman, was born in the USA (sounds like a song title), raced in France, and now lives in Goulburn near the Aussie capital. The son of champion sire Smart Strike (sire of 125 SW’ers inc Curlin) was beaten a nose by Hogmanay at his Australian debut at $21 on Mar 11 then went down to Albury and won the Cup when $7 into $5.50. His third and final run of the first dowunder prep saw him finish 8th of 10 in the JRA Plate on a heavy 8 at HQ. He has to go 2000m first-up but he trialled and went well and we know that his trainer Jean Dubois is something akin to a master conditioner like so may of his European colleagues are. Andrew Adkins does a lot of riding for Dubois and was on Green Sweet at his first Australian start in that 1900m Bm83 that I alluded to where Steve Smith and Kenny Callander’s horse (Hogmanay) just beat him.
4. SAVAPINSKI (99) is back home in Sydney after leading throughout to win the G2 Matriach at Flemington by almost 3-lens. That came straight after her 2nd in the Tesio — The Gun has a real affinity with this Dynamic Syndications mare who
superb record of 7s 4-1-0. Her Tulloch Lodge stablemate 2.
BROADSIDE (98) is first-up at 2000m but may I remind everyone, he is trained by Waterhouse and Bott and he did show some genuine fight spirit to win his most recent trial. Note self: Broadside is first-up for only 9-weeks, that’s as short a time as possible to be classified a spell so is he really first-up? Don’t think so.
SURELY the most interesting horse racing in Australia this weekend (for ages!) is 9. MISTER SEA WOLF (95) who might be the umpteenth horse to do the Festival/Villiers double because it’s plain that is what he is here for. I think he can do it actually, he is a very well credentialed miler and when Waller gets these horses under his roof, they go from handy to Group horses — and in a very short time. Mister Sea Wolf is fascinating horse. He has won at 1000m, 1400m (3 times) and twice at the 1600m so this being 1500m is something of a Goldilocks distance for him. I loved his trial which would have just knocked off any cobwebs from the trip down — bearing in mind he arrived here (according to records) on Sep. 16 having last raced in a G3 (8 of 9) in Ireland exactly month prior. I am pretty confident he’ll win this but more about him in the Villiers with a run under
belt. Every other runner is a danger, it’s that sort of race.
7. MOHER (98) is prime among them now he has reverted to his old form. Then there is 5.
MIGHTY LUCKY (100) who is mighty dependable. I am not so much laying 4. CABEZA DE
VACA (100) but surely these other jockeys aren’t going to serve him up the picnic lunch with all the trimmings that he has somehow managed to devour at his two runs this time in.
STARLIGHT Stakes time and it’s a great field on paper but there is every chance we’ll go without
few of the dual acceptors. So with that in mind I am 5. EGYPTIAN SYMBOL (98) if she is here to beat “certain” runner
1. DOTHRAKI (106), 6. PALLAZIO PUBBLICO (97) — very
unlikely and 3. BIG MONEY
(100) no good thing to run. Egyptian Symbol accepted for the George Moore up in Brisbane but I am fairly sure she will run here instead. The Bjorn Baker trained blueblood (Stratum/Our Egyptian Raine) is 4s 3w fresh and there has been zero wrong with her two trials. I have seen
trial better but that’s not to say these ones were good, it’s just some of the others have been out of this world.
DITTO to that given my best in the Get Out Stakes is 13. LEVEL
EIGHT (75) who may indeed run at Canberra today. he my best bet Rosehill so I am declaring him down in the capital. Let’s assume he is not here, that leaves me with 4. BETTER NOT BLUE
(84) who a well performed 6YO gelding is 24s 4-6-4 and many of those runs have been luckless or he’s ben his own undoing. My worry with him is that he is 13s 0 wins on good, 4s 2-1-0 on heavy so if it stays hard and fast at Rosehill as has been so far this summer — he might stay at home too! 8. MACHINEGUN JUBS (83) was brilliantly ridden to win last start, she has some great numbers including 3s 2w at the trip and drawn well. Hoping that Level Eight turns up here because I can see him over and over again mowing them down late; his trials have been sensational.
Trainer Jason Coyle’s Siren’s Fury is capable of breaking her string of bad luck tomorrow.