Bris­bane Pre­view

The Sportsman Weekend - - Doomben A Detailed Formguide - WITH GREG SPLETTER

Race 1

Anal­y­sis of this race has been made con­sid­er­ably harder by the pres­ence of rain, but at least this week­end we can be cer­tain we’ll be rac­ing on a wet track. AN­TON EN AVANT has been rac­ing against My Gi­u­liano at his last cou­ple and although beaten com­fort­ably two weeks ago on the heavy-10, he was too good for him the run prior. He ex­cels a wet sur­face and gets a 2.5kg turn­around at weights thanks to the claim. MAGNATUNE would not be com­pet­i­tive with sev­eral of th­ese on top of the ground but in very wet con­di­tions he has a hope knock­ing them all out. Huge run be­hind Fres­panol when re­sum­ing at Brad­man­like odds, then far from dis­graced step­ping up sharply to 1800m and beat­ing all but Sheza Lily. Granted it was a Bm75 he shoul­dered 62kg and drops 9kg into this open event. Seven of his eight wins have been on wet tracks and he is right in it. MY GI­U­LIANO will go wher­ever An­ton En Avant goes. They race near to each other back off the speed and make their runs to­gether. He likes it wet as well, but he is now up to 59kg and up at this end the ef­fect of weight in­creases not lin­ear. Has a gen­uine hope of bring­ing up his hat­trick but I’ll back him out.

Race 2

Su­per keen on the toppy I’VE GOTTA NEL here and at $4.00 is some of the best value on the card. All three runs this prep have been sound in­clud­ing his lat­est plac­ing when he did the work out in front only to get over­hauled by Amanaat. He hasn’t faced any­thing this easy since he opened his win­ning ac­count back at the be­gin­ning of year and cer­tainly de­serves the 59kg al­lot­ted. He loves it wet and I don’t see them catch­ing him. WUDANG BLADE con­tin­ues to race well for us and he is an­other who loves it wet. Strug­gled pick up a cou­ple of very handy three-year-olds here last start but was only nar­rowly beaten at his pre­vi­ous two. Stakes-placed here on the heavy back in May and prob­a­bly comes across to take the sit be­hind the top pick. He should be shorter than the $12 and looks a nice each way bet a must for mul­ti­ples. SNITZEL’S JOY will find this eas­ier than her last cou­ple in sim­i­lar grade. Tried hard be­hind Girl In A Mil­lion then knocked up be­hind her and Just Orm and has been given a breather. She also get across from an awk­ward draw and will be up in the first four and that’s pos­si­bly place to be on a track which could be any­thing from a soft-7 to a heavy-10.

Race 3

Not a whole lot of in­ter­est here with ju­ve­niles on a bog track but as is the case of­ten as not I’ll stick with ex­posed form. MIR­A­CLES APLENTY is al­ready a win­ner in a quag­mire beat­ing three ri­vals at Toowoomba in Oc­to­ber and wasn’t far from vic­tory here last start be­hind Rosa’s Charm. Back against the boys here who have had col­lec­tively zero starts be­tween them and at $5.50 is as good as any. PHOENIX SHADOW is an in­ter­est­ing first starter who caught my eye at the price. Scored a nar­row trial win here last month and has drawn well for his de­but. I don’t mind the breed, the sta­ble is go­ing very and at $23 could give some cheek if he sneaks into the field. MISHANI KR­ISHNA de­buted with a tidy win in a small field at Toowoomba fort­night ago over the 870m scam­per. This is harder but from the good draw and with con­di­tions to suit she in the mix.

Race 4

All the in­ter­est here is down in the weights and COURTZA KING can bounce back with a win to­mor­row fol­low­ing a close-up run be­hind Fiery Heights at class six level. Some truly bril­liant rid­ing by Jim Byrne in the early stages got him up on fence be­hind the lead­ers straight­en­ing and he out in time to have a crack at front pair. He only missed by a neck or so and with de­cent cre­den­tials in the wet J Byrne stick­ing solid he will be very hard to hold out. I could have a whinge about the $3.60, but it’s not so much poor value as in­dica­tive of the lack of depth to the race. RINGO’S A ROCKSTAR has that style rac­ing that will nearly al­ways have you tear­ing your hair out but on his day he is a very smart cus­tomer. He’s been in the stew­ards’ re­ports at nine of his last 10 out­ings as he gets back and in­vari­ably strikes trou­ble, but he does love it wet and has been hit­ting the line with gusto. Took plenty of ground off them last time in a Bm75 and drops 5kg into this to­mor­row. If you could get a guar­an­tee he wouldn’t strike trou­ble he’d be a clear favourite. MISHANI EL LOBO is rarely far from the ac­tion and was just be­hind a handy trio in Amanaat’s class six last start. Been up for a while but he is still pro­duc­ing re­sults and is one for ex­otics play­ers.

Race 5

PRETTY FAST is back up here look­ing for her fourth con­sec­u­tive win and I think she’s the best bet I’ve seen a good while at the $2.30. Brought up her hat-trick in town last start with a tidy half length win over a Bm74 field, and her pre­vi­ous two were both on wet tracks at New­cas­tle. Strug­gled with bad luck her first cam­paign where we saw her up here, but she has blos­somed into a real win­ner as a three-year-old and with lo­cal lad Damian Browne on top should jus­tify my con­fi­dence. There are a cou­ple of fil­lies here I have time for but I just can’t see them push­ing the fave. DREAM KISSES and COOROI CHASE ran the quinella here last start, though lat­ter had a four length mar­gin on line. The former has shown up in good com­pany in the past and back to the level weights there won’t be nearly as much be­tween them this time round.

Race 6

When you’re on a good thing you re­ally have to stick to it and NO ANNAMOSSITY has done won­ders for us in the last cou­ple of months. As soon as he stepped be­yond 1350m he’s knocked up win­ning races and lines up here to add an­other pal­ing to his picket fence. Came from a mile back last start when he had a few crosses against him – he’d been fresh­ened up and was drop­ping back in dis­tance – but still hit the line strongly to fin­ish over top of Su­per Suave. Beat sub­se­quent win­ner Don’t Doubt Da Wife the run prior and in an un­der­whelm­ing class six he is great value at $3.60. AQUA VITE the only one threat­en­ing him in mar­ket but his form has been much eas­ier com­pany, and al­most none of it has been win­ning form. Beaten out a place in an R70 last start won by Re­val­dor and his pre­vi­ous run was sim­i­lar de­feat in the same class. That’s a good way below class six level, and worth just half the prize­money, but he’s the only rea­son we’re get­ting more than $2.20 about the top pick so let’s hope he runs. If you’re look­ing for some­thing to add to th­ese two your mul­ti­ples, EIGHT BELOW ran a solid race be­hind No Annamossity last time af­ter miss­ing the kick and should get through ground okay.

Race 7

Many here who could win this with a mod­er­ate form spike but in the end I keep com­ing back to class to carry us to vic­tory. CAP­I­TAL GAIN ran sev­eral good races through the win­ter car­ni­val at the end of last sea­son be­fore cap­ping it off with a su­per win in the Group One JJ Atkins over sub­se­quent G1 win­ner Aloisia. Has a strong record on wet tracks and is thrown in level weights against th­ese. It’s tough to over­look a last start G1 win­ner at $8.00 on level terms. BRING IT HOME POP has now won three in a row af­ter a gutsy fresh vic­tory over St Pa­tricks Day last time. Bred to love it wet and three of his four vic­to­ries have been in wet ground. PIERATA has come up favourite and there’s plenty to like about his form, though he looks a lit­tle un­der the odds at $3.30. Beaten into 7th spot be­hind Caital Gain in the JJ Atkins at the end of last prep af­ter a dis­tant third to Melody Belle in the Sires. Easy trial win­ner in Syd­ney a cou­ple of weeks ago and should go well.

Race 8

Great value here in UP­START PRIDE who chased home to­mor­row’s favourite last start and will strip fit­ter for the run. He tracked him all the way over 1200m while beaten three lengths on the line he does get a 2kg turn­around and I see more up­side for him than fave. It’s not so long ago I watched this bloke lead good fields with con­tempt and blow them away, and at $26 he will give you an awe­some run for your money. CALANDA has plenty of abil­ity and hasn’t been far away in two stakes-level ap­pear­ances over the Mel­bourne spring car­ni­val. Last sea­son’s Ramornie win­ner at Grafton who has drawn well and loves it wet. MONSIEUR GUSTAVE has drawn out a lot fur­ther this week but it’s hard to knock a sprinter go­ing for his fourth stakes win in a row. I’m not sure Tif­fani Brooker will want to burn the fuel re­quired to cross Up­start Pride who has drawn di­rectly in­side him, and that de­ci­sion will put them one out fac­ing the breeze.

Race 9

We can fin­ish off the day with a big win­ner here in I’M A RIPPA who goes around at the silly odds of $11 and will give a ton of cheek. He has never missed place first-up and beat The Am­bas­sadore fresh last cam­paign, and he was also stakes-placed in the Qld Day Plate beat­ing home Crack Me Up among oth­ers. He has never won in the wet but has placed four times in­clud­ing the Listed run and mixed it with some of our bet­ter 3yo’s up here in the au­tumn, and he jumps out this lowly class three with a half kilo over limit. Get on. CARE TO THINK is shoot­ing for a hat-trick af­ter win­ning his last two be­fore a break. Beat a mod­er­ate 3yo field up here be­fore win in a TAB High­way which Matt Dunn has made his own. DOWN­LOAD­ING is an­other who steps out here look­ing for a hat-trick and while he’s not as class as the top pick he is in great touch this prep. Beat them com­fort­ably in grade at Ip­swich last start in­clud­ing to­mor­row’s sec­ond favourite and will be there at the business end. SPME01Z01MA - V1

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from Australia

© PressReader. All rights reserved.