He­lio’s the one to beat

The Sportsman Weekend - - Rosehill Preview -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Soft 7. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Thurs­day at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

RACE

ALL eyes, well mine any­way, are on 2. CHARGE (N/R) here. I love it when a trainer buys a son or daugh­ter of one of their good horses and Charge is a Chris Waller trained son his dual G1 win­ner young sire Zous­tar. Charge was bought by Qatar Blood­stock (who also raced Zous­tar) for the not in­signif­i­cant sum of $450,000 at Magic Mil­lions Sale. That’s a good price for any year­ling, let alone one by a first crop sire as Zous­tar was at the time. Charge tri­alled re­ally will at Rose­hill on Nov. 24. He very new don’t worry about that; dwelt and got back as a re­sult, his head go­ing ev­ery­one, hard to steer, only at the 300m did he bal­ance up and get into work and turn on a re­ally good last 250m to run 5th beaten 2.7-lens. No doubt he lacks race­craft and that is a worry but he has some­thing, that is for sure. 1.

GONGS (N/R) has the race ex­pe­ri­ence and it is win­ning ex­pe­ri­ence. The Godolphin filly was a mile too good on de­but at Can­ter­bury and the that dozen lengths be­hind her day — Per­fect Pitch — won at Rose­hill last Satur­day. Nice. 6. CARNINA

(N/R) is a $100,000 Magic Mil­lions filly by All Too Hard out of a half sis­ter to Head­way. Won both her tri­als and Mark Newn­ham knows how get his stock ready to win on de­but. Drawn 1 which should be a help with the rail out.

RACE 2

SPEAK­ING of the rail be­ing out, 6m to be pre­cise, I hope it doesn’t have a detri­men­tal ef­fect on the prospects of 2. HELIOSPHERE

(68) whom I firmly main­tain is the best horse in he race to­day, to­mor­row and well down into the au­tumn. So much so, we could see him in races like the Rand­wick Guineas be­cause he does scream ‘miler’. That’s pre­cisely how this hand­some Ger­ald Ryan gal­loper ran on de­but when mak­ing up plenty of ground from last (of 6) to fin­ish 0.7-lens the win­ner in a 1200m race here on Nov. 18. The step up to 1400m with added race fit­ness will only play to his favour — he just needs some pres­sure up­front and a smart ride. 5.

UP TRUMPZ (69) was my tip last start in a Bm71 over this trip on Nov. 25. I feel a bit ag­grieved given that think he should have nearly won. In fact, if got the run of the win­ner (Bull Mar­ket), he clearly wins the race. Blaike McDougall was un­lucky not to get a bet­ter run on horse (you can’t hur­dle those in front of you) but we get Tim Clark this time. 6. POETIC

CHARMER (67) was a nose 2nd to Bull Mar­ket but got lovely ride/ ev­ery chance from Ker­rin McEvoy that day. 4. STAR SEN­SA­TION

(75) was a dual ac­cep­tor, we spoke to Mark Newn­ham on Wed­nes­day and he of the view that this was the bet­ter op­tion for the iron filly (who ran 3rd in Bull Mar­ket race) given that he sees her up ‘1 or 2’ in the run and that there was less pres­sure in this race than the other one she paid up for. Fair enough.

RACE 3

HIGH­WAY time and it could come down to the clash of the best High­way-train­ers in busi­ness Matthew Dunn and Danny Wil­liams. I am with Wil­liams on this oc­ca­sion, specif­i­cally 5. O’LORDY

(65) who has a High­way win her C.V. That was over 1200m first-up on Nov. 4 then she raced at home at Goul­burn in a 1300m Bm72 fin­ish­ing 1.1-lens from the win­ner com­ing from 10/11 at 400m. O’Lordy has won 3 races so far, 2 of them are at Rose­hill. She is 1200m, 1300m now 1400m and bear­ing in mind she has no wor­ries up to about 1500m, this trip is sweet. She also seems to han­dle good heavy. Wil­liams can carry off the quinella with 3. VOPLE

(65) back­ing up after his dra­matic win in a High­way last Satur­day at this same venue but over 1200m. He would have been some­thing licked if he had of gone un­der, hats off to Jan Van Over­meire who played it cool as a cu­cum­ber when all looked lost. Well done. 1.

FOR­EVER NEWYORK (68) was 4th to Zamex in a 1500m High­way at the end of last prepa­ra­tion. The Wagga vis­i­tor was beaten 0.5-lens first-up over 1000m then won by the same mar­gin at Gunda­gai after that 1180m. With re­gard to 1400m, For­ever Newyork was beaten 0.9-lens in a 1580m at Can­ter­bury last cam­paign. As for Dunn, the High­way King, he has the in­trigu­ing im­port 4. DI­VINE

UNICORN (64) run­ning here. The GB-born geld­ing is ‘1x21’ all over the bor­der at Ip­swich (x2) and one at Gold Coast — that was his last start win 1400m.

RACE 4

F & M races are in­vari­ably open af­fairs with lots of com­bi­na­tions and this race is a case in point. Waller has four the 11 ac­cep­tors, how many of them run re­mains to be seen but at this stage that’s where we are at. While Waller’s quar­ter have quite sub­stan­tial win­ning claims (in fact they are very hard to split), I am look­ing to some­thing of an old favourite in Les Bridge’s 7.

QUEEN MISTY (70). The rail be­ing out 6m is not re­ally a plus for her be­ing such a pro­nounced back­marker but any pat­tern as to how the track may be play­ing to­mor­row will surely have be­come ev­i­dent by now so we can ‘know when to fold em, or know when to hold em’ with this mare. I have seen her race handy mind you and she went su­per, but I sus­pect that

will be off speed, how far off speed time will tell. As dif­fi­cult an as­sign­ment it is, I have man­aged to rank the Waller run­ners this way — 2. OVERSTEP (78) just ahead of 3. NOIRE (74) and then

4. MISS BALLANTINE (71)

5. DIASPASON (70), the lat­ter two have drawn wide. Noire is in gate 1, Overstep is prob­a­bly best served in 5 given that she can now be po­si­tioned with any track bias that may even­tu­ate. I did like her last 200m a lot last start, she’s get­ting close now.

RACE 5

10. MORINGTON (73) was re­ally good at his Aus­tralian de­but with­out a trial when 3rd to Waller sta­ble­mate 2. CARZOFF (80) in an 1800m race here on Nov. 4. He was well backed as a re­sult 21-days later when 4th of 9 to an­other sta­ble­mate, Dagny, also in an 1800m race. I felt he raced a lit­tle bit flat that day and maybe that pointed to the fact that was rip for more ground, not sure, but he gets 2000m to­mor­row so that’s a pos­i­tive what­ever we make of last start. There is plenty to ad­mire about the afore­men­tioned Carzoff who has a fine career record of 13s 2-3-3. Bet­ter than that, he is 4s 1-1-1 at the track and 5s 1-0-3 at the trip. He is fir­ing on all cylin­ders this prepa­ra­tion apart from his heavy­weight and wide bar­rier, he ticks all over boxes. You get the im­pres­sion that he will al­most cer­tainly be in the medals again.

7. SCREAMARR (73) won firstup but it was been all down­hill since much to the frus­tra­tion of his train­ers An­thony and Ed­ward Cum­mings whom I know (hav­ing spo­ken to An­thony) were ex­pected much bet­ter from his prepa­ra­tion. I watched his run in the Goul­burn Cup where he ran 7th of 14 and while I ac­knowl­edge that he was only beaten 2.1-lens, not much more than plod­ding at pace for the most part of the straight. That said, I would be least sur­prised (apart from An­thony and Ed­ward) if he hap­pened to win to­mor­row at de­cent odds.

RACE 6

WE come home with three very good races to end the day to­mor­row, heaps of chances in each. Good value too in some. I might be play­ing with my $10 thus to­mor­row; $5 win on 2. FIRSTHAND (89) and $2.50 e/w on 6.

MARYORE (87) who in­ter­ests me greatly. More on her in a mo­ment. I ended up stick­ing with Firsthand be­cause he is race hard­ened in a soft-ish track and is in a good place at the mo­ment be­ing ‘x312’. The Star Wit­ness son 3s 1-1-1 at Rose­hill and his only run over the t/d be­fore to­mor­row was his last start 0.8-lens 2nd to Cabeza De Vaca on Nov. 18. The most salient statis­tic in Firsthand’s favour is that he is 2s 2w on slow — that vi­tal, so too that he has drawn 4 and Blaike McDougall rides him; he won on the horse (bril­liant ride!) two runs back when he beat To Ex­cess (top pick in the next race). Canberra mare Maryore is first-up to­mor­row and I was all set to tip her on top with some de­gree of con­fi­dence un­til glanced her fresh record is 5s 0-0-0 and that she is 4s 3. I am not sure what is com­ing up for her next start but I am pretty sure that she will win it given that she is fly­ing and she has near per­fect sec­ond-up record. Bear in mind too that is the reign­ing Pro­vin­cial Cham­pi­onship Fi­nal win­ner over this trip. One more thing, she is 9s 3w on slow and 4s 2w on heavy but I doubt we’ll be in at any stage race day. Big re­spect the way of 7. NEW UNI­VERSE (83) like­wise 9. FLOW (76) but my $10 won’t stretch that far.

RACE 7

SOME­TIMES num­bers say it bet­ter than words when it comes to rac­ing. What’s that adage about history be­ing the best guide what is go­ing to hap­pen in the fu­ture? En­ter 4. TO EX­CESS

(84) who has a career record of 12s 5-4-0. he is 4s 3-1-0 at the trip and 3s 0-2-0 on slow and 3s 1-1-0 on heavy so he has the wet track tricked. Bar­rier 8 is a lit­tle wider per­haps than what trainer Tracey Bart­ley would have wished for but like I say, we could well be look­ing at a ‘few horses off the fence’ be­ing in fast lane like it was last week here. Look, who knows what will hap­pen but cer­tainly buy 4.20PM and six races al­ready done, Bart­ley jockey Josh Parr will have some con­tin­gen­cies worked out. I was on 9. OZARK (78) to beat hot­pot 13. BON AMIS (73) when they met in an 1100m race here on Nov. 25. Bon Amis was 2nd so he beat Ozark home but Ozark was a long way back that day (as usual) and did man­age to get within 1.9-lens of the win­ner of the race. Ozark has now run three very good races end on end on end and I am sure there is a win in the son of Lonhro so long as he gets a good pace up­front and clear run at them in the straight. 8. GUARD

OF HON­OUR (78) looked like be­ing a G1 horse early but never quite made it to that level. He tri­als like he’d win an Ever­est, I am sure Kris Lees isn’t the only one who would like to see him do it on race day. Of the oth­ers, nat­u­rally Bon Amis has claims on the race hav­ing only been beaten once in 5 runs. Note that Bon Amis was a dual ac­cep­tor, he was also paid up for the next race over 1200m.

RACE 8

Oh how I wish 15. BRAVE SONG

(67) didn’t draw 15 of 15 here be­cause had he not I would have made him my Best Bet to­mor­row. Noth­ing we can do it about that now, he’s just go­ing to need a very good from a very good jockey in Wi­nona Costin. I have said all the way through this week­end’s preview that no one knows how

track will be play­ing so who knows, maybe 15 of 15 isn’t as bad as it all looks, but I am not fool­ish to think it can pos­si­bly be a pos­i­tive. Brave Song is a promis­ing 3YO and he needs to be, tak­ing on older horses first-up from the out­side draw with the rail out 6m. He is 3s 1-1-0 so far — de­but was a crack­ing run Cal­cu­lated who at the time Hugh Bow­man talk­ing up as a Cox Plate horse. Then he (Brave Song) wins next start by 3-lens and spelled after a 5th at Rand­wick in a race where Ad­dic­tive Na­ture was run­ner-up. Tri­alled twice, 2nd both times, once to Pier­ata (we know how that form worked out) and the other Alas­sio who is tri­alling as well as any horse in Syd­ney right now. 6. DRACHENFELS (76) is a mag­nif­i­cent looker by Street Cry out of a Lonhro mare. The James Cum­mings trained geld­ing has the rock solid record of 13s 3-4-2 and one of those wins was in a Bm80 over 1200m at Rand­wick on Mel­bourne Cup day. He has been kept up to the mark with a 1050m trial at Rand­wick and fin­ished nicely to run 2.6-lens to the afore­men­tioned Alas­sio in Brave Song heat as it hap­pens. Godol­phyin sta­ble­mate

10. TORPENHOW (73), the horse once dubbed Tor­pen­wow! thanks to some amaz­ing per­for­mances re­sumes here. I would have him a lit­tle high, cer­tainly above his sta­ble­mate, had he not drawn 14. Yes, I am aware my top tip will start on his out­side!

RACE 9

GET Out Stakes time and an­other old fash­ioned punter’s treat to end the day. Noth­ing short to spoil the fun, value from 1 down 15. I was thrilled to see Kris Lees ring in a scratch­ing for 14. BASTIA (68) from his pro­posed run at the Muswell­brook Show­cas meet­ing on Fri­day (to­day) be­cause I am sure the 24-hour wait will only pro­long

joy. Bastia has al­ways been ‘handy’ but he might be ready to go a bit be­yond that this sum­mer based on his 4.2-lens first-up win at Port Mac. It was a C2 and not a par­tic­u­larly strong one I ad­mit, but he brained them was firstup at 1500m. He stays at that trip to­mor­row but he is about 3 weeks be­tween runs and Lees would have taken ev­ery pre­cau­tion to en­sure he can have enough fresh­ness in his legs to race handy and that is surely aided by bar­rier 5. I think Ron Quin­ton’s two 9. THE GAVEL (72) and 6. MAG­I­CAL STANCE (74) pro­vided a great op­por­tu­nity for a “duet’. I quite like the duets ac­tu­ally be­cause I tip / bet on, quite a few roughies that don’t win out of turn but some­times they man­age to sneak a place. I see Quin­ton’s pair as ex­actly that. I don’t think ei­ther of them are win bets but I they are both in the right race for each other and can fin­ish along­side at big odds, hope­fully be­hind Bastia.

Heliosphere (left). Pic Grant Guy

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