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The Sportsman Weekend - - Doomben A Detailed Formguide - WITH GREG SPLETTER

RACE 1

It’s an enor­mous meet­ing at Doomben to­mor­row as we head to­wards Magic Mil­lions time and while there’s plenty at big odds for us later in the day, my thoughts are close to top of bet­ting the first few races. It’s been tough to jag the track con­di­tion this far out in re­cent times but I’m hop­ing the rain (if any) is light enough to let track dry down to a good-4. The first looks a race in two, and I was very im­pressed with the win of FULLAZABOOT here back in Oc­to­ber. Never looked like los­ing over the 1110m and while the heavy-10 may have flat­ter him, there’s ev­ery chance he’ll go bet­ter on top of the ground. His mum was a nice type and a stakeswin­ner in Mel­bourne at two, I’d have him at least equal fave here so we’re get­ting a touch of value at $3.30. BLUE BOOK is the dan­ger and un­beaten him­self in two starts here. Beat a small field at his lat­est win is up to 59kg but big weights don’t de­ter me as much with ju­ve­niles. GRIM REAPER has chased Blue Book home at both of his out­ings but has been con­vinc­ingly beaten on both oc­ca­sions. Stand­out third pick but he looks to be a cou­ple of lengths be­hind the top two.

RACE 2

I AM IMPINGE will need a cou­ple to stay at home to se­cure run here but is un­doubt­edly the test­ing ma­te­rial if he makes cut. Handy enough ef­fort first-up un­der 58kg at the Sun­shine Coast when he ran home into sec­ond spot over 1200m down at class one level, though was a dis­ap­point­ment to those who took the $1.30. His form when last in work was more than enough to ac­count for these, in­clud­ing con­sec­u­tive plac­ings against the likes of Snitz, Cel­largirl and Why­peeo. He hasn’t drawn well at all but this is a typ­i­cal R70 with no depth and not whole lot in the way of class, and we’re get­ting a re­ally good shy at the stumps at $5.50. BENFICA PRINCESS has solid form for this in­clud­ing a tidy first-up win in a class three out of town. She was stakes-placed in the Princess Stakes at the be­gin­ning of the win­ter car­ni­val so she’s no slouch, and I’d be in­clined to back both of them at good value. MEHMETO has come up the $4.80 fave after a nice run be­hind Re­val­dor here two weeks ago in this grade. His form up at class three level in town ear­lier in spring was handy and he is cer­tainly some hope, though lit­tle value at the price.

RACE 3

There wasn’t much be­tween MAGNUFIGHTER and BOOM BOOM EPIC here two weeks ago over 1350m and I don’t ex­pect there will be much sep­a­rat­ing them again to­mor­row step­ping up to the mile. Magnufighter made two from two this prep sneak­ing along fence after get­ting balked for a run at the top of the straight. He was stakes-placed here last prep be­fore run­ning a fair race at Group One level over mile and the ex­tra trip here will suit. Over odds at $3.70 and I’d have them much closer in bet­ting. BOOM BOOM EPIC did cover ex­tra ground the other day but they didn’t go hard, and he had ev­ery chance to beat win­ner. Not sure that he’ll be quite as com­pet­i­tive over a longer trip to­mor­row and is quite layable at $2.60. I thought NASHVILLE SKYLINE might be a bit longer than $8.50 but she can run cheeky race. Nice enough win first-up at home be­fore flash­ing home a lit­tle too late over 1600m a the Sun­shine Coast. Yet to pro­duce re­sults of the top two but will be run­ning on strongly.

RACE 4

For some­thing com­pletely dif­fer­ent we have a class two plate here and while there’s no depth to the race a cou­ple have snuck in that are head shoul­ders above rest. CHAMALU hasn’t had much luck at his last two, get­ting held up be­hind Spring Ty­coon here two runs ago be­fore step­ping up to this trip and run­ning out of luck again in a pretty strong race won by Monas­te­rio. Won two his first three starts, split by a de­cent enough run in the G1 Golden Rose and I’ve got no com­plaints here at the $2.60. Matt Dunn has been send­ing REALING south this prep try­ing to plun­der more easy money from the TAB High­way with­drawal fa­cil­ity and hasn’t been far off the mark. Rock­eted to the line first-up un­der a big weight be­fore sit­ting closer over the longer jour­ney and work­ing home okay. I’m not usu­ally a big fan of TAB High­way form against gen­uine city class but I know this bloke from his 3yo sea­son and he does have plenty of abil­ity when right. One of these two will win. DUKE OF CHRISTOPHE made up some ground in Monas­te­rio’s race a fort­night ago and would prob­a­bly be over the line in this with the two favourites out. Looks a solid third pick and at $17 is worth play­ing around with across the ex­otics.

RACE 5

Our first run­ner for the day at big odds in HIGH COST, though he’s hardly a speccy and is rac­ing in great touch. Ran an ab­so­lute cracker in far su­pe­rior grade here last time when beaten just a half length by Kha­lama and Tru­bia in blan­ket fin­ish at Bm90 level. That was com­ing off a strong win at Ip­swich car­ry­ing 59.5kg and he has drawn a bet­ter gate to­mor­row. Form be­fore let-up in Oc­to­ber was sound against the likes of He­laroc­ity and Im­preg­nable and we can get set here in an 0MW at $21. No good thing, but he is crazy overs. IRON GE­ORGE has been a model of con­sis­tency since trans­fer­ring to Ben Cur­rie at the be­gin­ning the sea­son and comes here off an easy win at Toowoomba last month. His pre­vi­ous three starts were all against stronger com­pany and while he has drawn awk­wardly he does get some weight re­lief for Michael Mur­phy. Each way hope at $8.50. PLUCKY GIRL isn’t quite the value of the top pick at just $7.00 but she did score a very easy win at Ip­swich last time and it fol­lowed a good run in a weak class six won by Manaya. It doesn’t get much worse than gate 22 but with some luck J Byrne can put her in the fin­ish some­where.

RACE 6

Pretty keen here on KIRINI who’s look­ing for back to back vic­to­ries after a very strong Bm80 win here two weeks ago over 2200m. Ran a cheeky race in the Qld Oaks be­hind Egg Tart when last in work so she has some stay­ing tal­ent and at only her fourth run back I’m look­ing for fur­ther im­prove­ment. Drops down to 52.5kg un­der the set weight con­di­tions and is a great bet at $4.60 with the ser­vices of Mark du Plessis. MONAS­TE­RIO chalked up his first vic­tory on top the ground last start with a good ef­fort to beat Don’t Doubt Da Wife over 1630m. He’ll be strip­ping fit­ter for three runs back and while I would much pre­fer him with some give in the ground, he still rates a hope here down at 54.5kg. SHEZA LILY has won five of her last six starts in­clud­ing a seven length de­mo­li­tion of class four field at the Gold Coast two runs ago be­fore fol­low­ing up with an­other easy con­ver­sion in a Bm75 at the Sunny Coast. This is much tougher but she is a real win­ner and I do think this form­line will hold up over the sum­mer pe­riod across the stay­ing events, there’s plenty of depth to field.

RACE 7

Very happy to take the $4.20 about ZUMBELINA here up from Syd­ney and it’s the Waller team’s best chance for day. Strong win­ner at Rose­hill two runs back over 1200m then didn’t pull up well when a handy enough run in be­hind Invinzabeel car­ry­ing 58.5kg. She is well up to this and from the good gate will be right in fin­ish. OUR BEEBEE isn’t much of a price at $4.60 but she did run out her skin on an un­suit­ably dry track here in the Ubet Clas­sic. Grows a leg the wet and if the rain comes aplenty I’d prob­a­bly flip these two se­lec­tions, though she still has to rate a hope on her last run even on top of the ground. NOTONYOURLIFE put span­ner in the works firstup when a blowout win­ner at $41 but she does im­prove off a run and should get dry track here which needs to show her best. Far more mod­est value at the $8.00 but is in the mix.

RACE 8

This is a trap race for me re­gard­less of how I treat this favourite, but at the odds I’m go­ing to jump back onto TOO GOOD TO REFUSE who fin­ished off well third-up in the Recog­ni­tion Stakes to end up just out of a place. He loves it here over this trip and I can see Dwayne Dunn bring­ing him down the out­side late with a big run. Whether it will be enough to run favourite re­mains be seen, but at $10 I’m on each way. I took CRACK ME UP last time step­ping up to this level and he got the bet­ter of me with a strong length and a quar­ter win at the 1350m. Chalked up con­sec­u­tive mile wins just prior to the spell but he is up to 56.5kg to­mor­row and at $2.35 I have to steer clear again, though ac­knowl­edge he is the one to beat. SIR MO­MENTS over­raced last start and was way out of place on the speed. First-up run was en­cour­ag­ing he will be run­ning home late with my top pick.

RACE 9

I’m a big fan of the 1LY’s but they don’t pro­gram many of them up here these days. At big odds I’m go­ing to give my old mate LONDEHERO a chance to re­sume with a barn­storm­ing run down the mid­dle of the track at a mas­sive $34. He is very good horse fresh, and first-up last prep ran de­cent race be­hind the fly­ing Pinch River over 1110m. What I like about him here is that Matt Dunn is send­ing straight to 1350m on fresh legs and gives him a real chance to pro­duce one of his form spikes roll this lot. Craig Ne­witt will have him out the back and wait for one tilt at them in the straight, let’s hope he can bring it home us. I’m not a fan of MANAYA at all and while I was wrong about her two runs back, favourite back­ers did their money cold ei­ther side of that win. She’s again to­mor­row and while I’d prob­a­bly rec­om­mend a spot for her in the quad­die, she is poor bet­ting propo­si­tion. MARKSFIELD is an old warhorse who can push for­ward here from the awk­ward gate and race handy. His first-up run was just okay, but he does like the trip with only 51kg after the claim will have a kick on straight­en­ing. Worth in­clud­ing in all your mul­ti­ples at the $31.

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