Quackerjack primed to fly
NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Heavy 8 – improving. All horses are considered starters unless notified by Thursday 1 PM or where specified. (N/R) denotes no rating.
IF PEDIGREES mean anything then 3. BIVOUAC (N/R) will have no problems in the wet, none at all. His dam, Dazzler, is a More Than Ready out of Camarilla who is in turn a daughter of Camarena. Whatever the case, we saw this Godolphin colt handle a heavy 8 at Warwick Farm in his trial when a closing 4th of 5 beaten 4-lens by 6.
TIME TO REIGN (N/R) – more on him in a moment. It’s one thing to have pace and win by a big margin over 797m in trial but sometimes one has to mark ‘up’ the horse that was hitting
line given the high pressure race day scenario over 1000m. That’s my view anyway. Race experience in 2YO’s in crucial. I don’t know how many times we see a 2YO that has been to the races and endured that sort of race day intensity come out and beat debutantes. Enter 1.
COVERT OPS (N/R) who won his heat by 8-lens then was 2nd in the Breeders’ Plate to a nice colt Dubious. As for Time To Reign, he is a half She Will Reign who not only won a Golden Slipper – she loved the slop and almost broke the Kembla 1000m course record on debut.
Mark Newnham-trained filly 1.
QUACKERJACK (68) has been my top selection in all three runs this campaign and finished ‘849’. I can make a case for the ‘8’ being a forgive run but I cannot defend her so stoutly next two runs. But, I am nothing if not loyal and giving her one more chance tomorrow. This is by far the easiest race she has contested this preparation and there was enough to like about her recent 3rd in a decent trial (Kementari was 2nd) at Randwick on Monday morning on a heavy 9 track. 3.
ORCEIN (65) was a dreaded scratching from race he had accepted for 2 days earlier when staying home from that Kensington race on Wednesday. You can only assume this was deemed the better option for him on big track and at the mile in small field. Fair enough too – he looks nicely placed here so long as the Snitzel kicks in and handles the slop. 4. LUCKY HELMET (67) is a progressive type from John O’Shea camp. O’Shea is batting at an Adam Gilchrist like strike-rate at present; 5 of his last 6 runners are winners. This filly has won her last two at the provincials and O’Shea has found the perfect race to come to town bearing in mind she is actually at home tomorrow.
7. BURNING CROWN (64) might be racing at Sha Tin one day sooner or later. I’ve seen them buy a lot worse horses than this guy and do well out of them. If he was bought on looks alone, he’d make $1m and geez he wouldn’t be worth much less on talent and potential. Okay, he’s only a Gunnedah and Scone winner at the moment but he’s won by 6-lens then 2-lens went maiden to C2 straight away and won like Phar Lap who he actually resembles a bit on the move – only with some white splashes on his imposing chestnut frame. If you don’t believe me, go and watch Scone trial win on the Racing NSW website. Matthew Dunn has two in here and both can win starting with 3. LIFESAVER (66) who is one of Dunn’s million Highway winners. The son of Helmet was an excellent 3.3-lens 2nd to the speedy Sei Stella in a 1000m Highway here a little over month ago. Unplaced all three soft tracks runs but not discounting him on that alone.
14. DOCTOR ON ICE (56) has drawn 1 compared to his stablemate’s 13 draw (minus scratchings). Whether ‘in’ is better than ‘out’ on this track after all the racing it has taken in recent weeks remains to be seen. The Doctor is proven on wet ground to a small degree having won easily on a soft 5.
3. INVICTUS PRINCE (97) is the topical tip right. Prince Harry is in town, Invictus Games start today, the horse was bred The Queen. If omen betting is not your go and you prefer form, how about a 2-lens 2nd to Winx at WFA at the mile. Or 3-lens off Hartnell in Epsom? Granted, the Prince wasn’t great in the Craven Plate last Saturday but 2400m is right up his alley and there a lot to be said for horses who back 7-day on a wet track. Drawn 10 which is bit of a worry but we’ll leave that to play out as it will. 4. HIGH
BRIDGE (95) came to Australia as a hurdler and ended up winning two races at the midweek then running 4th in Metrop to Patrick Erin who deadset should be in the Caulfield Cup (field) today! How does that happen? The Metrop winner should be exempt from the ballot full stop. Anyway, enough of that. Clearly this horse has thrived down under and is going to be hard to hold out. I will cheering for 1. DESTINY’S KISS
(104) as much as Nick Moraitis and Joe Pride if it’s a close finish. What an old marvel this bloke is. I think the Cups count for this noted mudlark stands at 11 going into this. One of them was race last year.
DAVID Payne has my Caulfield Cup pick, Ace High, in the big race tomorrow so good luck to us both! Payne saddles-up
All Too Hard mare 5. ALL TOO
SOON (84) for Ace High’s owner, John Cordina here. The mare is quite good on wet ground actually unlike Ace High being 7s 3-0-2. She was a creditable 2.1-lens behind I Am Serious last start in the Group 3 Angst, indeed she hasn’t been beaten more than about 3-lens in any of her 5 runs this time work. She was once a serious ATC Oaks contender so her class have never been in question. Looks nicely set-up for a fifth career win at start 16 tomorrow. I said it earlier how well John O’Shea is going in recent weeks and he
represented here by winter’s Queensland Derby runner 6.
LIVE AND FREE (76) who started favourite first-up when 10th of 12 some 5.6-lens from the winner in a 1400m race on Kensington track. I note that he is now 3s 0-1-0 fresh but 1 for 1 when second-up and you would think there is plenty of improvement in the son of Savabeel whom O’Shea knows better than most actually. On top of being 1 for 1 for fresh, Live And Free is also 1 at the track and that was a killer win that day – just awesome really. 3. ABDON (86) has become a very costly horse to follow but he’s had a few plausible excuses just the same. 4. ASTORIA (82) and 10. MEROVEE (74) are in mix.
THE Brian Crowley has been won some very nice horses – particularly for a race that has held Listed status since Ubetido won it first in 1980. I can’t say for sure, but this looks to me to be one of the better and deeper renewals race with some lovely colts, a few of them could even be in the Coolmore Stud Classic on Derby day in two weeks. Chief among them is
7. ROOSEVELT (70) who has been a favourite of mine since before his debut at Warwick Farm which he won. He is a big, strong galloper with beautiful action put to good use when thrashing the older horses in a Warwick Farm midweeker immediately after his quick trip to Caulfield where he was 2.1-lens behind Written By who is a star. Class colt. Ditto that for the $1.7m yearling 9. DIPLOMATICO (67) who was a moral when he resumed in that 5-horse race on the Kensington. The son of Snitzel won by 4.3-lens and had head on the chest all the way basically. He won a trial by 6-lens before win so he’s come back in fabulous order. Either he or Roosevelt could win the Coolmore if they run up to expectation tomorrow. 8. THE
TENOR (68) is another of the last start booming winners in the Crowley tomorrow. Granted The Tenor’s came at the provincials against second, third and fourth tier horses but it’s not who you beat, how you beat them – sometimes.
I WAS quite keen on 4. SHAZEE
LEE (83) when I saw her entered here. I have always liked this mare and so took the opportunity to ring her trainer Scott Singleton for a chat/story (see page 2). I knew she was in good nick because trialled like a bomb the other day but man, Singleton was very convincing and bullish about her. You can see in the story that he said she has never been as strong and the like at start of any previous campaign. She loves the heavy, is 2 from 4 in fact, and barrier 13 (of 13) and Brett Prebble are ticks as far as I am concerned for the reason that can bring her down the outside with no traffic issues. That’s her go. In terms of her class, bear in mind she beat Prompt Response and Spright in the Hawkesbury Guineas. Impending’s little sister 5. EPIDEMIC (90) won all three starts last campaign. She resumed 5-lens 10th of 13 in the Group 3 How Now at Caulfield on Sep 22 but came back home and since trialled really well in a deep heat at Warwick Farm on Oct 8. Epidemic is 2 for 2 soft so should be sweet on the heavy you’d imagine. 3. ECKSTEIN
(105) bolted in at Flemington in a Listed race on Oct 6 straight after her grand 1.4-lens 5th the Golden Pendant. She’s won 4 from 7 at the trip and has on heavy before. 2. PECANS
(100) is right up to these mares. Chances also 9. RESIN (83),
10. DYSLEXIC (81) and 1. EGYPTIAN SYMBOL (105)
who I made a bestie last week in the Sydney Stakes so am not going to sack her totally here if she backs up.
JAMES Cummings is training doubles and trebles all over the place he could very well train four (or five) tomorrow unless I have put the mock on him. Hope not. I already have Bivouac winning the first, Roosevelt in the Brian Crowley now 4. MARSUPIAL (86) here followed by my ‘Best Bet’, Beau Geste in the last race (more later). Marsupial, a striking son of Street Cry from Koala Bear, was once considered Blue Diamond material by the camp. That wasn’t to be but it speaks volumes of his looks, talent and class, etc. The gelding was 5-lens off them at Caulfield on Sep 22 but came back home to Agnes Banks and won a trial at Warwick Farm by
nose but with a mile of authority. Has handled slow/heavy.
2. FIRSTHAND (91) is a Team Hawkes trained gelding who trialled super ahead of his commendable return in the Tactical Advantage 1000m Flying race at Kensington on Oct 1. Firsthand was 9 of 10 in the middle stages and still 7th at 400m bearing mind that they ran 56.96s and home on 33.80s. Firsthand is 4s 2w second-up. 7. PASSAGE
OF TIME (83) is a Joe Pridetrained Gooree galloper who is 3s 2w fresh – the same as he on heavy going. He has won 3 of 6 at the trip and is a Randwick winner. All in all, his numbers stack up very well indeed for a bold bid here.
STREET Cry and Godolphin here I hope with 13. BEAU
GESTE (77) lining-up for his second run this campaign. The horse was 9th of 14 fresh at Randwick on Sep 29 but was only beaten 3.9-lens and believe me, it was a diminishing margin. You could just see this horse going to peak next time over 1400m, still on a big track, and he is well in again at the weights and Rachel King to ride. Beau Geste has drawn 5 and there is a chance perhaps that he may be able to make some use of that alley, well, I don’t think he’ll as far back this time anyway. 5.
RIGHT OR WRONG (86) has been runner-up at his last two, one to Trekking then the other a massive run behind Maxumus. Those two seconds are at 1200m, he is at 1400m this time which I see that he is unbeaten in two runs at. Soft track form is 4s 3-1-0. Gee he’s not hard to find is he!? I liked 8. ARAAJA
(86) in a mile race last weekend but she was scratched. I am less enthused about her at 1400m but then again, I’m not Chris Waller.
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