Red’s poised to Ex­cite

The Sportsman Weekend - - Rosehill Preview -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Thurs­day at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

RACE 1

BREAK­ING the Golden Rule of 2YO rac­ing and tipping a debu­tant (the only one) against the raced young­sters namely 3. JONAH (N/R). I re­mem­ber Derby day last year when the Snow­dens pro­duced a very good 2YO win­ner in this same colours to win – a colt called Neu­tral­ity. Jonah was $300,000 year­ling and is full to the Snow­dens’ stakeswin­ning filly/mare Flip­pant. He is also a half to Group 2 win­ner I Am Ex­cited. Jonah’s two tri­als have been su­per, the first one and easy 4th fol­lowed 11-days later by a nar­row but im­pres­sive win. She Will Reign’s half-brother 1. TIME TO REIGN (N/R) was su­per dom­i­nant when he won the Kirkham which was a much bet­ter field (on pa­per) than this. He goes up 2kg for the win and swaps a heavy track firm but the track con­di­tion is not the deal breaker, though it worth bear­ing mind. 2. ESPINOLA (N/R) brings Vic­to­rian form to this hav­ing run fifth in the Maribyrnong Trial then head­ing Bendigo and win­ning by a nose.

RACE 2

DUTY bound to tip 1. RON­STAR (72) here given that I wrote in a re­cent mid­week Sports­man that he ‘would win when­ever and wher­ever he next ap­peared.’ This is it. The Gary Portel­li­trained ch­est­nut son of Zous­tar beat Di­plo­matico on de­but here and that horse is in the Group 1 Cool­more Stud Stakes at Flem­ing­ton later day with a red-hot chance. Ron­star won again then was 4th and spelled. End of the prep stuff hence the fail­ure. His three re­cent tri­als have been out of this world im­pres­sive and while I don’t fancy his 59kg, I am all in. 3. ROHERYN (65) was a good thing first-up af­ter his tri­als. He won. The Godol­phin colt is by Lonhro out of Man­ning­ton which makes him a half to VRC Derby win­ner Beni­cio and for­mer Dar­ley iron-mare Rom­neya. Hard not to be im­pressed with what he did at War­wick Farm. 2. THE TENOR (70) was pan­els above them first-up at Gos­ford and won ac­cord­ingly then el­e­vated to 3rd in the Brian Crow­ley be­hind Di­plo­matico af­ter a suc­cess­ful protest was lodged. Has a touch of style and qual­ity about him.

RACE 3

WI­NONA Costin, our one-time Cham­pion Ap­pren­tice, rides Ron­star in the pre­vi­ous race (as she has 3 races and 4 tri­als) and can hope­fully be in a po­si­tion to go back-to-back here on 11. OUR ROSEMAREE (57) who was a gen­uine eye catcher in the Oct 20 High­way at Rand­wick when clos­ing fast down

mid­dle to be beaten 2.9-len. The High­ways are in­vari­ably run with a good tempo and if that is the case, then she should get her chance to use the ex­tra 100m to ad­van­tage. This is her 4th straight High­way to­mor­row.

1. HAN­DLE THE TRUTH (69) is back for a third con­sec­u­tive High­way hav­ing won the sec­ond to last one here over this same trip. On top of that, son of Star Wit­ness was sec­ond in the Light­ning Ridge and just 3.8-len off Cool­more con­tender En­cryp­tion in the Black Opal in March. Clearly a horse who has the ta­lent to be win­ning High­ways and but bear in mind when he did win his High­way, had 53.5kg as op­posed to 58kg this week­end.

7. ROCK THE WORLD (66) has won 3 from 4 since join­ing Stirling Os­land and per­haps could have be un­beaten for him with a bit of luck. In­ter­est­ingly she has drawn the out­side bar­rier in huge fields three times but was still too good. My query is the 1200m.

RACE 4

2. RED EX­CITE­MENT (100) al­most went down in his­tory as the horse who would have bro­ken Winx’s in­cred­i­ble se­quence of wins. That was of course in the Chelms­ford Stakes last year when dar­ing tac­tics on Red Ex­cite­ment meant that the great mare only beat him late and by a mar­gin of a length. Not many horses have run Winx to a length but he did. The Ger­ald Ryan-trained son of Ex­cites has been a won­der­ful horse for con­nec­tions. He was bought for $50,000 and has so far won $1.1m in 59 starts. Red Ex­cite­ment has won from 1000m to 2100m and not many horses do that. Point is, the 1900m won’t worry him. Only beaten 6-len in the Ep­som last start by Hart­nell and tri­alled very, very well the other day. 4. BLACK ON GOLD (94) is a good fresh horse and needs track to show his best which is pre­cisely what he gets on the week­end. When I say, first-up, his last run was on Aug 31 in Wy­ong Cup so it’s not all that long ago and he’s had an easy trial over 1030m to get him where he needs be win. 3. MASK OF TIME (98) is the only last start win­ner in race and from a sta­ble that deadly in Syd­ney.

RACE 5

TYP­I­CALLY tough 2400m race here. Like many of you, I have fol­lowed 5. RAQEEQ (76) down the well af­ter his win seem­ingly ages ago but there aren’t too many un­luck­ier horses than this bloke. We know he needs things to go his way and it’s been few and far be­tween that hap­pened for the im­port. Waller is very good at back­ing horses up and this horse ran fourth last Satur­day Rand­wick in Sky Boy’s race. His is ready for the 2400m now and back home. 2. SO­CIAL EL­E­MENT (82) is a known leader there aren’t many bet­ter than Adam Hyeron­imus at rat­ing horses over a trip. He is a lit­tle mas­ter at that and we know that most times in the past, when Tul­loch Lodge stayer gets an easy run up front over any trip, but es­pe­cially at 2400m, they are hard to catch.

3. COSMOLOGIST (79) is the horse that may ap­ply the pres­sure to So­cial El­e­ment, in fact, he is al­most guar­an­teed to quar­rel for the role of pace­maker. Hope­fully that sets it up for Raqeeq to have last say.

RACE 6

BRIAN Gen­tle hasn’t all that long had the train­ing du­ties with 12. SOSTENIDO (55). The Wind­sor Park-bred geld­ing tri­alled the house down at Goul­burn 12-days be­fore he ran a great third to Bob­bing Wy­ong. The son of Rip Van Win­kle is go­ing ap­pre­ci­ate Rose­hill a lot more than Wy­ong with his get back and fin­ish on pat­tern and, due to his 55 bench­mark, the horse gets in with 52kg. Bar­rier 9 is the best bar­rier for him and jockey Kathy O’Hara. 5. SCHU­BERT (74) is one of a great book for Josh Parr this week­end; few are rid­ing bet­ter than he is at present hence the book. Schu­bert is a James Cum­mings-trained son of Lonhro who has fin­ished fifth at his two runs this cam­paign, no luck at the first and made ground (on Kens­ing­ton) in a leader dom­i­nated race last time. He too, will ap­pre­ci­ate Rose­hill where he has placed at 2 from 3 prior vis­its. Is 5s 2-1-1 around the trip. Ideal sce­nario for him re­ally. 4. MAPMAKER (74) was 11th of 13 in the fi­nal race on Ever­est day but it was a heavy 9 that day and look­ing at his record, 5 wins out of 7 ca­reer wins are on good tracks, he could be a mas­sive im­prover in this race over much more suit­able 1300m com­pared to 1000m at HQ.

RACE 7

KIM Waugh has her very good mare 3. NEWSFAN (80) re­sum­ing here. The daugh­ter of Zof­fany is 6s 2-4-0 and that last sec­ond was in the $600,000 Pro­vin­cial Cham­pi­onship Fi­nal at The Cham­pi­onships. To think that she had only won a Port Mac­quarie maiden a mere 3 starts prior (al­though she lapped them!) is tes­ta­ment to her ta­lent. Newsfan looked very good in­deed win­ning a 1000m heat at the Oct 22 Wy­ong tri­als. Josh Parr has ride to­mor­row – he is a big chance to win the TAB Jock­eys Chal­lenge by way. 8. DAWN DAWN (75) is an­other of these re­ally pro­gres­sive mares in the Newsfan mould. The Team Hawkestrained daugh­ter of their star colt All Too Hard re­sumed with a fan­tas­tic run at Caulfield in the North­wood Plume where she was 16 of 16 the 400m but ended up in sev­enth beaten 1.9len with 55kg. Has 53.5kg to­mor­row and this is a Bm88 and not a G3 like she ran in last start. Note also that Dawn Dawn is 2s 1-0-1 sec­ond-up. All 3 wins are at 1200m. She beat Easy Ed­die here by 2-len at her only t/d run in the win­ter. 6. HUSSTERICAL (78) was ‘00x0 when go­ing for a spell but they were in stakes races over in Ade­laide. She has won at Rand­wick on An­zac Day be­fore that. Tri­alled twice, both were quite rea­son­able.

RACE 8

3. ISAURIAN (84) is a light­lyraced Godol­phin gal­loper whose record at present 7s 3-2-0. I saw him win like a good horse at the War­wick Farm mid­weeks one day liv­ing up to the ta­lent that James Cum­mings and Dar­ren Bead­man ev­i­dently had al­ways thought he pos­sessed. The son of Ex­ceed And Ex­cel won at SandownHill­side fresh then was a 0.2-len sec­ond at the Val­ley af­ter that – Sep 28. He is back in Syd­ney and ready to race this week­end third-up at a track where his only run was 0.5-len sec­ond in the Darby Munro on Golden Slip­per day to I Am Ex­cited. Qual­ity horse. Drawn out is the worry – where does he sit early?

5. PAS­SAGE OF TIME (83) had ev­ery­thing made to or­der first-up but was scratched at the bar­rier at Rand­wick two weeks ago. The Joe Pride-trained son of North­ern Me­teor is very good when it comes to rac­ing on rain af­fected tracks but his firm track form is quite ac­cept­able be­ing 9s 1-2-1. Best things go­ing for him are 3s 2w fresh and Glyn Schofield wear­ing the red black of Gooree. He won a VRC Derby in them a cou­ple of years ago. 10. CRA­DLE MOUN­TAIN (78) is one of those horses that can blow oth­ers off the park. He did that

day at Rand­wick when he won by a space and ran amaz­ing time for the 1200m. It was 1:08.15 which would win an Ever­est on the right day! Tri­alling up very nicely in­deed. Like I say, he could come out and win by 2-len in fast time.

RACE 9

THROW at the stumps time now with the Waller im­port 11. LE JUGE (74) who is first-up for 41-weeks af­ter two un­placed Aus­tralian runs down south. Granted Waller is not ex­actly what you call a first-up trainer but when he wants them to go fresh, he can do it. I might be com­pletely wrong but am tak­ing the punt that this horse is ready to win. He wasn’t a bad horse in France by any mea­sure, cer­tainly way above the 53kg he has here and that’s why I think is ‘set’ to win. Waller could have found some easy race at the mid­weeks or the provin­cials to send him around in – he would have got a big weight but in­stead he comes here with two re­ally nice tri­als un­der the belt and gets in with 53kg and Jay Ford. 7. MAHALANGUR (79) has been a stakes horse from day one and might well get there sooner rather than later. He is aim­ing for 3 straight and while bar­rier 10 is not per­fect, it’s not a hor­ror show ei­ther. Might just be too good. 8. FIERCE IM­PACT (78) is an­other horse that seems rather well weighted on ta­lent to kilo ra­tio. Ex-Godol­phin gal­loper 4. SOUCHEZ (83) cre­ates a lot of in­ter­est now with the Snow­dens but I’ll take the punt on Le Juge un­less market and bet­ting ex­change say I have got it all wrong. I note the TAB went up $26 and he was $34 by the time I fin­ished typ­ing! Bad sign but mar­kets can be wrong too.

Red Ex­cite­ment.

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