Royal looking to rumble
NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Good 4. All horses considered starters unless notified by Thursday at 1 PM. (N/R) denotes no rating. RACE
NO prizes for guessing the best bred horse in this race, or any race this weekend for that matter. Her name is 3. EXHILARATES (N/R) and she is a daughter of Snitzel the Blue Diamond winner/Golden Slipper placegetter Samaready. Bred by Greg Perry who bred Atlantic Jewel, this filly was bought Godolphin for $600,000 at the Magic Millions Sale. Exhilarates was very good in her one trial when 0.8-len second in a 745m heat at Randwick on Oct 30. Another of the potential Magic Millions 2YO Classic runners next January is 1. SEBRAKATE
(N/R). I assume that’s why she is here – to win some more money and have a ‘go’ the Sydney/ Brisbane way. Won both runs in SA, well-bred type from Hayes/ Hayes/Dabernig, gate 1 and Tye Angland, race experience. 4.
KIAMICHI (N/R) is the second of the two James Cummings runners. The Sidestep filly was 2-len second in her trial on the morning as Exhilarates went around.
1. ROYAL CELEBRATION
(74) had every favour to win at Randwick last start. Andrew Adkins parked him outside the leader in a pretty steady pace and pushed the button on horse at exactly right time in the straight. Take nothing away from the colt though, that win was much deserved and probably just confidence booster that Ron Quinton would have hoped for. You don’t like to see horses run second all the time, it’s becomes a habit for some of them. I have to admit, I saw absolutely zero recommend about
7. BALLER (61) from his trials ahead of his debut at Kembla. I wasn’t alone, he was $41 to $61 on the day but wow, what a win! The son of High Chaparral led throughout and won by 2.3-len eased down big time! It was incredibly impressive – either he is quite handy or the ones behind him aren’t. Maybe a mix of both perhaps. 4. SINGING
SAND (65) is a Godolphin filly who is attractively weighted here on 53kg or 3kg less than she carried when she beat Quinton’s Betty Blooms in a midweeker at Warwick Farm on Oct 24. Has the talent to win/place here.
SPEAKING of James Cummings, he used to train 1. POTENT
FORCE (72) for Gooree long ago before he swapped Leilani Lodge for Agnes Banks. The string was split up among a few trainers, this one went to Mack Griffith who has trained quite few winners for Mr Cojuangco.
is a great horseman and that’s why we can be confident in the face of this horse’s extremely long absence from the races. In fact, it will be 611 days between runs and 765 since the last win. Griffth has given horse three trials they have been rippers. This could be an ex-James Cummings quinella given that he also once handled SEEBLUME (72) who won a TAB Highway at Rosehill over 1500m on Sep 22. She trial at home at Canberra on Oct 19 so appears to be in great nick. Drawn 10 of 11 but she gets back and runs on down the outside usually. 4. SUGAR DANCE (67) has accepted for Orange today so not sure where he goes. Be a big chance if comes down from Mudgee (same as Potent Force). Respecting 11. THE DEBATER
(54) and Matthew Dunn’s 5. TRISTAN DE ANGEL (67).
I WAS very keen on 7. ARRONDISSEMENT (52) at home in the Goulburn Anniversary Bm81 last start having been so taken with her win there three weeks before in a Bm58. The difference between her 1st and her 6th in the two races were the way the respective run. She only has one way to race this mare – last to turn, run on down the outside! Nothing was finishing better or faster in the last race than Arrondissement and I suspect it will be the same again tomorrow. In terms of her weight, she has 52kg less 3kg – that’s 49kg on paper. Whatever ended up carrying is still going to be a postage stamp. 2. SEXY EYES (79) made light work of her rivals with 53.5kg in that 1400m Bm88 at Randwick on Oct 27. She got a great ride by Tommy Berry. You could make a case, being generous to her, that she could be 3 for 3 this campaign but whatever your thoughts on that, we all have to agree that she is flying. This looks an obvious, logical and almost perfect race for her. 1. KARAVALI (92) has a monstrous benchmark rating by comparison to my top pick. In fact there is 40 points between Karavali’s 92 and Arrondissement’s 52. That said, there is going to be as much as maybe 10kg between them on the day which evens things up a bit.
THE Tony Santic-bred 4. REFLECTIVITY (75) is a handy enough son of All Too Hard from the Team Hawkes camp. No one does better with the breed with them – naturally. This particular gelding was 4th in the Inglis Scone Guineas towards the end of the last campaign. I really liked his trial at Rosehill on Nov 2 where he finished 0.3-len 3rd in what looked a deep heat to me. Koby Jennings rode this horse the Guineas and the trial and is on top here tomorrow. Jimmy Choux son 7.
CHAUSSURE (71) was terrific at his first run back as a gelding off a very long break, it was nearly full year between starts. The Waller trained gelding 0.5-len fourth of 8 and fired in an unsuccessful protest against the winner. Chaussure’s form at first campaign was ‘211’ and I can assure you the ‘2’ every bit as the two wins so he’s a handy horse. Is 1 for 1 secondup. Racing at home – bad news is the draw. Stablemate 5. SO
YOU WIN (74) wears the Winx colours. A son of So You Think, this 4YO gelding’s chance may well be made clearer by his fluctuations because we have not trial to judge him on. That said, he’s surely got a fair bit of residual fitness from his Rough Habit and Grand Prix runs up in Brisbane.
THE Winx colours are on show again in this race via 11. MISS
SHANTI (73) who was very Winx-like when she won last start on the Kensington track. Truly she was. Tye Angland had her 5th of 6 in the running line, strides up boldly three and four wide into straight let down all over the top of them to win, not by a big margin but with plenty of authority. Everything in her pedigree and pattern suggests she will run 2000m and now that she is this far into the campaign and off such an impressive win, it’s hard to tip against her. I was all over 12.
NICOCHET (68) on that same Kensington race day as Miss Shanti was in only in a different race of course. Nicochet did what she always does – she got back and ran on late this time 1.8-len from the winner. Nicochet has gone 1400m then 15500m (x2) this time in work so it’s time for a step up distance. Pedigree is interesting, the third dam is the mother of Innocent King who won the AJC Derby. 1. SKY
BOY (78) was ultra-impressive winning at Randwick last start. He is quite a progressive horse but has plenty of weight tomorrow. Drawn well though – that’s a huge plus for his chances. 13.
HIGHWAY (71) is a sharp improver at odds. She up to her right trip now and was third Youngstar in the Gold Bracelet at the Gold Coast in the winter.
JOSH Parr rode four winners last Saturday at Rosehill, 2 of them were for James Cummings. Parr and Cummings combine here with 1. GAULOIS (85) who has some compelling numbers to take this race out. The son of Street Cry and handy Lonhro mare Celts is 4s 1-1-2 at the track, he 1 for 1 t/d, 2s 1w at the trip and 0-2-1 firstup. As well as that, he has drawn barrier 4 which will help him off-set his 59kg topweight somewhat. Gaulois has trialled twice ahead of return and that last one here 8-days ago was really good. Cummings to have three but scratched Beacon from two races in Sydney actually to run the last race of the Cup carnival at Flemington instead. That means he has Gaulois and the last start winner
4. CORUSCATE (82) going head to head. Coruscate has won 3 of 4 this campaign so is super – just not sure that his wide barrier has done him any favours. Still, it’s only a field of 9 at the moment, not 16. Team Hawkes mare 6. DYSLEXIC (81) was very, very solid in the market in the G3 Nivison first-up but a rather disappointing sixth behind resin but only 3.5-len away so it’s not like she was lapped. At her best, she’d be winning this no worries at all.
3. BON AMIS (77) started $5 in the Provincial Championship Final which is indicative of his talent and what he was doing before the big $600,000 feature. Bon Amis ran 2.5-len sixth – it was a ripper run by the Novocastrian. Bon Amis won a trial at home over 900m on Oct 9 and looked fantastic. The son of Bon Hoffa has a career record 11 s 4-4-0, 3s 1-2-0 at the t/d and is 3s 2w fresh so there is a lot in those numbers to recommend. So too his draw – barrier 4 is ideal. I have a massive watch on
7. SIKHING GLORY (73) from the Joe Pride stable. This 5YO hasn’t raced in slightly over a year. He did a tendon not long after he won three in a row. We spoke to Joe about the horse for a story in this weekend’s paper, maybe it’s better to get it from him than me but I would like to at least throw my two cents in regarding his trials – they were both first class. He is one hundred per cent ready to run a big, big race. 6. VIRGILIO (74) has the 3kg off for Robbie Dolan who is riding so well these days. Has been for a while, it’s just that we are getting to see more of the Wayne Harris managed Irishlad. Virgilio has placed at 3 his 4 fresh runs and has trialled twice; second of five Kembla on Oct 24.
10. MONTRACHET (71) is a Cressfield-bred mare by Fastnet Rock out of Star Satire and is owned by Twin Palms – specifically Bruce Johnson, a good man and son of the late Stan Johnson who bred likes of Merlene
Danendri. Montrachet is a Team Hawkes trained 4YO with a record of 3s 1-1-0. The unplaced run was a 3.3-len fourth in the G3 Hawkesbury Guineas to Sambro. That huge run given that 26-days prior, Montrachet won a maiden albeit at Rosehill. Loved the trial. 8. SEASONS (73) is Les Bridge rained mare who some would and could argue should be 4 from 4. Whatever the case, 4s 2-2-0 isn’t a bad record and rest assured, there are more wins than losses ahead for this daughter of Sebring. Seasons was 2-len to Chabreet in a Randwick trial on Oct 30 but hardly pressured to do what she what she did. Bad draw on Saturday – that’s an issue. I was all over 5. KAWAIKINI
(74) first-up, I think I made her a XXX special from memory, but she could only manage 6th of 8 beaten the best part of 10-len. I am absolutely sure she is better than that but I can’t tip her on top after such a run when these other two (Montrachet and Seasons) look to be mares with so much upside.
Royal Celebration kicks away from rivals at Randwick last start.