Premier fac­ing predica­ment

The Weekend Post - - News - STEVEN WARDILL

AN­NASTA­CIA Palaszczuk’s path­way to se­cure the 47 seats needed to form ma­jor­ity govern­ment just be­came fur­ther ob­structed.

Today’s Galaxy Poll demon­strates how La­bor is be­ing stripped of seats in the volatile North but not re­plac­ing them in the south­east cor­ner.

The Townsville elec­torate of Mund­ing­burra, which has de­cided who gov­erns Queens­land be­fore, is an ex­am­ple.

Po­lit­i­cal green­horn Co­ralee O’Rourke won the seat with Greens and a Palmer United Party sup­port in 2015 as an­gry vot­ers num­bered ev­ery box on their bal­lot pa­per.

Now the same is hap­pen­ing to oust O’Rourke.

Com­pul­sory pref­er­enc­ing means votes from One Na­tion and Kat­ter’s Aus­tralian Party are flow­ing to the LNP.

And the Tim Ni­cholls-led team will win the seat de­spite one in four of their vot­ers de­sert­ing them at this elec­tion.

The same story is be­ing re­peated across regional seats.

One Na­tion is strip­ping sig­nif­i­cant votes from the LNP and soak­ing up sup­port from in­de­pen­dents. But where Pauline Han­son’s party fin­ishes third, La­bor loses.

And that’s a prob­lem when mar­ginal LNP elec­torates in the south­east aren’t swap­ping to La­bor’s side of the ledger.

Glass House and Bon­ney, both mar­ginal LNP elec­torates are 50:50 equa­tions.

On the Gold Coast in par­tic­u­lar, where La­bor is des­per­ate for a foothold, the Palaszczuk Govern­ment is strug­gling to make an im­pact.

La­bor is even fight­ing to re­sist a One Na­tion surge in Lo­gan, a seat that shouldn’t even be in play.

With two weeks un­til polling day, La­bor faces a choice.

Does Palaszczuk at­tempt to turn things around in the North and hopes the south­east seats switch? Or does she for­sake the re­gions and try to win the south­east?

But path­ways are lit­tered with pot­holes.

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