Swell events to shape surf po­ten­tial


TWO swell events are ex­pected to shape surf­ing con­di­tions for this week­end.

Throw in strong winds fur­ther to the south which could po­ten­tially af­fect size across North­ern NSW, and a com­plex week­end of surf lies ahead.

Wave fore­caster Ben Mat­son said a Tas­man Low which de­vel­oped on Fri­day would have a big ef­fect on to­day’s con­di­tions.

“Satur­day will de­liver build­ing short range southerly en­ergy. Mod­er­ate to fresh southerly winds will bump up ex­posed beaches pick­ing up oc­ca­sional 3-4ft+ sets by the af­ter­noon, and it’ll be tiny at pro­tected lo­ca­tions,” Mat­son said on Swell­net.com.

“Across south-east Queens­land, we won’t see much size across the outer points (1-2ft by the af­ter­noon) and ex­posed north­ern ends will be bumpy and 1-2ft, build­ing to 2-3ft.”

Mat­son said Sun­day was shap­ing as the best op­tion for find­ing waves.

“Sun­day looks much bet­ter, though the tim­ing of this new groundswell is still not per­fect for our re­gion,” he said.

“The low is ex­pected to wind up south to south-east gales overnight Fri­day and into Satur­day, pro­duc­ing a strong south to south-east swell for Sun­day.

“Beaches south of Byron should see waves in the 4-6ft range on south fac­ing beaches, be­fore swells trend up the coast.

“This pulse is not due into the Mid North Coast un­til early to mid af­ter­noon and the far north coast and south-east Queens­land un­til mid to late af­ter­noon.”

Mat­son said while there would be swells, winds could play a big part in shap­ing con­di­tions as a whole.

“We’re look­ing at light off­shore winds through the morn­ing, but mod­er­ate to fresh north-east sea breezes af­ter lunch. So de­spite the likely high qual­ity of this groundswell, lo­cal con­di­tions may spoil po­ten­tial across North­ern NSW as it builds into the af­ter­noon,” he said.

“We should even­tu­ally see 2-3ft surf across the outer south-east Queens­land points and 3-4ft+ surf at ex­posed north­ern ends once the swell fi­nally pushes north of the bor­der – though this will prob­a­bly oc­cur un­der the cover of dark­ness on Sun­day night.”

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