Swing back to ma­jor par­ties seen

Western Suburbs Weekly - - News - By JON BAS­SETT

POLLING num­bers in­di­cate that vot­ers who backed in­de­pen­dents four years ago re­turned to the two tra­di­tional par­ties in the west­ern sub­urbs at the re­cent State Elec­tion.

“Last time you had for­mer Cottes­loe mayor Kevin Mor­gan in Cottes­loe, so that was the great area of in­ter­est, par­tic­u­larly with the is­sue of coun­cil merg­ers,” Curtin Univer­sity pol­i­tics pro­fes­sor John Phillimore said.

In 2013, Mr Mor­gan got 11.4 per cent of the votes in the blue rib­bon seat in a re­sult Prof Phillimore said “con­strained” for­mer premier Colin Bar­nett’s vote.

With 88.6 per cent of the Cottes­loe votes counted last Fri­day, Mr Bar­nett had 63.37 of the two-party pre­ferred vote (64.7 per cent in 2013), Labor’s Caitlin Collins was on 36.63 per cent (29 per cent) and Greens’ Greg Boland was at 12.05 per cent (10.4 per cent).

Prof Phillimore said if Mr Bar­nett now chose to leave pol­i­tics, the chal­lenge for his Lib­eral Party would be to find a “qual­ity” Cottes­loe can­di­date that did no risk the seat be­ing lost to an­other high-pro­file in­de­pen­dent, af­ter sev­eral of its key seats went to Lib­eral-turned-rene­gades last decade.

He said any Cottes­loe Lib­eral can­di­date would have to weigh-up be­ing in op­po­si­tion for many years, and women com­prised only four of the 13 Lib­eral MPS sur­viv­ing the elec­tion.

In Ned­lands, which has a his­tory of Lib­eral Party de­fec­tions in­clud­ing for­mer MP Sue Walker, Lib­eral MLA Bill Marmion had a swing against him of about 10 per cent.

Labor’s Penny Tay­lor had 41.21 per cent of the two-party pre­ferred vote, af­ter a no­table cam­paign, last Fri­day.

Some in the elec­torate’s Hol­ly­wood precinct were thought to have been an­gered by the for­mer Lib­eral gov­ern­ment put­ting them in the City of Perth.

How­ever, Prof Phillimore said vot­ing booth re­sults would have to be an­a­lysed to see if that was a fac­tor in the re­sult, which could have also been af­fected by stu­dents liv­ing in other sub­urbs re­turn­ing to where they were en­rolled to vote in Ned­lands

With 89.75 per cent of bal­lots counted, Church­lands MLA Sean L’es­trange ap­peared on track to suf­fer a small swing against his 70.2 per cent two-party pre­ferred vote from 2013. Mr L’es­trange had 64.01 per cent, while 35.99 per cent held by Labor’s Paul Lil­burne in­di­cated a po­ten­tial gain of about 6 per cent.

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