New poll car­ries more weight: Ex­pert

Thurs­day, Oc­to­ber 12, 2017 Cal­gary

StarMetro Calgary - - YOUR ESSENTIAL DAILY NEWS - Helen pike Metro | Cal­gary Con­tin­ued from page 1

Although the Green Line didn’t reg­is­ter as a mu­nic­i­pal race is­sue weeks ago, now the LRT project is reg­is­ter­ing with the threat of throw­ing the project off the rails.

The LRT on the Green on­line poll made the rounds on­line Wed­nes­day, some ques­tion­ing its method­ol­ogy and va­lid­ity after a Main­street poll didn’t seem to jive with the lat­est re­sults.

Po­lit­i­cal com­men­ta­tor Duane Bratt said he puts more va­lid­ity in the Ask Cana­di­ans poll than the Main­street one pub­lished last week.

“Be­cause of their de­mo­graphic information,” said Bratt. “It’s not the horse race num­ber, it’s the num­bers be­hind it.”

Bratt ex­plains that the AC poll has the higher un­de­cided num­ber, which aligns with the typ­i­cal voter turnout. He said hav­ing age, gen­der, in­come and ed­u­ca­tion num­bers helps tell that the Main­street poll went against re­search, sug­gest­ing women and young peo­ple were go­ing to vote con­ser­va­tive when stud­ies show women and young peo­ple vote more lib­eral — which aligns with the AC poll.

Bratt said some of the poll’s ques­tions could lead re­spon­ders in a par­tic­u­lar di­rec­tion and was likely to sway pos­i­tive to­ward Nen­shi vot­ers.

Back on the Green Line mat­ter, Binks said re­spon­dents are in­formed enough to un­der­stand what the first stage of the Green Line looks like, one of the ma­jor ques­tions in the poll.

“We’ve had five years of some of the most ex­haus­tive con­sul­ta­tions in Cal­gary’s his­tory. There have been lit­er­ally thou­sands of hours of public en­gage­ment with the com­mu­ni­ties and res­i­dents who live along the route who have in­vested sig­nif­i­cant time and en­ergy in de­vel­op­ing this plan,” said Binks.

Smith ques­tioned the math, sug­gest­ing that go­ing from a 46-kilo­me­tre vi­sion for the line at $4.5 bil­lion to just 20 kilo­me­tres of track for $4.65 bil­lion meant some­where some­one had “dropped the ball.”

As for de­tails on a re­think of the Green Line, Smith told me­dia on Fri­day that he didn’t have a plan.

Na­heed Nen­shi called his op­po­nent’s com­ments shock­ing

was joined by Premier Rachel Not­ley and Trans­porta­tion Min­is­ter Brian Ma­son to an­nounce the provin­cial gov­ern­ment pledg­ing $1.5 bil­lion in fund­ing for the Green Line LRT.

JeN­NifeR fRieseN/foR MeTRo

Mayor Na­heed Nen­shi

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