UCP has mas­sive sup­port over NDP: Poll

Week­end, October 27-29, 2017

StarMetro Calgary - - YOUR ESSENTIAL DAILY NEWS - Brodie thomas Metro | Cal­gary

The United Con­ser­va­tive Party (UCP) is choos­ing their leader this week­end, but a poll is show­ing that re­gard­less of who wins that race, a ma­jor­ity of Al­ber­tans would vote for the party if the elec­tion were held to­day.

The polling was done by stu­dents at Leth­bridge Col­lege un­der the di­rec­tion of pro­fes­sor Faron El­lis.

They in­ter­viewed 1,481 Al­ber­tans con­tacted on landline and cel­lu­lar tele­phone be­tween Sept. 30 and Oct. 5.

It found that prov­ince-wide, 55.8 per cent would vote for the UCP and 19.3 per cent for the NDP. The Lib­er­als came third with 12.8 per cent of re­spon­dents, with 5.8 say­ing they’d vote for the Al­berta Party.

The mar­gin of er­ror was 2.55 per­cent­age points 19 times out of 20.

El­lis said the poll shows sim­i­lar re­sults to pre­vi­ous polls he’d seen on the same ques­tion, with one ex­cep­tion: The UCP are lead­ing among Ed­mon­ton vot­ers, too. That city is tra­di­tion­ally an NDP strong­hold.

“If any­thing – the UCP was gain­ing mo­men­tum rather than los­ing mo­men­tum over the sum­mer,” said El­lis.

Lori Williams, as­so­ciate pro­fes­sor of po­lit­i­cal sci­ence with Mount Royal Univer­sity, noted that the new UCP num­bers aren’t as high as the com­bined PC and Wil­drose num­bers from one year ago.

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