National Post

Why does the world need another developmen­t bank?

- This editorial, which originally appeared March 20, has been reprinted with permission from the Wall Street Journal, Copyright © 2015, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

The Obama Administra­tion has advertised that by using “smart power,” it would enhance U.S. influence around the world. So it’s worth noting an episode in which China is routing the U.S. in economic diplomacy.

Beijing has never made a secret of its belief in chequebook politics, and in recent years, it has spent vast sums in pursuit of its regional ambitions: US$40 billion for a Silk Road Fund to develop trade through Central Asia, US$41 billion to lead a developmen­t bank with Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa, billions more in soft loans to countries in Southeast Asia, a “Maritime Silk Road” of ports across the Indian Ocean.

China’s latest venture is the US$50 billion Asian Infrastruc­ture Investment Bank, which is supposed to provide financing for some of the US$8 trillion in projects that the Asian Developmen­t Bank estimated the region needs this decade. The Obama Administra­tion has rightly opposed the AIIB, but its entreaties have been ignored.

Since the AIIB came into being last October, it has picked up 26 Asian members, from Bangladesh to Vietnam. Over the past week, Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg and New Zealand also signed on, over emphatic objections from Washington.

“We are wary about a trend toward constant accommodat­ion of China, which is not the best way to engage a rising power,” a senior administra­tion official told the Financial Times. The official also complained that Britain had signed up for the AIIB after “virtually no consultati­on with the U.S.,” though British officials insist they consulted for over a month through the G7, including with Treasury Secretary Jack Lew.

The U.S. is right to worry about Britain’s habit of appeasing China for commercial purposes, especially since London has also abandoned its historic responsibi­lity to speak up for the freedom of its former colony, Hong Kong. But this affair is also a telling indicator of how much diplomatic influence the U.S. has lost, not least with its European allies.

As for the AIIB, it’s worth asking why the world needs another developmen­t bank. The World Bank has a long history of mismanagem­ent and tolerance for corruption, and Europeans ousted bank president Paul Wolfowitz because he withheld financing from corrupt regimes. The smaller developmen­t banks have been even more problemati­c.

The AIIB is likely to enhance China’s influence far more than it will help its supposed beneficiar­ies. Poor regimes willing to stay on Beijing’s good side will earn cheap loans on lax terms, but the bank will promote a version of China’s state capitalism, not transparen­t markets.

Gresham’s Law applies to economic developmen­t: Bad money drives out good. Ports, bridges and other public works funded by artificial­ly cheap capital, with poor or corrupt oversight, become boondoggle­s that burden states with debt, raise default risks and often stifle productive private investment. The trillions of dollars Asia needs for public works will never materializ­e unless private investors see reliable, non-corrupt opportunit­ies for returns. Easy public loans that perpetuate cronyism don’t help.

This “smart power” trouncing makes the completion of the pending Pacific trade pact all the more crucial, lest the U.S. cede even more economic leadership to China. Six years into the Obama Administra­tion, the dishearten­ing truth is that the U.S. has lost clout across the world — with its friends as much as with adversarie­s.

The bank will promote a version of China’s state capitalism, not transparen­t markets

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